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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

May 2007 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods increased 0.9 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This advance followed a 0.7-percent rise in April and a…

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The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods increased 0.9 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This advance followed a 0.7-percent rise in April and a 1.0-percent increase in March. The index for finished goods excluding foods and energy moved up 0.2 percent in May after remaining unchanged in April. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by producers of intermediate goods increased 1.1 percent in May after advancing 0.9 percent a month earlier, and the crude goods index turned up 2.0 percent following a decline of 1.5 percent in April. (See table A.)

Among finished goods, the index for consumer goods less foods and energy moved up 0.3 percent in May after inching down 0.1 percent in the previous month, while prices for energy goods gained 4.1 percent subsequent to a 3.4-percent increase in April. By contrast, slightly counteracting the overall acceleration in finished goods prices, the index for consumer foods decreased 0.2 percent in May compared with a 0.4-percent rise in the prior month. Prices for capital equipment edged up 0.1 percent for the second consecutive month.

Before seasonal adjustment, the Producer Price Index for Finished Goods advanced 1.2 percent in May to 167.8 (1982 = 100). From May 2006 to May 2007, finished goods prices rose 4.1 percent. Over the same period, the index for finished consumer foods increased 8.5 percent, prices for finished energy goods rose 7.2 percent, and the index for finished goods less foods and energy moved up 1.6 percent. For the 12 months ended in May 2007, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods advanced 3.7 percent, and the crude goods index climbed 11.5 percent.

Finished goods

Prices for finished consumer goods less foods and energy advanced 0.3 percent in May following a 0.1-percent decline in April. The pharmaceutical preparations index increased 0.4 percent after decreasing 0.2 percent a month earlier. Prices for household appliances, floor coverings, and tires also turned up in May. The indexes for passenger cars and light motor trucks declined less than in April. Prices for cosmetics and other toilet preparations advanced more than they had in the previous month. By contrast, slightly counteracting the upturn in the finished consumer goods less foods and energy index, prices for motor homes edged down 0.1 percent compared with a 2.7-percent rise a month earlier. The indexes for soaps and synthetic detergents and for sporting and athletic goods also turned down in May after increasing in the prior month. (See table 2.)

The finished energy goods index rose 4.1 percent in May following a 3.4-percent advance in April. Leading this acceleration, prices for gasoline jumped 10.2 percent after rising 8.2 percent a month earlier. Similarly, the indexes for residential electric power, liquefied petroleum gas, and residential natural gas also increased more than they had in the preceding month. By contrast, prices for home heating oil rose 2.3 percent subsequent to a 4.8-percent gain in April. The diesel fuel index moved down following an increase in the prior month.

The index for finished consumer foods declined 0.2 percent in May following a 0.4-percent advance in the preceding month. Prices for fresh and dry vegetables dropped 35.0 percent following an 8.9-percent increase in April. The index for processed young chickens also turned down in May, and prices for beef and veal rose less than they had in April. By contrast, the index for fresh fruits and melons climbed 12.1 percent in May subsequent to a 2.8-percent decrease in the previous month. Prices for eggs for fresh use, pork, and for sausages and deli meats also turned up in May. The indexes for dairy products and for processed fruits and vegetables increased more than they had in April.

The capital equipment index inched up 0.1 percent in May, the same rate of advance as in the prior month. In May, rising prices for civilian aircraft, transformers and power regulators, both agricultural and mining machinery and equipment, and for welding machines and equipment slightly outweighed falling prices for electronic computers, communication and related equipment, passenger cars, x-ray and electromedical equipment, and light motor trucks.

Intermediate goods

The Producer Price Index for Intermediate Materials, Supplies, and Components rose 1.1 percent in May following a 0.9-percent increase in April. Prices for intermediate energy goods and materials for nondurable manufacturing advanced more than they had in the previous month. By contrast, partially offsetting the acceleration in intermediate goods prices, the indexes for materials for durable manufacturing, materials and components for construction, and intermediate foods and feeds rose less than they had in the prior month. Excluding foods and energy, prices for intermediate goods moved up 0.4 percent in May after rising 0.8 percent a month earlier. (See table B.)

The intermediate energy goods index climbed 4.2 percent following a 1.3-percent increase in the preceding month. Jet fuel prices rose 3.0 percent after falling 2.1 percent in April. The indexes for natural gas to electric utilities, residual fuel, and both industrial and commercial natural gas also turned up in May following decreases in the prior month. Prices for gasoline, industrial electric power, and liquefied petroleum gas rose more than they had a month earlier. By contrast, diesel fuel prices fell 1.6 percent after moving up 1.7 percent in April. The commercial electric power and home heating oil indexes advanced less in May than they had in the previous month. (See table 2.)

The index for materials for nondurable manufacturing increased 2.9 percent after edging up 0.1 percent a month earlier. Prices for basic organic chemicals rose 3.3 percent in May following a 0.3-percent gain in the preceding month. The inedible fats and oils index also advanced more than it had in the prior month. Prices for plastic resins and materials turned up after declining in April, and the woodpulp index increased after no change a month earlier. By contrast, prices for nitrogenates moved down 0.3 percent following a 4.1-percent jump in the previous month. The indexes for phosphates and paperboard also turned down in May. Prices for paper fell more than they had in the prior month, and the index for paint materials rose less than in April.

The materials for durable manufacturing index edged up 0.2 percent following a 3.7-percent increase in April. Prices for primary nonferrous metals advanced 1.5 percent after climbing 10.8 percent in the previous month. The indexes for steel mill products, copper and brass mill shapes, and building paper and board fell following advances a month earlier. Softwood lumber prices decreased more than they had in the preceding month. By contrast, prices for thermoplastic resins rose 3.8 percent in May after falling 2.2 percent in the prior month. The secondary aluminum and prepared paint indexes also turned up following declines a month earlier. Cement prices increased more than they had in April.

The index for materials and components for construction advanced 0.3 percent after rising 0.6 percent in the preceding month. The nonferrous wire and cable index climbed 3.9 percent subsequent to an 8.4-percent jump a month earlier. Prices for steel mill products and for paving mixtures and blocks turned down in May following increases in April. The millwork index decreased after no change in the previous month. Prices for gypsum products and softwood lumber fell more than they had in the prior month. By contrast, the fabricated structural metal products index advanced 0.4 percent after no change in April. Prices for concrete products also rose following no change a month earlier. Treated wood prices turned up after falling in the preceding month. The indexes for asphalt felts and coatings and for mineral wool for structural insulation declined less in May than they had a month earlier.

Prices for intermediate foods and feeds inched up 0.1 percent following a 0.5-percent increase in April. The beef and veal index advanced 1.0 percent after moving up 2.4 percent in the previous month. Flour prices also rose less in May than they had a month earlier. The index for prepared animal feeds decreased more than it had in April, and prices for processed young chickens turned down in May after advancing in the prior month. By contrast, prices for dairy products climbed 4.5 percent subsequent to a 1.6-percent increase in April. The index for shortening and cooking oils also rose more than it had in the preceding month. Prices for pork and for sausage and deli meats turned up in May after declining in the previous month.

Crude goods

The Producer Price Index for Crude Materials for Further Processing increased 2.0 percent in May after falling 1.5 percent in the preceding month. This reversal can be traced to the index for crude energy materials, which rose following a decline in April. By contrast, slightly counteracting the upturn in crude goods prices, the indexes for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs and for crude nonfood materials less energy advanced less in May than they had in April. (See table B.)

Prices for crude energy materials jumped 4.3 percent in May after dropping 4.9 percent in the prior month. This upturn is attributable to the natural gas index, which climbed 6.6 percent following a 13.0-percent decrease in April. By contrast, crude petroleum prices moved up 1.9 percent in May compared with a 7.9-percent rise a month earlier. For the second consecutive month, the coal index inched up at a 0.2-percent rate. (See table 2.)

The index for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs increased 1.1 percent in May after advancing 1.3 percent in April. In May, higher prices for fluid milk, slaughter broilers and fryers, corn, soybeans, and fresh fruits and melons outweighed lower prices for fresh and dry vegetables, slaughter hogs, and unprocessed shellfish.

The index for crude nonfood materials less energy edged up 0.1 percent in May following a 0.4-percent increase in April. In May, rising prices for copper base scrap, wastepaper, aluminum base scrap, and for construction sand, gravel, and crushed stone slightly outweighed declining prices for iron and steel scrap, raw cotton, gold ores, and for hardwood logs, bolts, and timber.

Net output price indexes

Mining, Utilities, and Manufacturing Industries. In May, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Mining, Utilities, and Manufacturing Industries advanced 1.2 percent for the second consecutive month. (Net output price indexes are not seasonally adjusted.) In May, higher prices were received by the manufacturing industry groups for petroleum and coal products, foods, chemicals, fabricated metal products, and electrical equipment and appliances. The indexes for electric power distribution and for oil and gas extraction also moved up in May. These increases outweighed lower prices received by the electric power generation industry and by the computer and electronic products industry group.

Trade Industries. The Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Trade Industries rose 2.0 percent in May compared with a 1.2-percent increase in April. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Margins received by gasoline stations jumped 43.3 percent in May following a 3.8-percent gain in the prior month. The margin indexes for merchant wholesalers of nondurable goods; sporting goods, hobby, and musical instrument stores; and health and personal care stores turned up in May. Margins received by building material and supplies dealers increased after no change in April. By contrast, partially offsetting the acceleration in the trade industries index, the margin index for electronics and appliance stores fell 0.9 percent in May following an 18.9-percent gain in the previous month. Margins received by department stores, shoe stores, and fuel dealers also turned down in May. The margin index for merchant wholesalers of durable goods increased less than it had in April.

Transportation and Warehousing Industries. The Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Transportation and Warehousing Industries edged down 0.1 percent in May after rising 1.6 percent in April. Prices received by the scheduled passenger air transportation industry fell 8.4 percent following a 7.3-percent increase in the preceding month. The industry indexes for long distance general freight trucking (by the truckload), general warehousing and storage, and long distance specialized freight trucking of new goods also turned down in May. Prices received by the line-haul railroads industry rose less than they had a month earlier. By contrast, prices received by the United States Postal Service moved up 6.5 percent in May after remaining unchanged in the preceding month. The industry index for scheduled freight air transportation also rose following no change in April. Prices received by the local general freight trucking industry increased more in May than they had a month earlier. The industry indexes for freight transportation arrangement and local specialized freight trucking of new goods turned up following declines in April.

Traditional Service Industries. The Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Traditional Service Industries declined 0.3 percent in May following a 1.8-percent increase in April. Prices received by the depository credit intermediation industry group decreased 3.8 percent after climbing 15.7 percent a month earlier. The industry index for offices of real estate agents and brokers also turned down in May. Prices received by direct health and medical insurance carriers and by portfolio managers rose less than they had in April. The indexes for general medical and surgical hospitals and for wired telecommunication carriers were unchanged following increases in the prior month. By contrast, prices received by the industry for investment banking and securities dealing advanced 1.8 percent in May after falling 4.7 percent a month earlier. The industry indexes for non- casino hotels and motels and for cable networks also turned up in May.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jun 14, 2007.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMay 15, 2007Publication referenceJun 14, 200730 days laterJul 14, 2007
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.15%Observed 6.74%Observed +59 bps vs. earlier reference6.73%Observed −1 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Mar 14, 2007 – Sep 14, 2007
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jun 14, 2007Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.00%6.50%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Mar 15, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Mar 22, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Mar 29, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Apr 5, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Apr 12, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Apr 19, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Apr 26, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · May 3, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · May 10, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.21% · May 17, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · May 24, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · May 31, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.53% · Jun 7, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jun 14, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jun 21, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jun 28, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Jul 5, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 12, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.73% · Jul 19, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Jul 26, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.68% · Aug 2, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.59% · Aug 9, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.62% · Aug 16, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Aug 23, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.45% · Aug 30, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Sep 6, 200730-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Sep 13, 2007Mar 14, 2007Jun 14, 2007Sep 14, 2007
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,943.80/month

6.74% · Jun 14, 2007

At the later reference$1,941.81/month

6.73% · Jul 12, 2007

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $1.99 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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