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December 1998 Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index (ECI), not seasonally adjusted, for December 1998 was 139.8 (June 1989=100), an increase of 3.4 percent from December 1997, the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The ECI…

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The Employment Cost Index (ECI), not seasonally adjusted, for December 1998 was 139.8 (June 1989=100), an increase of 3.4 percent from December 1997, the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The ECI measures changes in compensation costs, which include wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee benefits.

Quarterly changes, seasonally adjusted

On a seasonally adjusted basis, compensation costs for civilian workers (private industry plus state and local government) rose 0.7 percent during the September-December 1998 period, following a gain of 1.0 percent in September 1998. Wages and salaries also increased 0.7 percent during the September-December 1998 period. The increase was 1.2 percent in the June-September 1998 period. Benefit costs increased 0.6 percent in the September-December 1998 period; for each of the two previous quarters, the increase was 0.8 percent.

Compensation costs for private industry workers increased 0.7 percent during the September-December 1998 period; in September, the increase was 1.1 percent. The 3-month change in costs of wages and salaries was 0.7 percent in December 1998; in September, it was 1.3 percent. Benefit costs rose 0.6 percent in December 1998; in September, the increase was 0.7 percent. (See tables A and 1.)

The change in compensation costs for workers in the goods-producing industries was 0.6 percent during the September-December period and 0.7 percent in the previous 3-month period. The change in compensation costs in the service-producing industries was 0.8 percent in December 1998, down from 1.3 percent in September 1998. The 3-month change in wages and salaries in the service-producing industries was 0.7 percent after a 1.5 percent gain in September. Benefit costs rose 0.8 percent in December for workers in the service-producing industries, the same gain as in September. (See table 1.)

Compensation costs for state and local government workers increased 0.6 percent during the September-December 1998 period, following a gain of 0.8 percent in September. Wages and salaries increased 0.8 percent in December, following gains of 0.7 percent in each of the previous three quarters. Benefit costs increased 0.4 percent in the December quarter; the previous quarterly increase was 1.0 percent. (See tables A and 1.)

Over-the-year changes, not seasonally adjusted

Compensation costs for civilian workers (not seasonally adjusted) were up 3.4 percent for the year ended in December 1998. This compares with increases of 3.3 percent in December 1997 and 2.9 percent in December 1996. Compensation costs in private industry rose 3.5 percent in December 1998, compared with a 3.4 percent increase in December 1997 and 3.1 percent in December 1996. Compensation costs for state and local governments increased 3.0 percent for the year ended in December 1998. The gain in local and state governments for the year ended in December 1997 was 2.3 percent, and, in December 1996, the increase was 2.6 percent. (See tables B, 2, and 3.)

Private industry

In private industry, wages and salaries rose 3.9 percent for the year ended in December 1998, the same as reported for the year ended in December 1997. (See tables B and 6.) Benefit costs for private industry workers increased 2.4 percent for the year ended in December 1998, compared with 2.3 percent in December 1997. (See chart A and tables B and 8.)

In private industry, over-the-year compensation cost increases were 3.9 percent for white-collar occupations, 2.7 percent for blue-collar occupations, and 2.9 percent for service occupations. Among the occupational groups, changes in compensation costs ranged from 1.4 percent for transportation and material moving occupations to 6.8 percent for sales occupations. Compensation costs for executive, administrative, and managerial occupations increased 3.2 percent. (See table 3.)

The changes in private industry compensation costs were 3.8 percent in service-producing industries and 2.8 percent in goods-producing industries for the year ended December 1998. Compensation costs had risen 3.9 percent in service-producing industries and 2.4 percent in goods-producing industries in the prior year. Among industry divisions, December 1997-to- December 1998 changes ranged from 2.7 percent in manufacturing to 5.9 percent in finance, insurance, and real estate. (See table 3.)

The changes in compensation costs for nonunion workers in private industry were reported at 3.5 percent, while costs for union workers were 3.0 percent. Compensation costs in service-producing industries increased 3.9 percent for nonunion workers and 3.0 percent for union workers. At the same time, compensation costs in goods-producing industries increased 3.0 percent for union workers and 2.7 percent for nonunion workers. In manufacturing, the total compensation increase was 2.7 percent for union workers and 2.6 percent for nonunion workers. Compensation in blue-collar occupations increased 2.8 percent for both union and nonunion workers. (See table 4.)

State and local government

In state and local governments, the December 1998 over-the-year increase in wages and salaries was 3.1 percent, less than the 3.9 percent recorded in private industry. In December 1997, the increase was 2.7 percent. The December 1998 increase includes health services at 2.9 percent, educational services at 3.0 percent, and public administration at 3.4 percent. State and local government benefit costs for December 1998 increased 3.0 percent, up from the December 1997 increase of 1.3 percent. (See tables 5 and 8.)

Starting in March 1999, seasonal adjustment factors will be published to reflect the new seasonal patterns exhibited over the past year. The new factors for 1999, along with revised seasonally adjusted indexes for the past five years, will be available Tuesday, April 27, 1999. These data can be obtained on the Internet site (http://stats.gov/ecthome.htm) or upon request.

ECI data are available on the ECI home page (http://stats.bls.gov/ecthome.htm). To access data using Anonymous FTP, use the Internet address (ftp://ftp.bls.gov).

Send e-mail for technical assistance in using the BLS Internet site (labstat.helpdesk@bls.gov) or for ECI data requests (ocltinfo@bls.gov).

News releases and other information are available from the BLS fax-on- demand service. To request a document fax, call 202-606-6325. To request a catalog of available documents, select option 2 at the initial voice prompt. To request data found in this news release, enter the following codes:

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jan 28, 1999.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read compensation costs separately from job growth

The Employment Cost Index tracks changes in employers’ hourly compensation costs, including wages, salaries and benefits. Its fixed employment weights limit the effect of shifts between industries and occupations; it does not count newly created jobs. Compare wage and benefit components, and check whether the quoted change is for three months or twelve months and whether it is seasonally adjusted. Compensation trends are one part of the inflation and policy picture, without determining a particular mortgage rate. BLS Employment Cost Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierDec 29, 1998Publication referenceJan 28, 199930 days laterFeb 27, 1999
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.77%Observed 6.78%Observed +1 bps vs. earlier reference6.89%Observed +11 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Oct 28, 1998 – Apr 28, 1999
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jan 28, 1999Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.50%7.00%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.83% · Oct 30, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.89% · Nov 6, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.93% · Nov 13, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.86% · Nov 20, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Nov 27, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Dec 4, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Dec 11, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Dec 18, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.77% · Dec 25, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.83% · Dec 31, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.79% · Jan 8, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.83% · Jan 15, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Jan 22, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jan 29, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.75% · Feb 5, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.77% · Feb 12, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.82% · Feb 19, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.89% · Feb 26, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.06% · Mar 5, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.11% · Mar 12, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.01% · Mar 19, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.98% · Mar 26, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.98% · Apr 2, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.92% · Apr 9, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.87% · Apr 16, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.88% · Apr 23, 1999Oct 28, 1998Jan 28, 1999Apr 28, 1999
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,951.78/month

6.78% · Jan 22, 1999

At the later reference$1,973.79/month

6.89% · Feb 26, 1999

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $22.01 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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