Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Economy · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Gross Domestic Product, 2nd quarter 2015 (second estimate); Corporate Profits, 2nd quarter 2015 (preliminary estimate)

Real gross domestic product -- the value of the goods and services produced by the nation's economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production, adjusted for price changes -- increased at an annual rate of 3.7 percent…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

THE PRIMARY SOURCE

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis source. Statistical tables, charts, standard technical appendices and administrative material are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's original vintage and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete release and current data.

Real gross domestic product -- the value of the goods and services produced by the nation's economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production, adjusted for price changes -- increased at an annual rate of 3.7 percent in the second quarter of 2015, according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 0.6 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was 2.3 percent. With the second estimate for the second quarter, nonresidential fixed investment and private inventory investment increased. With the advance estimate, both of these components were estimated to have slightly decreased (see "Revisions" on page 2).

The increase in real GDP in the second quarter reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, state and local government spending, nonresidential fixed investment, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

The acceleration in real GDP in the second quarter reflected an upturn in exports, an acceleration in PCE, a deceleration in imports, an upturn in state and local government spending, and an acceleration in nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by decelerations in private inventory investment, in federal government spending, and in residential fixed investment.

Real gross domestic income (GDI) -- the value of the costs incurred and the incomes earned in the production of goods and services in the nation's economy -- increased 0.6 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 0.4 percent (revised) in the first. The average of real GDP and real GDI, a supplemental measure of U.S. economic activity that equally weights GDP and GDI, increased 2.1 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 0.5 percent in the first quarter.

The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents, increased 1.5 percent in the second quarter, in contrast to a decrease of 1.6 percent in the first quarter. Excluding food and energy prices, the price index for gross domestic purchases increased 1.2 percent, compared with an increase of 0.2 percent.

Real gross domestic purchases -- purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever produced -- increased 3.4 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 2.5 percent in the first.

Current-dollar GDP -- the market value of the goods and services produced by the nation's economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production -- increased 5.9 percent, or $252.7 billion, in the second quarter to a level of $17,902.0 billion. In the first quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 0.8 percent, or $33.3 billion.

Revisions

The upward revision to the percent change in real GDP primarily reflected upward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment, to private inventory investment, to state and local government spending, and to PCE and a downward revision to imports. For information on revisions, see "The Revisions to GDP, GDI, and Their Major Components."

Advance Estimate Second Estimate (Percent change from preceding quarter)

For the first quarter of 2015, real GDI was revised up 0.1 percentage point, from 0.3 percent to 0.4 percent.

Corporate Profits

Profits from current production

Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment (IVA) and capital consumption adjustment (CCAdj)) increased $47.5 billion in the second quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $123.0 billion in the first.

Profits of domestic financial corporations increased $33.9 billion in the second quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $23.4 billion in the first. Profits of domestic nonfinancial corporations increased $16.5 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $70.5 billion. The rest-of-the-world component of profits decreased $2.9 billion, compared with a decrease of $29.0 billion. This measure is calculated as the difference between receipts from the rest of the world and payments to the rest of the world. In the second quarter, receipts increased $6.0 billion, and payments increased $8.9 billion.

Taxes on corporate income increased $28.3 billion in the second quarter, compared with an increase of $5.5 billion in the first. Profits after tax with IVA and CCAdj increased $19.2 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $128.4 billion.

Dividends increased $1.0 billion in the second quarter, compared with an increase of $6.3 billion in the first. Undistributed profits increased $18.2 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $134.7 billion. Net cash flow with IVA -- the internal funds available to corporations for investment -- increased $28.0 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $135.5 billion.

The IVA and CCAdj are adjustments that convert inventory withdrawals and depreciation of fixed assets reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to the current-cost economic measures used in the national income and product accounts. The IVA decreased $78.1 billion in the second quarter, in contrast to an increase of $45.7 billion. The CCAdj increased $8.0 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $208.1 billion.

Gross value added of nonfinancial domestic corporate business

Real gross value added of nonfinancial corporations decreased in the second quarter. Profits per unit of real value added increased, reflecting an increase in unit prices that was partly offset by an increase in unit labor costs; unit nonlabor costs were unchanged.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Original release Aug 27, 2015.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish annualized growth from growth over a year

Real GDP measures inflation-adjusted production. BEA usually reports quarter-to-quarter growth at an annualized pace: the result if that quarter’s growth continued for four quarters, rather than the actual change over the past year. Check whether the article is an advance, second or third estimate and which quarter it covers. Additional data and later annual updates can change earlier estimates. Read consumer spending, investment and other components alongside the headline. The benchmark window supplies historical context; it does not identify the report’s effect on mortgage rates. BEA GDP definitions, statistical conventions and revisions.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 28, 2015Publication referenceAug 27, 201530 days laterSep 26, 2015
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.04%Observed 3.84%Observed −20 bps vs. earlier reference3.86%Observed +2 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 27, 2015 – Nov 27, 2015
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 27, 2015Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%4.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · May 28, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Jun 4, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jun 11, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.00% · Jun 18, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.02% · Jun 25, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.08% · Jul 2, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jul 9, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.09% · Jul 16, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jul 23, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Jul 30, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Aug 6, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Aug 13, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Aug 20, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · Aug 27, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Sep 3, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.90% · Sep 10, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Sep 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.86% · Sep 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.85% · Oct 1, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 8, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Oct 15, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Oct 22, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 29, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Nov 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Nov 12, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Nov 19, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Nov 25, 2015May 27, 2015Aug 27, 2015Nov 27, 2015
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,404.71/month

3.84% · Aug 27, 2015

At the later reference$1,408.14/month

3.86% · Sep 24, 2015

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $3.43 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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