Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Economy · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

2019 First Quarter (Revised) Productivity and Costs

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 3.4 percent in the first quarter of 2019, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 3.9 percent and hours worked increased 0.5 percent. (All quarterly…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

First Quarter 2019, Revised

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 3.4 percent in the first quarter of 2019, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 3.9 percent and hours worked increased 0.5 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the first quarter of 2018 to the first quarter of 2019, productivity increased 2.4 percent, reflecting a 3.9- percent increase in output and a 1.5-percent increase in hours worked. (See table A1.) The four-quarter increase in productivity is the largest since a 2.7-percent gain in the third quarter of 2010.

Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.

Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector decreased 1.6 percent in the first quarter of 2019, and decreased 0.8 percent over the last four quarters--the lowest four-quarter rate since a 1.7-percent decline in the fourth quarter of 2013. (See and table 2.)

BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs, and increases in output per hour tend to reduce them.

Manufacturing sector labor productivity increased 0.4 percent in the first quarter of 2019, as output decreased 2.0 percent and hours worked decreased 2.4 percent. Productivity declined 0.6 percent in the durable manufacturing sector, reflecting a 2.8-percent decrease in output and a 2.2-percent decrease in hours worked. Productivity increased 1.6 percent in the nondurable manufacturing sector as output fell 1.1 percent but hours worked fell 2.6 percent. Over the last four quarters, total manufacturing sector productivity increased 0.8 percent, as output increased 1.6 percent and hours worked increased 0.7 percent. Unit labor costs in the manufacturing sector increased 2.0 percent in the first quarter of 2019 and saw no change from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A1 and 3.)

The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.

Preliminary first-quarter 2019 measures were announced today for the nonfinancial corporate sector. Productivity decreased 0.4 percent in the first quarter of 2019 and increased 1.3 percent over the last four quarters. Unit profits of nonfinancial corporations fell at a 17.9 percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2019 and increased 3.7 percent over the last four quarters. (See table 6.)

Revised measures

Measures released today are based on more recent source data than were available for the preliminary report. Table B1 presents previous and revised productivity and related measures for the business, nonfarm business, and manufacturing sectors for the first quarter of 2019.

In the first quarter of 2019, nonfarm business productivity rose 3.4 percent, rather than 3.6 percent as reported May 2, due solely to a 0.2-percentage point downward revision to output. Unit labor costs were revised down and decreased 1.6 percent, as hourly compensation was revised down by more than productivity. In the manufacturing sector, productivity was revised down from an increase of 1.7 percent to an increase of 0.4 percent, due primarily to a 1.0-percentage point downward revision to output; hours worked were revised up 0.2 percentage points. Unit labor costs increased 2.0 percent rather than the preliminary estimate of 0.8 percent, reflecting the downward revision to productivity; hourly compensation increased at the same 2.4 percent rate reported previously.

In the fourth quarter of 2018, labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector increased at the same 1.3-percent rate reported May 2. Hourly compensation was revised down from the previously reported increase of 3.9 percent to a 0.9-percent increase. As a result, unit labor costs decreased 0.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2018, rather than increasing 2.5 percent. Total manufacturing sector productivity increased 1.0 percent in the fourth quarter of 2018, a smaller increase than previously reported. Hourly compensation was revised down 0.9 percentage point to a 3.4-percent increase; this led to a downward revision to unit labor costs, which rose 2.4 percent rather than increasing 3.2 percent.

In the nonfinancial corporate sector, productivity rose 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2018 rather than increasing 3.2 percent as previously reported, due solely to a downward revision to output. Annual average productivity in the nonfinancial corporate sector increased 2.0 percent in 2018, rather than the preliminary estimate of 2.1 percent.

Complete quarterly and annual data series can be found on the Productivity and Costs home page: www.bls.gov/lpc/#data.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jun 6, 2019.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate output per hour from compensation per unit

Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMay 7, 2019Publication referenceJun 6, 201930 days laterJul 6, 2019
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.14%Observed 3.82%Observed −32 bps vs. earlier reference3.75%Observed −7 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury2.45%Observed 2.12%Observed −33 bps vs. earlier reference2.04%Observed −8 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Mar 6, 2019 – Sep 6, 2019
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jun 6, 2019Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.75%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.41% · Mar 7, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.31% · Mar 14, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.28% · Mar 21, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.06% · Mar 28, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.08% · Apr 4, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · Apr 11, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.17% · Apr 18, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · Apr 25, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · May 2, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.10% · May 9, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.07% · May 16, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 4.06% · May 23, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.99% · May 30, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Jun 6, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Jun 13, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · Jun 20, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Jun 27, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 3, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 11, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.81% · Jul 18, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 25, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Aug 1, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Aug 8, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Aug 15, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.55% · Aug 22, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · Aug 29, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.49% · Sep 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.69% · Mar 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.64% · Mar 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.62% · Mar 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.64% · Mar 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.61% · Mar 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.61% · Mar 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.63% · Mar 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Mar 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.60% · Mar 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.61% · Mar 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Mar 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Mar 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.44% · Mar 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.43% · Mar 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.41% · Mar 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · Mar 27, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · Mar 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.41% · Mar 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.49% · Apr 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.48% · Apr 2, 201910-year Treasury: 2.52% · Apr 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.50% · Apr 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.52% · Apr 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.48% · Apr 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.56% · Apr 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.55% · Apr 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.60% · Apr 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Apr 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.57% · Apr 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.59% · Apr 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.57% · Apr 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.53% · Apr 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Apr 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · Apr 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · Apr 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.52% · May 1, 201910-year Treasury: 2.55% · May 2, 201910-year Treasury: 2.54% · May 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.51% · May 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.45% · May 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.49% · May 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.45% · May 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.47% · May 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.40% · May 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.42% · May 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.37% · May 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.40% · May 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · May 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.41% · May 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.43% · May 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.39% · May 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.31% · May 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.32% · May 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.26% · May 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.25% · May 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.22% · May 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.14% · May 31, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jun 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 4, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jun 6, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jun 7, 201910-year Treasury: 2.15% · Jun 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.15% · Jun 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jun 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.10% · Jun 13, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jun 14, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jun 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jun 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jun 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jun 20, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jun 21, 201910-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jun 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.00% · Jun 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jun 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.01% · Jun 27, 201910-year Treasury: 2.00% · Jun 28, 201910-year Treasury: 2.03% · Jul 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.98% · Jul 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.96% · Jul 3, 201910-year Treasury: 2.04% · Jul 5, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 8, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jul 9, 201910-year Treasury: 2.07% · Jul 10, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jul 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jul 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jul 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jul 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.04% · Jul 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jul 31, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Aug 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.86% · Aug 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.75% · Aug 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Aug 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.71% · Aug 7, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Aug 8, 201910-year Treasury: 1.74% · Aug 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.65% · Aug 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.68% · Aug 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 14, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Aug 15, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.60% · Aug 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 21, 201910-year Treasury: 1.62% · Aug 22, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Aug 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.54% · Aug 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.49% · Aug 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Aug 28, 201910-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 29, 201910-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 3, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Sep 6, 2019Mar 6, 2019Jun 6, 2019Sep 6, 2019
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury129 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,401.29/month

3.82% · Jun 6, 2019

At the later reference$1,389.35/month

3.75% · Jul 3, 2019

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $11.94 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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