Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2021 Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in September on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.3 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months,…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in September on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.3 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 5.4 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The indexes for food and shelter rose in September and together contributed more than half of the monthly all items seasonally adjusted increase. The index for food rose 0.9 percent, with the index for food at home increasing 1.2 percent. The energy index increased 1.3 percent, with the gasoline index rising 1.2 percent.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in September, after increasing 0.1 percent in August. Along with the index for shelter, the indexes for new vehicles, household furnishings and operations, and motor vehicle insurance also rose in September. The indexes for airline fares, apparel, and used cars and trucks all declined over the month.

The all items index rose 5.4 percent for the 12 months ending September, compared to a 5.3-percent rise for the period ending August. The index for all items less food and energy rose 4.0 percent over the last 12 months, the same increase as the period ending August. The energy index rose 24.8 percent over the last 12 months, and the food index increased 4.6 percent over that period.

Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month Un- adjusted 12-mos. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sep. ended 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 Sep. 2021

Food

The food index increased 0.9 percent in September, following a smaller 0.4-percent increase in August. The food at home index increased 1.2 percent over the month as all six major grocery store food group indexes rose. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs rose 2.2 percent over the month as the index for beef rose 4.8 percent. The index for other food at home increased 1.1 percent in September after rising 0.6 percent in August. The index for nonalcoholic beverages increased 1.2 percent in September, its fourth consecutive monthly increase. The index for fruits and vegetables rose 0.6 percent in September, a larger increase than the 0.2-percent increase reported in August. The index for cereals and bakery products increased 1.1 percent over the month, while the index for dairy and related products rose 0.7 percent.

The food away from home index rose 0.5 percent in September after increasing 0.4 percent in August. The indexes for limited service meals and for full service meals both increased 0.6 percent in September. These increases offset a decline in the index for food at employee sites and schools, which continued to fall, decreasing 6.4 percent in September.

The food at home index rose 4.5 percent over the past 12 months as all of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased over the period. The largest increase was the index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs, which increased 10.5 percent as the index for beef rose 17.6 percent over the year. The smallest increase was the dairy and related products index, which rose 0.6 percent over the last 12 months. The index for food away from home rose 4.7 percent over the last year. The index for limited service meals rose 6.7 percent over the last 12 months, and the index for full service meals rose 5.2 percent, while the index for food at employee sites and schools declined sharply.

Energy

The energy index rose 1.3 percent in September, its fourth consecutive monthly increase. The gasoline index rose 1.2 percent in September after increasing 2.8 percent in August. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices rose 0.3 percent in September.) The electricity index increased 0.8 percent in September following a 1.0-percent increase the prior month. The index for natural gas also increased in September, rising 2.7 percent; this was its eighth consecutive monthly increase.

The energy index rose 24.8 percent over the past 12 months as all the major energy component indexes increased. The gasoline index rose 42.1 percent over the last year. The index for electricity increased 5.2 percent and the index for natural gas rose 20.6 percent over the last 12 months.

All items less food and energy

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in September. The shelter index increased over the month, rising 0.4 percent. The index for rent rose 0.5 percent in September, while the index for owners’ equivalent rent rose 0.4 percent over the month. Other indexes that increased over the month include the index for new vehicles, which rose 1.3 percent following a 1.2-percent increase the previous month; and the index for household furnishings and operations, which increased 1.0 percent in September as the indexes for furniture and bedding and for appliances rose.

The motor vehicle insurance index rose 2.1 percent in September, after falling 2.8 percent in August. The index for communication and the index for education both increased 0.4 percent over the month. The recreation index rose 0.2 percent in September after increasing 0.5 percent the prior month.

In contrast to these increases, several indexes declined in September. The index for airline fares continued to fall sharply, decreasing 6.4 percent over the month after falling 9.1 percent in August. The apparel index also decreased in September, declining 1.1 percent over the month after rising 0.4 percent in the previous month. The index for used cars and trucks fell 0.7 percent this month, continuing to decline after it decreased 1.5 percent in August.

The medical care index was unchanged in September, with its component indexes mixed. The index for prescription drugs rose 0.8 percent over the month and the index for hospital services increased 0.1 percent. In contrast, the physicians’ services index declined 0.3 percent in September.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 4.0 percent over the past 12 months. The index for used cars and trucks increased 24.4 percent over the span. The index for new vehicles rose 8.7 percent, the largest 12-month increase since the period ending September 1980. The shelter index increased 3.2 percent over the last 12 months, and the household furnishings and operations index rose 5.1 percent. The index for medical care rose 0.4 percent over the last year, with the index for physicians’ services rising 3.8 percent and the index for hospital services increasing 3.2 percent. The prescription drugs index fell 1.6 percent, one of the few indexes to show a 12-month decline.

Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 5.4 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 274.310 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.3 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 5.9 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 269.086 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index rose 0.3 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) increased 5.3 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the index increased 0.3 percent on a not seasonally adjusted basis. Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic Impact on September 2021 Consumer Price Index Data

Data collection by personal visit for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) program has been suspended since March 16, 2020. When possible, data normally collected by personal visit were collected either online or by phone. Additionally, data collection in September was affected by the temporary closing or limited operations of certain types of establishments. These factors resulted in an increase in the number of prices considered temporarily unavailable and imputed. While the CPI program attempted to collect as much data as possible, many indexes are based on smaller amounts of collected prices than usual, and a small number of indexes that are normally published were not published this month. Additional information is available at www.bls.gov/covid19/effects-of-covid-19-pandemic-on-consumer-price-index.htm.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 13, 2021.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read consumer inflation on a consistent basis

The Consumer Price Index measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services. Check the index, reference month and seasonal adjustment before comparing figures. A monthly change and a twelve-month change describe different periods; the all-items index and the measure excluding food and energy cover different baskets. Consumer inflation informs the wider policy discussion, but the benchmark comparison below does not isolate this release from other information arriving during the month. BLS Consumer Price Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 13, 2021Publication referenceOct 13, 202130 days laterNov 12, 2021
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®2.88%Observed 2.99%Observed +11 bps vs. earlier reference2.98%Observed −1 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.33%Observed 1.56%Observed +23 bps vs. earlier reference1.58%Observed +2 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 13, 2021 – Jan 13, 2022
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 13, 2021Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.25%3.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Jul 15, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.78% · Jul 22, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.80% · Jul 29, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.77% · Aug 5, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Aug 12, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.86% · Aug 19, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Aug 26, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Sep 2, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Sep 9, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.86% · Sep 16, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Sep 23, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.01% · Sep 30, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Oct 7, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.05% · Oct 14, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Oct 21, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.14% · Oct 28, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Nov 4, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Nov 10, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.10% · Nov 18, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.10% · Nov 24, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.11% · Dec 2, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.10% · Dec 9, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.12% · Dec 16, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.05% · Dec 23, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.11% · Dec 30, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.22% · Jan 6, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Jan 13, 202210-year Treasury: 1.42% · Jul 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Jul 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Jul 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Jul 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.23% · Jul 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.27% · Jul 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Jul 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.25% · Jul 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Jul 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.28% · Jul 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.24% · Jul 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.20% · Aug 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Aug 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Aug 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.23% · Aug 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Aug 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Aug 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.36% · Aug 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Aug 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.36% · Aug 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.27% · Aug 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.24% · Aug 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.25% · Aug 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Aug 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.34% · Aug 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Aug 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Aug 31, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Sep 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.38% · Sep 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Sep 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Sep 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Sep 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.28% · Sep 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.34% · Sep 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Sep 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.32% · Sep 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.41% · Sep 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Sep 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Sep 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Sep 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Sep 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Oct 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Oct 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Oct 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Oct 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · Oct 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Oct 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Oct 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · Oct 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.66% · Oct 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Oct 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Oct 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Oct 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Oct 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Nov 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Nov 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · Nov 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Nov 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Nov 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Nov 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.46% · Nov 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Nov 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Nov 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Nov 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Nov 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · Nov 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Nov 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Nov 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Nov 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Nov 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Nov 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Nov 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Nov 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Nov 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Dec 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Dec 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Dec 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Dec 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Dec 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Dec 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Dec 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Dec 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.42% · Dec 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Dec 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Dec 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Dec 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.41% · Dec 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Dec 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Dec 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.46% · Dec 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Dec 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Dec 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Dec 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Dec 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Dec 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Dec 31, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Jan 3, 202210-year Treasury: 1.66% · Jan 4, 202210-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jan 5, 202210-year Treasury: 1.73% · Jan 6, 202210-year Treasury: 1.76% · Jan 7, 202210-year Treasury: 1.78% · Jan 10, 202210-year Treasury: 1.75% · Jan 11, 202210-year Treasury: 1.74% · Jan 12, 202210-year Treasury: 1.70% · Jan 13, 2022Jul 13, 2021Oct 13, 2021Jan 13, 2022
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury128 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,263.19/month

2.99% · Oct 7, 2021

At the later reference$1,261.58/month

2.98% · Nov 10, 2021

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $1.62 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →