Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

November 2002 Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods decreased 0.4 percent in November, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This decline followed a 1.1-percent increase in October…

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The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods decreased 0.4 percent in November, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This decline followed a 1.1-percent increase in October and a 0.1-percent gain in September. Falling prices for gasoline and passenger cars led the decline in the finished goods index in November. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by intermediate goods manufacturers fell 0.1 percent, after moving up 0.7 percent in October. The crude goods index advanced 5.1 percent in November, following a 3.4-percent increase in the previous month. (See table A.)

Among finished goods in November, the index for finished energy goods declined 1.8 percent, after moving up 4.2 percent in October. Excluding gasoline, the index for finished goods would have fallen 0.1 percent in November. The index for finished goods other than foods and energy fell 0.3 percent, following a 0.5-percent increase in the prior month. Excluding passenger cars, the index for finished goods other than foods and energy would have shown no change in November. The finished consumer foods index rose 0.3 percent, after posting a 0.7-percent gain in October.

Before seasonal adjustment, the Producer Price Index for Finished Goods decreased 0.7 percent to 139.6 (1982 = 100). From November 2001 to November 2002, finished goods prices rose 0.9 percent. During the same period, the finished energy goods index moved up 7.4 percent and prices for finished goods other than foods and energy advanced 0.1 percent. On the other hand, the finished consumer foods index fell 1.1 percent for the 12 months ended in November. Among raw and partially processed goods, prices received by producers of intermediate goods increased 2.5 percent from November 2001 to November 2002, while the crude goods index jumped 14.7 percent.

Finished goods

Prices for finished energy goods fell 1.8 percent in November, following a 4.2-percent gain in the previous month. The gasoline index led this downturn -- dropping 9.0 percent, after rising 17.9 percent in October. Prices for home heating oil, diesel fuel, and liquefied petroleum gas also fell in November, following increases in the prior month. The downturn in the finished energy goods index was partially offset by residential electric power prices -- which edged up 0.1 percent, following a 0.3-percent decline in October. Residential natural gas prices advanced at a slightly faster pace in November than they did a month earlier.

The index for finished consumer goods other than foods and energy decreased 0.3 percent in November, following a 0.6-percent increase in the prior month. Approximately half of this downturn was due to passenger car prices -- which fell 3.6 percent, after posting a 2.2-percent gain in October. The indexes for alcoholic beverages and men's and boys' apparel also turned down, following increases in October. Prices for light motor trucks and pharmaceutical preparations rose at a slower rate than they did in the previous month. The sporting and athletic goods index fell more than it did in October. By contrast, the sanitary papers and health products index moved up 1.2 percent in November, after falling 0.3 percent a month earlier. Prices for cigarettes, soaps and synthetic detergents, mobile homes, floor coverings, and periodical circulation also turned up, following decreases in October.

The capital equipment index turned down 0.2 percent in November, after rising 0.4 percent in the prior month. Passenger car prices dropped 3.6 percent, following a 2.2-percent increase in October. Price increases slowed from October to November for light motor trucks and civilian aircraft. The indexes for communication and related equipment, metal cutting machine tools, and electronic computers decreased more than they did a month earlier. By contrast, the indexes for heavy motor trucks and construction machinery rose in November, after showing no change in the previous month. The indexes for railroad equipment and industrial material handling equipment both advanced, following decreases in the prior month. Commercial furniture prices rose at a slightly faster pace than they did a month earlier.

The rate of increase in prices for finished consumer foods slowed to 0.3 percent in November from 0.7 percent in the previous month. The index for pork moved up 4.1 percent, following an 11.5-percent gain in October. Prices for fresh fruits and melons, finfish and shellfish, and fresh and dry vegetables turned down, after advancing in the prior month. The dairy products index showed no change, following an increase in October. On the other hand, beef and veal prices rose 2.0 percent in November, after dropping 2.6 percent a month earlier. The indexes for eggs for fresh use, soft drinks, processed fruits and vegetables, and processed young chickens turned up in November.

Intermediate goods

The Producer Price Index for Intermediate Materials, Supplies, and Components inched down 0.1 percent in November, compared with a 0.7-percent advance in October. Intermediate energy goods prices also turned down, after rising in the previous month. The nondurable manufacturing materials index advanced at a slower rate in November than in the prior month, while prices for construction materials retreated at a slightly quicker pace than in October. On the other hand, the durable manufacturing materials index - - which showed no change in October -- moved up 0.6 percent in November. Prices for intermediate foods and feeds turned up in November, following a decline in the prior month. Excluding foods and energy, the index for intermediate goods rose 0.1 percent, the same rate of increase as in October. (See table B.)

Subsequent to a 4.1-percent jump in October, prices for intermediate energy goods decreased 1.5 percent in November. Prices for gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuels, natural gas to electric utilities, and liquefied petroleum gas also turned down in November. The indexes for commercial natural gas and residual fuels rose less than they did in October. By contrast, industrial electric power prices advanced 2.4 percent in November, after declining at a 0.9-percent rate a month earlier. The commercial electric power index moved up at a quicker pace in November than it did in the preceding month.

In the nondurable manufacturing materials sector, price increases slowed to a 0.5-percent rate in November from a 0.8-percent rate in October. Price increases for industrial chemicals, plastic resins and materials, nitrogenates, and finished fabrics outweighed price declines for paperboard and phosphates.

The index for materials and components for construction fell 0.4 percent in November, after decreasing 0.3 percent in the preceding month. Over half of November's decline can be traced to a 3.8-percent drop in prices for plastic construction products. The indexes for fabricated structural metal products, millwork, plywood, asphalt felts and coatings, plumbing fixtures and brass fittings, and gypsum products also fell in November. Conversely, prices for nonferrous wire and cable, steel wire, and fabricated ferrous wire products increased in November.

The index for durable manufacturing materials advanced 0.6 percent in November, after showing no change in October. Prices for hot rolled steel sheet and strip jumped 2.7 percent, compared with a 0.4-percent gain in the previous month. The indexes for primary aluminum (except extrusion billet), copper cathode and refined copper, and original equipment automobile stampings turned up in November. Prices for copper and brass mill shapes and prepared paint fell at a slower pace in November than they did a month earlier. The acceleration in the durable manufacturing materials index was partly offset by prices for cold rolled steel sheet and strip -- which increased 0.4 percent, following a 1.7-percent rise in October. The rate of increase in prices for aluminum mill shapes also slowed in November compared with October. The indexes for plywood and building paper and board declined at a faster rate than they did in the prior month. Prices for cold finished steel bars turned down in November.

The intermediate foods and feeds index moved up 0.5 percent in November, compared with a 0.2-percent decline a month earlier. Beef and veal prices -- which rose 2.0 percent, after falling 2.6 percent in October -- were the key factor behind this upturn. The indexes for crude vegetable oils and fluid milk products also turned up in November. Prepared animal feed prices decreased at a slower rate in November than they did in the prior month. By contrast, the natural, processed, and imitation cheese index fell 2.2 percent in November, following an 8.3-percent increase in October. Confectionery material prices also turned down, while the pork index rose less in November than it did in the prior month.

Crude goods

The Producer Price Index for Crude Materials for Further Processing moved up 5.1 percent in November, after climbing 3.4 percent in the preceding month. This acceleration was due to a faster rate of increase in prices for crude energy materials. A slowdown in the rate of price increase for basic industrial materials slightly offset the impact of energy prices. Crude foodstuff and feedstuff prices inched down in November, after declining by the same amount a month earlier. (See table B.)

The crude energy materials index rose 13.1 percent in November, after posting an 8.9-percent increase in the previous month. The natural gas index climbed 37.9 percent, following an 18.5-percent advance in October. On the other hand, the crude petroleum index dropped 13.5 percent, compared with a 1.7-percent gain in October. Coal prices moved up 0.6 percent in November, after rising 0.9 percent in the prior month.

Prices for basic industrial materials advanced 0.4 percent in November, following a 0.9-percent gain in October. Rising prices were registered by the indexes for raw cotton, leaf tobacco, aluminum base scrap, copper base scrap, and pulpwood. By contrast, the indexes for iron and steel scrap; hides and skins; softwood logs, bolts, and timber; nonferrous metal ores; and phosphates posted falling prices in November.

The index for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs moved down 0.1 percent in November, after posting the same rate of change in the prior month. Falling prices for corn, wheat, fluid milk, and fresh fruits and melons were offset by rising prices for slaughter cattle, soybeans, slaughter turkeys, slaughter broilers and fryers, unprocessed shellfish, and slaughter hogs.

Net output price indexes for mining, manufacturing, and services industries

Mining. For the month of November, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Mining Industries rose 9.3 percent, after rising 8.0 percent in October. (Net output price indexes are not seasonally adjusted.) The main contributor to this acceleration was the industry index for natural gas liquids and natural gas residue -- which jumped 42.7 percent, following a 14.9-percent gain in the prior month. Prices received by the oil and gas field exploration services industry advanced, after showing no change in October. In addition, prices received by the industries for crushed and broken granite and gold ores turned up in November, following declines in the preceding month. On the other hand, the index for the crude petroleum and natural gas industry rose 1.2 percent in November, following an 11.3-percent advance in October. Prices received by the industries for bituminous coal and lignite surface mining; oil and gas well drilling; and crushed and broken limestone turned down, after increasing in the prior month. The index for the coal mining services industry showed no change in November, following an advance in October. In November, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Domestic Mining Industries was 112.3 (December 1984=100), 27.2 percent above its year-ago level.

Manufacturing. Subsequent to a 1.0-percent gain in October, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Manufacturing Industries fell 0.7 percent in November. The index for the petroleum refining and related products industry group decreased 8.9 percent in November, following an 8.2- percent advance in the previous month. Prices received by the industry groups for transportation equipment; apparel and other finished fabrics; and stone, clay, glass, and concrete products turned down in November, after rising a month earlier. The index for the food and kindred products industry group increased less in November than it did in October. By contrast, prices for the chemicals and allied products industry group advanced 0.7 percent, after rising 0.5 percent in October. The industry group index for electrical and electronic machinery, equipment, and supplies fell less in November than it did in the previous month. Prices received by the paper and allied products industry group rose, after showing no change in October. The industry group index for fabricated metal products, except machinery and transportation equipment, turned up in November, following a decrease a month earlier. In November, the Producer Price Index for the Net Output of Total Domestic Manufacturing Industries was 134.7 (December 1984=100), 1.5 percent above its year-ago level.

Services. Among service industries in November, advancing prices were registered by the industries for telephone communications (except radiotelephone), deep sea foreign transportation of freight, cable and other pay television services, wireless telecommunications, general medical and surgical hospitals, scheduled air transportation, and employment agencies. By contrast, falling prices were experienced by the industries for engineering design, analysis, and consulting services; data processing services; operators and lessors of nonresidential buildings; accounting, auditing, and bookkeeping services; legal services; help supply services; and truck rental and leasing.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Dec 13, 2002.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read producer prices from the seller’s perspective

The Producer Price Index measures changes in prices received by domestic producers. It differs from the Consumer Price Index, which follows prices paid by urban consumers. Check the release’s classification: older reports emphasize finished goods, while the headline framework changed to final demand in 2014. Distinguish goods from services, monthly from annual changes, and final from intermediate demand where reported. Producer-price movements do not establish an equal change in consumer inflation or explain the benchmark movements below on their own. BLS Producer Price Index overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierNov 13, 2002Publication referenceDec 13, 200230 days laterJan 12, 2003
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.11%Observed 6.04%Observed −7 bps vs. earlier reference5.95%Observed −9 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Sep 13, 2002 – Mar 13, 2003
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Dec 13, 2002Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.50%6.00%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.18% · Sep 13, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.05% · Sep 20, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.99% · Sep 27, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Oct 4, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Oct 11, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · Oct 18, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Oct 25, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Nov 1, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Nov 8, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Nov 15, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.03% · Nov 22, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Nov 29, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.19% · Dec 6, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.04% · Dec 13, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.03% · Dec 20, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.93% · Dec 27, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.85% · Jan 3, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.95% · Jan 10, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.97% · Jan 17, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.91% · Jan 24, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.90% · Jan 31, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.88% · Feb 7, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.86% · Feb 14, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.84% · Feb 21, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.79% · Feb 28, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.67% · Mar 7, 2003Sep 13, 2002Dec 13, 2002Mar 13, 2003
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,806.37/month

6.04% · Dec 13, 2002

At the later reference$1,789.02/month

5.95% · Jan 10, 2003

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $17.35 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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