Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Economy · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

2016 First Quarter (Preliminary) Productivity and Costs

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased at a 1.0-percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2016, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 0.4 percent and hours worked increased 1.5…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

First Quarter 2016, Preliminary

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased at a 1.0-percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2016, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 0.4 percent and hours worked increased 1.5 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the first quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016, productivity increased 0.6 percent. (See table A.)

Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked of all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.

Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 4.1 percent in the first quarter of 2016, reflecting a 3.0-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 1.0-percent decrease in productivity. Unit labor costs increased 2.3 percent over the last four quarters. (See tables A and 2.)

BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs, and increases in output per hour tend to reduce them.

Manufacturing sector labor productivity increased 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2016, as output increased 0.7 percent and hours worked decreased 1.1 percent. Productivity increased 0.1 percent in the durable goods manufacturing sector and increased 4.4 percent in the nondurable goods sector. Over the last four quarters, manufacturing productivity increased 1.5 percent, as output increased 0.7 percent and hours declined 0.8 percent. (See tables A, 3, 4, and 5.) Unit labor costs in manufacturing decreased 1.2 percent in the first quarter of 2016 and rose 1.6 percent from the same quarter a year ago. (See tables A and 3.)

The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.

Preliminary fourth quarter and annual 2015 measures were announced today for the nonfinancial corporate sector. Productivity decreased 2.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015 and decreased 0.5 percent over the last four quarters. Annual average productivity increased 0.8 percent from 2014 to 2015. Unit profits of nonfinancial corporations fell 35.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015, which is the largest quarterly decline since a 41.8-percent decline in the fourth quarter of 2008. The measure has declined 15.2 percent over the last four quarters, which is the largest four-quarter decline since a 15.8- percent decline in the third quarter of 2009. (See tables C and 6.)

Revised measures

Measures of real hourly compensation for all sectors were revised from the second quarter of 2011 forward, due to incorporation of new and revised data from the BLS Office of Prices and Living Conditions. Output data for the manufacturing sector incorporate historically revised indexes of industrial production published by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on April 1.

In the fourth quarter of 2015, nonfarm business sector productivity decreased 1.7 percent--a smaller decline than reported March 3--reflecting an upward revision to output. Unit labor costs increased 2.7 percent, a smaller increase than previously reported. Total manufacturing sector productivity decreased 1.0 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015, as output was revised down more than hours. Unit labor costs in the total manufacturing sector increased 3.6 percent during the quarter. There were also revisions to measures for the durable and nondurable manufacturing sectors. (See table B.)

There were historical revisions to manufacturing labor productivity. The annual average rate of productivity growth for 2015 was revised down from 1.3 percent to 0.2 percent and the rate for 2014 was revised down from 1.3 percent to negative 0.1 percent. (See table 3.)

Quarterly and annual data for all sectors for recent years appear in tables 1-6 and appendix tables 1-6. Full historical annual and quarterly measures can be found on the labor productivity and costs home page at www.bls.gov/lpc/#data.

Sector Nonfarm Durable Nondurable Business Business Manufacturing Manufacturing Manufacturing Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y

Sector Nonfarm Durable Nondurable Business Business Manufacturing Manufacturing Manufacturing Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release May 4, 2016.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Separate output per hour from compensation per unit

Labor productivity measures real output per hour worked. Unit labor costs relate labor compensation to output, so a change in hourly pay alone does not describe the change in cost per unit produced. Check the sector, whether a quarterly percentage change has been annualized, and how it differs from the change over four quarters. Revisions to output and hours can alter earlier estimates. Productivity and costs help describe the economy’s supply conditions; the historical rate comparison does not measure this release’s isolated effect. BLS Productivity and Costs.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierApr 4, 2016Publication referenceMay 4, 201630 days laterJun 3, 2016
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.71%Observed 3.66%Observed −5 bps vs. earlier reference3.66%Observed Unchanged vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.78%Observed 1.79%Observed +1 bps vs. earlier reference1.71%Observed −8 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Feb 4, 2016 – Aug 4, 2016
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around May 4, 2016Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.50%4.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.72% · Feb 4, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Feb 11, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Feb 18, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.62% · Feb 25, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · Mar 3, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Mar 10, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Mar 17, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.71% · Mar 24, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.71% · Mar 31, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · Apr 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · Apr 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · Apr 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Apr 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.61% · May 5, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · May 12, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · May 19, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · May 26, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Jun 2, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Jun 9, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.54% · Jun 16, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Jun 23, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Jun 30, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.41% · Jul 7, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.42% · Jul 14, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Jul 21, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.48% · Jul 28, 201630-year fixed mortgage: 3.43% · Aug 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Feb 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · Feb 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Feb 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.63% · Feb 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Feb 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Feb 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Feb 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Feb 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · Feb 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Feb 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Feb 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Feb 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Mar 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.90% · Mar 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.93% · Mar 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.98% · Mar 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Mar 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.97% · Mar 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Mar 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.92% · Mar 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Mar 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Mar 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Mar 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.89% · Mar 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Mar 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Mar 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Mar 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Apr 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Apr 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.70% · Apr 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Apr 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Apr 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · Apr 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.80% · Apr 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · Apr 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.78% · Apr 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · Apr 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Apr 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · Apr 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.89% · Apr 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.91% · Apr 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.94% · Apr 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · Apr 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · Apr 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · Apr 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.88% · May 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · May 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · May 4, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · May 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.79% · May 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · May 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.77% · May 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · May 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · May 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · May 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.75% · May 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.76% · May 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · May 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · May 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.86% · May 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.87% · May 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.83% · May 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · May 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.84% · May 31, 201610-year Treasury: 1.85% · Jun 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.81% · Jun 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.73% · Jun 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.72% · Jun 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.68% · Jun 9, 201610-year Treasury: 1.64% · Jun 10, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jun 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 16, 201610-year Treasury: 1.62% · Jun 17, 201610-year Treasury: 1.67% · Jun 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jun 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.69% · Jun 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.74% · Jun 23, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 24, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jun 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jun 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 30, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jul 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 5, 201610-year Treasury: 1.38% · Jul 6, 201610-year Treasury: 1.40% · Jul 7, 201610-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 8, 201610-year Treasury: 1.43% · Jul 11, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jul 12, 201610-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jul 13, 201610-year Treasury: 1.53% · Jul 14, 201610-year Treasury: 1.60% · Jul 15, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jul 18, 201610-year Treasury: 1.56% · Jul 19, 201610-year Treasury: 1.59% · Jul 20, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 21, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 22, 201610-year Treasury: 1.58% · Jul 25, 201610-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jul 26, 201610-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jul 27, 201610-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jul 28, 201610-year Treasury: 1.46% · Jul 29, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 1, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 2, 201610-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 3, 201610-year Treasury: 1.51% · Aug 4, 2016Feb 4, 2016May 4, 2016Aug 4, 2016
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury127 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,374.07/month

3.66% · Apr 28, 2016

At the later reference$1,374.07/month

3.66% · Jun 2, 2016

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is unchanged. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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