Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

March 2025 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices decreased 0.1 percent in March following a 0.2-percent increase in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower prices for fuel imports more than offset higher prices for nonfuel imports in…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices decreased 0.1 percent in March following a 0.2-percent increase in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower prices for fuel imports more than offset higher prices for nonfuel imports in March. Prices for U.S. exports were unchanged in March, after rising 0.5 percent the previous month.

Imports

U.S. import prices decreased 0.1 percent in March following an increase of 0.2 percent in February. The March decline was the first monthly drop since the index decreased 0.4 percent in September 2024. Prices for U.S. imports increased 0.9 percent from March 2024 to March 2025. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Import fuel prices decreased 2.3 percent in March following increases of 1.6 percent in February and 2.7 percent in January. The March decline was the largest monthly drop since the index decreased 7.2 percent in September 2024. Lower prices for petroleum and natural gas drove the overall decline in import fuel prices in March. Fuel import prices decreased 5.2 percent from March 2024 to March 2025. Prices for import petroleum declined 1.5 percent in March, the first monthly decrease since October 2024. The price index for petroleum imports fell 6.7 percent over the past 12 months. Import natural gas prices decreased 19.8 percent in March, the largest monthly decline since March 2024. Natural gas prices rose 88.5 percent for the year ended in March.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports increased 0.1 percent for the second consecutive month in March. Nonfuel import prices have not declined on a monthly basis since a 0.2-percent drop in May 2024. Higher prices for capital goods; nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; and foods, feeds, and beverages more than offset lower prices for consumer goods and automotive vehicles. The price index for nonfuel imports advanced 1.5 percent for the year ended in March.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Foods, feeds, and beverages prices ticked up 0.1 percent in March, after being unchanged in February. Higher prices for green coffee, cocoa beans, and bakery and confectionery products more than offset lower prices for vegetables and distilled alcoholic beverages.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: The price index for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials rose 0.4 percent in March, after a 1.2-percent increase in February. Higher prices for major nonferrous metals drove the increase in nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices in March. Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices advanced 6.7 percent from March 2024 to March 2025.

Finished Goods: Prices for the major finished goods import categories were mixed in March. Capital goods prices increased 0.3 percent, after edging down 0.1 percent in February. Higher prices for civilian aircraft, engines, and parts and telecommunications equipment drove the advance. In contrast, the price index for automotive vehicles declined 0.1 percent for the fourth consecutive month in March. Lower prices for parts, engines, bodies and chassis led the decrease. Import consumer goods prices fell 0.2 percent for the second consecutive month in March. Lower prices for household goods drove the decline in consumer goods prices.

Exports

Prices for U.S. exports were unchanged in March following increases of 0.5 percent in February and 1.4 percent in January. U.S. export prices have not declined on a 1-month basis since September 2024. The price index for U.S. exports advanced 2.4 percent from March 2024 to March 2025. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: The index for agricultural export prices was unchanged in March following a 0.6- percent increase in February and a 0.2-percent drop in January. Higher prices for soybeans offset lower prices for wheat and rice. Agricultural export prices advanced 1.4 percent for the year ended in March. Over the past year, higher prices for nuts and meat more than offset lower prices for soybeans.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: The price index for nonagricultural exports decreased 0.1 percent in March, after rising 0.5 percent in February and 1.5 percent in January. The March decline in nonagricultural export prices was the first monthly decrease since a 0.7-percent drop in September 2024. Lower prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials and nonagricultural foods more than offset higher prices for capital goods, consumer goods, and automotive vehicles. Prices for nonagricultural exports advanced 2.5 percent from March 2024 to March 2025. Higher export prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, and automotive vehicles all contributed to the 12-month increase.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 0.5 percent in March, after advancing 1.1 percent the previous month. The March decline was the first 1-month decrease since a 0.1-percent drop in November 2024. The price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials increased 3.5 percent for the year ended March 2025.

