Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2022

Personal income increased $107.2 billion (0.5 percent) in March, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $89.7 billion (0.5 percent) and…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

THE PRIMARY SOURCE

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Personal income increased $107.2 billion (0.5 percent) in March, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $89.7 billion (0.5 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $185.0 billion (1.1 percent).

Real DPI decreased 0.4 percent in March and Real PCE increased 0.2 percent; goods decreased 0.5 percent and services increased 0.6 percent (tables 5 and 7). The PCE price index increased 0.9 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.3 percent (table 9).

In March, federal pandemic-related assistance programs continued to taper off. The full economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic cannot be quantified in the personal income and outlays estimate because the impacts are generally embedded in source data and cannot be separately identified. For more information, see Effects of Selected Federal Pandemic Response Programs on Personal Income.

The increase in personal income in March primarily reflected an increase in compensation, proprietors’ income, personal income receipts on assets, and government social benefits (table 3). Within compensation, the increase reflected increases in both private and government wages and salaries. The increase in proprietors' income was in farm income, reflecting increased crop and livestock prices. The increase in personal income receipts on assets was led by personal interest income. The increase in government social benefits was led by Medicare and Medicaid.

The $185.0 billion increase in current-dollar PCE in March reflected an increase of $114.6 billion in spending for services and an increase of $70.4 billion in spending for goods (table 3). Within services, increases were widespread across all subcomponents and led by “other” services (which includes international travel) as well as food services and accommodations. Within goods, an increase in nondurable goods (led by gasoline and other energy goods) was partly offset by a decrease in spending on durable goods (led by motor vehicles and parts). Spending on food services as well as most categories of goods reflect updated Census retail sales data that were recently benchmarked to results from the most recent annual survey. Detailed information on monthly PCE spending can be found on Table 2.3.5U.

Personal outlays increased $188.9 billion in March (table 3). Personal saving was $1.15 trillion in March and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 6.2 percent (table 1).

The PCE price index for March increased 6.6 percent from one year ago, reflecting increases in both goods and services (table 11). Energy prices increased 33.9 percent while food prices increased 9.2 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index for March increased 5.2 percent from one year ago.

BEA will release results from the 2022 annual update of the National Economic Accounts, which includes the National Income and Product Accounts as well as the Industry Economic Accounts, on September 29, 2022. This update will present revised statistics for GDP, GDP by Industry, and gross domestic income that cover the first quarter of 2017 through the first quarter of 2022. Updated monthly personal income and outlays will be released on September 30, along with the August 2022 estimate. Refer to BEA's recent blog post, "National, Industry, and State Annual Updates Will Be United in 2022," for additional detail. More information on the 2022 annual update will be included on BEA’s website as well as in a forthcoming Survey of Current Business article, “GDP and the Economy.”

Updates to Personal Income and Outlays

Estimates have been updated for January and February. Revised and previously published changes from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2012) dollar DPI and PCE, are provided below.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release Apr 29, 2022.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate income, spending and PCE inflation

