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September 1998 Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index (ECI), not seasonally adjusted, for September 1998 was 139.0 (June 1989=100), an increase of 3.7 percent from September 1997, the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The ECI…

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The Employment Cost Index (ECI), not seasonally adjusted, for September 1998 was 139.0 (June 1989=100), an increase of 3.7 percent from September 1997, the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The ECI measures changes in compensation costs, which include wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee benefits.

Quarterly changes, seasonally adjusted

On a seasonally adjusted basis, compensation costs for civilian workers (private industry plus state and local government) rose 1.0 percent during the June-September 1998 period, following a gain of 0.9 percent in June 1998. Since September 1991, three-month increases in compensation costs have ranged from 0.6 percent to 1.0 percent. Wages and salaries increased 1.2 percent during the June-September 1998 period. The increase was 0.9 percent in the March-June 1998 period. Benefit costs increased 0.8 percent in the June-September 1998 period, the same as reported in the March-June 1998 quarter.

Compensation costs for private industry workers increased 1.1 percent during the June-September 1998 period; in June, the increase was 0.9 percent. Wages and salaries rose 1.3 percent in September 1998; in June, the increase was 1.0 percent. Benefit costs rose 0.7 percent in September 1998; in June, the increase was 0.8 percent. (See tables A and 1.)

Compensation costs for workers in manufacturing increased 0.9 percent in September 1998, up from June's 0.5 percent increase. Over the last five years, compensation costs have ranged from 0.3 percent to 0.9 percent in manufacturing industries. Wages and salaries increased 1.0 percent in September 1998, following a gain of 0.7 percent in June. Benefit costs rose 0.4 percent in September 1998; in June, the increase was 0.5 percent. (See table 1.)

Compensation costs for state and local government workers increased 0.8 percent during the June-September 1998 period, following a gain of 0.7 percent in June. Wages and salaries increased 0.7 percent in September, the same as in the March and June periods. Benefits increased 1.0 percent in the September quarter; in the previous quarter, the increase was 0.7 percent. (See tables A and 1.)

Over-the-year changes, not seasonally adjusted

Compensation costs for civilian workers (not seasonally adjusted) were up 3.7 percent for the year ended in September 1998. This compares with increases of 3.0 percent in September 1997 and 2.8 percent in September 1996. Compensation costs in private industry rose 3.8 percent in September 1998, up from 3.2 percent in September 1997 and 2.9 percent in September 1996. Compensation costs for state and local governments increased 3.0 percent for the year ended in September 1998. The gain for the year ended in September 1997 was 2.4 percent, and, in September 1996, the increase was 2.5 percent. (See tables B, 2, and 3.)

Private industry

In private industry, wages and salaries rose 4.3 percent for the year ended September 1998. Wages and salaries increased 3.6 percent in September 1997. (See tables B and 6.) Benefit costs for private industry workers increased 2.6 percent for the year ended in September 1998, compared with 2.0 percent in September 1997. (See chart A and tables B and 8.) The over-the-year increase in September 1998 was due, in part, to increases in employer costs for Social Security and paid leave.

In private industry, over-the-year compensation cost increases were 4.4 percent for white-collar occupations, 2.7 percent for blue-collar occupations, and 3.2 percent for service occupations. Among the occupational groups, increases ranged from 2.1 percent for transportation and material moving occupations to 6.2 percent for sales occupations. Executive, administrative, and managerial occupations increased 5.0 percent, contributing to the overall white-collar increase. (See table 3.)

Private industry compensation costs increased more rapidly in service- producing industries (4.3 percent) than in goods-producing industries (2.6 percent) for the year ended September 1998. Compensation costs had risen 3.3 percent in service-producing industries and 2.7 percent in goods- producing industries in the prior year. Among industry divisions, September 1997-to- September 1998 increases ranged from 2.7 percent in manufacturing to 8.0 percent in finance, insurance, and real estate. (See table 3.)

The 4.0 percent over-the-year increase in compensation costs for nonunion workers in private industry outpaced the 2.7 percent increase for union workers. The pattern was similar for service-producing industries where nonunion compensation increased 4.5 percent and union compensation increased 3.0 percent. In goods-producing industries, the increase for nonunion workers was 2.8 percent and for union workers was 2.5 percent. Compensation in blue-collar occupations increased 2.8 percent for nonunion workers and 2.6 percent for union workers. (See table 4.)

State and local government

In state and local governments, the September 1998 over-the-year increase in wages and salaries was 3.0 percent, less than the 4.3 percent recorded in private industry. In September 1997, the increase was 2.7 percent. The September 1998 increase includes health services at 3.6 percent, educational services at 2.7 percent, and public administration at 3.5 percent. State and local government benefit costs for September 1998 increased 2.8 percent, up from the September 1997 increase of 1.5 percent. (See tables 5 and 8.)

ECI data, as well as other data produced by BLS, are now available on the ECI home page (http://stats.bls.gov/ecthome.htm). To access data using Anonymous FTP, use the Internet address (ftp://ftp.bls.gov).

Send e-mail for technical assistance in using the BLS Internet site (labstat.helpdesk@bls.gov) or for ECI data requests (ocltinfo@bls.gov).

News releases and other information are available from the BLS fax-on- demand service. To request a document fax, call 202-606-6325. To request a catalog of available documents, select option 2 at the initial voice prompt. To request data found in this news release, enter the following codes:

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 29, 1998.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read compensation costs separately from job growth

The Employment Cost Index tracks changes in employers’ hourly compensation costs, including wages, salaries and benefits. Its fixed employment weights limit the effect of shifts between industries and occupations; it does not count newly created jobs. Compare wage and benefit components, and check whether the quoted change is for three months or twelve months and whether it is seasonally adjusted. Compensation trends are one part of the inflation and policy picture, without determining a particular mortgage rate. BLS Employment Cost Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 29, 1998Publication referenceOct 29, 199830 days laterNov 28, 1998
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.64%Observed 6.73%Observed +9 bps vs. earlier reference6.78%Observed +5 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 29, 1998 – Jan 29, 1999
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 29, 1998Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.00%6.50%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.97% · Jul 31, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.94% · Aug 7, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.91% · Aug 14, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.92% · Aug 21, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.92% · Aug 28, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.82% · Sep 4, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.77% · Sep 11, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Sep 18, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.64% · Sep 25, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.60% · Oct 2, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Oct 9, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.90% · Oct 16, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Oct 23, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.83% · Oct 30, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.89% · Nov 6, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.93% · Nov 13, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.86% · Nov 20, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Nov 27, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Dec 4, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Dec 11, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Dec 18, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.77% · Dec 25, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.83% · Dec 31, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.79% · Jan 8, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.83% · Jan 15, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Jan 22, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jan 29, 1999Jul 29, 1998Oct 29, 1998Jan 29, 1999
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,941.81/month

6.73% · Oct 23, 1998

At the later reference$1,951.78/month

6.78% · Nov 27, 1998

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $9.97 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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