Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Economy · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

2026 First Quarter (Preliminary) Productivity and Costs

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 0.8 percent in the first quarter of 2026, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 1.5 percent and hours worked increased 0.7 percent. (All quarterly…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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First Quarter 2026, Preliminary

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 0.8 percent in the first quarter of 2026, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 1.5 percent and hours worked increased 0.7 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annualized rates.) From the same quarter a year ago, nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.9 percent in the first quarter of 2026. (See tables A1 and 2.)

Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 2.3 percent in the first quarter of 2026, reflecting a 3.1-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 0.8-percent increase in productivity. Unit labor costs increased 1.2 percent over the last four quarters. (See tables A1 and 2.)

BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs and increases in productivity tend to reduce them. Real hourly compensation, which takes into account consumer prices, decreased 0.5 percent in the first quarter of 2026, and increased 1.4 percent over the last four quarters. The labor share, which is the percentage of output that accrues to workers in the form of compensation, was 54.1 percent in the first quarter of 2026, the lowest recorded value since the series began in 1947.

Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all workers, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers. During the current business cycle, starting in the fourth quarter of 2019, labor productivity has grown at an annualized rate of 2.1 percent, reflecting a 2.5-percent rate of growth in output and a 0.4-percent rate of growth in hours worked. The 2.1-percent annualized rate of nonfarm business productivity growth in the current business cycle thus far is higher than the 1.5-percent rate of the previous business cycle, from the fourth quarter of 2007 through the fourth quarter of 2019, and just below the long-term rate of 2.2 percent since the first quarter of 1947.

Manufacturing sector labor productivity increased 3.6 percent in the first quarter of 2026, as output increased 3.3 percent and hours worked decreased 0.4 percent. In the durable manufacturing sector, productivity increased 5.3 percent, reflecting a 5.4-percent increase in output and a 0.1-percent increase in hours worked. Nondurable manufacturing sector productivity increased 2.0 percent, as output increased 0.9 percent and hours worked decreased 1.0 percent. Total manufacturing sector productivity increased 1.7 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A1, 3, 4, and 5.)

Unit labor costs in the total manufacturing sector increased 2.4 percent in the first quarter of 2026, reflecting a 6.1-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 3.6-percent increase in productivity. Manufacturing unit labor costs increased 3.7 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A1 and 3.)

Manufacturing sector labor productivity has grown at an annualized rate of 0.5 percent during the current business cycle, as output has increased 0.1 percent and hours worked have declined 0.4 percent. The 0.5-percent annualized rate of productivity growth in the current business cycle thus far is above the 0.1-percent rate of the previous business cycle from the fourth quarter of 2007 through the fourth quarter of 2019 and is below the long-term rate of 2.1 percent since the first quarter of 1987.

The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.

Preliminary fourth-quarter and annual 2025 measures were announced today for the nonfinancial corporate sector. Productivity increased 5.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025, as output increased 4.6 percent and hours worked decreased 0.7 percent. In 2025, nonfinancial corporate sector annual productivity increased 2.9 percent. (See tables A2 and C1).

Revised measures

Hours and related measures--including labor productivity and hourly compensation--for all sectors were revised to incorporate updated ratios of hours worked to hours paid by detailed industry, provided by the BLS National Compensation Survey; indexes were subject to revision back to 2017. Measures of real hourly compensation for all sectors were also subject to revision from 2021 onward due to the incorporation of the revised Consumer Price Index Retroactive Series. Fourth quarter and annual average data for 2025 were revised to incorporate regular updates of source data on output and compensation published by the Department of Commerce on April 9, 2026. Manufacturing sector output for the fourth quarter of 2025 reflects revisions published by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on April 16, 2026.

Nonfarm business sector productivity in the fourth quarter of 2025 increased 1.6 percent rather than the previous estimate of 1.8 percent, reflecting a 0.2-percentage point downward revision to output; hours worked were not revised. Unit labor costs were revised up 0.2 percentage point to an increase of 4.6 percent.

Manufacturing sector productivity was revised down 0.7 percentage point to a decrease of 3.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025, reflecting a 0.6-percentage point downward revision to output; hours worked were not revised. Durable manufacturing sector productivity was revised down 0.2 percentage point to a decrease of 3.5 percent and nondurable manufacturing sector productivity was revised down 1.1 percentage points to a decrease of 2.3 percent. (See table B1.)

Quarterly and annual data for all sectors for recent years appear in tables 1-6. Full historical annual and quarterly measures, including percent changes, indexes, and levels, can be found in the file located at www.bls.gov/web/prod2/labor-productivity-major-sectors.xlsx.

Durable Previous quarter 5.3 5.4 0.1 7.7 4.0 2.3 manufacturing A year ago 2.9 2.7 -0.2 6.4 3.6 3.4

Nondurable Previous quarter 2.0 0.9 -1.0 2.9 -0.6 0.9 manufacturing A year ago 0.5 -0.2 -0.7 3.8 1.0 3.2

Nonfinancial Previous quarter 5.4 4.6 -0.7 6.2 3.6 0.8 corporate A year ago 3.8 3.8 0.0 5.2 2.4 1.3

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release May 7, 2026.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate output per hour from compensation per unit

Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierApr 7, 2026Publication referenceMay 7, 202630 days laterJun 6, 2026
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.46%Observed 6.37%Observed −9 bps vs. earlier reference6.48%Observed +11 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury4.33%Observed 4.41%Observed +8 bps vs. earlier reference4.55%Observed +14 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Feb 7, 2026 – Aug 7, 2026
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around May 7, 2026Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%5.25%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Feb 12, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Feb 19, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Feb 26, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.00% · Mar 5, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Mar 12, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Mar 19, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.38% · Mar 26, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Apr 2, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · Apr 9, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Apr 16, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.23% · Apr 23, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Apr 30, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · May 7, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.36% · May 14, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.51% · May 21, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.53% · May 28, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.48% · Jun 4, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Jun 11, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.47% · Jun 18, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Jun 25, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Jul 2, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Jul 9, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.55% · Jul 16, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.58% · Jul 23, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Jul 30, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Aug 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.22% · Feb 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.16% · Feb 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.18% · Feb 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.09% · Feb 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.04% · Feb 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.05% · Feb 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.09% · Feb 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.08% · Feb 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.08% · Feb 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.03% · Feb 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.04% · Feb 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.05% · Feb 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.02% · Feb 26, 202610-year Treasury: 3.97% · Feb 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.05% · Mar 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.06% · Mar 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.09% · Mar 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.13% · Mar 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.15% · Mar 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.12% · Mar 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.15% · Mar 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.21% · Mar 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.27% · Mar 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.28% · Mar 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.23% · Mar 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.20% · Mar 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Mar 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.25% · Mar 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.39% · Mar 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.34% · Mar 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.39% · Mar 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.33% · Mar 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.42% · Mar 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.44% · Mar 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.35% · Mar 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Mar 31, 202610-year Treasury: 4.33% · Apr 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.31% · Apr 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.35% · Apr 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.34% · Apr 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.33% · Apr 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.31% · Apr 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Apr 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Apr 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.32% · Apr 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Apr 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Apr 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Apr 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Apr 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.34% · Apr 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.31% · Apr 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.35% · Apr 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.36% · Apr 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.42% · Apr 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.40% · Apr 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.39% · May 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.36% · May 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.41% · May 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.38% · May 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.42% · May 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · May 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · May 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · May 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.59% · May 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.61% · May 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · May 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.57% · May 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.57% · May 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · May 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.50% · May 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · May 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jun 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jun 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.53% · Jun 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jun 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · Jun 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jun 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jun 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.51% · Jun 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.50% · Jun 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jun 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.44% · Jun 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jul 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jul 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jul 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jul 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.54% · Jul 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jul 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.62% · Jul 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.58% · Jul 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.57% · Jul 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jul 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.60% · Jul 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Jul 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Jul 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.71% · Jul 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Jul 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Jul 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.61% · Jul 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · Jul 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.68% · Jul 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.75% · Jul 31, 202610-year Treasury: 4.70% · Aug 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.63% · Aug 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.69% · Aug 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.65% · Aug 7, 2026Feb 7, 2026May 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,870.63/month

6.37% · May 7, 2026

At the later reference$1,892.26/month

6.48% · Jun 4, 2026

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $21.63 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

Understand the Treasury–mortgage relationship →See current advertised mortgage options →