Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Federal Reserve · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately. Labor market conditions have improved further; the unemployment rate has declined notably in recent…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately. Labor market conditions have improved further; the unemployment rate has declined notably in recent months but remains elevated. Household spending and business fixed investment have continued to advance. The housing sector remains depressed. Inflation has been subdued in recent months, although prices of crude oil and gasoline have increased lately. Longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects moderate economic growth over coming quarters and consequently anticipates that the unemployment rate will decline gradually toward levels that the Committee judges to be consistent with its dual mandate. Strains in global financial markets have eased, though they continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. The recent increase in oil and gasoline prices will push up inflation temporarily, but the Committee anticipates that subsequently inflation will run at or below the rate that it judges most consistent with its dual mandate.

To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee expects to maintain a highly accommodative stance for monetary policy. In particular, the Committee decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that economic conditions--including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run--are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014.

The Committee also decided to continue its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities as announced in September. The Committee is maintaining its existing policies of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction. The Committee will regularly review the size and composition of its securities holdings and is prepared to adjust those holdings as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery in a context of price stability.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Dennis P. Lockhart; Sandra Pianalto; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Daniel K. Tarullo; John C. Williams; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against the action was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who does not anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate through late 2014.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System · Original release Mar 13, 2012.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate policy decisions from mortgage pricing

The federal funds target concerns overnight bank borrowing. A fixed mortgage reflects a longer-term loan and its own market pricing. Read the decision and accompanying statement together, and distinguish an announced action from expectations about future actions. The before-and-after observations include the rest of the month’s information as well; they are calendar comparisons, not an estimate of the announcement’s isolated impact. Federal Reserve: how monetary policy works.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 12, 2012Publication referenceMar 13, 201230 days laterApr 12, 2012
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.87%Observed 3.88%Observed +1 bps vs. earlier reference3.88%Observed Unchanged vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 13, 2011 – Jun 13, 2012
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 13, 2012Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%4.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Dec 15, 201130-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Dec 22, 201130-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Dec 29, 201130-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Jan 5, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Jan 12, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.88% · Jan 19, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Jan 26, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Feb 2, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Feb 9, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Feb 16, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Feb 23, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.90% · Mar 1, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.88% · Mar 8, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Mar 15, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 4.08% · Mar 22, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.99% · Mar 29, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Apr 5, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.88% · Apr 12, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.90% · Apr 19, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.88% · Apr 26, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · May 3, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.83% · May 10, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · May 17, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.78% · May 24, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · May 31, 201230-year fixed mortgage: 3.67% · Jun 7, 2012Dec 13, 2011Mar 13, 2012Jun 13, 2012
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,411.57/month

3.88% · Mar 8, 2012

At the later reference$1,411.57/month

3.88% · Apr 12, 2012

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is unchanged. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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