Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

December 2021 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.2 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 1.0 percent in November and 0.6 percent in October.…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.2 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 1.0 percent in November and 0.6 percent in October. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved up 9.7 percent in 2021, the largest calendar-year increase since data were first calculated in 2010.

In December, the advance in the final demand index can be traced to a 0.5-percent increase in prices for final demand services. Conversely, the index for final demand goods decreased 0.4 percent.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.4 percent in December following a 0.8-percent increase in November. In 2021, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 6.9 percent, following a 1.3-percent advance in 2020.

Final Demand

Final demand services: Prices for final demand services rose 0.5 percent in December following a 0.9-percent increase in November. Over half of the broad-based advance in December is attributable to margins for final demand trade services, which moved up 0.8 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing and for final demand transportation and warehousing services rose 0.2 percent and 1.7 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Over a quarter of the December increase in the index for final demand services can be attributed to margins for fuels and lubricants retailing, which rose 13.0 percent. The indexes for airline passenger services, food retailing, machinery and vehicle wholesaling, machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, and traveler accommodation services also moved higher. In contrast, margins for automobile and automobile parts retailing decreased 2.7 percent. The indexes for deposit services (partial) and for health, beauty, and optical goods retailing also declined. (See table 2.)

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods moved down 0.4 percent in December, the first decrease since falling 2.8 percent in April 2020. Leading the December decline, prices for final demand energy dropped 3.3 percent. The index for final demand foods fell 0.6 percent. Conversely, prices for final demand goods less foods and energy advanced 0.5 percent.

Product detail: A major factor in the December decrease in prices for final demand goods was the index for gasoline, which moved down 6.1 percent. Prices for meats, gas fuels, fresh and dry vegetables, diesel fuel, and primary basic organic chemicals also declined. In contrast, the index for ethanol increased 6.4 percent. Prices for residential electric power and for chicken eggs also moved higher.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Within intermediate demand in December, prices for processed goods moved down 0.3 percent, the index for unprocessed goods dropped 5.6 percent, and prices for services advanced 0.8 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand fell 0.3 percent in December, the first decline since moving down 3.5 percent in April 2020. Leading the December decrease in prices for processed goods for intermediate demand, the index for processed energy goods dropped 4.1 percent. Prices for processed foods and feeds moved down 0.5 percent. Conversely, the index for processed materials less foods and energy rose 0.7 percent. In 2021, prices for processed goods for intermediate demand surged 24.4 percent, the largest calendar- year increase since jumping 28.9 percent in 1974.

Product detail: A major factor in the December decline in prices for processed goods for intermediate demand was the index for diesel fuel, which dropped 5.9 percent. Prices for utility natural gas, gasoline, primary basic organic chemicals, liquefied petroleum gas, and meats also moved down. In contrast, the index for softwood lumber rose 24.4 percent. Prices for ethanol and for dairy products also increased.

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: Prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand fell 5.6 percent in December, the first decline after eight consecutive increases. Leading the decrease in the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand, prices for unprocessed energy materials dropped 13.1 percent. The index for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy declined 2.0 percent. Conversely, prices for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs rose 2.8 percent. In 2021, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand surged 38.0 percent, the largest calendar- year increase since data were first calculated in 1948.

Product detail: Sixty percent of the December decrease in prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand can be traced to the index for crude petroleum, which fell 16.4 percent. The indexes for natural gas, nonferrous metals, raw milk, carbon steel scrap, and fresh fruits and melons also moved down. In contrast, prices for slaughter poultry rose 17.7 percent. The indexes for grains and for phosphates also increased.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand rose 0.8 percent in December, the largest advance since climbing 1.2 percent in June. Leading the broad-based increase in December, margins for trade services for intermediate demand jumped 1.4 percent. Prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand and for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand also moved higher, rising 0.4 percent and 1.6 percent, respectively. In 2021, the index for services for intermediate demand advanced 8.0 percent, the largest calendar-year increase since data were first calculated in 2010.

Product detail: One-fifth of the December rise in prices for services for intermediate demand is attributable to margins for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling, which advanced 2.6 percent. The indexes for loan services (partial), arrangement of freight and cargo transportation, gross rents for retail properties, television advertising times sales, and fuels and lubricants retailing also moved higher. Conversely, prices for deposit services (partial) fell 4.3 percent. The indexes for building materials, paint, and hardware wholesaling and for air mail and package delivery services (excluding USPS) also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 4 intermediate demand increased 0.6 percent in December after climbing 1.0 percent in November. In December, the index for total services inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand moved up 0.7 percent, and prices for total goods inputs rose 0.4 percent. (See table D.) Advances in the indexes for machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling; softwood lumber; biological products (including diagnostics); gross rents for retail properties; loan services (partial); and warehousing, storage, and related services outweighed declining prices for gasoline, meats, and deposit services (partial). In 2021, the index for stage 4 intermediate demand moved up 12.4 percent, after rising 2.4 percent in 2020.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 3 intermediate demand rose 0.4 percent in December following a 0.8-percent advance in November. In December, the index for total services inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand moved up 0.8 percent, while prices for total goods inputs were unchanged. Increases in the indexes for arrangement of freight and cargo transportation, slaughter poultry, grains, softwood lumber, slaughter cattle, and temporary help services outweighed falling prices for diesel fuel, raw milk, and deposit services (partial). In 2021, the index for stage 3 intermediate demand jumped 20.2 percent, after inching down 0.1 percent in 2020.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: The index for stage 2 intermediate demand declined 2.3 percent in December, the largest decrease since a 4.4-percent drop in April 2020. In December, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand fell 5.8 percent. In contrast, the index for total services inputs advanced 1.3 percent. Decreases in prices for crude petroleum, gas fuels, primary basic organic chemicals, deposit services (partial), nonferrous scrap, and carbon steel scrap outweighed increases in the indexes for fuels and lubricants retailing, ethanol, and loan services (partial). In 2021, prices for stage 2 intermediate demand rose 21.2 percent, after moving up 1.4 percent in 2020.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: Prices for stage 1 intermediate demand edged up 0.1 percent in December following a 1.2-percent increase in November. In December, the index for total services inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand rose 0.6 percent. Conversely, prices for total goods inputs fell 0.3 percent. In December, advances in the indexes for airline passenger services, ethanol, agricultural chemicals and chemical products, grains, and machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling outweighed decreases in the indexes for diesel fuel; utility natural gas; primary basic organic chemicals; and building materials, paint, and hardware wholesaling. In 2021, prices for stage 1 intermediate demand increased 17.5 percent, following a 2.6-percent rise in 2020.

Recalculated Seasonal Adjustment Factors and Relative Importance Figures to be Available on February 11, 2022

Each year with the release of PPI data for January, seasonal adjustment factors and relative importance figures are recalculated to reflect price movements from the just-completed calendar year. The following seasonal information will be available on February 11, 2022 (2 workdays prior to the release of PPI data for January 2022 on February 15, 2022):

* Direct seasonal factors for PPI commodity indexes for the year 2022, * Recalculated seasonal factors for the last 5 years (2017-2021) for PPI commodity indexes, * Recalculated seasonal factors for the last 5 years (2017-2021) for PPI Final Demand- Intermediate Demand indexes, * Recalculated seasonal index data for the last 5 years (2017-2021) for Final Demand- Intermediate Demand and commodity indexes. This revision to seasonally adjusted indexes for the previous 5 years will be posted to the PPI database on the BLS website.

In addition, the following relative importance tables, which include values for December 2021, will be available on February 11, 2022:

* Final demand by individual commodities * Final demand by component series * Individual commodities of intermediate demand by commodity type * Component series of intermediate demand by commodity type * Individual commodities of intermediate demand by production flow * Component series of intermediate demand by production flow * Commodities, all levels * Wherever-provided services and construction

This information will be available on the PPI website at www.bls.gov/ppi or by contacting the PPI Section of Index Analysis and Public Information at ppi-info@bls.gov or (202) 691-7705.

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact on December 2021 Producer Price Index Data

For each month from March 2020 to December 2021, BLS has published a summary of the impact of the pandemic on the Producer Price Index news release and data. The impact summary for December is available at www.bls.gov/covid19/producer-price-indexes-covid19-impacts- december-2021.htm. Beginning with publication of January 2022 data in February 2022, this month-specific impact summary will be discontinued. However, information related to the impact of the pandemic will continue to be available at www.bls.gov/covid19/effects-of-covid- 19-pandemic-on-producer-price-index.htm.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jan 13, 2022.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierDec 14, 2021Publication referenceJan 13, 202230 days laterFeb 12, 2022
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.10%Observed 3.45%Observed +35 bps vs. earlier reference3.69%Observed +24 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.44%Observed 1.70%Observed +26 bps vs. earlier reference1.92%Observed +22 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Oct 13, 2021 – Apr 13, 2022
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jan 13, 2022Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%3.00%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.05% · Oct 14, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Oct 21, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.14% · Oct 28, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Nov 4, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Nov 10, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.10% · Nov 18, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.10% · Nov 24, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.11% · Dec 2, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.10% · Dec 9, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.12% · Dec 16, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.05% · Dec 23, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.11% · Dec 30, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.22% · Jan 6, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.45% · Jan 13, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Jan 20, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.55% · Jan 27, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.55% · Feb 3, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Feb 10, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.92% · Feb 17, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Feb 24, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Mar 3, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 3.85% · Mar 10, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 4.16% · Mar 17, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 4.42% · Mar 24, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 4.67% · Mar 31, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 4.72% · Apr 7, 202210-year Treasury: 1.56% · Oct 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Oct 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · Oct 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.66% · Oct 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Oct 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Oct 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Oct 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Oct 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Nov 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Nov 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · Nov 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Nov 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Nov 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Nov 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.46% · Nov 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Nov 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Nov 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Nov 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Nov 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · Nov 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Nov 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Nov 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Nov 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Nov 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Nov 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Nov 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Nov 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Nov 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Dec 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Dec 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Dec 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Dec 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Dec 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Dec 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Dec 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Dec 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.42% · Dec 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Dec 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Dec 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Dec 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.41% · Dec 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Dec 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Dec 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.46% · Dec 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Dec 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Dec 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Dec 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Dec 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Dec 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Dec 31, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Jan 3, 202210-year Treasury: 1.66% · Jan 4, 202210-year Treasury: 1.71% · Jan 5, 202210-year Treasury: 1.73% · Jan 6, 202210-year Treasury: 1.76% · Jan 7, 202210-year Treasury: 1.78% · Jan 10, 202210-year Treasury: 1.75% · Jan 11, 202210-year Treasury: 1.74% · Jan 12, 202210-year Treasury: 1.70% · Jan 13, 202210-year Treasury: 1.78% · Jan 14, 202210-year Treasury: 1.87% · Jan 18, 202210-year Treasury: 1.83% · Jan 19, 202210-year Treasury: 1.83% · Jan 20, 202210-year Treasury: 1.75% · Jan 21, 202210-year Treasury: 1.75% · Jan 24, 202210-year Treasury: 1.78% · Jan 25, 202210-year Treasury: 1.85% · Jan 26, 202210-year Treasury: 1.81% · Jan 27, 202210-year Treasury: 1.78% · Jan 28, 202210-year Treasury: 1.79% · Jan 31, 202210-year Treasury: 1.81% · Feb 1, 202210-year Treasury: 1.78% · Feb 2, 202210-year Treasury: 1.82% · Feb 3, 202210-year Treasury: 1.93% · Feb 4, 202210-year Treasury: 1.92% · Feb 7, 202210-year Treasury: 1.96% · Feb 8, 202210-year Treasury: 1.94% · Feb 9, 202210-year Treasury: 2.03% · Feb 10, 202210-year Treasury: 1.92% · Feb 11, 202210-year Treasury: 1.98% · Feb 14, 202210-year Treasury: 2.05% · Feb 15, 202210-year Treasury: 2.03% · Feb 16, 202210-year Treasury: 1.97% · Feb 17, 202210-year Treasury: 1.92% · Feb 18, 202210-year Treasury: 1.94% · Feb 22, 202210-year Treasury: 1.99% · Feb 23, 202210-year Treasury: 1.96% · Feb 24, 202210-year Treasury: 1.97% · Feb 25, 202210-year Treasury: 1.83% · Feb 28, 202210-year Treasury: 1.72% · Mar 1, 202210-year Treasury: 1.86% · Mar 2, 202210-year Treasury: 1.86% · Mar 3, 202210-year Treasury: 1.74% · Mar 4, 202210-year Treasury: 1.78% · Mar 7, 202210-year Treasury: 1.86% · Mar 8, 202210-year Treasury: 1.94% · Mar 9, 202210-year Treasury: 1.98% · Mar 10, 202210-year Treasury: 2.00% · Mar 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.14% · Mar 14, 202210-year Treasury: 2.15% · Mar 15, 202210-year Treasury: 2.19% · Mar 16, 202210-year Treasury: 2.20% · Mar 17, 202210-year Treasury: 2.14% · Mar 18, 202210-year Treasury: 2.32% · Mar 21, 202210-year Treasury: 2.38% · Mar 22, 202210-year Treasury: 2.32% · Mar 23, 202210-year Treasury: 2.34% · Mar 24, 202210-year Treasury: 2.48% · Mar 25, 202210-year Treasury: 2.46% · Mar 28, 202210-year Treasury: 2.41% · Mar 29, 202210-year Treasury: 2.35% · Mar 30, 202210-year Treasury: 2.32% · Mar 31, 202210-year Treasury: 2.39% · Apr 1, 202210-year Treasury: 2.42% · Apr 4, 202210-year Treasury: 2.54% · Apr 5, 202210-year Treasury: 2.61% · Apr 6, 202210-year Treasury: 2.66% · Apr 7, 202210-year Treasury: 2.72% · Apr 8, 202210-year Treasury: 2.79% · Apr 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.72% · Apr 12, 202210-year Treasury: 2.70% · Apr 13, 2022Oct 13, 2021Jan 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,338.77/month

3.45% · Jan 13, 2022

At the later reference$1,379.15/month

3.69% · Feb 10, 2022

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $40.38 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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