Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2019 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices increased 0.2 percent in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.2-percent decline the previous month. The advance in September was driven by higher fuel prices; prices for nonfuel…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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U.S. import prices increased 0.2 percent in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.2-percent decline the previous month. The advance in September was driven by higher fuel prices; prices for nonfuel goods edged down 0.1 percent. The price index for U.S. exports fell 0.2 percent in September, after decreasing 0.6 percent in August.

Imports

Prices for U.S. imports advanced 0.2 percent in September, after decreasing 0.2 percent in August and unchanged in July. The price index for U.S. imports has not recorded an increase larger than 0.2 percent since the index rose 0.6 percent in March. U.S. import prices declined 1.6 percent from September 2018 to September 2019. (See table 1.)

Fuel Imports: Import fuel prices rose 2.1 percent in September following a 1.9-percent decline in August. Higher prices for petroleum drove the September increase, more than offsetting lower natural gas prices. The price index for import petroleum advanced 2.3 percent in September, after declining 2.3 percent the previous month. In September, natural gas prices fell 3.7 percent, resuming a downward trend after the rise in August. Fuel prices decreased 5.1 percent over the past year. Prices for import petroleum fell 5.8 percent from September 2018 to September 2019. Natural gas prices declined 10.4 percent over the same period.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports edged down 0.1 percent in September following two consecutive months unchanged. Foods, feeds, and beverages prices declined 0.8 percent; in contrast, nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices rose 0.5 percent. The price index for nonfuel imports declined 1.1 percent over the past 12 months, led by price decreases for capital goods and nonfuel industrial supplies and materials.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials increased 0.5 percent in September, after falling 0.3 percent in August and rising 0.2 percent in July. The increase in September was driven by higher prices for nonferrous metals and lumber, which more than offset price decreases for chemicals.

Finished Goods: Prices for imported finished goods were unchanged in September. Consumer goods prices were unchanged following a 0.1-percent increase in August. Lower prices for household goods were offset by price increases for coins, gems, jewelry, and collectibles. The price index for automotive vehicles was unchanged for the second consecutive month, after decreasing 0.2 percent in July. Prices for capital goods were unchanged in September, after edging down 0.1 percent the previous month.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: The price index for import foods, feeds, and beverages fell 0.8 percent in September following a 0.5-percent drop in August. A 7.6-percent decrease in fruit prices, which more than offset higher coffee prices, drove the September decline.

Exports

The price index for U.S. exports declined 0.2 percent in September following a 0.6-percent drop in August and a 0.2-percent advance in July. Price declines for agricultural and nonagricultural exports each contributed to the September decrease. U.S. export prices fell 1.6 percent from September 2018 to September 2019. (See table 2.)

Agricultural Exports: Agricultural export prices declined 1.8 percent in September, after falling 2.3 percent in August. Lower prices for corn, meat, wheat, and soybeans each contributed to the decline, more than offsetting higher fruit prices. Despite the decrease in September, agricultural export prices advanced 0.2 percent over the past year.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Prices for nonagricultural exports edged down 0.1 percent in September following a 0.3-percent drop the previous month. Price declines for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, consumer goods, and automotive vehicles drove the September decrease. Capital goods prices were unchanged in September. The price index for nonagricultural exports decreased 1.9 percent from September 2018 to September 2019. Lower nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices more than offset price increases for capital goods, consumer goods, and automotive vehicles over the past year.

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials declined 0.3 percent in September following a 1.0-percent drop in August. The price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials fell 6.5 percent over the past 12 months, the largest decrease since declining 7.7 percent over the period ended July 2016.

Finished Goods: Prices for export finished goods were mostly down in September. Consumer goods prices fell 0.3 percent, after edging down 0.1 percent in August. Prices for automotive vehicles declined for the third consecutive month in September, falling 0.1 percent. Capital goods prices were unchanged for the month; higher nonelectrical machinery and transportation equipment prices offset lower prices for electrical generating equipment in September.

Measures of Import and Export Prices by Locality

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China decreased 0.2 percent in September, after falling 0.1 percent the previous month. Prices for imports from China have not increased on a monthly basis since ticking up 0.1 percent in May 2018. The price index for imports from China declined 1.8 percent over the past year, the largest 12-month drop since a 1.9-percent decrease from January 2016 to January 2017. Prices for imports from Japan were unchanged in September following an increase of 0.1 percent in August. The last time the index rose more than 0.1 percent was a 0.2-percent advance in July 2018. Import prices from Japan increased 0.2 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for imports from the European Union decreased 0.1 percent in September, after declining 0.2 percent in August. Import prices from Mexico declined 0.2 percent for the second consecutive month in September. The price index for imports from Canada advanced 0.6 percent in September following a 0.6-percent increase in August. Import prices from Canada rose 5.9 percent over the past year. (See table 7.)

Exports by Locality of Destination: The price index for exports to China decreased 0.2 percent in September following declines of 1.5 percent in August, 0.3 percent in July, and 0.2 percent in June. Export prices to China fell 2.0 percent over the past year. Prices for exports to Japan ticked up 0.1 percent in September, after a 0.7-percent drop in August. Export prices to the European Union edged down 0.1 percent in September and increased 1.5 percent over the past 12 months. The price indexes for exports to Canada and Mexico declined 0.2 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively, in September. (See table 8.)

Terms of Trade Indexes: Terms of Trade indexes are based on country, region, or grouping and measure the change in the purchasing power of exports relative to imports. The U.S. terms of trade with China were unchanged in September following a 1.4-percent drop in August. In September, lower export prices to China offset price decreases for imports from China. The index for U.S. terms of trade with China fell 0.2 percent over the past 12 months. U.S. terms of trade with Japan increased 0.1 percent in September, after a 0.7- percent decline in August and a 0.6-percent rise in July. The U.S. terms of trade with Japan decreased 0.5 percent over the year ended in September. The index for U.S. terms of trade with the European Union was unchanged for the second consecutive month in September. U.S. terms of trade with Mexico fell 0.2 percent in September and 1.0 percent over the past 12 months. The U.S. terms of trade with Canada decreased 0.7 percent in September and declined 6.1 percent over the past year. (See table 9.)

Import and Export Services

Imports: Import air passenger fares rose 9.1 percent in September, after falling 8.2 percent in August and declining 9.9 percent in July. In September, higher European fares more than offset lower Latin American/Caribbean and Asian fares. Import air passenger fares fell 7.4 percent over the 12 months ended in September. Import air freight prices decreased 0.3 percent in September. The price index for import air freight fell 8.4 percent over the past year. (See table 10.)

Exports: The index for export air passenger fares declined 5.2 percent in September following a drop of 3.1 percent in August. Lower Asian and Latin American/Caribbean fares more than offset higher European fares in September. Export air passenger fares decreased 3.2 percent from September 2018 to September 2019. Export air freight prices fell 1.2 percent for the second consecutive month in September, the largest monthly drops since decreasing 6.2 percent in December 2017. Prices for export air freight declined 1.2 percent over the past 12 months.

Import and Export Price Index data for October are scheduled for release on Friday, November 15, 2019 at 8:30 a.m. (EST).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 11, 2019.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 11, 2019Publication referenceOct 11, 201930 days laterNov 10, 2019
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.49%Observed 3.57%Observed +8 bps vs. earlier reference3.69%Observed +12 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury1.75%Observed 1.76%Observed +1 bps vs. earlier reference1.94%Observed +18 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 11, 2019 – Jan 11, 2020
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 11, 2019Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.1.00%2.50%4.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 11, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.81% · Jul 18, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Jul 25, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Aug 1, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Aug 8, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.60% · Aug 15, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.55% · Aug 22, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.58% · Aug 29, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.49% · Sep 5, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.56% · Sep 12, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Sep 19, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · Sep 26, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Oct 3, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.57% · Oct 10, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Oct 17, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Oct 24, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.78% · Oct 31, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Nov 7, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Nov 14, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Nov 21, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Nov 27, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Dec 5, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Dec 12, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Dec 19, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.74% · Dec 26, 201930-year fixed mortgage: 3.72% · Jan 2, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.64% · Jan 9, 202010-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jul 11, 201910-year Treasury: 2.12% · Jul 12, 201910-year Treasury: 2.09% · Jul 15, 201910-year Treasury: 2.13% · Jul 16, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 17, 201910-year Treasury: 2.04% · Jul 18, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 19, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 22, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 23, 201910-year Treasury: 2.05% · Jul 24, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 25, 201910-year Treasury: 2.08% · Jul 26, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 29, 201910-year Treasury: 2.06% · Jul 30, 201910-year Treasury: 2.02% · Jul 31, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Aug 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.86% · Aug 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.75% · Aug 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Aug 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.71% · Aug 7, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Aug 8, 201910-year Treasury: 1.74% · Aug 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.65% · Aug 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.68% · Aug 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 14, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Aug 15, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.60% · Aug 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Aug 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Aug 21, 201910-year Treasury: 1.62% · Aug 22, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Aug 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.54% · Aug 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.49% · Aug 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Aug 28, 201910-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 29, 201910-year Treasury: 1.50% · Aug 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 3, 201910-year Treasury: 1.47% · Sep 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.57% · Sep 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.55% · Sep 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.63% · Sep 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Sep 10, 201910-year Treasury: 1.75% · Sep 11, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Sep 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Sep 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.84% · Sep 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.81% · Sep 17, 201910-year Treasury: 1.80% · Sep 18, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Sep 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.74% · Sep 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Sep 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.64% · Sep 24, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Sep 25, 201910-year Treasury: 1.70% · Sep 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.69% · Sep 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.68% · Sep 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.65% · Oct 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.60% · Oct 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 3, 201910-year Treasury: 1.52% · Oct 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.56% · Oct 7, 201910-year Treasury: 1.54% · Oct 8, 201910-year Treasury: 1.59% · Oct 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.67% · Oct 10, 201910-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 11, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 15, 201910-year Treasury: 1.75% · Oct 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 17, 201910-year Treasury: 1.76% · Oct 18, 201910-year Treasury: 1.80% · Oct 21, 201910-year Treasury: 1.78% · Oct 22, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Oct 24, 201910-year Treasury: 1.80% · Oct 25, 201910-year Treasury: 1.85% · Oct 28, 201910-year Treasury: 1.84% · Oct 29, 201910-year Treasury: 1.78% · Oct 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.69% · Oct 31, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Nov 1, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Nov 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.86% · Nov 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.81% · Nov 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Nov 7, 201910-year Treasury: 1.94% · Nov 8, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Nov 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.88% · Nov 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.82% · Nov 14, 201910-year Treasury: 1.84% · Nov 15, 201910-year Treasury: 1.81% · Nov 18, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Nov 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.73% · Nov 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Nov 21, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Nov 22, 201910-year Treasury: 1.76% · Nov 25, 201910-year Treasury: 1.74% · Nov 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Nov 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.78% · Nov 29, 201910-year Treasury: 1.83% · Dec 2, 201910-year Treasury: 1.72% · Dec 3, 201910-year Treasury: 1.77% · Dec 4, 201910-year Treasury: 1.80% · Dec 5, 201910-year Treasury: 1.84% · Dec 6, 201910-year Treasury: 1.83% · Dec 9, 201910-year Treasury: 1.85% · Dec 10, 201910-year Treasury: 1.79% · Dec 11, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Dec 12, 201910-year Treasury: 1.82% · Dec 13, 201910-year Treasury: 1.89% · Dec 16, 201910-year Treasury: 1.89% · Dec 17, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Dec 18, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Dec 19, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Dec 20, 201910-year Treasury: 1.93% · Dec 23, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Dec 24, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Dec 26, 201910-year Treasury: 1.88% · Dec 27, 201910-year Treasury: 1.90% · Dec 30, 201910-year Treasury: 1.92% · Dec 31, 201910-year Treasury: 1.88% · Jan 2, 202010-year Treasury: 1.80% · Jan 3, 202010-year Treasury: 1.81% · Jan 6, 202010-year Treasury: 1.83% · Jan 7, 202010-year Treasury: 1.87% · Jan 8, 202010-year Treasury: 1.85% · Jan 9, 202010-year Treasury: 1.83% · Jan 10, 2020Jul 11, 2019Oct 11, 2019Jan 11, 2020
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury126 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,358.88/month

3.57% · Oct 10, 2019

At the later reference$1,379.15/month

3.69% · Nov 7, 2019

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $20.27 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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