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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

February 2019 Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis after being unchanged in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the…

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The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis after being unchanged in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.5 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The indexes for shelter and food increased, and the gasoline index rose after recent declines to result in the seasonally adjusted all items increase. The food index rose 0.4 percent, its largest monthly increase since May 2014, as both the food at home and food away from home indexes increased. The gasoline index rose 1.5 percent in February, following three consecutive monthly decline s, resulting in the energy index rising 0.4 percent despite declines in the electricity and natural gas indexes.

The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.1 percent in February after rising 0.2 percent in January. Along with the shelter index, the indexes for personal care, apparel, and education all increased. The indexes for recreation, medical care, used cars and trucks, and new vehicles all declined in February.

The all items index increased 1.5 percent for the 12 months ending February, a smaller increase than the 1.6-percent rise for the 12-months ending January. The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.1 percent over the last 12 months, a slightly smaller figure than the 2.2-percent increase for the period ending January. The food index rose 2.0 percent over the past year, its largest 12-month increase since the period ending April 2015. In contrast, the energy index declined 5.0 percent over the last 12 months.

Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month Un- adjusted 12-mos. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. ended 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 Feb. 2019

Food

The food index rose 0.4 percent in February after increasing 0.2 percent in January. The food at home index increased 0.4 percent, with all six major grocery store food group indexes rising. The index for fruits and vegetables rose 0.9 percent in February after declining in January. The fresh vegetables index increased 1.9 percent, while the fresh fruits index declined 0.3 percent. The indexes for nonalcoholic beverages and for cereals and bakery products both increased 0.7 percent in February. The index for dairy and related products increased 0.3 percent in February after falling 0.3 percent in January. The index for other food at home also rose 0.3 percent, while the index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs increased 0.2 percent in February.

The index for food away from home rose 0.4 percent in February following a 0.3-percent increase the prior month. The index for limited service meals rose 0.5 percent, while the index for full service meals increased 0.3 percent.

The food at home index rose 1.2 percent over the past 12 months, its largest 12-month increase since the period ending April 2015. All six major grocery store food group indexes rose over the span. The increases ranged from a low of 0.1 percent (dairy and related products) to a high of 2.8 percent (nonalcoholic beverages). The index for food away from home rose 2.9 percent over the last 12 months, the largest 12-month increase since the period ending October 2015.

Energy

The energy index increased 0.4 percent in February as an increase in the index for gasoline more than offset declines in the indexes for electricity and natural gas. The gasoline index increased 1.5 percent in February after falling a total of 15.7 percent over the prior 3 months. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices rose 2.8 percent in February.) The index for natural gas declined 2.4 percent in February following a 0.3-percent decrease the prior month. The electricity index continued to decline in February, falling 0.3 percent after a 0.6-percent decrease in January.

The energy index fell 5.0 percent over the past 12 months. The electricity index was unchanged over the span, while the other major component indexes declined. The index for gasoline fell 9.1 percent and the index for natural gas declined 2.6 percent.

All items less food and energy

The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.1 percent in February, its smallest monthly increase since August 2018. The shelter index increased 0.3 percent in February for the fourth consecutive month. The indexes for rent and owners' equivalent rent both rose 0.3 percent, and the index for lodging away from home increased 1.3 percent.

The index for personal care increased 0.6 percent in February, its largest monthly increase since April 2018. The apparel index, which rose 1.1 percent in January, increased 0.3 percent in February. The education index increased 0.3 percent, and the indexes for household furnishings and operations, airline fares, tobacco, motor vehicle insurance, and alcoholic beverages also rose in February.

The medical care index declined in February, falling 0.2 percent after rising in each of the five previous months. The index for prescription drugs fell 1.0 percent, and the index for hospital services decreased 0.7 percent. In contrast, the physicians' services index rose 0.1 percent.

The recreation index declined in February, falling 0.4 percent after rising 0.3 percent in January. The index for used cars and trucks fell 0.7 percent, and the index for new vehicles declined 0.2 percent; both indexes increased the prior month. The communication index was unchanged in February for the third consecutive month.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.1 percent over the past 12 months. The shelter index rose 3.4 percent over the last 12 months, a larger increase than the 3.2-percent increase for the 12 months ending January. The medical care index increased 1.7 percent over the last 12 months, with the hospital services index increasing 2.0 percent and the physicians' services index rising 0.7 percent, but the prescription drugs index falling 1.2 percent.

Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 1.5 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 252.776 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.4 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 1.3 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 246.218 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.4 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) increased 1.4 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the index increased 0.4 percent on a not seasonally adjusted basis. Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 12, 2019.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read consumer inflation on a consistent basis

The Consumer Price Index measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services. Check the index, reference month and seasonal adjustment before comparing figures. A monthly change and a twelve-month change describe different periods; the all-items index and the measure excluding food and energy cover different baskets. Consumer inflation informs the wider policy discussion, but the benchmark comparison below does not isolate this release from other information arriving during the month. BLS Consumer Price Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 10, 2019Publication referenceMar 12, 201930 days laterApr 11, 2019
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.41%Observed 4.41%Observed Unchanged vs. earlier reference4.12%Observed −29 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.63%Observed 2.61%Observed −2 bps vs. earlier reference2.51%Observed −10 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 12, 2018 – Jun 12, 2019
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 12, 2019Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.00%3.50%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.63% · Dec 13, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.62% · Dec 20, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · Dec 27, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.51% · Jan 3, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.45% · Jan 10, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.45% · Jan 17, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.45% · Jan 24, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.46% · Jan 31, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.41% · Feb 7, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.37% · Feb 14, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.35% · Feb 21, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.35% · Feb 28, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.41% · Mar 7, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.31% · Mar 14, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.28% · Mar 21, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.06% · Mar 28, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.08% · Apr 4, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Apr 11, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.17% · Apr 18, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · Apr 25, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · May 2, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · May 9, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.07% · May 16, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.06% · May 23, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.99% · May 30, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Jun 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.91% · Dec 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.91% · Dec 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Dec 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Dec 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Dec 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Dec 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Dec 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Dec 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.74% · Dec 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.81% · Dec 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Dec 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.72% · Dec 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.69% · Dec 31, 201810-year Treasury: 2.66% · Jan 2, 201910-year Treasury: 2.56% · Jan 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.67% · Jan 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.70% · Jan 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.73% · Jan 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.74% · Jan 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.74% · Jan 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.71% · Jan 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.71% · Jan 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.72% · Jan 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.73% · Jan 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.75% · Jan 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.79% · Jan 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.74% · Jan 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.76% · Jan 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.72% · Jan 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.76% · Jan 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.75% · Jan 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.72% · Jan 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.70% · Jan 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.63% · Jan 31, 201910-year Treasury: 2.70% · Feb 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.73% · Feb 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.71% · Feb 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.70% · Feb 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.65% · Feb 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.63% · Feb 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.65% · Feb 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.68% · Feb 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.71% · Feb 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.66% · Feb 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.66% · Feb 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.65% · Feb 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.65% · Feb 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.69% · Feb 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.65% · Feb 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.67% · Feb 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.64% · Feb 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.69% · Feb 27, 201910-year Treasury: 2.73% · Feb 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.76% · Mar 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.72% · Mar 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.72% · Mar 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.69% · Mar 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.64% · Mar 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.62% · Mar 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.64% · Mar 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.61% · Mar 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.61% · Mar 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.63% · Mar 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Mar 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.60% · Mar 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.61% · Mar 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Mar 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Mar 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.44% · Mar 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.43% · Mar 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.41% · Mar 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · Mar 27, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · Mar 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.41% · Mar 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.49% · Apr 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.48% · Apr 2, 201910-year Treasury: 2.52% · Apr 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.50% · Apr 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.52% · Apr 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.48% · Apr 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.56% · Apr 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.55% · Apr 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.60% · Apr 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Apr 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.57% · Apr 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Apr 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.57% · Apr 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.53% · Apr 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Apr 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Apr 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.52% · May 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.55% · May 2, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · May 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · May 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.45% · May 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.49% · May 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.45% · May 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.47% · May 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.40% · May 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.42% · May 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.37% · May 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.40% · May 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · May 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.41% · May 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.43% · May 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · May 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.31% · May 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.32% · May 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.26% · May 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.25% · May 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.22% · May 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.14% · May 31, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jun 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jun 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.15% · Jun 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.15% · Jun 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jun 12, 2019Dec 12, 2018Mar 12, 2019Jun 12, 2019
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury125 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,504.06/month

4.41% · Mar 7, 2019

At the later reference$1,453.08/month

4.12% · Apr 11, 2019

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $50.98 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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