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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

January 2014 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

U.S. import prices rose for the second consecutive month in January advancing 0.1 percent, after a 0.2 percent increase in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. In January, higher nonfuel prices more than offset…

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U.S. import prices rose for the second consecutive month in January advancing 0.1 percent, after a 0.2 percent increase in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. In January, higher nonfuel prices more than offset declining fuel prices. U.S. export prices also rose in January, increasing 0.2 percent following a 0.4 percent advance in December.

Imports

All Imports: Import prices ticked up 0.1 percent in January following a 0.2 percent rise the previous month. The January advance was led by higher nonfuel prices, while the increase in December was driven by rising fuel prices. Despite the recent advances, prices for overall imports declined 1.5 percent for the year ended in January. Import prices have not recorded a year-over-year increase since a 0.9 percent rise between July 2012 and July 2013.

Fuel Imports: Fuel prices fell for the third time in the past 4 months in January, declining 0.6 percent, after a 1.3 percent advance in December. The January drop was led by a 1.2 percent decrease in petroleum prices, which more than offset a 14.1 percent increase in natural gas prices. Natural gas prices rose 67.3 percent over the past 4 months. Fuel prices also fell over the past year, declining 3.1 percent. The 12-month drop in fuel prices was driven by a 4.0 percent decrease in petroleum prices, while natural gas prices increased 26.7 percent over the same period.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: The price index for nonfuel imports advanced 0.3 percent in January, after recording little movement the previous 4 months. The increase was the largest monthly rise in nonfuel import prices since a 0.4 percent increase in March 2012. In January, higher prices for consumer goods; capital goods; foods, feeds, and beverages; and nonfuel industrial supplies and materials contributed to the overall advance in nonfuel import prices. In contrast, automotive vehicle prices decreased in January. Despite the January increase, nonfuel import prices fell 1.1 percent over the past 12 months.

Exports

All Exports: Export prices advanced for the third consecutive month in January, increasing 0.2 percent, after rising 0.4 percent in December and 0.2 percent in November. January marked the first time since October 2012 that export prices recorded 3 consecutive monthly advances. Despite the recent increase, overall export prices declined 1.2 percent for the year ended in January.

Agricultural Exports: The price index for agricultural exports fell 0.5 percent in January following a 0.4 percent increase the previous month. The January drop was driven by lower prices for wheat, soybeans, and meat, which decreased 6.5 percent, 1.9 percent, and 2.2 percent, respectively. Agricultural prices declined 5.7 percent for the year ended in January, after rising 10.7 percent between January 2012 and January 2013. The year-over-year decline in January 2014 was led by lower prices for corn, soybeans, and wheat.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Nonagricultural prices rose 0.2 percent in January following a 0.5 percent increase in December. In January, higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, and automotive vehicles contributed to the overall increase in nonagricultural export prices. The price index for nonagricultural exports fell 0.5 percent over the past year, driven by declining prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials and consumer goods.

SELECTED JANUARY HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Imports by Locality of Origin: The price index for imports from China edged down 0.1 percent in January, after ticking up 0.1 percent in each of the previous 2 months. The January decline was led by a 0.2 percent decrease in computer and electronic products prices. Import prices from China also fell over the past year, declining 0.7 percent. Prices for imports from Japan decreased 0.2 percent in January, after falling 0.3 percent in December. Import prices from Japan have not recorded a monthly advance since a 0.1 percent rise in October 2012, and declined 3.6 percent for the year ended in January -- the largest 12-month drop since a 3.8 percent decrease in March 2002. In contrast, prices for imports from the European Union and Canada each increased in January, rising 0.7 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively. Import prices from Mexico were unchanged in January.

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials advanced 0.2 percent in January, driven by a 2.1 percent increase in chemicals prices. Higher prices for plastic materials and fertilizers each contributed to the January rise in chemicals prices.

Finished Goods: Consumer goods prices increased 0.7 percent in January, led by a 3.1 percent advance in the price index for medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical materials. The January rise was the largest monthly increase for the index since a 1.0 percent advance in October 1992. Prices for capital goods also rose in January, increasing 0.2 percent. In contrast, automotive vehicles prices declined 0.2 percent in January and 1.6 percent over the past year. The year-over-year decline in January was the largest 12-month decline for the index since first publication in June 1981.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: The price index for foods, feeds, and beverages increased 0.8 percent in January, driven by a 4.0 percent advance in fish and shell fish prices.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares decreased 6.4 percent in January, the first monthly decline since a 7.9 percent decrease in August. Lower Asian and Latin American/Caribbean fares contributed to the January decline. The index for import air passenger fares rose 5.1 percent over the past 12 months. Import air freight prices were unchanged in January and advanced 0.6 percent over the past year.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: Prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials rose 0.3 percent in January following a 1.1 percent advance in December. Despite the recent increase, nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices fell 1.7 percent for the year ended in January.

Finished Goods: Finished goods prices were mostly up in January. Capital goods prices increased 0.4 percent, the largest monthly advance since a 0.7 percent rise in January 2013. Prices for automotive vehicles advanced 0.2 percent in January, after recording no change the previous 2 months. The price index for consumer goods recorded no change in January.

Transportation Services: Export air passenger fares increased 1.5 percent in January, driven by a 12.7 percent jump in Asian fares. Despite the January advance, export air passenger fares fell 2.3 percent over the past year. Export air freight prices rose 2.4 percent in January and 1.1 percent over the past 12 months.

Import and Export Price Index data for February 2014 are scheduled for release on Thursday, March 13, 2014 at 8:30 a.m. (EDT).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Feb 14, 2014.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJan 15, 2014Publication referenceFeb 14, 201430 days laterMar 16, 2014
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.51%Observed 4.28%Observed −23 bps vs. earlier reference4.37%Observed +9 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Nov 14, 2013 – May 14, 2014
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Feb 14, 2014Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.00%4.50%5.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 4.35% · Nov 14, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.22% · Nov 21, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.29% · Nov 27, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.46% · Dec 5, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.42% · Dec 12, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.47% · Dec 19, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.48% · Dec 26, 201330-year fixed mortgage: 4.53% · Jan 2, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.51% · Jan 9, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.41% · Jan 16, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.39% · Jan 23, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.32% · Jan 30, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.23% · Feb 6, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.28% · Feb 13, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.33% · Feb 20, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.37% · Feb 27, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.28% · Mar 6, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.37% · Mar 13, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.32% · Mar 20, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.40% · Mar 27, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.41% · Apr 3, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.34% · Apr 10, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.27% · Apr 17, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.33% · Apr 24, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.29% · May 1, 201430-year fixed mortgage: 4.21% · May 8, 2014Nov 14, 2013Feb 14, 2014May 14, 2014
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,481.09/month

4.28% · Feb 13, 2014

At the later reference$1,496.97/month

4.37% · Mar 13, 2014

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $15.88 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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