Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Economy · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Gross Domestic Product, 3rd quarter 2016 (third estimate); Corporate Profits, 3rd quarter 2016 (revised estimate)

Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2016 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 1.4…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

THE PRIMARY SOURCE

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2016 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 1.4 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 3.2 percent. With this third estimate for the third quarter, nonresidential fixed investment, personal consumption expenditures (PCE), and state and local government spending increased more than previously estimated, but the general picture of economic growth remains the same (see "Updates to GDP" on page 2).

Real gross domestic income (GDI) increased 4.8 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 0.7 percent in the second. The average of real GDP and real GDI, a supplemental measure of U.S. economic activity that equally weights GDP and GDI, increased 4.1 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 1.1 percent in the second (table 1).

The increase in real GDP in the third quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from PCE, exports, private inventory investment, nonresidential fixed investment, and federal government spending that were partly offset by negative contributions from residential fixed investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased (table 2).

The acceleration in real GDP in the third quarter primarily reflected an upturn in private inventory investment, an acceleration in exports, a smaller decrease in state and local government spending, an upturn in federal government spending, and a smaller decrease in residential investment, that were partly offset by a smaller increase in PCE and an acceleration in imports.

Current-dollar GDP increased 5.0 percent, or $225.2 billion, in the third quarter to a level of $18,675.3 billion. In the second quarter, current dollar GDP increased 3.7 percent, or $168.5 billion (table 1 and table 3).

The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 1.5 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 2.1 percent in the second quarter (table 4). The PCE price index increased 1.5 percent, compared with an increase of 2.0 percent. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 1.7 percent, compared with an increase of 1.8 percent (appendix table A).

Updates to GDP

The upward revision to the percent change in real GDP reflected upward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment, PCE, and state and local government spending. For more information, see the Technical Note. For information on updates to GDP, see the "Additional Information" section that follows.

Advance Estimate Second Estimate Third Estimate

Corporate Profits (table 12)

Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment and capital consumption adjustment) increased $117.8 billion in the third quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $12.5 billion in the second quarter.

Profits of domestic financial corporations increased $50.1 billion in the third quarter, compared with an increase of $5.6 billion in the second. Profits of domestic nonfinancial corporations increased $66.4 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $56.1 billion. The rest-of-the-world component of profits increased $1.3 billion, compared with an increase of $38.0 billion. This measure is calculated as the difference between receipts from the rest of the world and payments to the rest of the world. In the third quarter, receipts decreased $1.3 billion, and payments decreased $2.6 billion.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release Dec 22, 2016.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish annualized growth from growth over a year

Real GDP measures inflation-adjusted production. BEA usually reports quarter-to-quarter growth at an annualized pace: the result if that quarter’s growth continued for four quarters, rather than the actual change over the past year. Check whether the article is an advance, second or third estimate and which quarter it covers. Additional data and later annual updates can change earlier estimates. Read consumer spending, investment and other components alongside the headline. The benchmark window supplies historical context; it does not identify the report’s effect on mortgage rates. BEA GDP definitions, statistical conventions and revisions.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierNov 22, 2016Publication referenceDec 22, 201630 days laterJan 21, 2017
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.94%Observed 4.30%Observed +36 bps vs. earlier reference4.09%Observed −21 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.31%Observed 2.55%Observed +24 bps vs. earlier reference2.48%Observed −7 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Sep 22, 2016 – Mar 22, 2017
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Dec 22, 2016Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.50%3.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Sep 22, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Sep 29, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Oct 6, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.47% · Oct 13, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.52% · Oct 20, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.47% · Oct 27, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Nov 3, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · Nov 10, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Nov 17, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.03% · Nov 23, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.08% · Dec 1, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.13% · Dec 8, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.16% · Dec 15, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.30% · Dec 22, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.32% · Dec 29, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · Jan 5, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Jan 12, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 4.09% · Jan 19, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 4.19% · Jan 26, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 4.19% · Feb 2, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 4.17% · Feb 9, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 4.15% · Feb 16, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 4.16% · Feb 23, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · Mar 2, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 4.21% · Mar 9, 201730-year fixed mortgage: 4.30% · Mar 16, 201710-year Treasury: 1.63% · Sep 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Sep 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Sep 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Sep 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Sep 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Sep 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Oct 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Oct 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Oct 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Oct 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Oct 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.80% · Oct 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Oct 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Oct 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Oct 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · Oct 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Oct 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Nov 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Nov 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.82% · Nov 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Nov 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Nov 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Nov 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.07% · Nov 9, 201610-year Treasury: 2.15% · Nov 10, 201610-year Treasury: 2.23% · Nov 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.23% · Nov 15, 201610-year Treasury: 2.22% · Nov 16, 201610-year Treasury: 2.29% · Nov 17, 201610-year Treasury: 2.34% · Nov 18, 201610-year Treasury: 2.33% · Nov 21, 201610-year Treasury: 2.31% · Nov 22, 201610-year Treasury: 2.36% · Nov 23, 201610-year Treasury: 2.36% · Nov 25, 201610-year Treasury: 2.32% · Nov 28, 201610-year Treasury: 2.30% · Nov 29, 201610-year Treasury: 2.37% · Nov 30, 201610-year Treasury: 2.45% · Dec 1, 201610-year Treasury: 2.40% · Dec 2, 201610-year Treasury: 2.39% · Dec 5, 201610-year Treasury: 2.39% · Dec 6, 201610-year Treasury: 2.34% · Dec 7, 201610-year Treasury: 2.40% · Dec 8, 201610-year Treasury: 2.47% · Dec 9, 201610-year Treasury: 2.49% · Dec 12, 201610-year Treasury: 2.48% · Dec 13, 201610-year Treasury: 2.54% · Dec 14, 201610-year Treasury: 2.60% · Dec 15, 201610-year Treasury: 2.60% · Dec 16, 201610-year Treasury: 2.54% · Dec 19, 201610-year Treasury: 2.57% · Dec 20, 201610-year Treasury: 2.55% · Dec 21, 201610-year Treasury: 2.55% · Dec 22, 201610-year Treasury: 2.55% · Dec 23, 201610-year Treasury: 2.57% · Dec 27, 201610-year Treasury: 2.51% · Dec 28, 201610-year Treasury: 2.49% · Dec 29, 201610-year Treasury: 2.45% · Dec 30, 201610-year Treasury: 2.45% · Jan 3, 201710-year Treasury: 2.46% · Jan 4, 201710-year Treasury: 2.37% · Jan 5, 201710-year Treasury: 2.42% · Jan 6, 201710-year Treasury: 2.38% · Jan 9, 201710-year Treasury: 2.38% · Jan 10, 201710-year Treasury: 2.38% · Jan 11, 201710-year Treasury: 2.36% · Jan 12, 201710-year Treasury: 2.40% · Jan 13, 201710-year Treasury: 2.33% · Jan 17, 201710-year Treasury: 2.42% · Jan 18, 201710-year Treasury: 2.47% · Jan 19, 201710-year Treasury: 2.48% · Jan 20, 201710-year Treasury: 2.41% · Jan 23, 201710-year Treasury: 2.47% · Jan 24, 201710-year Treasury: 2.53% · Jan 25, 201710-year Treasury: 2.51% · Jan 26, 201710-year Treasury: 2.49% · Jan 27, 201710-year Treasury: 2.49% · Jan 30, 201710-year Treasury: 2.45% · Jan 31, 201710-year Treasury: 2.48% · Feb 1, 201710-year Treasury: 2.48% · Feb 2, 201710-year Treasury: 2.49% · Feb 3, 201710-year Treasury: 2.42% · Feb 6, 201710-year Treasury: 2.40% · Feb 7, 201710-year Treasury: 2.34% · Feb 8, 201710-year Treasury: 2.40% · Feb 9, 201710-year Treasury: 2.41% · Feb 10, 201710-year Treasury: 2.43% · Feb 13, 201710-year Treasury: 2.47% · Feb 14, 201710-year Treasury: 2.51% · Feb 15, 201710-year Treasury: 2.45% · Feb 16, 201710-year Treasury: 2.42% · Feb 17, 201710-year Treasury: 2.43% · Feb 21, 201710-year Treasury: 2.42% · Feb 22, 201710-year Treasury: 2.38% · Feb 23, 201710-year Treasury: 2.31% · Feb 24, 201710-year Treasury: 2.36% · Feb 27, 201710-year Treasury: 2.36% · Feb 28, 201710-year Treasury: 2.46% · Mar 1, 201710-year Treasury: 2.49% · Mar 2, 201710-year Treasury: 2.49% · Mar 3, 201710-year Treasury: 2.49% · Mar 6, 201710-year Treasury: 2.52% · Mar 7, 201710-year Treasury: 2.57% · Mar 8, 201710-year Treasury: 2.60% · Mar 9, 201710-year Treasury: 2.58% · Mar 10, 201710-year Treasury: 2.62% · Mar 13, 201710-year Treasury: 2.60% · Mar 14, 201710-year Treasury: 2.51% · Mar 15, 201710-year Treasury: 2.53% · Mar 16, 201710-year Treasury: 2.50% · Mar 17, 201710-year Treasury: 2.47% · Mar 20, 201710-year Treasury: 2.43% · Mar 21, 201710-year Treasury: 2.40% · Mar 22, 2017Sep 22, 2016Dec 22, 2016Mar 22, 2017
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury123 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,484.61/month

4.30% · Dec 22, 2016

At the later reference$1,447.86/month

4.09% · Jan 19, 2017

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $36.76 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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