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Jobs · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

December 2003 Employment Cost Index

Total compensation costs for civilian workers rose 0.7 percent from September to December 2003, seasonally adjusted, moderating from the 1.0 percent gain from June to September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of…

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Total compensation costs for civilian workers rose 0.7 percent from September to December 2003, seasonally adjusted, moderating from the 1.0 percent gain from June to September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Benefit costs increased 1.2 percent and continued to strongly outpace the gain in wages and salaries for civilian workers, 0.5 percent. The Employment Cost Index (ECI), a component of the National Compensation Survey, measures quarterly changes in compensation costs, which include wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee benefits for nonfarm private and State and local government workers.

Although contributing only 30 percent of total compensation costs, about half of the increase in compensation costs was attributable to rises in benefit costs during the September to December 2003 period. Among State and local government workers, benefit costs accounted for 53 percent of compensation gains during the quarter, with health insurance and defined benefit retirement costs accounting for nearly three-quarters of the rise in State and local government benefit costs. Among private industry workers, the pattern of compensation gains was similar, with benefit costs attributing 51 percent of compensation gains during the September to December period. Health insurance and defined benefit retirement contributions accounted for approximately three-fifths of the gain in benefit costs.

Quarterly changes, seasonally adjusted

Compensation costs for both private sector and State and local government workers rose 0.7 percent from September to December. For State and local government workers, the increase in compensation costs was the same as in the prior quarter, while the gain for private sector workers had been 1.0 percent in September. December gains in private sector compensation costs were led by increases in retail trade and services, while private sector compensation gains were less in wholesale trade and in finance, insurance, and real estate. (See tables A and 1.)

Benefit costs advanced 1.2 percent for civilian workers (nonfarm private industry and State and local government) in the December 2003 quarter, following a gain of 1.5 percent in the September quarter. Private sector benefit costs rose 1.2 percent for the December quarter, following a 1.4 percent gain in the previous quarter. Benefit increases for State and local governments slowed to 1.1 percent in the December quarter, following a jump of 2.0 percent in September 2003.

Wages and salaries for civilian, private, and State and local workers all advanced 0.5 percent during the December quarter. This increase was lower than the 0.9 percent increase in private industry wages and salaries over the previous quarter. In contrast, in State and local government, this increase was higher compared with the modest 0.1 change during the prior quarter. Private sector wage gains were led by service-producing industries, especially retail trade and services. Increases in wages and salaries in the private sector were slowed by durable manufacturing and finance, insurance, and real estate industries.

Over-the-year changes, not seasonally adjusted

Annual compensation costs for civilian workers (not seasonally adjusted) increased 3.8 percent for the year ended December 2003, compared with a 3.4 percent over-the-year increase for December 2002. Compensation costs in private industry rose 4.0 percent in the year ended December 2003, higher than the more modest increase of 3.2 percent in December 2002. In contrast, compensation costs slowed to a 3.3 percent increase for State and local government for the year ended December 2003, compared with an over-the-year gain of 4.1 percent in December 2002. (See tables B, 2, and 3.)

The components of compensation continued to show significant differences. While increases in wages and salaries slowed, benefit costs rose sharply during the year ended December 2003. For private industry workers, wages and salaries rose 3.0 percent in the year ended December 2003, compared with a gain of 6.4 percent for benefits. Wages and salaries rose a modest 2.1 percent for State and local government workers, while benefits increased 6.1 percent for the year ended December 2003. (See tables B, 5, 6, and 8.)

Nonfarm private industry

For the year ended December 2003, compensation costs in private industry increased 4.0 percent for goods-producing industries, compared with the 3.7 percent advance for the year ended December 2002. Compensation costs for manufacturing advanced 4.1 percent in December 2003, after increasing 3.8 percent in December 2002. Compensation costs for construction rose 3.4 percent in December 2003, compared with a 3.2 percent rise in December 2002. (See table 3.)

The over-the-year increase in compensation for service-producing industries was 4.0 percent, compared with the 3.1 percent gain for the year ended December 2002. Among service-producing industries, the 12- month increase for finance, insurance, and real estate was 7.4 percent for the year ended in December 2003, led by a large increase in banking, savings and loan, and other credit agencies. Compensation costs rose modestly in wholesale trade, increasing 3.2 percent in the year ended December 2003.

Over-the-year compensation cost increases were 4.1 percent for white- collar occupations, 4.0 percent for blue-collar occupations, and 3.2 percent for service occupations for the year ended December 2003. Among white-collar occupational groups, compensation changes ranged from 3.2 for sales workers to 5.2 percent for executive, administrative, and managerial employees. Among blue-collar workers, compensation cost increases ranged from 3.4 percent for transportation and material moving workers to 4.1 percent for the remaining three blue-collar occupational groups. (See table 3.)

Compensation costs for union workers advanced 4.6 percent over the year ended December 2003, compared with a 3.9 percent increase for nonunion workers. Compensation costs among blue-collar union workers rose 4.9 percent, higher than the gain of 3.5 percent for blue-collar nonunion workers. In goods-producing industries, a 5.1 percent increase for union workers was greater than the 3.7 percent advance for nonunion workers. (See tables C and 4.)

Wages and salaries for union workers rose a modest 2.4 percent for the 12 months ended in December 2003. This compares with an over-the-year increase of 3.1 percent for nonunion workers. In contrast, benefit costs for union workers rose sharply, 8.3 percent, greater than the increase of 6.0 percent for nonunion workers in December 2003. (See tables C, 7, and 8.)

Among the four geographic regions, increases in compensation costs ranged from 3.1 percent in the South to 4.8 percent in the Midwest. Compensation costs rose 4.1 percent in the Northeast and 4.4 percent in the West. (See table 4.)

State and local government

Employer costs for wages and salaries among State and local government workers rose 2.1 percent for the year ended December 2003. Wage and salary increases for State and local government workers for years ending from December 1982 through December 2002 ranged from 2.7 percent in December 1993 and December 1997 to 6.6 percent in December 1982. Benefit costs rose 6.1 percent for the year ended December 2003. Benefit increases from December 1992 through December 2002 ranged from 1.3 percent in December 1997 to 6.2 percent in December 2002.

For the year ended December 2003, compensation costs increased 2.9 percent for educational services, slowing from the 3.8 percent gain for the year ended December 2002. Compensation cost gains moderated for health services, rising 3.3 percent for the year ended December 2003 compared with a 4.4 percent rise for the year ended December 2002. Among occupational groups, compensation costs of service workers rose 4.0 percent for the year ended December 2003, compared with gains of 3.4 percent for blue-collar workers and 3.1 percent for white-collar workers. (See tables B, 5, and 8.)

Supplemental data from the ECI, providing 12-month percent changes in employer costs for health insurance in private industry from June 1982 to December 2003, will be available shortly after publication of this news release on the Internet site http://www.bls.gov/ect/home.htm or upon request.

The costs per hour worked of compensation components, based on data from the ECI, were published on November 25, 2003, in a news release titled "Employer Costs for Employee Compensation-September 2003."

ECI data are available on the Compensation Cost Trends page at http://www.bls.gov/ncs/ect/home.htm. To access data using Anonymous FTP, use the Internet address ftp://ftp.bls.gov.

For technical assistance in using the BLS Internet site, send e-mail to webmaster@bls.gov. For ECI data requests, send e-mail to ocltinfo@bls.gov.

The ECI news release is available through an e-mail subscription service. See the subscription link on http://www.bls.gov/ncs/ect/home.htm or http://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm.

News releases and other information are available from the BLS fax-on- demand service. To request a document fax, call (202) 691-6325. To request a catalog of available documents, select option 2 at the initial voice prompt. To request data found in this news release, enter the following codes:

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jan 29, 2004.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read compensation costs separately from job growth

The Employment Cost Index tracks changes in employers’ hourly compensation costs, including wages, salaries and benefits. Its fixed employment weights limit the effect of shifts between industries and occupations; it does not count newly created jobs. Compare wage and benefit components, and check whether the quoted change is for three months or twelve months and whether it is seasonally adjusted. Compensation trends are one part of the inflation and policy picture, without determining a particular mortgage rate. BLS Employment Cost Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierDec 30, 2003Publication referenceJan 29, 200430 days laterFeb 28, 2004
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.81%Observed 5.68%Observed −13 bps vs. earlier reference5.58%Observed −10 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Oct 29, 2003 – Apr 29, 2004
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jan 29, 2004Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.00%5.75%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Oct 31, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Nov 7, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.03% · Nov 14, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.83% · Nov 21, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.89% · Nov 28, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.02% · Dec 5, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.88% · Dec 12, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.82% · Dec 19, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.81% · Dec 26, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.85% · Dec 31, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.87% · Jan 8, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Jan 15, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.64% · Jan 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.68% · Jan 29, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.72% · Feb 5, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Feb 12, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.58% · Feb 19, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.58% · Feb 26, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.59% · Mar 4, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.41% · Mar 11, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.38% · Mar 18, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.40% · Mar 25, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.52% · Apr 1, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.79% · Apr 8, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.89% · Apr 15, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Apr 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Apr 29, 2004Oct 29, 2003Jan 29, 2004Apr 29, 2004
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,737.40/month

5.68% · Jan 29, 2004

At the later reference$1,718.46/month

5.58% · Feb 26, 2004

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $18.95 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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