The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.5 percent in January on a seasonally adjusted basis, after increasing 0.1 percent in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months,…
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics6 min read
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The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.5 percent in January on a seasonally adjusted basis, after increasing 0.1 percent in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 6.4 percent before seasonal adjustment.
The index for shelter was by far the largest contributor to the monthly all items increase, accounting for nearly half of the monthly all items increase, with the indexes for food, gasoline, and natural gas also contributing. The food index increased 0.5 percent over the month with the food at home index rising 0.4 percent. The energy index increased 2.0 percent over the month as all major energy component indexes rose over the month.
The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.4 percent in January. Categories which increased in January include the shelter, motor vehicle insurance, recreation, apparel, and household furnishing s and operations indexes. The indexes for used cars and trucks, medical care, and airline fares were among those that decreased over the month.
The all items index increased 6.4 percent for the 12 months ending January; this was the smallest 12-month increase since the period ending October 2021. The all items less food and energy index rose 5.6 percent over the last 12 months, its smallest 12-month increase since December 2021. The energy index increased 8.7 percent for the 12 months ending January, and the food index increased 10.1 percent over the last year.
Food
The food index increased 0.5 percent in January, and the food at home index rose 0.4 percent over the month. Four of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased over the month. The index for other food at home rose 0.7 percent in January. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs increased 0.7 percent over the month, as the index for eggs rose 8.5 percent. The index for cereals and bakery products rose 1.0 percent over the month, while the index for nonalcoholic beverages increased 0.4 percent in January.
In contrast, the fruits and vegetables index fell 0.5 percent over the month with the fresh vegetables index declining 2.3 percent. The index for dairy and related products was unchanged in January.
The food away from home index rose 0.6 percent in January, after increasing 0.4 percent in December. The index for limited service meals increased 0.7 percent over the month and the index for full service meals increased 0.5 percent.
The food at home index rose 11.3 percent over the last 12 months. The index for cereals and bakery products rose 15.6 percent over the 12 months ending in January. The remaining major grocery store food groups posted increases ranging from 7.2 percent (fruits and vegetables) to 14.0 percent (dairy and related products).
The index for food away from home rose 8.2 percent over the last year. The index for full service meal s rose 8.1 percent over the last 12 months, and the index for limited service meals rose 6.7 percent over the same period.
Energy
The energy index rose 2.0 percent in January, as the gasoline index increased 2.4 percent over the month. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices rose 3.2 percent in January.) The index for natural gas rose 6.7 percent over the month, and the index for electricity increased 0.5 percent.
The energy index rose 8.7 percent over the past 12 months. The gasoline index increased 1.5 percent over the span. The fuel oil index rose 27.7 percent over the last 12 months, while the index for electricity rose 11.9 percent, and the index for natural gas increased 26.7 percent over the same period.
All items less food and energy
The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.4 percent in January. The shelter index continued to increase, rising 0.7 percent over the month. The rent index and the owners' equivalent rent index each rose 0.7 percent since December. The index for lodging away from home increased 1.2 percent in January.
The shelter index was the dominant factor in the monthly increase in the index for all items less food and energy, while other components were a mix of increases and declines. Among the other indexes that rose in January was the index for motor vehicle insurance, which increased 1.4 percent over the month, while the index for recreation rose 0.5 percent, and the index for apparel increased 0.8 percent. The household furnishings and operations index rose 0.3 percent in January, and the communication index increased 0.4 percent.
The medical care index fell 0.4 percent in January, as the physicians' services index declined 0.1 percent. The index for hospital services increased 0.5 percent over the month and the index for prescription drugs rose 2.1 percent in January.
Other indexes which declined over the month include the index for used cars and trucks, which fell 1.9 percent in January, continuing a recent downward trend. The index for airline fares fell 2.1 percent over the month.
The index for all items less food and energy rose 5.6 percent over the past 12 months. The shelter index increased 7.9 percent over the last year, accounting for nearly 60 percent of the total increase in all items less food and energy. Other indexes with notable increases over the last year include household furnishings and operations (+5.9 percent), medical care (+3.1 percent), recreation (+4.8 percent), and new vehicles (+5.8 percent).
Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 6.4 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 299.170 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.8 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.
The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 6.3 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 293.565 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.9 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.
The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) increased 6.6 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the index increased 0.8 percent on a not seasonally adjusted basis. Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.
January 2023 Consumer Price Index Weight Update Starting with January 2023 data, BLS updated weights annually for the Consumer Price Index based on a single calendar year of data, using consumer expenditure data from 2021. This reflects a change from prior practice of updating weights biennially using 2 years of expenditure data. For more information about the weight update, see www.bls.gov/cpi/tables/relative-importance/home.htm
Updated Seasonal Factors Introduced February 10, 2023 Each year with the release of the January CPI, seasonal adjustment factors are recalculated to reflect price movements from the just-completed calendar year. This routine annual recalculation resulted in revisions to seasonally adjusted indexes for the previous 5 years. Recalculated seasonally adjusted indexes as well as recalculated seasonal adjustment factors for the period January 2018 through December 2022 were made available on Friday, February 10, 2023. The revised indexes and seasonal factors are available on www.bls.gov/cpi/seasonal-adjustment/home.htm
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MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context
The mortgage market around this release
This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.
Read consumer inflation on a consistent basis
The Consumer Price Index measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services. Check the index, reference month and seasonal adjustment before comparing figures. A monthly change and a twelve-month change describe different periods; the all-items index and the measure excluding food and energy cover different baskets. Consumer inflation informs the wider policy discussion, but the benchmark comparison below does not isolate this release from other information arriving during the month. BLS Consumer Price Index.
Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.
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What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan
At the publication reference$1,821.86/month
6.12% · Feb 9, 2023
At the later reference$1,915.98/month
6.60% · Mar 16, 2023
The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $94.11 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.
Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.
Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits
Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®: available observations from Apr 2, 1971 through Nov 5, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
U.S. Department of the Treasury: available observations from Jan 4, 2016 through Nov 10, 2026. Cached history snapshot. History retrieved or verified Nov 11, 2026.
The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.
Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.