Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2015

Personal income increased $6.2 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $1.6 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, in March, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Personal income increased $6.2 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $1.6 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, in March, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $53.4 billion, or 0.4 percent. In February, personal income increased $66.4 billion, or 0.4 percent, DPI increased $61.2 billion, or 0.5 percent, and PCE increased $20.8 billion, or 0.2 percent, based on revised estimates.

Real DPI decreased 0.2 percent in March, in contrast to an increase of 0.3 percent in February. Real PCE increased 0.3 percent, in contrast to a decrease of less than 0.1 percent.

Compensation

Wages and salaries increased $16.3 billion in March, compared with an increase of $24.2 billion in February. Private wages and salaries increased $15.2 billion, compared with an increase of $22.6 billion. Government wages and salaries increased $1.0 billion, compared with an increase of $1.7 billion.

Supplements to wages and salaries increased $4.2 billion in March, compared with an increase of $5.1 billion in February.

Other personal income

Proprietors' income decreased $1.5 billion in March, compared with a decrease of $7.7 billion in February. Farm proprietors' income decreased $7.7 billion, compared with a decrease of $7.6 billion. Nonfarm proprietors' income increased $6.1 billion in March; nonfarm proprietors' income was unchanged in February.

Rental income of persons increased $3.2 billion in March, compared with an increase of $2.6 billion in February. Personal income receipts on assets (personal interest income plus personal dividend income) decreased $33.1 billion, in contrast to an increase of $29.7 billion. Personal current transfer receipts increased $18.8 billion, compared with an increase of $15.6 billion.

Contributions for government social insurance -- a subtraction in calculating personal income -- increased $1.8 billion in March, compared with an increase of $3.0 billion in February.

Personal current taxes and disposable personal income

Personal current taxes increased $4.6 billion in March, compared with an increase of $5.1 billion in February. Disposable personal income (DPI) -- personal income less personal current taxes -- increased $1.6 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, in March, compared with an increase of $61.2 billion, or 0.5 percent, in February.

Personal outlays and personal saving

Personal outlays -- PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments -- increased $57.6 billion in March, compared with an increase of $24.9 billion in February. PCE increased $53.4 billion, compared with an increase of $20.8 billion.

Personal saving -- DPI less personal outlays -- was $702.6 billion in March, compared with $758.6 billion in February. The personal saving rate -- personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income -- was 5.3 percent in March, compared with 5.7 percent in February. For a comparison of personal saving in BEA's national income and product accounts with personal saving in the Federal Reserve Board's financial accounts of the United States and data on changes in net worth, go to www.bea.gov/national/nipaweb/nipa-frb.asp.

Real DPI, real PCE, and price index

Real DPI -- DPI adjusted to remove price changes -- decreased 0.2 percent in March, in contrast to an increase of 0.3 percent in February.

Real PCE -- PCE adjusted to remove price changes -- increased 0.3 percent in March, in contrast to a decrease of less than 0.1 percent in February. Purchases of durable goods increased 2.0 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 1.1 percent. Purchases of motor vehicles and parts accounted for most of the increase in March and for most of the decrease in February. Purchases of nondurable goods increased 0.2 percent in March, in contrast to a decrease of 0.1 percent in February. Purchases of services increased less than 0.1 percent, compared with an increase of 0.2 percent.

The price index for PCE increased 0.2 percent in March, the same increase as in February. The PCE price index, excluding food and energy, increased 0.1 percent in March, the same increase as in February.

The March price index for PCE increased 0.3 percent from March a year ago. The March PCE price index, excluding food and energy, increased 1.3 percent from March a year ago.

Revisions

Estimates have been revised for January and February. Changes in personal income, in current-dollar and chained (2009) dollar DPI, and in current-dollar and chained (2009) dollar PCE for January and February -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below.

Upcoming Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts

As part of the annual revision of the national income and product accounts (NIPAs), revised estimates of personal income and outlays will be released in conjunction with preliminary estimates for June 2015 on August 3, 2015. In addition to the regular revision of estimates for the most recent 3 years and for the first 5 months of 2015, personal income and select components will be revised back further (for more information, see the GDP Technical Note). The June Survey of Current Business will contain an article that previews the annual revision and the August Survey will contain an article that describes the results.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release Apr 30, 2015.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate income, spending and PCE inflation

Personal Income and Outlays combines income, spending and price measures. Disposable personal income is income after personal current taxes; “real” income and spending remove price changes. PCE inflation differs from CPI in coverage, weights and calculation, including purchases made on households’ behalf. Distinguish monthly from twelve-month price changes and the all-items index from the measure excluding food and energy. Income and spending dollar levels are presented at seasonally adjusted annual rates; that convention does not annualize a reported monthly inflation change. Check the release date and revisions when comparing historical figures. The benchmark window cannot isolate this report’s effect on borrowing costs. BEA income and outlays definitions and methods; BEA explanation of PCE–CPI differences.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMar 31, 2015Publication referenceApr 30, 201530 days laterMay 30, 2015
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.69%Observed 3.68%Observed −1 bps vs. earlier reference3.87%Observed +19 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jan 30, 2015 – Jul 30, 2015
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Apr 30, 2015Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%4.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · Feb 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Feb 12, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Feb 19, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.80% · Feb 26, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Mar 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.86% · Mar 12, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.78% · Mar 19, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Mar 26, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.70% · Apr 2, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Apr 9, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.67% · Apr 16, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Apr 23, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Apr 30, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.80% · May 7, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.85% · May 14, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · May 21, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · May 28, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Jun 4, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jun 11, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.00% · Jun 18, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.02% · Jun 25, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.08% · Jul 2, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jul 9, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.09% · Jul 16, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jul 23, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Jul 30, 2015Jan 30, 2015Apr 30, 2015Jul 30, 2015
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,377.46/month

3.68% · Apr 30, 2015

At the later reference$1,409.85/month

3.87% · May 28, 2015

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $32.40 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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