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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

December 2002 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.7 percent in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase was largely attributable to an upturn in petroleum prices. The Export Price Index…

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-DECEMBER 2002-

The U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.7 percent in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase was largely attributable to an upturn in petroleum prices. The Export Price Index decreased 0.2 percent in December, after increasing 0.1 percent in the previous month.

From December 2001 to December 2002, import prices rose 4.2 percent. The increase over the past year was led by a surge in petroleum prices. During the same period, export prices were up 1.0 percent.

Import Goods

The index for imports, which recorded only two monthly decreases in 2002, resumed an upward trend in December. Led by volatile petroleum prices, overall import prices rose 0.7 percent last month after falling 1.0 percent in November. The petroleum index, which had decreased in the previous two months, rose 7.4 percent in December. Last month’s increase was the largest since the index rose 12.7 percent in April. The petroleum index rose 57.9 percent from December 2001 to December 2002 after falling 39.5 percent during the previous calendar year. The price index for nonpetroleum imports also increased in December, edging up 0.1 percent after dipping the same amount in November. Over the past 12 months, the nonpetroleum index rose 0.2 percent after dropping 4.5 percent in 2001.

Among nonpetroleum imports, the indexes for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials, for foods, feeds, and beverages, for automotive vehicles parts and engines, and for consumer goods each increased in December. Prices for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials, which have increased in six of the past seven months, rose 0.3 percent for the second straight month—led by continued rises in prices for natural gas and unfinished metals. Over the past 12 months, the index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials rose 5.6 percent. Prices for foods, feeds, and beverages increased 0.5 percent last month and 6.2 percent for the year ended in December. The index had decreased on an annual basis in each of the previous four years. The indexes for automotive vehicles, parts, and engines and for consumer goods both increased 0.1 percent in December. Over the past year, auto prices rose 0.5 percent and consumer goods fell 0.7 percent.

In contrast, the index for imported capital goods dipped 0.1 percent for the second straight month. The index for capital goods has increased only once since March 2001 and was down 2.5 percent for the year—the seventh consecutive annual decline for this index.

Export Goods

Export prices decreased 0.2 percent in December, as both agricultural prices and nonagricultural prices fell last month. Led by a downturn for both wheat and corn, the index for agricultural exports fell 0.6 percent in December. For the year ended in December, however, agricultural prices increased 7.9 percent—the largest annual increase since 1995. The index for nonagricultural exports continued to record little movement, declining 0.1 percent for the second straight month. Over the past 12 months, the index increased 0.5 percent.

The small downward movement in prices for nonagricultural exports last month was attributable to falling prices for industrial supplies and materials and for capital goods. The index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials declined for the second consecutive month, down 0.3 percent in December. Despite the recent declines, the index rose 4.7 percent over the December 2001-2002 period. Prices for capital goods continued a downward trend, declining 0.1 percent in December and 1.2 percent for the year. The price index for consumer goods, which was unchanged in December, also decreased for the year, down 0.6 percent.

In contrast, the index for automotive vehicles, parts, and engines edged up 0.1 percent in December. Prices for automotive vehicles, parts, and engines, which have declined only once in the past 12 months, were up 0.9 percent for the year.

Summary of December-to-December percent changes

Imports by Locality of Origin

Import prices from Japan were unchanged in December after declining in each of the previous four months. Over the past year, the index declined 2.5 percent.

The index for the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries resumed a downward trend in December, falling 0.4 percent after a modest rise of 0.2 percent in November. Before November, this index had not increased since December 2000 and was down 2.6 percent for the year after dropping 5.5 percent in 2001.

In contrast, import prices from the European Union were up 0.5 percent in December, after decreasing in the previous two months. The index had posted increases or no change in eight of the first nine months of the year, and rose 3.6 percent from December 2001 to December 2002.

Led by the upturn in petroleum prices, prices from Latin America and Canada increased in December, up 1.6 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively. Import prices from Latin America increased 8.8 percent for the year ended in December and the index for Canada was up 7.1 percent over the same period.

Import and Export Services

The import air passenger index increased 1.5 percent in December after decreasing in each of the previous three months. Over the past year, the index advanced 1.4 percent. Export air passenger fares also increased last month after three consecutive monthly declines, rising 0.1 percent in December. The index rose 4.9 percent for the year.

The import price index for air freight rose in each quarter of 2002, up 5.2 percent from September to December. For the year ended in December, the index rose 11.4 percent. In contrast, the price index for export air freight declined 5.0 percent in the fourth quarter. For the December 2001 to December 2002 period, the index declined 4.6 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jan 14, 2003.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierDec 15, 2002Publication referenceJan 14, 200330 days laterFeb 13, 2003
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.04%Observed 5.95%Observed −9 bps vs. earlier reference5.88%Observed −7 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Oct 14, 2002 – Apr 14, 2003
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jan 14, 2003Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.50%6.00%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · Oct 18, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Oct 25, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Nov 1, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Nov 8, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Nov 15, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.03% · Nov 22, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Nov 29, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.19% · Dec 6, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.04% · Dec 13, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.03% · Dec 20, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.93% · Dec 27, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.85% · Jan 3, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.95% · Jan 10, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.97% · Jan 17, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.91% · Jan 24, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.90% · Jan 31, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.88% · Feb 7, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.86% · Feb 14, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.84% · Feb 21, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.79% · Feb 28, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.67% · Mar 7, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.61% · Mar 14, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.79% · Mar 21, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.91% · Mar 28, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.79% · Apr 4, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.85% · Apr 11, 2003Oct 14, 2002Jan 14, 2003Apr 14, 2003
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,789.02/month

5.95% · Jan 10, 2003

At the later reference$1,775.57/month

5.88% · Feb 7, 2003

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $13.45 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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