Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Federal Reserve · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate. Job gains have been strong, on average,…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate. Job gains have been strong, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. Recent data suggest that growth of household spending moderated from its strong fourth-quarter pace, while business fixed investment continued to grow strongly. On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy have moved close to 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects that, with further gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace in the medium term and labor market conditions will remain strong. Inflation on a 12-month basis is expected to run near the Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective over the medium term. Risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced.

In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1-1/2 to 1-3/4 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting strong labor market conditions and a sustained return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. The Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected inflation developments relative to its symmetric inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant further gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Thomas I. Barkin; Raphael W. Bostic; Lael Brainard; Loretta J. Mester; Randal K. Quarles; and John C. Williams.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System · Original release May 2, 2018.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate policy decisions from mortgage pricing

The federal funds target concerns overnight bank borrowing. A fixed mortgage reflects a longer-term loan and its own market pricing. Read the decision and accompanying statement together, and distinguish an announced action from expectations about future actions. The before-and-after observations include the rest of the month’s information as well; they are calendar comparisons, not an estimate of the announcement’s isolated impact. Federal Reserve: how monetary policy works.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierApr 2, 2018Publication referenceMay 2, 201830 days laterJun 1, 2018
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.44%Observed 4.58%Observed +14 bps vs. earlier reference4.56%Observed −2 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.73%Observed 2.97%Observed +24 bps vs. earlier reference2.89%Observed −8 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Feb 2, 2018 – Aug 2, 2018
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around May 2, 2018Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.50%3.75%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.32% · Feb 8, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.38% · Feb 15, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.40% · Feb 22, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.43% · Mar 1, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.46% · Mar 8, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.44% · Mar 15, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.45% · Mar 22, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.44% · Mar 29, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.40% · Apr 5, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.42% · Apr 12, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.47% · Apr 19, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.58% · Apr 26, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · May 3, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · May 10, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.61% · May 17, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.66% · May 24, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.56% · May 31, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.54% · Jun 7, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.62% · Jun 14, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.57% · Jun 21, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.55% · Jun 28, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Jul 5, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.53% · Jul 12, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.52% · Jul 19, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.54% · Jul 26, 201830-year fixed mortgage: 4.60% · Aug 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Feb 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Feb 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Feb 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Feb 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Feb 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Feb 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Feb 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Feb 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.91% · Feb 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Feb 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Feb 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Feb 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Feb 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Feb 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Feb 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Feb 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Feb 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Feb 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.81% · Mar 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Mar 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Mar 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Mar 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Mar 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Mar 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Mar 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Mar 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Mar 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.81% · Mar 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Mar 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Mar 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Mar 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Mar 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Mar 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Mar 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Mar 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Mar 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.78% · Mar 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Mar 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.74% · Mar 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.73% · Apr 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Apr 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · Apr 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.78% · Apr 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.80% · Apr 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Apr 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Apr 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Apr 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Apr 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Apr 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Apr 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Apr 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Apr 23, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · Apr 24, 201810-year Treasury: 3.03% · Apr 25, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · Apr 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Apr 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · Apr 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · May 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · May 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · May 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 8, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · May 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · May 11, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · May 14, 201810-year Treasury: 3.08% · May 15, 201810-year Treasury: 3.09% · May 16, 201810-year Treasury: 3.11% · May 17, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · May 18, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · May 21, 201810-year Treasury: 3.06% · May 22, 201810-year Treasury: 3.01% · May 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · May 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · May 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.77% · May 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · May 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · May 31, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jun 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jun 4, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Jun 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.97% · Jun 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 7, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 8, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jun 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jun 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jun 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jun 14, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 15, 201810-year Treasury: 2.92% · Jun 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jun 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jun 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Jun 21, 201810-year Treasury: 2.90% · Jun 22, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jun 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Jun 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jun 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jun 28, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jun 29, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jul 2, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jul 3, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jul 5, 201810-year Treasury: 2.82% · Jul 6, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Jul 9, 201810-year Treasury: 2.87% · Jul 10, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 11, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 12, 201810-year Treasury: 2.83% · Jul 13, 201810-year Treasury: 2.85% · Jul 16, 201810-year Treasury: 2.86% · Jul 17, 201810-year Treasury: 2.88% · Jul 18, 201810-year Treasury: 2.84% · Jul 19, 201810-year Treasury: 2.89% · Jul 20, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 23, 201810-year Treasury: 2.95% · Jul 24, 201810-year Treasury: 2.94% · Jul 25, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jul 26, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 27, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Jul 30, 201810-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 31, 201810-year Treasury: 3.00% · Aug 1, 201810-year Treasury: 2.98% · Aug 2, 2018Feb 2, 2018May 2, 2018Aug 2, 2018
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,534.35/month

4.58% · Apr 26, 2018

At the later reference$1,530.77/month

4.56% · May 31, 2018

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $3.58 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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