Finished Goods: Prices for each of the major finished goods export categories rose in March. Capital goods prices increased 0.5 percent, after ticking up 0.1 percent in February. Higher prices for oil drilling, mining, and construction machinery, and equipment; industrial and service machinery; and computers, peripherals, and semiconductors drove the monthly increase. Automotive vehicles prices rose 0.2 percent in March for the second consecutive month. Consumer goods prices increased 0.3 percent for the third consecutive month in March, which was led by higher prices for coins, gems, jewelry, and collectibles.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China decreased 0.2 percent in March, after edging down 0.1 percent in February and declining 0.4 percent in January. The price index for imports from China decreased 0.9 percent over the past 12 months. The price index has not recorded a 12-month increase since the year ended December 2022. Prices for imports from Japan rose 0.5 percent for the second consecutive month in March. The price index for imports from Japan increased 1.7 percent over the past 12 months. Import prices from the European Union were unchanged in March, after a 0.4-percent advance in February. The price indexes for imports from Mexico and Canada declined in March, decreasing 0.3 percent and 1.5 percent, respectively. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: Prices for exports to China ticked up 0.1 percent in March, after increasing 0.3 percent the previous month. The price index for exports to China increased 1.5 percent over the past 12 months. The price index has not recorded a 12-month decline since December 2024. Prices for exports to Japan advanced 0.7 percent in March following increases of 0.9 percent in February and 1.2 percent in January. The price index for exports to Japan increased 5.5 percent for the year ended in March, the largest 12-month rise since the index advanced 5.7 percent in November 2022. The price indexes for exports to the European Union and Mexico each declined in March, decreasing 0.1 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively. In contrast, prices for exports to Canada rose 2.4 percent over the same period, the largest monthly increase since March 2022. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of Trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. U.S. terms of trade with China increased 0.3 percent in March following a 0.4-percent advance in February. The index for U.S. terms of trade with China advanced 2.3 percent over the past 12 months. U.S. terms of trade with Japan increased 0.2 percent in March following a 0.4-percent rise in February. The index for U.S. terms of trade with Japan rose 3.8 percent for the year ended in March. In contrast, U.S. terms of trade with Mexico and the European Union both decreased in March, falling 0.4 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. U.S. terms of trade with Canada increased 3.9 percent in March. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares increased 0.6 percent in March, after advancing 3.4 percent in February and declining 12.8 percent in January. Higher European and Asian fares in March more than offset lower Latin American/Caribbean fares. Import air passenger fares decreased 2.8 percent over the past year. Prices for import air freight increased 1.5 percent in March following a 13.5-percent drop in February and a 3.1- percent decline in January. The March advance in import air freight prices was the first monthly increase since the index rose 1.5 percent in November 2024. Higher Asian air freight prices more than offset lower prices for European air freight in March. Import air freight prices increased 5.5 percent from March 2024 to March 2025. (See table 10.)

Exports: Export air passenger fares increased 2.6 percent in March following a 13.0-percent decrease the previous month. Higher European and Asian fares more than offset lower Latin American/Caribbean fares. The price index for export air passenger fares decreased 1.2 percent from March 2024 to March 2025, the first 12-month decline since November 2024. Export air freight prices advanced 1.2 percent in March following a 2.1-percent drop the previous month. Prices for export air freight fell 0.8 percent over the past year.

U.S. Import and Export Price Index data for April 2025 are scheduled for release on Friday, May 16, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Apr 15, 2025.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierMar 16, 2025Publication referenceApr 15, 202530 days laterMay 15, 2025
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.65%Observed 6.62%Observed −3 bps vs. earlier reference6.81%Observed +19 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury4.31%Observed 4.35%Observed +4 bps vs. earlier reference4.45%Observed +10 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jan 15, 2025 – Jul 15, 2025
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Apr 15, 2025Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.00%5.75%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 7.04% · Jan 16, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.96% · Jan 23, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.95% · Jan 30, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.89% · Feb 6, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.87% · Feb 13, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.85% · Feb 20, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.76% · Feb 27, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Mar 6, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.65% · Mar 13, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Mar 20, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.65% · Mar 27, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.64% · Apr 3, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.62% · Apr 10, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.83% · Apr 17, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Apr 24, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.76% · May 1, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.76% · May 8, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · May 15, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.86% · May 22, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.89% · May 29, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.85% · Jun 5, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.84% · Jun 12, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.81% · Jun 18, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.77% · Jun 26, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.67% · Jul 3, 202530-year fixed mortgage: 6.72% · Jul 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.66% · Jan 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.61% · Jan 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.61% · Jan 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.57% · Jan 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.60% · Jan 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.65% · Jan 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.63% · Jan 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.53% · Jan 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jan 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.55% · Jan 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.52% · Jan 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.58% · Jan 31, 202510-year Treasury: 4.54% · Feb 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.52% · Feb 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · Feb 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.45% · Feb 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.49% · Feb 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.51% · Feb 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.54% · Feb 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.62% · Feb 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.52% · Feb 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.47% · Feb 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.55% · Feb 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.53% · Feb 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.50% · Feb 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.42% · Feb 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Feb 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.30% · Feb 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.25% · Feb 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Feb 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.24% · Feb 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.16% · Mar 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Mar 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.28% · Mar 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Mar 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.32% · Mar 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.22% · Mar 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.28% · Mar 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.32% · Mar 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.27% · Mar 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.31% · Mar 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.31% · Mar 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Mar 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.25% · Mar 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.24% · Mar 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.25% · Mar 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Mar 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.31% · Mar 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.35% · Mar 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Mar 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.27% · Mar 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.23% · Mar 31, 202510-year Treasury: 4.17% · Apr 1, 202510-year Treasury: 4.20% · Apr 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.06% · Apr 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.01% · Apr 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.15% · Apr 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Apr 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Apr 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Apr 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.48% · Apr 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Apr 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.35% · Apr 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Apr 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.42% · Apr 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.41% · Apr 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Apr 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.32% · Apr 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Apr 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.23% · Apr 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.19% · Apr 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.17% · Apr 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.25% · May 1, 202510-year Treasury: 4.33% · May 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.36% · May 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.30% · May 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · May 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.37% · May 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.37% · May 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.49% · May 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.53% · May 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.45% · May 15, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · May 19, 202510-year Treasury: 4.48% · May 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.58% · May 21, 202510-year Treasury: 4.54% · May 22, 202510-year Treasury: 4.51% · May 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.47% · May 28, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · May 29, 202510-year Treasury: 4.41% · May 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.37% · Jun 4, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jun 5, 202510-year Treasury: 4.51% · Jun 6, 202510-year Treasury: 4.49% · Jun 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.47% · Jun 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.36% · Jun 12, 202510-year Treasury: 4.41% · Jun 13, 202510-year Treasury: 4.46% · Jun 16, 202510-year Treasury: 4.39% · Jun 17, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 18, 202510-year Treasury: 4.38% · Jun 20, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Jun 23, 202510-year Treasury: 4.30% · Jun 24, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Jun 25, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jun 26, 202510-year Treasury: 4.29% · Jun 27, 202510-year Treasury: 4.24% · Jun 30, 202510-year Treasury: 4.26% · Jul 1, 202510-year Treasury: 4.30% · Jul 2, 202510-year Treasury: 4.35% · Jul 3, 202510-year Treasury: 4.40% · Jul 7, 202510-year Treasury: 4.42% · Jul 8, 202510-year Treasury: 4.34% · Jul 9, 202510-year Treasury: 4.35% · Jul 10, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jul 11, 202510-year Treasury: 4.43% · Jul 14, 202510-year Treasury: 4.50% · Jul 15, 2025Jan 15, 2025Apr 15, 2025Jul 15, 2025
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury124 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,919.94/month

6.62% · Apr 10, 2025

At the later reference$1,957.77/month

6.81% · May 15, 2025

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $37.83 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →