Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2015 Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) decreased 0.2 percent in September on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index was essentially…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

THE PRIMARY SOURCE

Read the release

Original source →

Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) decreased 0.2 percent in September on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index was essentially unchanged before seasonal adjustment.

The energy index fell 4.7 percent in September, with all major component indexes declining. The gasoline index continued to fall sharply and was again the main cause of the seasonally adjusted all items decrease. The indexes for fuel oil, electricity, and natural gas declined as well.

In contrast to the energy declines, the indexes for food and for all items less food and energy both accelerated in September. The food index rose 0.4 percent, its largest increase since May 2014. The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in September. The indexes for shelter, medical care, household furnishings and operations, and personal care all increased; the indexes for apparel, used cars and trucks, new vehicles, and airline fares were among those that declined.

The all items index was essentially unchanged for the 12 months ending September after posting a 0.2 percent increase for the 12 months ending August. The 18.4 percent decline in the energy index over the past year offset increases in the indexes for food (up 1.6 percent) and all items less food and energy (up 1.9 percent).

Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month Un- adjusted 12-mos. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sep. ended 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 Sep. 2015

Consumer Price Index Data for September 2015

Food

The food index increased 0.4 percent in September after rising 0.2 percent in August. The index for food at home rose 0.3 percent in September, the same increase as in August. The major grocery store food group indexes were split, with three advances and three declines. The largest increase was in the other food at home group, which rose 0.8 percent in September after falling in August. The index for dairy and related products also turned up in September, rising 0.7 percent after declining 0.3 percent the prior month. The index for fruits and vegetables advanced 0.7 percent in September after rising 1.5 percent in August; the fresh fruits index rose 0.9 percent and the index for fresh vegetables increased 1.0 percent. In contrast, the index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs turned down in September, falling 0.3 after rising in August. The cereals and bakery products index fell 0.2 percent and the index for nonalcoholic beverages declined 0.1 percent. The index for food at home has risen 0.8 percent over the past 12 months. Five of the six major group indexes rose over that span, though none more than 1.6 percent (other food at home). The dairy index was the only one to decline, falling 2.3 percent. The index for food away from home increased 0.5 percent in September, its largest increase since October 2008, and has risen 2.9 percent over the past 12 months.

Energy

The energy index, which fell 2.0 percent in August, declined 4.7 percent in September. The gasoline index declined 9.0 percent following a 4.1 percent decrease in August. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices declined 10.1 percent in September.) The fuel oil index declined as well, falling 2.4 percent after an 8.1 percent decrease in August. The electricity index, which rose in August, fell 0.5 percent in September. The index for natural gas also turned down in September, falling 0.3 percent. All the major energy component indexes continue to show 12-month declines. The electricity index has fallen 0.4 percent over the span, while the other indexes have fallen more sharply: Fuel oil has fallen 34.9 percent, gasoline has declined 29.6 percent, and natural gas has decreased 12.1 percent.

All items less food and energy

The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.2 percent in September after rising 0.1 percent in July and August. The shelter index increased 0.3 percent in September after rising 0.2 percent the prior month. The rent index increased 0.4 percent and the index for owners' equivalent rent increased 0.3 percent. The index for lodging away from home increased 0.8 percent in September after declining in August. The medical care index rose 0.2 percent in September with the indexes for physicians' services and hospital services rising but the index for prescription drugs declining slightly. The index for household furnishings and operations increased 0.3 percent after declining in each of the four previous months. The index for personal care rose 0.3 percent, and the alcoholic beverages index rose 0.1 percent. In contrast, the apparel index fell 0.3 percent after rising in July and August. The index for used cars and trucks fell 0.2 percent, while the new vehicles index declined 0.1 percent, as did the tobacco index. The index for airline fares also declined 0.1 percent in September after declining more sharply in July and August. The recreation index was unchanged in September.

The index for all items less food and energy has risen 1.9 percent over the past 12 months; this is a slight increase from the 1.8 percent rise for the 12 months ending August and is the highest 12-month change since July 2014. The shelter index has increased 3.2 percent over the past 12 months with the rent index up 3.7 percent; these figures have been gradually trending upward.

Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was essentially unchanged over the last 12 months; the September index level is 237.945 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index declined 0.2 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) decreased 0.6 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 232.661 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index declined 0.3 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) decreased 0.5 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the index declined 0.3 percent on a not seasonally adjusted basis. Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.

Facilities for Sensory Impaired

Information from this release will be made available to sensory impaired individuals upon request. Voice phone: 202-691-5200, Federal Relay Services: 1-800-877-8339.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 15, 2015.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read consumer inflation on a consistent basis

The Consumer Price Index measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services. Check the index, reference month and seasonal adjustment before comparing figures. A monthly change and a twelve-month change describe different periods; the all-items index and the measure excluding food and energy cover different baskets. Consumer inflation informs the wider policy discussion, but the benchmark comparison below does not isolate this release from other information arriving during the month. BLS Consumer Price Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 15, 2015Publication referenceOct 15, 201530 days laterNov 14, 2015
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.90%Observed 3.82%Observed −8 bps vs. earlier reference3.98%Observed +16 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 15, 2015 – Jan 15, 2016
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 15, 2015Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.00%3.25%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.09% · Jul 16, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jul 23, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Jul 30, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Aug 6, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Aug 13, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Aug 20, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · Aug 27, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Sep 3, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.90% · Sep 10, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Sep 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.86% · Sep 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.85% · Oct 1, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 8, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Oct 15, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Oct 22, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 29, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Nov 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Nov 12, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Nov 19, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Nov 25, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Dec 3, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Dec 10, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Dec 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.96% · Dec 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.01% · Dec 31, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Jan 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Jan 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.24% · Jan 4, 201610-year Treasury: 2.25% · Jan 5, 201610-year Treasury: 2.18% · Jan 6, 201610-year Treasury: 2.16% · Jan 7, 201610-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jan 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.17% · Jan 11, 201610-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jan 12, 201610-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jan 13, 201610-year Treasury: 2.10% · Jan 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jan 15, 2016Jul 15, 2015Oct 15, 2015Jan 15, 2016
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury10 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,401.29/month

3.82% · Oct 15, 2015

At the later reference$1,428.79/month

3.98% · Nov 12, 2015

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $27.50 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →