Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

February 2026 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices increased 1.3 percent in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.6-percent advance in January. Higher prices for nonfuel imports and fuel imports drove the increase in February.…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices increased 1.3 percent in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.6-percent advance in January. Higher prices for nonfuel imports and fuel imports drove the increase in February. Prices for U.S. exports advanced 1.5 percent in February, after rising 0.6 percent the previous month.

Impacts of Federal Government Shutdowns on U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

As a result of the lapse in appropriations from October 1, 2025, through November 12, 2025, some U.S. Import and Export Price Index (MXP) values for October 2025 are permanently suppressed for publication. For additional information see www.bls.gov/mxp/notices/2026/availability-of-oct-2025-mxpi-in-bls-database.htm.

Imports

Import prices advanced 1.3 percent in February following an increase of 0.6 percent in January and a rise of 0.1 percent in December. The February advance was the largest monthly increase since the index rose 2.9 percent in March 2022. The index for U.S. import prices increased 1.3 percent from February 2025 to February 2026. The February advance was the largest annual increase since the index rose 1.7 percent in February 2025. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Import prices for fuels and lubricants increased 3.8 percent in February following a decrease of 1.2 percent in January and a decline of 1.1 percent in December. The February advance was the largest monthly rise since the index increased 3.9 percent in April 2024. Higher prices for petroleum and natural gas drove the increase. Prices for import petroleum and petroleum products increased 2.5 percent and natural gas advanced 24.7 percent. Despite February's increase, import fuels and lubricants prices decreased 10.6 percent from February 2025 to February 2026. The price index for import petroleum and petroleum products decreased 14.8 percent over the past 12 months, while import natural gas prices increased 57.9 percent over the same period.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports rose 1.1 percent in February, following an increase of 0.8 percent in January. Higher prices for imports were driven by capital goods; nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; consumer goods excluding automotives; foods, feeds, and beverages; and automotive vehicles, parts and engines. Nonfuel import prices advanced 2.5 percent on a 12-month basis, the largest over-the-year increase since the index rose 2.9 percent for the 12-month period ended October 2022. Higher prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, and consumer goods excluding automotives more than offset lower prices for foods, feeds, and beverages as well as for automotive vehicles, parts and engines from February 2025 to February 2026.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Foods, feeds, and beverages import prices rose 0.8 percent in February following an increase of 0.5 percent in January and an advance of 0.4 percent in December. Higher prices for other animal and vegetable preparations; vegetables; distilled alcoholic beverages; meat; food oils and oilseeds; as well as for bakery and confectionery products contributed to the increase in February.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials import prices advanced 2.6 percent in February, after a 2.4-percent increase in January. Higher prices for finished metals shapes and advanced manufacturing; finished nonmetals; and chemicals, excluding medicinals drove the advance in February while lower prices for major nonferrous metals-crude had a mitigating effect on the index.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods import categories advanced in February. Import capital goods prices increased 1.3 percent, the largest advance since the index was first published on a monthly basis in December 1988. Higher prices for computers, peripherals and semiconductors as well as for industrial and service machinery drove the increase. The price index for import consumer goods excluding automotives rose 0.5 percent in February. Higher prices for coins, gems, jewelry, and collectibles as well as for apparel, footwear, and household goods drove the overall increase in consumer goods excluding automotives import prices. Automotive vehicles, parts and engines import prices increased 0.2 percent in February.

Exports

The price index for U.S. exports rose 1.5 percent in February, the largest monthly advance since the index increased 2.7 percent in May 2022. Higher prices for nonagricultural exports and agricultural exports drove the advance in February. Prices for U.S. exports also increased over the 12-month period ended in February, rising 3.5 percent. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports rose 0.7 percent in February following a 0.2- percent increase in January. The February advance in agricultural prices was led by higher prices for meat, soybeans, and vegetables, which more than offset lower prices for other agricultural materials as well as for corn. The price index for agricultural exports advanced 2.2 percent from February 2025 to February 2026, as higher prices for other foods and food preparations, meat, and nuts drove the 12-month increase.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Export prices for nonagricultural commodities increased 1.7 percent in February, after rising 0.7 percent in both January and December. Higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials; consumer goods excluding automotives; capital goods; and automotive vehicles, parts and engines drove the increase. For the 12-month period ended February 2026, prices for nonagricultural exports advanced 3.8 percent. Higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials; capital goods; and consumer goods excluding automotives contributed to the 12-month increase.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices increased 3.6 percent in February, after an advance of 0.5 percent the previous month. Higher prices for natural gas; crude petroleum; nonferrous metals; and chemicals, excluding medicinals drove the increase in February.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods export categories advanced in February. Consumer goods excluding automotives export prices increased 0.7 percent for the second consecutive month in February and has not recorded a monthly decrease since the index fell 0.2 percent in September 2025. Capital goods export prices increased 0.2 percent in February and rose 3.0 percent year-over-year. Export prices for automotive vehicles, parts and engines ticked up 0.1 percent for the month.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China increased 0.5 percent in February and declined 1.9 percent over the past 12 months. The February increase was the largest monthly advance since the index rose 0.5 percent in March 2022. Prices for imports from Japan increased 0.4 percent in February following no recorded change in January and a decrease of 0.5 percent in December. Over the past 12 months, the price index for imports from Japan increased 0.7 percent. Import prices from the European Union increased 0.6 percent in February, the largest monthly advance since January 2024, and prices for imports from Canada increased 1.6 percent. In contrast, the price index for imports from Mexico decreased 0.5 percent in February, after rising 0.3 percent the previous month. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: Prices for exports to China increased 0.7 percent in February. Over the past 12 months, the price index for exports to China advanced 3.6 percent. Prices for exports to Japan rose 2.4 percent in February following an increase of 1.2 percent in January and a rise of 0.6 percent in December. The price index for exports to Japan advanced 5.9 percent over the past 12 months. Export prices to the European Union increased 3.2 percent in February, the largest monthly advance since the index rose 4.6 percent in March 2022. Export prices to Mexico advanced 0.9 percent in February, after falling 0.2 percent the previous month. Prices for exports to Canada increased 1.9 percent in February, the largest monthly advance since the index rose 3.0 percent in March 2022. Export prices to Canada increased 6.5 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year advance since an 8.7-percent increase in December 2022. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on the country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. The U.S. terms of trade index with China increased 0.2 percent in February, following a 0.8-percent advance in January. The index for U.S. terms of trade with Japan advanced 1.9 percent in February. The U.S. terms of trade index with the European Union increased 2.6 percent in February, after falling 0.1 percent in January. In February, the U.S. terms of trade index with Canada rose 0.3 percent and the index for U.S. terms of trade with Mexico advanced 1.3 percent. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares fell 0.4 percent in February, after a decrease of 10.1 percent in January. Lower prices for Asian fares more than offset higher prices for Latin American/Caribbean and European fares. The price index for import air passenger fares decreased 0.2 percent over the past year. Prices for import air freight declined 0.7 percent in February and increased 13.0 percent over the past 12 months. The over-the-year rise in February for import air freight prices was the largest advance since the index increased 17.3 percent for the 12 months ended January 2025. (See table 10.)

Exports: The price index for export air passenger fares decreased 11.9 percent in February after an increase of 13.2 percent in January. The February decline is the largest monthly decrease since the index fell 13.0 percent in February 2025. Lower Latin American/Caribbean, Asian and European fares in February contributed to the overall decrease in export air passenger fares. Export air passenger fares fell 1.6 percent from February 2025 to February 2026. Prices for export air freight rose 2.1 percent in February following a 2.8-percent increase in January. Higher prices for export European air freight and export Asian air freight contributed to the monthly advance. Despite the recent monthly increases, the price index for export air freight declined 1.0 percent over the past 12 months.

U.S. Import and Export Price Index data for March 2026 are scheduled for release on Wednesday, April 15, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Mar 25, 2026.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierFeb 23, 2026Publication referenceMar 25, 202630 days laterApr 24, 2026
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.01%Observed 6.22%Observed +21 bps vs. earlier reference6.23%Observed +1 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury4.03%Observed 4.33%Observed +30 bps vs. earlier reference4.31%Observed −2 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Dec 25, 2025 – Jun 25, 2026
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Mar 25, 2026Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%5.25%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · Dec 31, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Jan 8, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.06% · Jan 15, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Jan 22, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.10% · Jan 29, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Feb 5, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Feb 12, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Feb 19, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Feb 26, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.00% · Mar 5, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Mar 12, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Mar 19, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.38% · Mar 26, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Apr 2, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · Apr 9, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Apr 16, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.23% · Apr 23, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Apr 30, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · May 7, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.36% · May 14, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.51% · May 21, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.53% · May 28, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.48% · Jun 4, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Jun 11, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.47% · Jun 18, 202630-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Jun 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.14% · Dec 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.12% · Dec 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Dec 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.18% · Dec 31, 202510-year Treasury: 4.19% · Jan 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.17% · Jan 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.18% · Jan 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.15% · Jan 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.19% · Jan 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.18% · Jan 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.19% · Jan 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.18% · Jan 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.15% · Jan 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.17% · Jan 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jan 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Jan 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jan 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jan 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jan 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.22% · Jan 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jan 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jan 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jan 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jan 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Feb 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.28% · Feb 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Feb 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.21% · Feb 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.22% · Feb 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.22% · Feb 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.16% · Feb 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.18% · Feb 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.09% · Feb 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.04% · Feb 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.05% · Feb 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.09% · Feb 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.08% · Feb 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.08% · Feb 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.03% · Feb 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.04% · Feb 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.05% · Feb 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.02% · Feb 26, 202610-year Treasury: 3.97% · Feb 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.05% · Mar 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.06% · Mar 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.09% · Mar 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.13% · Mar 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.15% · Mar 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.12% · Mar 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.15% · Mar 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.21% · Mar 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.27% · Mar 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.28% · Mar 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.23% · Mar 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.20% · Mar 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Mar 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.25% · Mar 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.39% · Mar 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.34% · Mar 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.39% · Mar 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.33% · Mar 25, 202610-year Treasury: 4.42% · Mar 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.44% · Mar 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.35% · Mar 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Mar 31, 202610-year Treasury: 4.33% · Apr 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.31% · Apr 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.35% · Apr 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.34% · Apr 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.33% · Apr 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.31% · Apr 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Apr 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Apr 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.32% · Apr 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Apr 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.26% · Apr 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Apr 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.30% · Apr 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.34% · Apr 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.31% · Apr 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.35% · Apr 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.36% · Apr 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.42% · Apr 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.40% · Apr 30, 202610-year Treasury: 4.39% · May 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.36% · May 6, 202610-year Treasury: 4.41% · May 7, 202610-year Treasury: 4.38% · May 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.42% · May 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · May 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · May 13, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · May 14, 202610-year Treasury: 4.59% · May 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.61% · May 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.67% · May 19, 202610-year Treasury: 4.57% · May 20, 202610-year Treasury: 4.57% · May 21, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · May 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.50% · May 26, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · May 27, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 28, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 29, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 1, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 2, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 3, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 4, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jun 5, 202610-year Treasury: 4.56% · Jun 8, 202610-year Treasury: 4.53% · Jun 9, 202610-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jun 10, 202610-year Treasury: 4.45% · Jun 11, 202610-year Treasury: 4.48% · Jun 12, 202610-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 15, 202610-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jun 16, 202610-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 17, 202610-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 18, 202610-year Treasury: 4.51% · Jun 22, 202610-year Treasury: 4.50% · Jun 23, 202610-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 24, 202610-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jun 25, 2026Dec 25, 2025Mar 25, 2026Jun 25, 2026
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury125 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,841.30/month

6.22% · Mar 19, 2026

At the later reference$1,843.25/month

6.23% · Apr 23, 2026

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $1.95 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →