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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

January 2015 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices fell 2.8 percent in January, after declining 1.9 percent in December and 1.8 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Decreasing fuel prices drove each of the monthly drops. The price…

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U.S. import prices fell 2.8 percent in January, after declining 1.9 percent in December and 1.8 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Decreasing fuel prices drove each of the monthly drops. The price index for U.S. exports decreased 2.0 percent in January, and has not recorded a monthly advance since July.

Imports

All Imports: The price index for U.S. imports declined 2.8 percent in January. The index has not recorded a monthly advance since June 2014, and the January drop was the largest 1-month decrease since the index fell 4.6 percent in December 2008. U.S. import prices decreased 8.0 percent between January 2014 and January 2015, the largest 12-month decline since the index fell 12.0 percent in September 2009.

Fuel Imports: Fuel prices fell 16.9 percent in January following declines of 11.3-percent in December and 9.2-percent in October. The January decrease was the largest monthly drop for the index since a 22.2- percent decline in December 2008. Lower petroleum and natural gas prices, down 17.7 percent and 8.8 percent, respectively, each contributed to the January decrease in overall fuel prices. The price index for import fuel declined 39.0 percent over the past 12 months, the largest year-over-year drop since the index fell 41.0 percent between August 2008 and August 2009. In January, the 12-month decline in fuel prices was led by a 40.1-percent decrease in petroleum prices and a 29.0-percent drop in natural gas prices.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Prices for nonfuel imports fell 0.7 percent in January and have not recorded a monthly advance since July 2014. The January decline matches the 0.7-percent drop in January 2009, and those were the largest 1-month decreases since the index fell 1.1 percent in December 2008. Decreases in prices for each of the major finished goods categories; nonfuel industrial supplies and materials; and foods, feeds, and beverages all contributed to the overall decline in nonfuel import prices. The price index for nonfuel imports decreased 0.9 percent for the year ended in January.

Exports

All Exports: U.S. export prices declined 2.0 percent in January after declines of 1.0-percent in December and 0.9-percent in both November and October. The January drop matched a 2.0-percent decline in October 2011, the largest monthly decrease since the index fell 2.2 percent in December 2008. Both agricultural and nonagricultural prices contributed to the overall drop in January. The price index for overall exports fell 5.4 percent over the past 12 months, the largest year-over-year decline since the index decreased 5.6 percent in September 2009.

Agricultural Exports: Agricultural prices decreased 1.2 percent in January, after a 0.7-percent decline in December. The January drop was driven by a 3.2-percent decrease in meat prices, a 6.8-percent fall in wheat prices, and a 3.4-percent drop in fruit prices. Prices for overall agricultural exports declined 6.3 percent for the year ended in January, led by lower prices for soybeans and corn.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: The price index for nonagricultural exports decreased 2.1 percent in January following declines of 1.0-percent in both December and November. The drop in January was the largest 1-month decrease since the index fell 2.8 percent in November 2008. The January decrease was driven by a sharp drop in nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices, although lower prices for consumer goods and automotive vehicles also contributed to the overall decline. Nonagricultural prices fell 5.3 percent over the past year.

SELECTED JANUARY HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Imports by Locality of Origin: Import prices from China fell 0.3 percent in January, after recording no change in each of the previous 4 months. The decline was the largest monthly drop since the index fell 0.6 percent in May 2013. Prices for imports from Japan decreased 0.7 percent in January following a 0.5- percent decline in December. The January decrease was the largest 1-month drop since the index fell 0.8 percent in April 2013. The price indexes for imports from Canada, the European Union, and Mexico also decreased in January led by lower fuel prices. Import prices from Canada fell 4.8 percent for the month, while prices for imports from the European Union and Mexico decreased 1.0 percent and 2.1 percent, respectively.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Nonfuel industrial supplies and materials prices fell 1.2 percent in January, the largest monthly decline since a 1.7-percent drop in July 2013. The January decrease was driven by a 2.2-percent decline in chemicals prices and a 1.9-percent drop in unfinished metals prices.

Finished Goods: Each of the major finished goods categories declined in January. Capital goods prices decreased 0.4 percent, the largest 1-month drop since the index fell 0.5 percent in March 2009. Lower prices for industrial service machinery and computers, peripherals, and semiconductors led the January decline. Consumer goods prices decreased 0.3 percent in January, while prices for automotive vehicles fell 0.5 percent.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: The price index for foods, feeds, and beverages decreased 2.2 percent, after rising 0.7 percent the previous month. The January decline was led by a 17.0-percent downturn in vegetable prices.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares fell 6.8 percent in January following a 7.9-percent increase the previous month. The January drop was led by a 14.4-percent decline in Asian fares and was the largest monthly decrease since a 7.9-percent decline in August 2013. The index for import air passenger fares rose 2.3 percent over the past year. Import air freight prices ticked up 0.1 percent in January, the first advance since the index increased 0.3 percent in August 2014. Prices for import air freight fell 5.6 percent for the year ended in January.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials declined 6.1 percent in January, after decreasing 3.1 percent the previous month. The January drop was the largest monthly decline since the index fell 8.3 percent in November 2008, and was led by an 18.0- percent drop in fuel prices.

Finished Goods: Consumer goods prices fell 0.8 percent in January, driven by a 3.2-percent decrease in the price index for medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical materials. In January, automotive vehicle prices edged down 0.1 percent, while prices for capital goods ticked up 0.1 percent.

Transportation Services: Export air passenger fares rose 1.1 percent in January, after increasing 7.8 percent in December. Despite the recent advances, the index for export air passenger fares declined 3.8 percent for the year ended in January. Prices for export air freight increased 3.0 percent in January following a 1.7-percent decline the previous month. The January advance was the largest 1-month rise since the index increased 5.8 percent in May 2014. Export air freight prices rose 6.4 percent over the past 12 months.

Import and Export Price Index data for February 2015 are scheduled for release on Thursday, March 12, 2015 at 8:30 a.m. (EDT).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Feb 13, 2015.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJan 14, 2015Publication referenceFeb 13, 201530 days laterMar 15, 2015
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.73%Observed 3.69%Observed −4 bps vs. earlier reference3.86%Observed +17 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Nov 13, 2014 – May 13, 2015
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Feb 13, 2015Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.3.50%4.00%4.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.01% · Nov 13, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.99% · Nov 20, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.97% · Nov 26, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.89% · Dec 4, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.93% · Dec 11, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.80% · Dec 18, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.83% · Dec 24, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.87% · Dec 31, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 3.73% · Jan 8, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Jan 15, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.63% · Jan 22, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Jan 29, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.59% · Feb 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Feb 12, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.76% · Feb 19, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.80% · Feb 26, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.75% · Mar 5, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.86% · Mar 12, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.78% · Mar 19, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.69% · Mar 26, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.70% · Apr 2, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.66% · Apr 9, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.67% · Apr 16, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.65% · Apr 23, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.68% · Apr 30, 201530-year fixed mortgage: 3.80% · May 7, 2015Nov 13, 2014Feb 13, 2015May 13, 2015
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,379.15/month

3.69% · Feb 12, 2015

At the later reference$1,408.14/month

3.86% · Mar 12, 2015

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $28.99 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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