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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

December 2009 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods moved up 0.2 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed a 1.8-percent advance in November and a 0.3-percent increase in…

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The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods moved up 0.2 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed a 1.8-percent advance in November and a 0.3-percent increase in October. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by producers of intermediate goods rose 0.5 percent and the crude goods index moved up 1.0 percent. On an unadjusted basis, prices for finished goods advanced 4.4 percent in 2009, after falling 0.9 percent in 2008. (See table A.)

Stage of Processing Analysis

Finished goods

In December, the increase in the index for finished goods was driven by higher prices for consumer foods, which moved up 1.4 percent. By contrast, prices for energy goods declined 0.4 percent. The index for finished goods less foods and energy was unchanged.

Finished foods: The index for finished consumer foods rose 1.4 percent in December, its third consecutive monthly increase. Accounting for one-fifth of the December advance, the index for pork climbed 9.4 percent. Higher prices for processed poultry and fresh vegetables (except potatoes) also had a significant impact on the finished consumer foods index. (See table 2.)

Finished energy: Prices for finished energy goods decreased 0.4 percent in December after increasing in each of the prior two months. Leading this decline, the gasoline index fell 3.2 percent. Lower prices for residential natural gas also were a factor in the December finished energy goods decrease.

Intermediate goods

The Producer Price Index for Intermediate Materials, Supplies, and Components moved up 0.5 percent in December, its fifth straight monthly increase. Accounting for about three-quarters of the broad-based December advance, prices for intermediate goods less foods and energy rose 0.5 percent. Additionally, the indexes for intermediate foods and feeds and for intermediate energy goods increased 1.6 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively. In 2009, prices for intermediate goods climbed 3.0 percent, after falling 2.3 percent in 2008. (See table B.)

Intermediate core: The index for intermediate materials less foods and energy advanced 0.5 percent in December, its second consecutive monthly increase. Prices for primary basic organic chemicals accounted for about a quarter of the December rise, moving up 3.1 percent. The indexes for plastic resins and materials and for nonferrous wire and cable also contributed to higher intermediate core prices. (See table 2.)

Intermediate foods: The index for intermediate foods and feeds rose 1.6 percent in December, its second straight monthly advance. A major contributor to the December increase was a 4.3- percent climb in prices for natural, processed, and imitation cheese. The index for pork also was a factor in rising prices for intermediate foods.

Intermediate energy: The intermediate energy goods index increased 0.2 percent in December, its third consecutive monthly advance. Contributing significantly to the December rise, prices for liquefied petroleum gas moved up 7.1 percent.

Crude goods

The Producer Price Index for Crude Materials for Further Processing increased 1.0 percent in December. For the 3-month period ending in December, crude material prices rose 12.6 percent after declining 2.4 percent in the 3 months ending in September. In December, monthly increases of 3.8 percent in the index for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs and 5.0 percent for prices of crude nonfood materials less energy outweighed a 2.8-percent decrease in the index for crude energy materials. (See table B.)

Crude foods: Prices for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs rose 3.8 percent in December. This index jumped 12.1 percent in the most recent 3-month period compared with an 8.5-pecent decline in the previous 3-month period. Accounting for about forty percent of the monthly December increase, the fluid milk index moved up 10.8 percent. Higher prices for slaughter barrows and gilts and for soybeans also contributed to the advance in the crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs index. (See table 2.)

Crude core: The index for crude nonfood materials less energy moved up 5.0 percent in December, and 4.8 percent for the 3 months ending in December. For the 3 months ending in September, crude core prices climbed 12.3 percent. In December, over half of the monthly increase can be attributed to a 12.7-percent jump in prices for iron and steel scrap. An advance in the nonferrous metal ores index also was a significant factor in the rise in prices for crude nonfood materials less energy.

Services Analysis

Trade industries: The Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Trade Industries declined 0.6 percent in December after rising 1.3 percent in November. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Accounting for about forty percent of the December decrease, margins received by clothing and clothing accessories stores fell 5.5 percent. Lower margins received by warehouse clubs and supercenters, as well as by merchant wholesalers of nondurable goods, also contributed to the decline in the total trade industries index. In December 2009, the total trade industries index was unchanged from its year-ago level.

Transportation and warehousing industries: The Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Transportation and Warehousing Industries climbed 0.5 percent in December, its third consecutive monthly increase. About eighty-five percent of the advance can be traced to a 2.1- percent rise in prices received by the air transportation industry group. The indexes for courier services and transportation support activities also moved up in December. In 2009, the total transportation and warehousing industries index edged down 0.3 percent.

Traditional service industries: The Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Traditional Service Industries advanced 0.2 percent in December after inching down 0.1 percent in November. Most of the December rise can be traced to a 1.4-percent jump in prices received by general medical and surgical hospitals. The industry indexes for portfolio managers and nursing care facilities also moved up in December. In 2009, the total traditional service industries index increased 1.2 percent.

Recalculated Seasonal Adjustment Factors and Relative Importance Figures to be Available on February 16, 2010

Each year with the release of PPI data for January, seasonal adjustment factors are recalculated to reflect price movements from the just-completed calendar year. This routine annual calculation may result in revisions to seasonally adjusted indexes for the previous 5 years. The following information will be available on February 16, 2010 (2 workdays prior to the release of PPI data for January 2010 on February 18):

* Direct seasonal factors for commodity indexes for the year 2010,

* Recalculated seasonal factors for the last 5 years (2005-2009) for the commodity indexes,

* Recalculated seasonal factors for the last 5 years (2005-2009) for the stage-of-processing indexes.

In addition to recalculated seasonal factors, December 2009 relative importance figures also will be available on February 16, 2010.

To obtain this information, visit the PPI website at http://www.bls.gov/ppi/ or call the Division of Industrial Prices and Price Indexes, Section of Index Analysis and Public Information at (202) 691-7705.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jan 20, 2010.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierDec 21, 2009Publication referenceJan 20, 201030 days laterFeb 19, 2010
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.94%Observed 5.06%Observed +12 bps vs. earlier reference4.93%Observed −13 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Oct 20, 2009 – Apr 20, 2010
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jan 20, 2010Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.50%5.00%5.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.00% · Oct 22, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.03% · Oct 29, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.98% · Nov 5, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.91% · Nov 12, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.83% · Nov 19, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.78% · Nov 25, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.71% · Dec 3, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.81% · Dec 10, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.94% · Dec 17, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.05% · Dec 24, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.14% · Dec 31, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.09% · Jan 7, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 5.06% · Jan 14, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.99% · Jan 21, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.98% · Jan 28, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 5.01% · Feb 4, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.97% · Feb 11, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.93% · Feb 18, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 5.05% · Feb 25, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.97% · Mar 4, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.95% · Mar 11, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.96% · Mar 18, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.99% · Mar 25, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 5.08% · Apr 1, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 5.21% · Apr 8, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 5.07% · Apr 15, 2010Oct 20, 2009Jan 20, 2010Apr 20, 2010
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,621.48/month

5.06% · Jan 14, 2010

At the later reference$1,597.66/month

4.93% · Feb 18, 2010

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $23.83 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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