Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Economy · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

2022 Third Quarter (Preliminary) Productivity and Costs

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 0.3 percent in the third quarter of 2022, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 2.8 percent and hours worked increased 2.4 percent. (All quarterly…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Third Quarter 2022, Preliminary

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 0.3 percent in the third quarter of 2022, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 2.8 percent and hours worked increased 2.4 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the same quarter a year ago, nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 1.4 percent, reflecting a 1.9-percent increase in output and a 3.4-percent increase in hours worked. The 1.4-percent four-quarter decline is the first instance of three consecutive declines in this measure since 1982. (See table A1.)

Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.

Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2022, reflecting a 3.8-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 0.3-percent increase in productivity. Unit labor costs increased 6.1 percent over the last four quarters. (See tables A1 and 2.)

New Methodology and Historical Revisions

Data in this release reflect a new methodology for estimating hours worked. Data in this release also reflect the 2022 Annual Update of the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce on September 29, 2022. See “Revised measures” section.

BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs and increases in productivity tend to reduce them. Real hourly compensation, which takes into account consumer prices, declined 1.7 percent in the third quarter and declined 3.4 percent over the last four quarters--the largest four-quarter decline in the series, which begins in the first quarter of 1948.

Manufacturing sector labor productivity decreased 1.3 percent in the third quarter of 2022, as output increased 1.9 percent and hours worked increased 3.3 percent. In the durable manufacturing sector, productivity decreased 4.3 percent, with a 2.0-percent increase in output and a 6.6-percent increase in hours worked. Nondurable manufacturing sector productivity increased 4.0 percent, as output increased 1.8 percent and hours worked decreased 2.1 percent. Total manufacturing sector productivity decreased 0.6 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A1, 3, 4, and 5.)

Unit labor costs in the total manufacturing sector increased 3.8 percent in the third quarter of 2022, reflecting a 2.4-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 1.3-percent decrease in productivity. Manufacturing unit labor costs increased 4.3 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A1 and 3.)

The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.

Revised measures

Improvements to the Measurement of Hours Worked

Measures of hours worked for all sectors reflect a change in methods, and are revised historically. The new methodology uses all-employee hours data from the BLS Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey as the main source of data. This is an improvement upon the prior methodology, which instead used the CES production and nonsupervisory employee hours data. Another improvement in methodology is the use of BLS Current Population Survey (CPS) data to adjust CES all-employee hours paid to account for hours worked but not paid, also known as off-the-clock hours. The data also now incorporate all-employee based hours-worked-to-hours-paid ratios from the National Compensation Survey, rather than production and nonsupervisory worker ratios.

The all-employee source data are available from March 2006 forward; therefore, these changes directly affect quarterly hours worked for productivity measures beginning in the second quarter of 2006, and annual hours worked beginning in 2007. Previously-published hours worked data have been linked to the new series, extending revisions to levels all the way back to 1947. As a result, all measures incorporating hours worked--including labor productivity--were revised back to 1947 for the business, nonfarm business, and nonfinancial corporate sectors and to 1987 for manufacturing and its subsectors. Revisions to quarterly percent changes prior to second quarter 2006 are small. For more information on the new hours worked methodology, see www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2022/article/improving-estimates-of- hours-worked-for-us-productivity-measurement.htm.

Measures of output for the business, nonfarm business, and nonfinancial corporate sectors, and measures of compensation for all sectors, incorporate revised National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) data released on September 29, 2022, by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), U.S. Department of Commerce. As a result, all measures incorporating output, including labor productivity and unit labor costs, were revised back to 2017 for the business, nonfarm business, and nonfinancial corporate sectors. Quarterly and annual measures incorporating compensation were subject to revision back to first quarter 2017 for the business, nonfarm business, manufacturing and nonfinancial corporate sectors. Profits and related measures for the nonfinancial corporate sector were also revised beginning in 2017. Source data on output and compensation released by BEA on October 27, 2022, are reflected in data for the third quarter of 2022. Regular updates of source data on manufacturing output from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System are reflected in data for the first and second quarters of 2022.

