Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2022 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices decreased 1.2 percent in September, after declining 1.1 percent the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower fuel and nonfuel prices in September contributed to the drop in U.S. import…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices decreased 1.2 percent in September, after declining 1.1 percent the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower fuel and nonfuel prices in September contributed to the drop in U.S. import prices. Prices for U.S. exports fell 0.8 percent in September following a 1.7-percent decline in August.

Imports

The price index for U.S. imports decreased 1.2 percent in September and 3.7 percent in the third quarter of 2022. The quarterly drop was the largest 3-month decline since the index fell 4.3 percent for the 3 months ended May 2020. Prices for U.S. imports rose 6.0 percent over the past year, the smallest 12-month advance since the index rose 3.0 percent for the year ended February 2021. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Prices for import fuel fell 7.5 percent for the second consecutive month in September. Those were the largest 1-month declines since the index decreased 7.7 percent in December 2021. Despite the recent declines, import fuel prices rose 32.3 percent from September 2021 to September 2022. Lower prices in September for petroleum and natural gas contributed to the overall drop in import fuel prices. Petroleum prices decreased 7.5 percent in September, after declining 8.3 percent in August. The price index for natural gas fell 10.5 percent in September following a 3.5-percent advance the previous month. Petroleum prices rose 31.5 percent for the year ended in September and natural gas prices advanced 49.1 percent over the same period.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Nonfuel import prices decreased 0.4 percent in September, after declining 0.2 percent the previous month. Prices for nonfuel imports have not advanced on a monthly basis since a 0.4- percent increase in April 2022. Lower prices in September for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials more than offset higher prices for foods, feeds, and beverages. Despite the recent drops, nonfuel import prices rose 3.4 percent for the year ended in September.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Prices for foods, feeds, and beverages advanced 0.2 percent in September, the first 1-month increase since a 0.9-percent rise in April 2022. A 12.2-percent advance in vegetable prices in September more than offset a 6.9-percent decline in fruit prices.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: The price index for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials fell 1.9 percent in September following a 0.4-percent drop in August. The September decrease was led by lower prices for unfinished metals, chemicals, finished metals, and selected building materials.

Finished Goods: Each of the major finished goods categories was unchanged in September. Capital goods prices were unchanged following a 0.1-percent decrease in August. The price index for consumer goods was unchanged in September, after ticking up 0.1 percent the previous month. Consumer goods prices have not recorded a monthly drop since June 2022. Prices for automotive vehicles were unchanged in September following a revised 0.3-percent drop the previous month. The August decline was the first 1-month decrease since November 2020 and the largest monthly drop since January 2019.

Exports

U.S. export prices declined 0.8 percent in September and 6.2 percent in the third quarter of 2022. The quarterly drop was the largest 3-month decrease since the index fell 7.3 percent from September to December 2008. Lower agricultural and nonagricultural prices each contributed to the September decline. Prices for U.S. exports rose 9.5 percent over the past year, the smallest 12-month advance since a 5.4- percent increase in February 2021. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports decreased 1.0 percent in September, after falling 0.5 percent the previous month. Lower prices for soybeans, fruit, meat, and nuts led the September decline. Agricultural export prices increased 12.6 percent over the past 12 months and have not decreased on an over-the-year basis since the index fell 2.9 percent from August 2019 to August 2020.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural prices declined 0.9 percent in September following drops of 1.8 percent in August and 3.8 percent in July. Lower prices in September for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials and consumer goods more than offset higher prices for capital goods, nonagricultural foods, and automotive vehicles. Despite the recent decreases, prices for nonagricultural exports increased 9.2 percent over the past 12 months.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials exports fell 1.8 percent in September following a 3.8-percent decline in August. Lower prices for chemicals, fuels, and nonferrous metals all contributed to the September decrease.

Finished Goods: Prices were mixed for the major finished goods categories in September. The price indexes for capital goods and automotive vehicles each increased 0.2 percent. The advance in capital goods prices was led by higher computer prices. The rise in automotive vehicles prices was driven by higher parts prices. In contrast, prices for consumer goods exports declined 0.3 percent in September, the first monthly decrease since May 2022.

More information for the major import and export price indexes can be found at www.bls.gov/web/ximpim/largest.htm.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Prices for imports from China ticked up 0.1 percent in September, after edging down 0.1 percent in each of the previous 2 months. The September advance was the first increase since April 2022. The price index for imports from China increased 2.0 percent over the past year. Import prices from Japan rose 0.1 percent in September following declines of 0.1 percent in August and 0.2 percent in July. Prices for imports from Japan advanced 1.2 percent for the year ended in September. In contrast, import prices from Canada fell 3.6 percent in September, after decreasing 3.3 percent the previous month. Despite the declines, prices for imports from Canada rose 16.3 percent over the past 12 months. The price indexes for imports from the European Union and Mexico also fell in September, decreasing 0.5 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: Export prices to China fell 2.2 percent in September following declines of 1.7 percent in August and 4.6 percent in July. Despite declining 8.3 percent in the third quarter of 2022, prices for exports to China advanced 5.2 percent for the year ended in September. The price index for exports to Japan decreased 2.0 percent in September, after a 2.2-percent drop the previous month. Export prices to Japan have not recorded a monthly increase since May. Prices for exports to Japan rose 7.2 percent over the past 12 months. The price index for exports to Canada fell 1.1 percent in September following a 0.2-percent drop in August. Export prices to Canada advanced 8.8 percent over the past year, the smallest 12-month increase since February 2021. Prices for exports to the European Union and Mexico also declined in September, decreasing 1.3 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. U.S. terms of trade with China fell 2.3 percent in September and 8.2 percent in the third quarter of 2022. Lower export prices to China and higher import prices from China both contributed to the September drop in U.S. terms of trade with China. Despite the recent decreases, U.S. terms of trade with China increased 3.3 percent over the past year. The index for U.S. terms of trade with Japan fell 2.2 percent in September, after declining 2.1 percent the previous month. In contrast, the index for U.S. terms of trade with Canada rose 2.6 percent in September following 3.3- percent advances in August and July. U.S. terms of trade with the European Union and Mexico fell in September, down 0.8 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares rose 4.7 percent in September following a 9.9-percent decrease the previous month. The September increase was driven by a 15.2-percent advance in European fares which rebounded from a 14.4-percent drop in August. The index for import air passenger fares increased 7.1 percent from September 2021 to September 2022. Import air freight prices declined 0.5 percent in September, after advancing 3.4 percent in August. Lower Asian air freight prices in September more than offset higher European air freight prices. Prices for import air freight decreased 5.6 percent for the year ended in September. (See table 10.)

Exports: Export air passenger fares declined 3.7 percent in September following a 2.4-percent drop in August. The September decrease was the largest 1-month decline since the index fell 11.2 percent in February. The index for export air passenger fares advanced 13.8 percent over the past year. Export air freight prices decreased 3.7 percent in September, after a 0.4-percent drop the previous month. The September decline was the largest monthly drop since the index fell 6.7 percent in October 2020. Prices for export air freight rose 16.6 percent over the past 12 months.

U.S. Import and Export Price Index data for October 2022 are scheduled for release on Wednesday, November 16, 2022 at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 14, 2022.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 14, 2022Publication referenceOct 14, 202230 days laterNov 13, 2022
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.89%Observed 6.92%Observed +103 bps vs. earlier reference7.08%Observed +16 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury3.41%Observed 4.00%Observed +59 bps vs. earlier reference3.82%Observed −18 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 14, 2022 – Jan 14, 2023
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 14, 2022Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.2.50%5.00%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.51% · Jul 14, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.54% · Jul 21, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.30% · Jul 28, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 4.99% · Aug 4, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.22% · Aug 11, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.13% · Aug 18, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.55% · Aug 25, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.66% · Sep 1, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 5.89% · Sep 8, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.02% · Sep 15, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.29% · Sep 22, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.70% · Sep 29, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.66% · Oct 6, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.92% · Oct 13, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.94% · Oct 20, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 7.08% · Oct 27, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.95% · Nov 3, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 7.08% · Nov 10, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.61% · Nov 17, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.58% · Nov 23, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.49% · Dec 1, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.33% · Dec 8, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Dec 15, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Dec 22, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.42% · Dec 29, 202230-year fixed mortgage: 6.48% · Jan 5, 202330-year fixed mortgage: 6.33% · Jan 12, 202310-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 14, 202210-year Treasury: 2.93% · Jul 15, 202210-year Treasury: 2.96% · Jul 18, 202210-year Treasury: 3.01% · Jul 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.04% · Jul 20, 202210-year Treasury: 2.91% · Jul 21, 202210-year Treasury: 2.77% · Jul 22, 202210-year Treasury: 2.81% · Jul 25, 202210-year Treasury: 2.81% · Jul 26, 202210-year Treasury: 2.78% · Jul 27, 202210-year Treasury: 2.68% · Jul 28, 202210-year Treasury: 2.67% · Jul 29, 202210-year Treasury: 2.60% · Aug 1, 202210-year Treasury: 2.75% · Aug 2, 202210-year Treasury: 2.73% · Aug 3, 202210-year Treasury: 2.68% · Aug 4, 202210-year Treasury: 2.83% · Aug 5, 202210-year Treasury: 2.77% · Aug 8, 202210-year Treasury: 2.80% · Aug 9, 202210-year Treasury: 2.78% · Aug 10, 202210-year Treasury: 2.87% · Aug 11, 202210-year Treasury: 2.84% · Aug 12, 202210-year Treasury: 2.79% · Aug 15, 202210-year Treasury: 2.82% · Aug 16, 202210-year Treasury: 2.89% · Aug 17, 202210-year Treasury: 2.88% · Aug 18, 202210-year Treasury: 2.98% · Aug 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.03% · Aug 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.05% · Aug 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.11% · Aug 24, 202210-year Treasury: 3.03% · Aug 25, 202210-year Treasury: 3.04% · Aug 26, 202210-year Treasury: 3.12% · Aug 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.11% · Aug 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.15% · Aug 31, 202210-year Treasury: 3.26% · Sep 1, 202210-year Treasury: 3.20% · Sep 2, 202210-year Treasury: 3.33% · Sep 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.27% · Sep 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.29% · Sep 8, 202210-year Treasury: 3.33% · Sep 9, 202210-year Treasury: 3.37% · Sep 12, 202210-year Treasury: 3.42% · Sep 13, 202210-year Treasury: 3.41% · Sep 14, 202210-year Treasury: 3.45% · Sep 15, 202210-year Treasury: 3.45% · Sep 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.49% · Sep 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.57% · Sep 20, 202210-year Treasury: 3.51% · Sep 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.70% · Sep 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.69% · Sep 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Sep 26, 202210-year Treasury: 3.97% · Sep 27, 202210-year Treasury: 3.72% · Sep 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.76% · Sep 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Sep 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.67% · Oct 3, 202210-year Treasury: 3.62% · Oct 4, 202210-year Treasury: 3.76% · Oct 5, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Oct 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.89% · Oct 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.93% · Oct 11, 202210-year Treasury: 3.91% · Oct 12, 202210-year Treasury: 3.97% · Oct 13, 202210-year Treasury: 4.00% · Oct 14, 202210-year Treasury: 4.02% · Oct 17, 202210-year Treasury: 4.01% · Oct 18, 202210-year Treasury: 4.14% · Oct 19, 202210-year Treasury: 4.24% · Oct 20, 202210-year Treasury: 4.21% · Oct 21, 202210-year Treasury: 4.25% · Oct 24, 202210-year Treasury: 4.10% · Oct 25, 202210-year Treasury: 4.04% · Oct 26, 202210-year Treasury: 3.96% · Oct 27, 202210-year Treasury: 4.02% · Oct 28, 202210-year Treasury: 4.10% · Oct 31, 202210-year Treasury: 4.07% · Nov 1, 202210-year Treasury: 4.10% · Nov 2, 202210-year Treasury: 4.14% · Nov 3, 202210-year Treasury: 4.17% · Nov 4, 202210-year Treasury: 4.22% · Nov 7, 202210-year Treasury: 4.14% · Nov 8, 202210-year Treasury: 4.12% · Nov 9, 202210-year Treasury: 3.82% · Nov 10, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Nov 14, 202210-year Treasury: 3.80% · Nov 15, 202210-year Treasury: 3.67% · Nov 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.77% · Nov 17, 202210-year Treasury: 3.82% · Nov 18, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Nov 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.76% · Nov 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.71% · Nov 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.68% · Nov 25, 202210-year Treasury: 3.69% · Nov 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.75% · Nov 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.68% · Nov 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.53% · Dec 1, 202210-year Treasury: 3.51% · Dec 2, 202210-year Treasury: 3.60% · Dec 5, 202210-year Treasury: 3.51% · Dec 6, 202210-year Treasury: 3.42% · Dec 7, 202210-year Treasury: 3.48% · Dec 8, 202210-year Treasury: 3.57% · Dec 9, 202210-year Treasury: 3.61% · Dec 12, 202210-year Treasury: 3.51% · Dec 13, 202210-year Treasury: 3.49% · Dec 14, 202210-year Treasury: 3.44% · Dec 15, 202210-year Treasury: 3.48% · Dec 16, 202210-year Treasury: 3.57% · Dec 19, 202210-year Treasury: 3.69% · Dec 20, 202210-year Treasury: 3.68% · Dec 21, 202210-year Treasury: 3.67% · Dec 22, 202210-year Treasury: 3.75% · Dec 23, 202210-year Treasury: 3.84% · Dec 27, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Dec 28, 202210-year Treasury: 3.83% · Dec 29, 202210-year Treasury: 3.88% · Dec 30, 202210-year Treasury: 3.79% · Jan 3, 202310-year Treasury: 3.69% · Jan 4, 202310-year Treasury: 3.71% · Jan 5, 202310-year Treasury: 3.55% · Jan 6, 202310-year Treasury: 3.53% · Jan 9, 202310-year Treasury: 3.61% · Jan 10, 202310-year Treasury: 3.54% · Jan 11, 202310-year Treasury: 3.43% · Jan 12, 202310-year Treasury: 3.49% · Jan 13, 2023Jul 14, 2022Oct 14, 2022Jan 14, 2023
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,979.82/month

6.92% · Oct 13, 2022

At the later reference$2,012.05/month

7.08% · Nov 10, 2022

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $32.24 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

How policy and mortgage rates connect →See current advertised mortgage options →