Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

August 2021 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices declined 0.3 percent in August following increases of 0.4 percent in July and 1.1 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The August downturn was led by lower fuel and nonfuel prices. In…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices declined 0.3 percent in August following increases of 0.4 percent in July and 1.1 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The August downturn was led by lower fuel and nonfuel prices. In contrast, prices for U.S. exports advanced 0.4 percent in August, after increasing 1.1 percent in July.

Error in the Export Air Freight Price Indexes

BLS discovered an error affecting the export price indexes for air freight, air freight-Europe, and air freight-Asia for January to June 2021. The items for foreign-to-foreign destinations were mistakenly excluded from the calculation of the indexes. Corrected values appear in this release. More information is available at www.bls.gov/errata/home.htm?errataID=87723.

Imports

The price index for U.S. imports decreased 0.3 percent in August, the first monthly decline for the index since a 0.1-percent drop in October 2020. Import prices advanced 9.0 percent over the past year, the smallest 12-month increase since March 2021. Higher fuel and nonfuel prices contributed to the overall advance in import prices from August 2020 to August 2021. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Import fuel prices declined 2.3 percent in August following a 3.0-percent increase in July. The August drop was the first monthly decrease since the index fell 1.0 percent in October 2020. The August downturn was mostly driven by lower petroleum prices. Prices for import petroleum declined 2.4 percent in August, after advancing 2.3 percent the previous month. The price index for natural gas also fell in August, decreasing 0.8 percent following a 16.6-percent increase in July. Despite the declines in August, prices for import fuel rose 56.5 percent over the past year. Petroleum prices increased 55.9 percent and prices for natural gas advanced 93.2 percent from August 2020 to August 2021.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports fell 0.1 percent in August, after ticking up 0.1 percent the previous month. The August drop was the first monthly decline since the index fell 0.2 percent in November 2020. In August, a drop in the price index for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials more than offset higher prices for automotive vehicles; foods, feeds, and beverages; capital goods; and consumer goods. Nonfuel import prices increased 5.6 percent for the year ended in August.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Prices for foods, feeds, and beverages advanced 0.6 percent for the second consecutive month. In August, the rise was led by higher prices for fruit and coffee.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices decreased 1.3 percent in August, after declining 1.2 percent in July. The August drop was primarily driven by lower selected building materials prices which more than offset higher chemicals prices.

Finished Goods: Prices for each of the major finished goods categories advanced in August. Capital goods prices ticked up 0.1 percent, led by higher prices for computers, peripherals, and semiconductors, and oil drilling, mining, and construction machinery. Prices for automotive vehicles rose 0.3 percent in August and consumer goods prices advanced 0.1 percent.

Exports

U.S. export prices advanced 0.4 percent in August following increases of 1.1 percent in July and 1.2 percent in June. The August rise was the smallest 1-month advance since October 2020. Higher prices for both agricultural and nonagricultural exports contributed to the August increase. Prices for U.S. exports advanced 16.8 percent for the year ended in August. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: Prices for agricultural exports rose 1.1 percent in August, after decreasing 1.7 percent the previous month. In August, higher prices for nuts, wheat, meat, vegetables, and dairy products more than offset lower prices for corn, animal feeds, fruit, and soybeans. Agricultural export prices advanced 33.4 percent over the past year.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: The price index for nonagricultural exports advanced 0.2 percent in August following a 1.4-percent increase the previous month. The August rise was the smallest 1-month advance since the index last recorded a monthly decline in October 2020. In August, higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, automotive vehicles, and nonagricultural foods more than offset declining consumer goods prices. Nonagricultural export prices increased 14.9 percent from August 2020 to August 2021.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices rose 0.6 percent in August, after a 3.0-percent increase in July. Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials exports have not recorded a monthly decline since October 2020.

Finished Goods: Prices for most of the major finished goods categories increased in August. The price index for export capital goods ticked up 0.1 percent in August following 0.4-percent advances in July and June. The August rise was driven by higher prices for industrial and service machinery, and oil drilling, mining, and construction machinery. Automotive vehicle prices rose 0.2 percent in August, after a 0.5- percent increase the previous month. In contrast, prices for consumer goods fell 0.3 percent in August following a 0.2-percent drop in July. Lower prices for medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical materials led the decline each month.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China increased 0.4 percent in August following a 0.6- percent advance in July. The index has not recorded a monthly decline since edging down 0.1 percent in October 2020. Higher prices for fabricated metal product manufacturing were the largest contributor to the August increase. Prices for imports from China rose 3.8 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over- the-year advance since a 4.0-percent increase in November 2011. The price index for imports from Japan rose 0.2 percent in August, after a 0.3-percent advance the previous month. Import prices from Japan have not declined on a monthly basis since edging down 0.1 percent in July 2020 and increased 2.5 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for imports from Mexico and the European Union also rose in August, advancing 0.3 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. In contrast, the price index for imports from Canada decreased 3.3 percent in August, the largest 1-month drop since the index fell 11.8 percent in April 2020. Despite the decline, import prices from Canada increased 25.0 percent over the past year. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: Prices for exports to China continued to rise in August, increasing 0.2 percent following a 0.3-percent advance in July. Export prices to China have not recorded a 1-month decrease since a 1.2-percent drop in September 2020. The price index for exports to China rose 12.1 percent for the year ended in August. Prices for exports to Japan were unchanged in August, after edging down 0.1 percent the previous month. Export prices to Japan increased 13.7 percent over the past 12 months. The price index for exports to Mexico rose 0.6 percent in August and 27.8 percent over the past year. In contrast, prices for exports to the European Union and Canada declined in August. Export prices to the European Union fell 0.2 percent for the second consecutive month. Prices for exports to Canada decreased 0.3 percent, the first monthly drop since the index declined 3.0 percent in April 2020. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. U.S. terms of trade with China declined 0.2 percent in August, after decreasing 0.3 percent in July. In both months, higher import prices from China more than offset rising export prices to China. Despite the recent drops, the index for U.S. terms of trade with China rose 8.0 percent over the past year. U.S. terms of trade with Japan declined for the second consecutive month, falling 0.3 percent in August following a 0.4-percent drop in July. U.S. terms of trade with the European Union also decreased in August, falling 0.2 percent, after declining 1.1 percent in July. In contrast, the indexes for U.S. terms of trade with Canada and Mexico increased in August, rising 3.2 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares declined 6.0 percent in August, the largest monthly drop since the index fell 12.3 percent in April 2020. The August decrease was driven by a 10.9-percent decline in Asian fares and a 7.0-percent drop in European fares. Import air passenger fares increased 14.8 percent over the past 12 months. Import air freight prices decreased for the second consecutive month in August, falling 1.1 percent, after declining 5.6 percent the previous month. Despite the recent drops, import air freight prices advanced 19.3 percent for the year ended in August. (See table 10.)

Exports: The index for export air passenger fares rose 1.6 percent in August following advances of 8.2 percent in July and 7.8 percent in June. In August, rising prices for Asian fares more than offset lower European and Latin American/Caribbean fares. Export air passenger fares increased 28.3 percent over the past year. Prices for export air freight advanced 1.1 percent in August, after falling 0.8 percent the previous month. Export air freight prices rose 0.5 percent over the past 12 months.

U.S. Import and Export Price Index data for September are scheduled for release on Friday, October 15, 2021 at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Sep 15, 2021.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierAug 16, 2021Publication referenceSep 15, 202130 days laterOct 15, 2021
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®2.87%Observed 2.88%Observed +1 bps vs. earlier reference3.05%Observed +17 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.26%Observed 1.31%Observed +5 bps vs. earlier reference1.59%Observed +28 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jun 15, 2021 – Dec 15, 2021
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Sep 15, 2021Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.25%3.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 2.93% · Jun 17, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.02% · Jun 24, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Jul 1, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.90% · Jul 8, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Jul 15, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.78% · Jul 22, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.80% · Jul 29, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.77% · Aug 5, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Aug 12, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.86% · Aug 19, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Aug 26, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Sep 2, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Sep 9, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.86% · Sep 16, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Sep 23, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.01% · Sep 30, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Oct 7, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.05% · Oct 14, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Oct 21, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.14% · Oct 28, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.09% · Nov 4, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Nov 10, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.10% · Nov 18, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.10% · Nov 24, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.11% · Dec 2, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 3.10% · Dec 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Jun 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Jun 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Jun 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jun 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.50% · Jun 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Jun 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Jun 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Jun 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Jul 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Jul 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Jul 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.38% · Jul 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.42% · Jul 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Jul 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Jul 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Jul 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Jul 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.23% · Jul 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.27% · Jul 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Jul 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Jul 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.25% · Jul 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Jul 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.28% · Jul 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.24% · Jul 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.20% · Aug 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Aug 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Aug 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.23% · Aug 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Aug 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Aug 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.36% · Aug 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Aug 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.36% · Aug 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.27% · Aug 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.24% · Aug 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.26% · Aug 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.25% · Aug 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Aug 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.34% · Aug 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Aug 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Aug 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Aug 31, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.29% · Sep 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.38% · Sep 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Sep 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.30% · Sep 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Sep 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.28% · Sep 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.34% · Sep 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.37% · Sep 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.31% · Sep 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.33% · Sep 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.32% · Sep 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.41% · Sep 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Sep 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Sep 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Sep 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Sep 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Oct 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Oct 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Oct 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Oct 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.61% · Oct 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Oct 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Oct 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.68% · Oct 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.66% · Oct 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Oct 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Oct 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.57% · Oct 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.55% · Oct 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Nov 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Nov 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · Nov 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.53% · Nov 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.45% · Nov 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.51% · Nov 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.46% · Nov 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.56% · Nov 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.58% · Nov 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Nov 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Nov 16, 202110-year Treasury: 1.60% · Nov 17, 202110-year Treasury: 1.59% · Nov 18, 202110-year Treasury: 1.54% · Nov 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.63% · Nov 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.67% · Nov 23, 202110-year Treasury: 1.64% · Nov 24, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Nov 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Nov 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Nov 30, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Dec 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Dec 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.35% · Dec 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.43% · Dec 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Dec 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.52% · Dec 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.49% · Dec 9, 202110-year Treasury: 1.48% · Dec 10, 202110-year Treasury: 1.42% · Dec 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.44% · Dec 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.47% · Dec 15, 2021Jun 15, 2021Sep 15, 2021Dec 15, 2021
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations10-year Treasury127 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,245.48/month

2.88% · Sep 9, 2021

At the later reference$1,272.92/month

3.05% · Oct 14, 2021

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $27.44 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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