Hours worked and related measures for the business and nonfarm business sectors were also subject to revision back to 2017 due to revised NIPA data on government enterprises employment and on the proportion of industry compensation paid to employees of nonprofit institutions. Hours worked and related measures for the nonfinancial corporate sector were subject to revision back to 2017 due to the incorporation of revised NIPA data on the proportion of industry compensation paid to employees of corporations. Improved processing of CPS data had a small effect on hours worked by self-employed and unpaid family workers (for whom the CPS is the data source) and therefore on total hours worked, back to 2000.

Annualized quarterly growth rates of labor productivity, output, and hours worked in the nonfarm business sector were revised. In second-quarter 2020, a 1.9-percentage point upward revision to output coincided with a 2.2-percentage point downward revision to hours worked. The revised figures now stand at decreases of 35.0 percent and 44.9 percent in output and hours worked, respectively. As a result, labor productivity in the second quarter of 2020 was revised up from an increase of 10.3 percent to an increase of 17.9 percent. This is the second-largest increase in the series; there was an 18.0 percent increase in the fourth quarter of 1947.

In the third quarter of 2020, a 2.6-percentage point upward revision to quarter-to-quarter output growth was partially offset by a 1.0-percentage point upward revision to hours worked, and labor productivity was revised up 1.0 percentage point. Other notable revisions include a 2.0-percentage point upward revision to hours worked in the fourth quarter of 2021 which was mirrored by a 1.7-percentage point downward revision the following quarter; productivity was revised downward to an increase of 4.4 percent in fourth-quarter 2021 and upward to a decrease of 5.9 percent in first-quarter 2022.

Nonfarm business sector productivity was not revised in the second quarter of 2022; a 0.2- percentage point upward revision to output was offset by a 0.2-percentage point upward revision to hours worked. (See table B1.) Second-quarter unit labor costs were revised down 1.3 percentage points to an increase of 8.9 percent, reflecting a 1.2-percentage point downward revision to hourly compensation. While hourly compensation increased 4.5 percent in the second quarter of 2022, real hourly compensation decreased 5.5 percent.

Manufacturing sector productivity was revised down 1.8 percentage points to an increase of 2.9 percent in the second quarter of 2022, reflecting a 0.4-percentage point downward revision to output and a 1.4-percentage point upward revision to hours worked. Productivity was revised down in both the durable and nondurable manufacturing subsectors. In the second quarter of 2022, total manufacturing unit labor costs decreased 0.7 percent rather than 0.2 percent as previously reported, reflecting a 2.3- percentage point downward revision to hourly compensation, which was partially offset by the 1.8- percentage point downward revision to productivity. (See table B1.)

Nonfinancial corporate sector productivity declined 2.7 percent in the second quarter of 2022, rather than the previously published estimate of a 0.7-percent decline, as a result of a 1.7-percentage point downward revision to output and a 0.3-percentage point upward revision to hours worked. Productivity in nonfinancial corporations decreased 1.7 percent from the second quarter of 2021 to the second quarter of 2022. Unit labor costs in the nonfinancial corporate sector were revised up 0.9 percentage points to an increase of 7.5 percent in the second quarter of 2022, as a 2.0-percentage point downward revision to productivity outpaced a 1.2-percentage point downward revision to hourly compensation. (See table A2.) Unit labor costs increased 8.2 percent from the same quarter last year. (See table 6.)

Annual averages

Annual average productivity in the nonfarm business sector was revised up to a 2.4-percent increase in 2021, as output increased 7.8 percent and hours worked increased 5.3 percent. Unit labor costs were revised down 1.3 percentage points to an increase of 2.4 percent in 2021, reflecting the aforementioned upward revision to productivity and a 0.7-percentage point downward revision to hourly compensation. Revisions to productivity in the second quarter of 2020 contributed to an upward revision to the annual measure from 2.4 percent to 4.4 percent, the largest annual increase since 1992, when the measure increased 4.5 percent. Output was revised upward from a decline of 4.4 percent to a decline of 3.5 percent in 2020, while hours worked were revised downward from a 6.7 percent decline to a 7.6 percent decline. Hourly compensation in 2020 was revised up to an increase of 8.1 percent and is now the largest annual gain since 1981, when the measure increased 9.6 percent. Productivity increased 2.0 percent in 2019, little changed from the previous estimate of 2.1 percent.

Indexes of productivity for the nonfarm business sector were historically revised. The indexes diverge in the second quarter of 2020, reflecting the sharp upward revision to growth in that quarter. The average annual rate of productivity growth from fourth-quarter 2019 to second-quarter 2022 is 1.6 percent, which is larger than the previously published estimate of 0.6 percent. Through the third quarter of 2022, the average annual rate is 1.4 percent, which is the same as the rate of productivity growth over the previous business cycle, from 2007 to 2019.

Annual average manufacturing sector productivity was not revised in 2021, remaining at 2.6 percent. In 2020, productivity was revised upward to an increase of 0.8 percent due to a corresponding downward revision to hours worked. The average annual rate of manufacturing productivity growth from 2007 to 2019 was unchanged at 0.2 percent. The 6.1-percent increase in manufacturing unit labor costs in 2020, revised down from the previously-reported value of 6.8 percent, remains the largest increase in the annual series, which begins in 1988. (See table C1.)

Annual average productivity in the nonfinancial corporate sector was revised down 1.4 percentage points to a 3.2-percent increase in 2021 due to a corresponding downward revision in output. Productivity was revised up in 2020 due primarily to a 1.1-percentage point downward revision to hours worked. (See tables C1 and 6.) The average annual rate of productivity growth in the nonfinancial corporate sector from 2007 to 2019, 1.1 percent, was not revised.

Durable Previous quarter -4.3 2.0 6.6 1.7 -3.8 6.3 manufacturing A year ago -0.4 4.8 5.2 3.5 -4.5 3.9

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Nov 3, 2022.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate output per hour from compensation per unit

Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierOct 4, 2022Publication referenceNov 3, 202230 days laterDec 3, 2022
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.70%Observed 6.95%Observed +25 bps vs. earlier reference6.49%Observed −46 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury3.62%Observed 4.14%Observed +52 bps vs. earlier reference3.51%Observed −63 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Aug 3, 2022 – Feb 3, 2023
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Nov 3, 2022Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.50%5.00%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.99% · Aug 4, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.22% · Aug 11, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.13% · Aug 18, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.55% · Aug 25, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Sep 1, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.89% · Sep 8, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.02% · Sep 15, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.29% · Sep 22, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.70% · Sep 29, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Oct 6, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.92% · Oct 13, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.94% · Oct 20, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 7.08% · Oct 27, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.95% · Nov 3, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 7.08% · Nov 10, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.61% · Nov 17, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.58% · Nov 23, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Dec 1, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.33% · Dec 8, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Dec 15, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Dec 22, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Dec 29, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.48% · Jan 5, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.33% · Jan 12, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · Jan 19, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Jan 26, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Feb 2, 202310-year Treasury: 2.73% · Aug 3, 202210-year Treasury: 2.68% · Aug 4, 202210-year Treasury: 2.83% · Aug 5, 202210-year Treasury: 2.77% · Aug 8, 202210-year Treasury: 2.80% · Aug 9, 202210-year Treasury: 2.78% · Aug 10, 202210-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.84% · Aug 12, 202210-year Treasury: 2.79% · Aug 15, 202210-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 16, 202210-year Treasury: 2.89% · Aug 17, 202210-year Treasury: 2.88% · Aug 18, 202210-year Treasury: 2.98% · Aug 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.03% · Aug 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.05% · Aug 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.11% · Aug 24, 202210-year Treasury: 3.03% · Aug 25, 202210-year Treasury: 3.04% · Aug 26, 202210-year Treasury: 3.12% · Aug 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.11% · Aug 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.15% · Aug 31, 202210-year Treasury: 3.26% · Sep 1, 202210-year Treasury: 3.20% · Sep 2, 202210-year Treasury: 3.33% · Sep 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.27% · Sep 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.29% · Sep 8, 202210-year Treasury: 3.33% · Sep 9, 202210-year Treasury: 3.37% · Sep 12, 202210-year Treasury: 3.42% · Sep 13, 202210-year Treasury: 3.41% · Sep 14, 202210-year Treasury: 3.45% · Sep 15, 202210-year Treasury: 3.45% · Sep 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.49% · Sep 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.57% · Sep 20, 202210-year Treasury: 3.51% · Sep 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.70% · Sep 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.69% · Sep 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Sep 26, 202210-year Treasury: 3.97% · Sep 27, 202210-year Treasury: 3.72% · Sep 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.76% · Sep 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Sep 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.67% · Oct 3, 202210-year Treasury: 3.62% · Oct 4, 202210-year Treasury: 3.76% · Oct 5, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Oct 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.89% · Oct 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.93% · Oct 11, 202210-year Treasury: 3.91% · Oct 12, 202210-year Treasury: 3.97% · Oct 13, 202210-year Treasury: 4.00% · Oct 14, 202210-year Treasury: 4.02% · Oct 17, 202210-year Treasury: 4.01% · Oct 18, 202210-year Treasury: 4.14% · Oct 19, 202210-year Treasury: 4.24% · Oct 20, 202210-year Treasury: 4.21% · Oct 21, 202210-year Treasury: 4.25% · Oct 24, 202210-year Treasury: 4.10% · Oct 25, 202210-year Treasury: 4.04% · Oct 26, 202210-year Treasury: 3.96% · Oct 27, 202210-year Treasury: 4.02% · Oct 28, 202210-year Treasury: 4.10% · Oct 31, 202210-year Treasury: 4.07% · Nov 1, 202210-year Treasury: 4.10% · Nov 2, 202210-year Treasury: 4.14% · Nov 3, 202210-year Treasury: 4.17% · Nov 4, 202210-year Treasury: 4.22% · Nov 7, 202210-year Treasury: 4.14% · Nov 8, 202210-year Treasury: 4.12% · Nov 9, 202210-year Treasury: 3.82% · Nov 10, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Nov 14, 202210-year Treasury: 3.80% · Nov 15, 202210-year Treasury: 3.67% · Nov 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.77% · Nov 17, 202210-year Treasury: 3.82% · Nov 18, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Nov 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.76% · Nov 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.71% · Nov 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.68% · Nov 25, 202210-year Treasury: 3.69% · Nov 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.75% · Nov 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.68% · Nov 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.53% · Dec 1, 202210-year Treasury: 3.51% · Dec 2, 202210-year Treasury: 3.60% · Dec 5, 202210-year Treasury: 3.51% · Dec 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.42% · Dec 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.48% · Dec 8, 202210-year Treasury: 3.57% · Dec 9, 202210-year Treasury: 3.61% · Dec 12, 202210-year Treasury: 3.51% · Dec 13, 202210-year Treasury: 3.49% · Dec 14, 202210-year Treasury: 3.44% · Dec 15, 202210-year Treasury: 3.48% · Dec 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.57% · Dec 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.69% · Dec 20, 202210-year Treasury: 3.68% · Dec 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.67% · Dec 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.75% · Dec 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.84% · Dec 27, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Dec 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Dec 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Dec 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jan 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jan 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.71% · Jan 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Jan 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Jan 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jan 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · Jan 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Jan 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.49% · Jan 13, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Jan 17, 202310-year Treasury: 3.37% · Jan 18, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Jan 19, 202310-year Treasury: 3.48% · Jan 20, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 23, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · Jan 24, 202310-year Treasury: 3.46% · Jan 25, 202310-year Treasury: 3.49% · Jan 26, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 27, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Jan 30, 202310-year Treasury: 3.52% · Jan 31, 202310-year Treasury: 3.39% · Feb 1, 202310-year Treasury: 3.40% · Feb 2, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Feb 3, 2023Aug 3, 2022Nov 3, 2022Feb 3, 2023
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,985.84/month

6.95% · Nov 3, 2022

At the later reference$1,894.23/month

6.49% · Dec 1, 2022

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $91.61 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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