Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2025 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices increased 0.4 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.1-percent decrease in June. Higher prices for nonfuel imports and fuel imports drove the advance in July. Prices for…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices increased 0.4 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.1-percent decrease in June. Higher prices for nonfuel imports and fuel imports drove the advance in July. Prices for U.S. exports rose 0.1 percent in July, after increasing 0.5 percent the previous month.

Imports

Import prices increased 0.4 percent in July following a decrease of 0.1 percent in June and a decline of 0.4 percent in May. Prices for U.S. imports decreased 0.2 percent from July 2024 to July 2025. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Prices for import fuel advanced 2.7 percent in July following an increase of 0.8 percent in June and a decrease of 5.0 percent in May. The July increase was the largest monthly advance since the index rose 3.0 percent in January 2025. Higher prices for import petroleum and import natural gas drove the July increase, advancing 2.4 percent and 4.7 percent, respectively. Fuel import prices decreased 12.1 percent for the 12 months ended July 2025. The price index for petroleum imports decreased 13.7 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for import natural gas increased 62.2 percent over the same period.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports advanced 0.3 percent in July, following a decrease of 0.3 percent in June. Higher prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials, consumer goods, and capital goods more than offset lower prices for automotive vehicles and foods, feeds, and beverages. Nonfuel import prices increased 0.9 percent for the year ended July 2025 and have not declined on an over- the-year basis since a 0.6-percent decrease in February 2024. Higher prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; capital goods; and foods, feeds, and beverages contributed to the 12-month advance.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Foods, feeds, and beverages import prices decreased 0.1 percent in July following a decline of 1.3 percent in June and a drop of 0.7 percent in May. The index has not recorded a monthly advance since a 0.2-percent increase in January. Lower prices for distilled alcoholic beverages and green coffee more than offset higher prices for meat, vegetables, and food oils.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Import prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials increased 1.0 percent in July, the largest monthly advance since a 1.2-percent rise in February. Higher prices for finished nonmetals (boxes, belting, glass, etc.) and major nonferrous metals-crude more than offset lower prices for nonmonetary gold.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods import categories were mostly up in July. Import prices for consumer goods increased 0.4 percent in July, the largest 1-month rise since February 2024. Higher prices for apparel, footwear, and household goods contributed to the July advance. The price index for automotive vehicles decreased 0.2 percent in July, the largest monthly decline since the index dropped 0.2 percent in November 2024. The July decrease was led by lower prices for passenger cars, new and used. Import capital goods prices increased 0.1 percent in July.

Exports

Prices for U.S. exports ticked up 0.1 percent in July, after rising 0.5 percent in June. Higher prices for nonagricultural exports drove the July increase. U.S. export prices advanced 2.2 percent over the 12-month period ended in July. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports was unchanged in July following a 0.8- percent increase in June. Higher prices for meat and vegetables offset lower prices for corn and animal feeds. The price index for agricultural exports increased 3.4 percent for the year ended in July, the largest 12-month rise since a 5.3-percent advance in January 2023. Higher prices for nuts and meat more than offset lower prices for soybeans from July 2024 to July 2025.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural export prices ticked up 0.1 percent in July, after rising 0.5 percent in June and falling 0.8 percent in May. Higher prices for automotive vehicles, capital goods, and consumer goods more than offset lower prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials. Prices for nonagricultural exports increased 2.0 percent from July 2024 to July 2025. Higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, and automotive vehicles drove the 12-month increase.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 0.1 percent in July, after an increase of 1.0 percent the previous month. Lower prices for natural gas and nonferrous metals more than offset higher prices for petroleum in July.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods export categories were up in July. Capital goods prices increased 0.2 percent in July, after declining 0.2 percent the previous month. Higher prices for industrial and service machinery and for agricultural machinery and equipment drove the July advance. Automotive vehicles prices increased 0.7 percent in July, the largest monthly advance since the index rose 0.9 percent in April. The July advance was driven by higher prices for parts, engines, bodies and chassis. Consumer goods prices increased 0.2 percent in July.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China increased 0.2 percent in July, the first monthly advance since the index increased 0.4 percent in October 2022. The price index for imports from China decreased 2.4 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for imports from Japan increased 0.5 percent in July following decreases of 0.1 percent in June and May. The price index for imports from Japan increased 1.3 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year advance since the index rose 1.5 percent in January 2024. In July, import prices from Mexico increased 0.8 percent, after rising 0.1 percent the previous month. The July advance was the largest 1-month increase since the index rose 1.1 percent in July 2024. The index for import prices from the European Union increased 1.0 percent in July and prices for imports from Canada rose 0.6 percent. Despite the most recent monthly advance, import prices from Canada declined 3.4 percent for the 12-month period ended in July. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: In July, prices for exports to China increased 1.2 percent, the largest monthly advance since the index rose 2.4 percent in October 2024. The price index for exports to China advanced 1.1 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for exports to Japan decreased 0.7 percent in July following an increase of 0.4 percent in June and a decline of 1.3 percent in May. The price index for exports to Japan increased 0.3 percent over the past 12 months. The export price index for Canada increased 1.7 percent in July, the largest monthly rise since the index advanced 3.0 percent in March 2022. Export prices to the European Union advanced 0.3 percent in July and export prices to Mexico were unchanged, after rising 0.8 percent the previous month. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. The U.S. terms of trade index with China increased 1.0 percent in July, following a 2.6-percent decrease in June. The July rise in the U.S. terms of trade with China was driven by the advance in export prices to China. The index for U.S. terms of trade with Japan decreased 1.2 percent, as higher prices for imports and lower prices for exports both contributed to the monthly decline. The U.S. terms of trade index with the European Union decreased 0.7 percent in July, after rising 0.5 percent in June. In July, the U.S. terms of trade index with Canada increased 1.1 percent and U.S. terms of trade with Mexico declined 0.7 percent. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares decreased 14.3 percent in July, after an increase of 5.4 percent in June. The July decline was the largest 1-month drop since a 19.4-percent decrease in January 2022. Lower European, Asian, and Latin American/Caribbean fares all contributed to the monthly decrease in import air passenger fares. Import air passenger fares decreased 7.0 percent over the past year, the largest over-the- year decline since August 2023. Prices for import air freight increased 3.1 percent in July. The import air freight index decreased 5.3 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year drop since the index declined 5.4 percent for the year ended March 2024. (See table 10.)

Exports: Export air passenger fares declined 2.6 percent in July following a 7.6-percent increase the previous month. Lower European, Latin American/Caribbean, and Asian fares drove the decrease of export air passenger fares. The price index for export air passenger fares decreased 5.1 percent from July 2024 to July 2025. Export air freight prices increased 2.3 percent in July and advanced 2.5 percent over the past year. The monthly rise in July was the largest increase since the index advanced 4.9 percent in October 2024.

U.S. Import and Export Price Index data for August 2025 are scheduled for release on Tuesday, September 16, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 15, 2025.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 16, 2025Publication referenceAug 15, 202530 days laterSep 14, 2025
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.72%Observed 6.58%Observed −14 bps vs. earlier reference6.35%Observed −23 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury4.46%Observed 4.33%Observed −13 bps vs. earlier reference4.06%Observed −27 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 15, 2025 – Nov 15, 2025
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 15, 2025Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%5.25%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · May 15, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.86% · May 22, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.89% · May 29, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.85% · Jun 5, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.84% · Jun 12, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jun 18, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.77% · Jun 26, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jul 3, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.72% · Jul 10, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.75% · Jul 17, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jul 24, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.72% · Jul 31, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Aug 7, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.58% · Aug 14, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.58% · Aug 21, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.56% · Aug 28, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.50% · Sep 4, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · Sep 11, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.26% · Sep 18, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Sep 25, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · Oct 2, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Oct 9, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Oct 16, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.19% · Oct 23, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.17% · Oct 30, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Nov 6, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.24% · Nov 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · May 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.48% · May 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.58% · May 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.54% · May 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.51% · May 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.47% · May 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.41% · May 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.37% · Jun 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jun 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.51% · Jun 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.36% · Jun 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.39% · Jun 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Jun 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.30% · Jun 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Jun 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jun 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Jun 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jun 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jul 1, 202510-year Treasury: 4.30% · Jul 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.35% · Jul 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jul 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.42% · Jul 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Jul 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.35% · Jul 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jul 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jul 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.50% · Jul 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jul 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jul 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.44% · Jul 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jul 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.35% · Jul 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jul 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jul 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jul 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.42% · Jul 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Jul 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jul 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.37% · Jul 31, 202510-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 1, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Aug 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Aug 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Aug 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.27% · Aug 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.27% · Aug 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Aug 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.24% · Aug 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Aug 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.33% · Aug 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Aug 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.30% · Aug 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Aug 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.33% · Aug 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Aug 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.28% · Aug 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Aug 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.24% · Aug 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Aug 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.23% · Aug 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.28% · Sep 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Sep 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.17% · Sep 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.10% · Sep 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.05% · Sep 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.08% · Sep 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.04% · Sep 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.01% · Sep 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.06% · Sep 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.05% · Sep 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.04% · Sep 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.06% · Sep 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Sep 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Sep 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.15% · Sep 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.12% · Sep 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.16% · Sep 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.18% · Sep 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.20% · Sep 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.15% · Sep 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.16% · Sep 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.12% · Oct 1, 202510-year Treasury: 4.10% · Oct 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Oct 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.18% · Oct 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Oct 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Oct 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Oct 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.05% · Oct 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.03% · Oct 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.05% · Oct 15, 202510-year Treasury: 3.99% · Oct 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.02% · Oct 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.00% · Oct 20, 202510-year Treasury: 3.98% · Oct 21, 202510-year Treasury: 3.97% · Oct 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.01% · Oct 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.02% · Oct 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.01% · Oct 27, 202510-year Treasury: 3.99% · Oct 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.08% · Oct 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Oct 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Oct 31, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Nov 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.10% · Nov 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.17% · Nov 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Nov 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Nov 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.13% · Nov 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.08% · Nov 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.11% · Nov 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.14% · Nov 14, 2025May 15, 2025Aug 15, 2025Nov 15, 2025
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,912.02/month

6.58% · Aug 14, 2025

At the later reference$1,866.71/month

6.35% · Sep 11, 2025

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $45.31 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →