Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

August 2015 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.2 percent in July and 0.4 percent in June. On an unadjusted basis,…

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The Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.2 percent in July and 0.4 percent in June. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index moved down 0.8 percent for the 12 months ended in August, the seventh straight 12-month decline. (See table A.)

In August, a 0.4-percent increase in the index for final demand services offset a 0.6-percent decrease in prices for final demand goods.

Within intermediate demand, prices for processed goods moved down 0.6 percent, the index for unprocessed goods fell 4.4 percent, and prices for services advanced 0.7 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Final Demand

Final demand services: The index for final demand services moved up 0.4 percent in August, the third consecutive rise. In August, three-quarters of the advance can be traced to a 0.9-percent increase in the index for final demand trade services. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing moved up 0.2 percent. Conversely, the index for final demand transportation and warehousing services dropped 0.7 percent.

Product detail: Almost half of the August advance in the index for final demand services is attributable to margins for apparel, footwear, and accessories retailing, which jumped 7.0 percent. The indexes for automotive fuels and lubricants retailing; securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; wireless telecommunication services; residential real estate loans (partial); and inpatient care also moved higher. In contrast, prices for airline passenger services declined 1.6 percent. The indexes for machinery and equipment wholesaling and guestroom rental also fell. (See table 4.)

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods fell 0.6 percent in August, the largest decline since moving down 0.6 percent in April. The August decrease is mostly attributable to a 3.3- percent drop in prices for final demand energy. The index for final demand goods less foods and energy moved down 0.2 percent. Conversely, prices for final demand foods rose 0.3 percent.

Product detail: Accounting for nearly two-thirds of the decline in the final demand goods index, prices for gasoline fell 7.7 percent. The indexes for jet fuel, grains, iron and steel scrap, home heating oil, and light motor trucks also moved lower. In contrast, the index for chicken eggs surged 23.2 percent. Prices for residential natural gas and for search, detection, navigation, and guidance systems and equipment also increased.

Special grouping, Final demand less foods, energy, and trade: The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services inched up 0.1 percent in August after advancing 0.2 percent in July. For the 12 months ended in August, prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services increased 0.7 percent.

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand moved down 0.6 percent in August following a 0.2-percent decline in July. In August, over 70 percent of the decrease can be traced to prices for processed energy goods, which fell 2.1 percent. The index for processed materials less foods and energy declined 0.2 percent, and prices for processed foods and feeds were unchanged. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for processed goods for intermediate demand decreased 7.0 percent, the tenth consecutive 12-month decline. (See table B.)

Product detail: A major factor in the August decline in the index for processed goods for intermediate demand was prices for jet fuel, which fell 16.0 percent. The indexes for gasoline, diesel fuel, nonferrous metals, primary basic organic chemicals, and residual fuels also moved lower. Conversely, the index for utility natural gas advanced 2.0 percent. Prices for beef and veal and for non-corrugated paperboard also increased. (See table 5.)

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand fell 4.4 percent in August, the largest decrease since moving down 9.3 percent in January. Almost three-quarters of the broad-based August decline can be traced to prices for unprocessed energy materials, which fell 9.5 percent. The index for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy decreased 4.8 percent, and prices for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs edged down 0.1 percent. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand fell 23.6 percent.

Product detail: In August, a 20.0-percent decline in the index for crude petroleum accounted for four-fifths of the decrease in prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand. The indexes for grains, iron and steel scrap, raw milk, coal, and nonferrous metals also fell. In contrast, the index for slaughter hogs jumped 18.1 percent. Prices for natural gas and corrugated wastepaper also advanced.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand moved up 0.7 percent in August, the largest increase since a 0.7-percent rise in October 2012. Three- quarters of the August advance is attributable to prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand, which also rose 0.7 percent. Contributing to a lesser extent, margins for trade services for intermediate demand climbed 1.1 percent. Conversely, the index for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand fell 0.3 percent. For the 12 months ended in August, the index for services for intermediate demand rose 1.8 percent, the largest increase since a 1.9-percent advance in April 2015. (See table C.)

Product detail: In August, over one-third of the increase in the index for services for intermediate demand can be traced to a 3.7-percent rise in prices for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services. The indexes for loan services (partial); metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling; portfolio management; machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling; and paper and plastic products wholesaling also moved higher. In contrast, the index for airline passenger services declined 1.6 percent. The indexes for hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing and for guestroom rental also moved lower.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand: The index for stage 4 intermediate demand edged up 0.1 percent, the fourth consecutive increase. In August, prices for total services inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand rose 0.7 percent. Conversely, the index for total goods inputs fell 0.4 percent. (See table D.) Increases in the indexes for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; loan services (partial); machinery and equipment parts and supplies wholesaling; portfolio management; and beef and veal outweighed declines in the indexes for gasoline; diesel fuel; grains; and hardware, building materials, and supplies retailing. (See table 6.) For the 12 months ended in August, prices for stage 4 intermediate demand decreased 1.0 percent, the eighth straight 12-month decline.

Stage 3 intermediate demand: The index for stage 3 intermediate demand fell 0.3 percent in August following a similar 0.3-percent decline a month earlier. In August, prices for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand decreased 1.2 percent. In contrast, the index for total services inputs rose 0.7 percent. Lower prices for gasoline, jet fuel, raw milk, nonferrous metals, asphalt, and diesel fuel outweighed increases in the indexes for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; slaughter hogs; and metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling. For the 12 months ended in August, the stage 3 intermediate demand index declined 4.8 percent, the eighth straight 12-month decrease.

Stage 2 intermediate demand: The index for stage 2 intermediate demand moved down 1.1 percent in August, the largest decline since a 4.3-percent drop in January. In August, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand fell 3.1 percent. Conversely, the index for total services inputs rose 0.5 percent. Lower prices for crude petroleum, grains, nonferrous metals, coal, plastic resins and materials, and cable network advertising time sales outweighed advances in the indexes for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; natural gas; and portfolio management. For the 12 months ended in August, prices for stage 2 intermediate demand dropped 11.5 percent.

Stage 1 intermediate demand: The index for stage 1 intermediate demand declined 0.5 percent in August after three straight advances. In August, prices for total goods inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand fell 1.5 percent. In contrast, prices for total services inputs rose 0.9 percent. Lower prices for iron and steel scrap, diesel fuel, crude petroleum, grains, nonferrous metals, and guestroom rental outweighed increases in the indexes for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; loan services (partial); and corrugated wastepaper. For the 12 months ended in August, the stage 1 intermediate demand index declined 8.5 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Sep 11, 2015.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierAug 12, 2015Publication referenceSep 11, 201530 days laterOct 11, 2015
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.91%Observed 3.90%Observed −1 bps vs. earlier reference3.76%Observed −14 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jun 11, 2015 – Dec 11, 2015
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Sep 11, 2015Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%4.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jun 11, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.00% · Jun 18, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.02% · Jun 25, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.08% · Jul 2, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jul 9, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.09% · Jul 16, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 4.04% · Jul 23, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Jul 30, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Aug 6, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.94% · Aug 13, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Aug 20, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.84% · Aug 27, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Sep 3, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.90% · Sep 10, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.91% · Sep 17, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.86% · Sep 24, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.85% · Oct 1, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 8, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.82% · Oct 15, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.79% · Oct 22, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Oct 29, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Nov 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.98% · Nov 12, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Nov 19, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Nov 25, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Dec 3, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.95% · Dec 10, 2015Jun 11, 2015Sep 11, 2015Dec 11, 2015
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,415.00/month

3.90% · Sep 10, 2015

At the later reference$1,391.05/month

3.76% · Oct 8, 2015

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $23.95 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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