Personal Income and Outlays combines income, spending and price measures. Disposable personal income is income after personal current taxes; “real” income and spending remove price changes. PCE inflation differs from CPI in coverage, weights and calculation, including purchases made on households’ behalf. Distinguish monthly from twelve-month price changes and the all-items index from the measure excluding food and energy. Income and spending dollar levels are presented at seasonally adjusted annual rates; that convention does not annualize a reported monthly inflation change. Check the release date and revisions when comparing historical figures. The benchmark window cannot isolate this report’s effect on borrowing costs. BEA income and outlays definitions and methods; BEA explanation of PCE–CPI differences.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMar 30, 2022Publication referenceApr 29, 202230 days laterMay 29, 2022
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.42%Observed 5.10%Observed +68 bps vs. earlier reference5.10%Observed Unchanged vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.35%Observed 2.89%Observed +54 bps vs. earlier reference2.74%Observed −15 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jan 29, 2022 – Jul 29, 2022
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Apr 29, 2022Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.50%3.75%6.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.55% · Feb 3, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Feb 10, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Feb 17, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Feb 24, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Mar 3, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.85% · Mar 10, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 4.16% · Mar 17, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 4.42% · Mar 24, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 4.67% · Mar 31, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 4.72% · Apr 7, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.00% · Apr 14, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.11% · Apr 21, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.10% · Apr 28, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.27% · May 5, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.30% · May 12, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.25% · May 19, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.10% · May 26, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.09% · Jun 2, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.23% · Jun 9, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.78% · Jun 16, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.81% · Jun 23, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.70% · Jun 30, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.30% · Jul 7, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.51% · Jul 14, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.54% · Jul 21, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.30% · Jul 28, 202210-year Treasury: 1.79% · Jan 31, 202210-year Treasury: 1.81% · Feb 1, 202210-year Treasury: 1.78% · Feb 2, 202210-year Treasury: 1.82% · Feb 3, 202210-year Treasury: 1.93% · Feb 4, 202210-year Treasury: 1.92% · Feb 7, 202210-year Treasury: 1.96% · Feb 8, 202210-year Treasury: 1.94% · Feb 9, 202210-year Treasury: 2.03% · Feb 10, 202210-year Treasury: 1.92% · Feb 11, 202210-year Treasury: 1.98% · Feb 14, 202210-year Treasury: 2.05% · Feb 15, 202210-year Treasury: 2.03% · Feb 16, 202210-year Treasury: 1.97% · Feb 17, 202210-year Treasury: 1.92% · Feb 18, 202210-year Treasury: 1.94% · Feb 22, 202210-year Treasury: 1.99% · Feb 23, 202210-year Treasury: 1.96% · Feb 24, 202210-year Treasury: 1.97% · Feb 25, 202210-year Treasury: 1.83% · Feb 28, 202210-year Treasury: 1.72% · Mar 1, 202210-year Treasury: 1.86% · Mar 2, 202210-year Treasury: 1.86% · Mar 3, 202210-year Treasury: 1.74% · Mar 4, 202210-year Treasury: 1.78% · Mar 7, 202210-year Treasury: 1.86% · Mar 8, 202210-year Treasury: 1.94% · Mar 9, 202210-year Treasury: 1.98% · Mar 10, 202210-year Treasury: 2.00% · Mar 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.14% · Mar 14, 202210-year Treasury: 2.15% · Mar 15, 202210-year Treasury: 2.19% · Mar 16, 202210-year Treasury: 2.20% · Mar 17, 202210-year Treasury: 2.14% · Mar 18, 202210-year Treasury: 2.32% · Mar 21, 202210-year Treasury: 2.38% · Mar 22, 202210-year Treasury: 2.32% · Mar 23, 202210-year Treasury: 2.34% · Mar 24, 202210-year Treasury: 2.48% · Mar 25, 202210-year Treasury: 2.46% · Mar 28, 202210-year Treasury: 2.41% · Mar 29, 202210-year Treasury: 2.35% · Mar 30, 202210-year Treasury: 2.32% · Mar 31, 202210-year Treasury: 2.39% · Apr 1, 202210-year Treasury: 2.42% · Apr 4, 202210-year Treasury: 2.54% · Apr 5, 202210-year Treasury: 2.61% · Apr 6, 202210-year Treasury: 2.66% · Apr 7, 202210-year Treasury: 2.72% · Apr 8, 202210-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.72% · Apr 12, 202210-year Treasury: 2.70% · Apr 13, 202210-year Treasury: 2.83% · Apr 14, 202210-year Treasury: 2.85% · Apr 18, 202210-year Treasury: 2.93% · Apr 19, 202210-year Treasury: 2.85% · Apr 20, 202210-year Treasury: 2.90% · Apr 21, 202210-year Treasury: 2.90% · Apr 22, 202210-year Treasury: 2.81% · Apr 25, 202210-year Treasury: 2.77% · Apr 26, 202210-year Treasury: 2.82% · Apr 27, 202210-year Treasury: 2.85% · Apr 28, 202210-year Treasury: 2.89% · Apr 29, 202210-year Treasury: 2.99% · May 2, 202210-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 3, 202210-year Treasury: 2.93% · May 4, 202210-year Treasury: 3.05% · May 5, 202210-year Treasury: 3.12% · May 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.05% · May 9, 202210-year Treasury: 2.99% · May 10, 202210-year Treasury: 2.91% · May 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.84% · May 12, 202210-year Treasury: 2.93% · May 13, 202210-year Treasury: 2.88% · May 16, 202210-year Treasury: 2.98% · May 17, 202210-year Treasury: 2.89% · May 18, 202210-year Treasury: 2.84% · May 19, 202210-year Treasury: 2.78% · May 20, 202210-year Treasury: 2.86% · May 23, 202210-year Treasury: 2.76% · May 24, 202210-year Treasury: 2.75% · May 25, 202210-year Treasury: 2.75% · May 26, 202210-year Treasury: 2.74% · May 27, 202210-year Treasury: 2.85% · May 31, 202210-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jun 1, 202210-year Treasury: 2.92% · Jun 2, 202210-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jun 3, 202210-year Treasury: 3.04% · Jun 6, 202210-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jun 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.03% · Jun 8, 202210-year Treasury: 3.04% · Jun 9, 202210-year Treasury: 3.15% · Jun 10, 202210-year Treasury: 3.43% · Jun 13, 202210-year Treasury: 3.49% · Jun 14, 202210-year Treasury: 3.33% · Jun 15, 202210-year Treasury: 3.28% · Jun 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.25% · Jun 17, 202210-year Treasury: 3.31% · Jun 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.16% · Jun 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.09% · Jun 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.13% · Jun 24, 202210-year Treasury: 3.20% · Jun 27, 202210-year Treasury: 3.20% · Jun 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.10% · Jun 29, 202210-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jun 30, 202210-year Treasury: 2.88% · Jul 1, 202210-year Treasury: 2.82% · Jul 5, 202210-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jul 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.01% · Jul 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.09% · Jul 8, 202210-year Treasury: 2.99% · Jul 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 12, 202210-year Treasury: 2.91% · Jul 13, 202210-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 14, 202210-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jul 15, 202210-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 18, 202210-year Treasury: 3.01% · Jul 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.04% · Jul 20, 202210-year Treasury: 2.91% · Jul 21, 202210-year Treasury: 2.77% · Jul 22, 202210-year Treasury: 2.81% · Jul 25, 202210-year Treasury: 2.81% · Jul 26, 202210-year Treasury: 2.78% · Jul 27, 202210-year Treasury: 2.68% · Jul 28, 202210-year Treasury: 2.67% · Jul 29, 2022Jan 29, 2022Apr 29, 2022Jul 29, 2022
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury125 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,628.85/month

5.10% · Apr 28, 2022

At the later reference$1,628.85/month

5.10% · May 26, 2022

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is unchanged. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →