Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

January 2019 Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in January on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.6 percent…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

(NOTE: This news release was reissued on February 13, 2019, correcting the following sentence: “The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.2 percent in January for the fifth consecutive month.” The original sentence stated it was the fourth consecutive month.)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in January on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.6 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The energy index declined for the third consecutive month, offsetting increases in the indexes for all items less food and energy and for food. All the major energy component indexes declined in January, with the gasoline index falling 5.5 percent. The food index increased 0.2 percent, with the index for food at home rising 0.1 percent and the food away from home index increasing 0.3 percent.

The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.2 percent in January for the fifth consecutive month. The indexes for shelter, apparel, medical care, recreation, and household furnishings and operations were among the indexes that rose in January, while the indexes for airline fares and for motor vehicle insurance declined.

The all items index increased 1.6 percent for the 12 months ending January, the smallest increase since the period ending June 2017. The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.2 percent over the last 12 months, the same increase as the 12 months ending November and December 2018. The food index rose 1.6 percent over the past year, while the energy index declined 4.8 percent.

Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month Un- adjusted 12-mos. July Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. ended 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 Jan. 2019

Food

The food index rose 0.2 percent in January, its third consecutive monthly increase. The food at home index rose 0.1 percent, with major grocery store food group indexes split with three increases and three declines. The index for nonalcoholic beverages rose 0.8 percent in January, its largest increase since May 2017. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs rose 0.6 percent as the beef index increased 1.4 percent. The index for other food at home rose 0.1 percent in January after declining in December.

The fruits and vegetables index declined in January, falling 0.3 percent after a sharp increase in December. The index for cereals and bakery products also turned down, falling 0.4 percent in January after rising in December, and the index for dairy and related products fell 0.3 percent.

The index for food away from home rose 0.3 percent in January following a 0.4-percent increase in December. The index for limited service meals rose 0.6 percent, while the index for full service meals increased 0.2 percent.

The food at home index rose 0.6 percent over the past 12 months. Five of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased over the span, with the nonalcoholic beverages index posting the largest increase at 2.2 percent. The dairy and related products index was the only one to decline, falling 0.4 percent. The index for food away from home rose 2.8 percent over the last 12 months.

Energy

The energy index fell 3.1 percent in January. The gasoline index continued to decline, falling 5.5 percent. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices fell 5.2 percent in January.) The other major energy component indexes declined more modestly in January. The electricity index fell 0.6 percent, the index for natural gas declined 0.3 percent, and the fuel oil index decreased 1.3 percent.

The energy index fell 4.8 percent over the past 12 months, the largest 12-month decline in the index since the period ending August 2016. The major energy component indexes were mixed over the last 12 months. The gasoline index fell 10.1 percent over the span and the index for fuel oil declined 8.1 percent. In contrast, the index for natural gas rose 4.3 percent over the past 12 months and the electricity index increased 0.4 percent.

All items less food and energy

The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.2 percent in January. The shelter index increased 0.3 percent in January, the same increase as in November and December. The indexes for rent and owners' equivalent rent both rose 0.3 percent, and the index for lodging away from home rose 0.5 percent.

The apparel index rose 1.1 percent in January, its largest increase since February 2018. The medical care index rose 0.2 percent in January, with its component indexes mixed. The physicians' services index rose 0.4 percent, while the index for prescription drugs was unchanged and the hospital services index declined 0.3 percent.

The recreation index continued to rise, increasing 0.3 percent in January, as did the indexes for household furnishings and operations and for education. The new vehicles index rose 0.2 percent in January. The index for used cars and trucks, which declined in December, rose 0.1 percent in January, and the indexes for tobacco and for personal care also increased.

In contrast, the index for airline fares continued to fall in January, declining 0.9 percent. The index for motor vehicle insurance fell 0.2 percent in January, its third consecutive decline. The index for communication was unchanged in January.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.2 percent over the past 12 months. The shelter index rose 3.2 percent over the span, and the index for medical care rose 1.9 percent. The new vehicles index was unchanged over the past year. Indexes that declined over the past 12 months include communication (-1.7 percent) and airline fares (-2.8 percent).

Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 1.6 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 251.712 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.2 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 1.3 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 245.133 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.1 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) increased 1.4 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the index increased 0.2 percent on a not seasonally adjusted basis. Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Feb 13, 2019.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read consumer inflation on a consistent basis

The Consumer Price Index measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services. Check the index, reference month and seasonal adjustment before comparing figures. A monthly change and a twelve-month change describe different periods; the all-items index and the measure excluding food and energy cover different baskets. Consumer inflation informs the wider policy discussion, but the benchmark comparison below does not isolate this release from other information arriving during the month. BLS Consumer Price Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJan 14, 2019Publication referenceFeb 13, 201930 days laterMar 15, 2019
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.45%Observed 4.41%Observed −4 bps vs. earlier reference4.31%Observed −10 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.71%Observed 2.71%Observed Unchanged vs. earlier reference2.59%Observed −12 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Nov 13, 2018 – May 13, 2019
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Feb 13, 2019Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.00%3.50%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.94% · Nov 15, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.81% · Nov 21, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.81% · Nov 29, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.75% · Dec 6, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.63% · Dec 13, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.62% · Dec 20, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · Dec 27, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.51% · Jan 3, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.45% · Jan 10, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.45% · Jan 17, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.45% · Jan 24, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.46% · Jan 31, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.41% · Feb 7, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.37% · Feb 14, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.35% · Feb 21, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.35% · Feb 28, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.41% · Mar 7, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.31% · Mar 14, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.28% · Mar 21, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.06% · Mar 28, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.08% · Apr 4, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Apr 11, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.17% · Apr 18, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · Apr 25, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · May 2, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · May 9, 201910-year Treasury: 3.14% · Nov 13, 201810-year Treasury: 3.12% · Nov 14, 201810-year Treasury: 3.11% · Nov 15, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · Nov 16, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Nov 19, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Nov 20, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Nov 21, 201810-year Treasury: 3.05% · Nov 23, 201810-year Treasury: 3.07% · Nov 26, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Nov 27, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · Nov 28, 201810-year Treasury: 3.03% · Nov 29, 201810-year Treasury: 3.01% · Nov 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Dec 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.91% · Dec 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Dec 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Dec 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Dec 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Dec 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.91% · Dec 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.91% · Dec 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Dec 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Dec 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Dec 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Dec 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Dec 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Dec 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.74% · Dec 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.81% · Dec 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Dec 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.72% · Dec 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.69% · Dec 31, 201810-year Treasury: 2.66% · Jan 2, 201910-year Treasury: 2.56% · Jan 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.67% · Jan 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.70% · Jan 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.73% · Jan 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.74% · Jan 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.74% · Jan 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.71% · Jan 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.71% · Jan 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.72% · Jan 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.73% · Jan 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.75% · Jan 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.79% · Jan 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.74% · Jan 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.76% · Jan 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.72% · Jan 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.76% · Jan 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.75% · Jan 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.72% · Jan 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.70% · Jan 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.63% · Jan 31, 201910-year Treasury: 2.70% · Feb 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.73% · Feb 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.71% · Feb 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.70% · Feb 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.65% · Feb 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.63% · Feb 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.65% · Feb 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.68% · Feb 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.71% · Feb 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.66% · Feb 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.66% · Feb 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.65% · Feb 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.65% · Feb 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.69% · Feb 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.65% · Feb 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.67% · Feb 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.64% · Feb 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.69% · Feb 27, 201910-year Treasury: 2.73% · Feb 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.76% · Mar 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.72% · Mar 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.72% · Mar 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.69% · Mar 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.64% · Mar 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.62% · Mar 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.64% · Mar 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.61% · Mar 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.61% · Mar 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.63% · Mar 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Mar 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.60% · Mar 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.61% · Mar 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Mar 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Mar 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.44% · Mar 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.43% · Mar 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.41% · Mar 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · Mar 27, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · Mar 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.41% · Mar 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.49% · Apr 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.48% · Apr 2, 201910-year Treasury: 2.52% · Apr 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.50% · Apr 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.52% · Apr 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.48% · Apr 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.56% · Apr 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.55% · Apr 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.60% · Apr 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Apr 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.57% · Apr 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Apr 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.57% · Apr 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.53% · Apr 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Apr 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Apr 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.52% · May 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.55% · May 2, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · May 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · May 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.45% · May 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.49% · May 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.45% · May 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.47% · May 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.40% · May 13, 2019Nov 13, 2018Feb 13, 2019May 13, 2019
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury123 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,504.06/month

4.41% · Feb 7, 2019

At the later reference$1,486.38/month

4.31% · Mar 14, 2019

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $17.68 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →