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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

February 2014 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for final demand fell 0.1 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This decline followed advances of 0.2 percent in January and 0.1 percent in December. On an…

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The Producer Price Index for final demand fell 0.1 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This decline followed advances of 0.2 percent in January and 0.1 percent in December. On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand moved up 0.9 percent for the 12 months ended in February, the smallest 12-month rise since a 0.9- percent increase in May 2013. (See table A.)

In February, the 0.1-percent decrease in final demand prices can be traced to the index for final demand services, which fell 0.3 percent. In contrast, prices for final demand goods advanced 0.4 percent.

Within intermediate demand, the index for processed goods climbed 0.7 percent, prices for unprocessed goods jumped 5.7 percent, and the index for services rose 0.2 percent. (See tables B and C.)

Final Demand

(Final demand includes goods, services, and construction which are sold for personal consumption, capital investment, government purchases, and export. See table 4 for product detail.)

Final demand services: The index for final demand services moved down 0.3 percent in February, the largest decrease since a 0.4-percent decline in May 2013. Most of the February drop can be traced to margins for final demand trade services, which fell 1.0 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand transportation and warehousing services declined 0.2 percent. Conversely, the index for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing inched up 0.1 percent in February.

Product detail: Over 80 percent of the February decrease in the index for final demand services can be attributed to margins for apparel, footwear, and accessories retailing, which fell 9.3 percent. The indexes for airline passenger services; machinery, equipment, and related parts and supplies wholesaling; food and alcohol retailing; automotive fuels and lubricants retailing; and brokerage compensation for residential property transactions also declined. In contrast, the indexes for both inpatient and outpatient hospital care; health, beauty care, and optical goods retailing; and the U.S. Postal Service moved higher in February. (See table 4.)

Final demand goods: Prices for final demand goods climbed 0.4 percent in February, the same rate of advance as in each of the prior two months. Leading the broad-based increase in February, the index for final demand goods less foods and energy rose 0.2 percent. Prices for final demand foods and final demand energy also moved higher, 0.6 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively.

Product detail: A major factor in the February advance in the index for final demand goods was prices for pharmaceutical preparations, which rose 0.9 percent. The indexes for dairy products, residential natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas, soft drinks, and eggs for fresh use also increased. Conversely, gasoline prices fell 1.1 percent in February. The indexes for processed poultry and for soaps and detergents also decreased.

Special grouping, Final demand less foods, energy, and trade: Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services inched up 0.1 percent in February following advances of 0.1 percent in January and 0.3 percent in December. (The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services represents about two-thirds of final demand.) Special grouping, Finished goods: The index for finished goods increased 0.4 percent in February. (The finished goods index, which excludes the weight for government purchases and exports, represents about two-thirds of final demand goods. The finished goods index represents about one-quarter of overall final demand.) In February, the broad-based advance was led by the index for finished consumer foods, which climbed 0.7 percent. Prices for finished consumer energy goods and for finished goods less foods and energy increased 0.5 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. Within finished goods, higher prices for dairy products, residential natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas, pharmaceutical preparations, soft drinks, and eggs for fresh use outweighed lower prices for gasoline, processed poultry, and soaps and detergents.

Intermediate Demand

(Intermediate demand includes goods, services, and maintenance and repair construction sold to businesses, excluding capital investment. BLS publishes two parallel treatments of intermediate demand, each constructed from the identical set of commodity price indexes. The first treatment organizes commodities according to commodity type, and the second organizes commodities using a stage-based, production flow model. See the technical note for more information.)

Intermediate Demand by Commodity Type

Processed goods for intermediate demand: The index for processed goods for intermediate demand moved up 0.7 percent in February, the largest advance since a 1.0-percent increase in February 2013. The broad-based rise in February 2014 was led by the index for processed materials less foods and energy, which climbed 0.6 percent. Prices for processed energy goods and for processed foods and feeds increased 1.0 percent and 1.1 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for processed goods for intermediate demand was unchanged. (See table B.)

Product detail: In February, a 4.8-percent advance in prices for primary basic organic chemicals accounted for almost a quarter of the increase in the index for processed goods for intermediate demand. Prices also rose for utility natural gas, diesel fuel, dairy products, plastic resins and materials, and liquefied petroleum gas. In contrast, the index for processed poultry declined 3.4 percent. Prices for gasoline and for structural, architectural, and pre-engineered metal products also decreased in February. (See table 5.)

Unprocessed goods for intermediate demand: The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand jumped 5.7 percent in February, the largest advance since an 8.1-percent increase in January 2010. Leading the February rise, prices for unprocessed energy materials surged 14.7 percent. The index for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs moved up 0.5 percent. Conversely, prices for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy declined 0.7 percent. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand rose 5.4 percent, the largest 12-month increase since an 8.5-percent advance in July 2013.

Product detail: A 31.5-percent jump in the index for natural gas accounted for almost 60 percent of the increase in prices for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand. The indexes for crude petroleum, raw milk, grains, ungraded chicken eggs, and gold ores also advanced in February. In contrast, prices for copper base scrap fell 3.9 percent. The indexes for slaughter poultry and for prepared bituminous coal and lignite also moved down in February.

Services for intermediate demand: The index for services for intermediate demand moved up 0.2 percent in February following no change in January. Prices for transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand increased 1.0 percent. Conversely, the index for trade services for intermediate demand edged down 0.1 percent. Prices for services less trade, transportation, and warehousing for intermediate demand were unchanged. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for services for intermediate demand advanced 1.2 percent. (See table C.)

Product detail: Leading the February advance in the index for services for intermediate demand, prices for courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services rose 1.8 percent. The indexes for chemicals and allied products wholesaling; staffing services; building materials, paint, and hardware wholesaling; legal services; and services related to securities brokerage and dealing also increased. In contrast, margins for parts and supplies for machinery and equipment wholesaling fell 0.6 percent. The indexes for loan services (partial) and transportation of passengers (partial) also declined.

Intermediate Demand by Production Flow

Stage 4 intermediate demand (The stage 4 intermediate demand index measures price changes for products purchased by industries that primarily produce output sold to final demand.): The index for stage 4 intermediate demand moved up 0.3 percent in February after a 0.2-percent rise a month earlier. In February, the index for total goods inputs to stage 4 intermediate demand rose 0.4 percent, and prices for total services inputs advanced 0.2 percent. (See table D.) Increases in the indexes for dairy products; courier, messenger, and U.S. postal services; diesel fuel; building materials, paint, and hardware wholesaling; staffing services; and ready-mix concrete outweighed decreases in prices for loan services (partial), unprocessed finfish, and gasoline. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for stage 4 intermediate demand advanced 0.7 percent. (See table 6.)

Stage 3 intermediate demand (The stage 3 intermediate demand index measures price changes for products purchased by industries that primarily produce output sold to industries classified in stage 4.): The index for stage 3 intermediate demand increased 0.6 percent in February following a 1.0-percent jump in January. In February, prices for total goods inputs to stage 3 intermediate demand climbed 0.8 percent, and the index for total services inputs rose 0.4 percent. Higher prices for raw milk; natural gas; couriers, messenger, and U.S. postal services; plastic resins and materials; utility natural gas; and diesel fuel outweighed lower prices for slaughter poultry, unprocessed finfish, and loan services (partial). For the 12 months ended in February, the index for stage 3 intermediate demand rose 1.4 percent, the largest advance since a 2.0-percent increase for the 12 months ended July 2013.

Stage 2 intermediate demand (The stage 2 intermediate demand index measures price changes for products purchased by industries that primarily produce output sold to industries classified in stage 3.): The index for stage 2 intermediate demand jumped 4.2 percent in February, the largest increase since a 4.6-percent rise in January 2010. In February, prices for total goods inputs to stage 2 intermediate demand climbed 7.0 percent, and the index for total services inputs moved up 0.2 percent. Advances in the indexes for gas fuels, crude petroleum, primary basic organic chemicals, chemicals and allied products wholesaling, grains, and plastic resins and materials outweighed falling prices for loan services (partial), iron and steel scrap, and cellular phone and other wireless telecommunication services. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for stage 2 intermediate demand climbed 3.7 percent, the largest advance since a 5.6-percent increase for the 12 months ended July 2013.

Stage 1 intermediate demand (The stage 1 intermediate demand index measures price changes for products purchased by industries that primarily produce output sold to industries classified in stage 2.): The index for stage 1 intermediate demand rose 0.4 percent in February compared with a 1.0-percent jump in the prior month. In February, the index for total goods inputs to stage 1 intermediate demand advanced 0.7 percent, and prices for total services inputs moved up 0.2 percent. Increases in the indexes for primary basic organic chemicals, electric power, utility natural gas, chemicals and allied products wholesaling, gas fuels, and diesel fuel outweighed lower prices for iron and steel scrap, copper base scrap, and guestroom rental. For the 12 months ended in February, the index for stage 1 intermediate demand rose 1.2 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 14, 2014.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 12, 2014Publication referenceMar 14, 201430 days laterApr 13, 2014
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.23%Observed 4.37%Observed +14 bps vs. earlier reference4.34%Observed −3 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 14, 2013 – Jun 14, 2014
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 14, 2014Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.00%4.50%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.47% · Dec 19, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.48% · Dec 26, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.53% · Jan 2, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.51% · Jan 9, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.41% · Jan 16, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.39% · Jan 23, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.32% · Jan 30, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.23% · Feb 6, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.28% · Feb 13, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.33% · Feb 20, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.37% · Feb 27, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.28% · Mar 6, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.37% · Mar 13, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.32% · Mar 20, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.40% · Mar 27, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.41% · Apr 3, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.34% · Apr 10, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.27% · Apr 17, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.33% · Apr 24, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.29% · May 1, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.21% · May 8, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · May 15, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · May 22, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.12% · May 29, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.14% · Jun 5, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.20% · Jun 12, 2014Dec 14, 2013Mar 14, 2014Jun 14, 2014
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,496.97/month

4.37% · Mar 13, 2014

At the later reference$1,491.67/month

4.34% · Apr 10, 2014

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $5.30 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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