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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

June 2008 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods increased 1.8 percent in June, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This increase followed advances of 1.4 percent in May and 0.2…

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The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods increased 1.8 percent in June, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This increase followed advances of 1.4 percent in May and 0.2 percent in April. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by producers of intermediate goods rose 2.1 percent in June after moving up 2.9 percent in the prior month, and the crude goods index increased 3.7 percent following a 6.7-percent gain in May. (See table A.)

Within finished goods, the index for energy goods climbed 6.0 percent in June after rising 4.9 percent in May. Prices for consumer foods increased 1.5 percent subsequent to a 0.8-percent advance in the previous month, and the index for finished goods other than foods and energy increased 0.2 percent for the second consecutive month.

During the first 6 months of 2008, the finished goods index rose at a 12.4-percent seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) after increasing at a 5.8-percent SAAR during the second half of 2007. Prices for finished energy goods climbed at a 38.1-percent SAAR from December 2007 to June 2008 after rising at a 16.7-percent SAAR for the 6 months ended December 2007. The index for finished goods other than foods and energy advanced at a 4.5- percent SAAR for the 6 months ended in June after rising at a 1.7-percent SAAR during the prior 6 month period. Prices for finished consumer foods moved up at a 9.8-percent SAAR during the first half of 2008 after increasing at a 7.1-percent SAAR through the second half of 2007. At the earlier stages of processing, the intermediate goods index increased at a 22.5-percent SAAR from December 2007 to June 2008 after moving up at a 7.0-percent SAAR during the latter half of 2007, and prices for crude goods surged at a 74.0-percent SAAR for the 6 months ended in June after climbing at a 22.0-percent SAAR for the 6 months ended December 2007. (See summary table.)

Before seasonal adjustment, the Producer Price Index for Finished Goods rose 1.6 percent in June to 182.5 (1982 = 100). From June 2007 to June 2008, prices for finished goods increased 9.2 percent. Over the same period, prices for finished energy goods surged 27.0 percent, the index for finished goods other than foods and energy gained 3.0 percent, and the index for finished consumer foods advanced 8.3 percent. For the 12 months ended June 2008, prices received by intermediate goods producers moved up 14.5 percent, and the crude goods index climbed 45.5 percent.

Finished goods

Prices for finished energy goods advanced 6.0 percent in June after increasing 4.9 percent in May. The residential natural gas index rose 6.6 percent subsequent to a 3.8-percent gain in the previous month. Similarly, prices for liquefied petroleum gas, home heating oil, residential electric power, and unleaded mid-premium gasoline also advanced more than they had in May. The index for lubricating and similar oils moved up in June compared with no change a month earlier. By contrast, slightly counteracting the acceleration in the finished energy goods index, prices for unleaded regular gasoline advanced 9.0 percent in June following a 9.6-percent increase in the previous month. The indexes for diesel fuel and kerosene also rose less than they had in May. (See table 2.)

Prices for finished consumer foods moved up 1.5 percent in June following a 0.8-percent increase in May. The index for fresh and dry vegetables advanced 14.7 percent after declining 9.0 percent in the preceding month. Prices for pears, eggs for fresh use, fluid milk products, and processed young chickens also turned up in June. The index for natural, processed, and imitation cheese increased more than it had in the prior month. By contrast, prices for pork fell 2.4 percent compared with an 8.0-percent increase a month earlier. The indexes for noncarbonated soft drinks and confectionery end products also turned down in June. Prices for manufactured ice and for shortening and cooking oils advanced less than they had in May.

The index for finished goods other than foods and energy moved up 0.2 percent in June, the same increase as in May. Higher prices for passenger cars, pet food, aircraft and aircraft equipment, commercial furniture, mining machinery and equipment, railroad equipment, and textbooks outweighed lower prices for light motor trucks, consumer plastic products, and telephone and telegraph equipment.

Intermediate goods

The Producer Price Index for Intermediate Materials, Supplies, and Components rose 2.1 percent in June following a 2.9-percent increase in the prior month. This price deceleration was broad based as the indexes for intermediate energy goods, materials for durable manufacturing, intermediate foods and feeds, materials for nondurable manufacturing, materials and components for construction, and containers all rose less than in May. Price advances for intermediate materials less foods and energy slowed to 1.3 percent in June from 2.0 percent in a month earlier. (See table B.)

The intermediate energy goods index moved up 5.0 percent in June after climbing 6.2 percent in the previous month. The index for diesel fuel rose 6.7 percent after jumping 11.2 percent in May. Prices for natural gas to electric utilities and residual fuels also advanced less than in May. The indexes for both commercial and industrial electric power turned down in June after rising in the prior month. By contrast, partially offsetting the deceleration in the intermediate energy goods index, prices for jet fuels advanced 8.5 percent after moving up 6.9 percent in May. The indexes for liquefied petroleum gas and home heating oil also rose more than in May. (See table 2.) The intermediate energy goods index advanced at a 48.9-percent SAAR from December 2007 to June 2008 after moving up at a 21.8-percent SAAR during the second half of 2007.

The increase in the index for materials for durable manufacturing slowed to 1.7 percent in June from 4.5 percent in the preceding month. The index for cold rolled steel sheet and strip rose 1.2 percent following a 10.9-percent advance in May. Prices for hot rolled steel bars, plates, and structural shapes and for semifinished steel mill products also increased less than a month earlier. The indexes for primary nonferrous metals, copper and brass mill shapes, nonferrous wire and cable, and refined lead turned down after advancing in the prior month. By contrast, the rise in the index for hot rolled steel sheet and strip accelerated to 19.9 percent in June from 12.4 percent in the previous month. The index for materials for durable manufacturing advanced at a 31.7- percent SAAR in the 6 months ended June 2008 after decreasing at a 6.4-percent SAAR in the second half of 2007.

The index for intermediate foods and feeds advanced 1.0 percent in June after moving up 3.2 percent in the prior month. The rise in the index for formula feeds (for poultry and livestock) slowed to 1.1 percent from 3.9 percent in May. Prices for shortening and cooking oils also increased less than a month earlier. The indexes for corn, cottonseed, and soybean cake and meal and for pork turned down after moving higher in May. Conversely, the index for fluid milk products advanced 3.5 percent in June following a 2.3-percent decrease in the preceding month. Prices for dry, condensed, and evaporated milk products also turned up after declining in May. The index for flour decreased less in June than in the previous month. Prices for natural, processed, and imitation cheese moved up more than in May. The index for intermediate foods and feeds advanced at a 27.3-percent SAAR for the 6 months ended June 2008 after climbing at a 14.9-percent SAAR in the previous 6-month period.

The rise in the index for materials for nondurable manufacturing slowed to 2.7 percent in June from 3.2 percent in the prior month. The index for primary basic organic chemicals advanced 3.4 percent following a 7.5-percent jump in May. Prices for basic inorganic chemicals, thermoplastic resins and materials, writing and printing papers, and newsprint also increased less than in the previous month. The index for paint colors turned down after climbing in May. By contrast, the index for fertilizer materials jumped 21.2 percent in June after advancing 5.9 percent in the preceding month. Prices for ethanol turned up after decreasing in May. The index for materials for nondurable manufacturing rose at a 27.4-percent SAAR in the first half of 2008 after increasing at an 11.2-percent SAAR in the second half of 2007.

The index for materials and components for construction moved up 1.5 percent in June after climbing 2.1 percent in the prior month. The rise in the index for structural, architectural, and pre-engineered metal products slowed to 1.7 percent from 3.2 percent in May. Prices for unfinished softwood lumber (not made from purchased materials) and for hot rolled steel bars, plates, and structural shapes also increased less than in the prior month. The indexes for nonferrous metals and unitary air conditioners turned down after advancing in May. By contrast, the index for hot rolled steel sheet and strip surged 19.9 percent in June following a 12.4-percent rise a month earlier. Prices for switchgear and switchboard apparatus and for precast concrete products turned up after falling in May. The index for materials and components for construction increased at a 13.2-percent SAAR in the first half of 2008 after edging up at a 0.8- percent SAAR in the prior 6-month period.

The increase in the index for containers slowed to 0.3 percent in June from 0.5 percent in the preceding month. The index for barrels, drums, and pails advanced 0.6 percent after rising 2.5 percent in May. Prices for paper, plastic, and foil bags also increased less than in the prior month. The index for steel cans was unchanged in June following an advance a month earlier, and prices for wood boxes turned down after rising in May. By contrast, the index for paper boxes and containers advanced 0.3 percent after increasing 0.2 percent in the previous month. Prices for glass containers turned up in June, and the index for aluminum cans was unchanged following a May decline. During the first half of 2008, the index for containers climbed at a 5.5- percent SAAR after rising at a 4.3-percent SAAR in the second half of 2007.

Crude goods

The Producer Price Index for Crude Materials for Further Processing increased 3.7 percent in June following a 6.7-percent advance in May. Prices for crude energy materials rose less than they had in May. The index for crude nonfood materials less energy edged down after climbing in the prior month. By contrast, partially offsetting the deceleration in prices for crude goods, the index for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs increased more than it had in May. (See table B.)

Prices for crude energy materials moved up 5.4 percent in June following a 13.1-percent jump a month earlier. The natural gas index rose 5.2 percent after surging 17.0 percent in May. The rate of increase in prices for crude petroleum also slowed from May to June, rising 11.1 percent and 4.4 percent, respectively. Conversely, the coal index climbed 14.4 percent following a 2.9-percent gain in May. (See table 2.) During the first half of 2008, the crude energy materials index advanced at a 132.7-percent SAAR after rising at a 27.4-percent SAAR in the previous 6-month period.

Prices for crude nonfood materials less energy inched down 0.2 percent in June after increasing 5.0 percent in the preceding month. The copper base scrap index declined 5.3 percent following a 1.3-percent gain in May. Prices for high grade wastepaper and for plant and animal fibers also turned down in June. The index for carbon steel scrap rose less than in the previous month. Prices for stainless and alloy steel scrap and for corrugated wastepaper fell more than they had in May. By contrast, gold ore prices advanced 2.9 percent in June subsequent to a 23.0- percent drop in the prior month. The index for soybeans also turned up in June. Prices for phosphates and pulpwood rose more than they had in May. From December 2007 to June 2008, the index for crude nonfood materials less energy increased at a 61.3-percent SAAR after advancing at a 10.1-percent SAAR in the prior 6-month period.

Prices for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs climbed 3.5 percent following a 1.8-percent increase in May. The corn index jumped 12.2 percent following a 1.7-percent decline in the prior month. Prices for fluid milk moved up in June after no change a month earlier. The indexes for soybeans, ungraded chicken eggs, fresh vegetables (except potatoes), and sorghum turned up after falling in the previous month. Wheat prices fell less than they had in May. By contrast, prices for slaughter hogs decreased 3.4 percent after rising 18.1 percent in the preceding month. The indexes for slaughter steers and heifers and for slaughter broilers and fryers also turned down in June. The index for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs increased at a 21.8-percent SAAR in the first half of 2008 subsequent to rising at a 19.7-percent SAAR in the second half of 2007.

Net output price indexes

Mining, Utilities, and Manufacturing Industries. The rise in the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Mining, Utilities, and Manufacturing Industries slowed to 1.8 percent in June from 2.3 percent in the prior month. (Net output price indexes are not seasonally adjusted.) The index for the petroleum refining industry increased 5.8 percent after jumping 10.9 percent in May. Prices received by the industries for crude petroleum and natural gas extraction and for livestock slaughtering, as well as, for fabricated plastics for transportation products (excluding foam and reinforced plastics) also rose less than in the previous month. By contrast, partially offsetting the deceleration in the index for total mining, utilities, and manufacturing industries, the index for the electric power generation industry turned up 5.5 percent in June after decreasing 2.9 percent a month earlier. Prices received by fluid milk manufacturers also rose following May declines. The industry indexes for electric power distribution and phosphatic fertilizer manufacturing increased more than in the preceding month. For the first 6 months of 2008, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Mining, Utilities, and Manufacturing Industries increased at a 19.9-percent annualized rate compared with a 3.3-percent annualized rate of advance in the final half of 2007. In June 2008, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Mining, Utilities, and Manufacturing Industries was 116.3 (December 2006 = 100), 11.3 percent above its year-ago level.

Trade Industries. The Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Trade Industries moved up 0.7 percent in June after increasing 1.3 percent a month earlier. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Higher margins received by merchant wholesalers of durable goods, gasoline stations, non-discount department stores, family clothing stores, specialty food stores, and jewelry stores outweighed lower margins received by merchant wholesalers of nondurable goods and grocery stores. For the first half of 2008, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Trade Industries increased at a 9.9-percent annualized rate after falling at a 1.0-percent annualized rate in the second half of 2007. In June 2008, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Trade Industries was 108.9 (December 2006 = 100), 4.3 percent above its year-ago level.

Transportation and Warehousing Industries. The rise in the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Transportation and Warehousing Industries accelerated to 2.3 percent in June from 1.7 percent in the previous month. The index for the scheduled passenger air transportation industry increased 5.8 percent after advancing 0.4 percent in May. Prices received by long- distance general freight truckers, deep sea freight transporters, and line-haul railroads also rose more than a month earlier. By contrast, the index for the U.S. Postal Service was unchanged in June after increasing 2.8 percent in the prior month. Prices received by the industries for couriers, local general freight trucking, and long distance specialized freight trucking of new goods advanced less than in May. From December 2007 to June 2008, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Transportation and Warehousing Industries climbed at a 16.4-percent annualized rate following a 3.7-percent annualized rate of increase in the second half of 2007. In June 2008, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Transportation and Warehousing Industries was 115.0 (December 2006 = 100), 9.8 percent above its year-ago level.

Traditional Service Industries. The Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Traditional Service Industries turned up 0.1 percent in June after decreasing 0.1 percent a month earlier. The industry index for non-casino hotels and motels rose 4.5 percent following a 1.5- percent decline in May. Prices received by investment bankers and securities dealers also turned up after decreasing in the previous month. The industry indexes for commercial banking, cellular and other wireless carriers, and offices of real estate agents and brokers declined less than in May. By contrast, the industry index for savings institutions turned down 2.7 percent after increasing 0.9 percent in the prior month. Prices received by portfolio managers rose less in June, and the industry index for offices of physicians (excluding mental health) was unchanged after rising in May. During the first half of 2008, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Traditional Service Industries edged up at a 0.4-percent annualized rate following a 0.8- percent annualized rate of increase from June to December 2007. In June 2008, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Traditional Service Industries was 102.0, (December 2006 = 100), 0.6 percent above its year-ago level.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jul 15, 2008.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJun 15, 2008Publication referenceJul 15, 200830 days laterAug 14, 2008
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.32%Observed 6.37%Observed +5 bps vs. earlier reference6.52%Observed +15 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Apr 15, 2008 – Oct 15, 2008
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jul 15, 2008Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.50%6.25%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.88% · Apr 17, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.03% · Apr 24, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.06% · May 1, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.05% · May 8, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · May 15, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · May 22, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.08% · May 29, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Jun 5, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Jun 12, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Jun 19, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.45% · Jun 26, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · Jul 3, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · Jul 10, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.26% · Jul 17, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Jul 24, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Jul 31, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Aug 7, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Aug 14, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.47% · Aug 21, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.40% · Aug 28, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · Sep 4, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.93% · Sep 11, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.78% · Sep 18, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Sep 25, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.10% · Oct 2, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Oct 9, 2008Apr 15, 2008Jul 15, 2008Oct 15, 2008
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,870.63/month

6.37% · Jul 10, 2008

At the later reference$1,900.15/month

6.52% · Aug 14, 2008

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $29.52 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →