Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

October 2009 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.7 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, led by a 1.8 percent increase in fuel prices. The rise followed a 0.2 percent increase in September. U.S. export prices…

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The U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.7 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, led by a 1.8 percent increase in fuel prices. The rise followed a 0.2 percent increase in September. U.S. export prices advanced 0.3 percent in October after decreasing 0.2 percent the previous month.

Imports

All Imports: The increase in U.S. imports in October continued the recent upward trend for the index. Import prices have risen in seven of the past eight months and were up 8.1 percent over that period. Despite the recent increases, import prices declined 5.7 percent for the year ended in October driven by a 12.8 percent drop in prices between October 2008 and January 2009.

Fuel Imports: Prices for import fuel advanced 1.8 percent in October after a 1.5 percent decline the previous month. A 24.1 percent increase in natural gas prices led the overall advance in October, while petroleum prices were also a contributing factor, advancing 0.9 percent. However, the price indexes for natural gas and petroleum both declined over the past year, falling 46.4 percent and 12.2 percent, respectively.

All Imports Excluding Fuel: Nonfuel import prices rose 0.4 percent in October as higher prices for industrial supplies and materials, finished goods, and foods, feeds, and beverages all contributed to the advance. Prices for nonfuel imports rose between 0.4 percent and 0.5 percent in each of the past three months, the largest monthly advances since a 0.6 percent increase in July 2008. The index declined 2.9 percent over the past 12 months as sharp decreases at the end of 2008 more than offset the recent rises.

Exports

All Exports: Export prices rose 0.3 percent after falling 0.2 percent in September. Rising nonagricultural prices more than offset a drop in the price index for agricultural exports. Prices of overall exports decreased 3.4 percent for the October 2008-2009 period.

Agricultural Exports: Agricultural prices fell for the third time in the past four months in October, declining 1.0 percent after recording a 3.0 percent decrease in September. Falling prices for soybeans and wheat, down 7.5 percent and 6.1 percent, respectively, continued to drive agricultural prices lower. In contrast, a 9.2 percent rise in corn prices partially offset those declines. The price index for overall agricultural prices decreased 10.0 percent for the year ended in October.

All Exports Excluding Agriculture: Prices for nonagricultural exports increased 0.3 percent in October and have risen 2.3 percent since March. Higher prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials and most of the major finished goods areas contributed to the advance. Despite the recent increases, a 4.6 percent drop in prices for the final two months of 2008 drove the index down 2.7 percent over the past year.

SELECTED OCTOBER HIGHLIGHTS

Import Prices

Nonfuel Industrial Supplies and Materials: The price index for nonfuel industrial supplies and materials increased 1.6 percent in October after rising 2.8 percent the previous month. Rising prices for metals and chemicals were a major factor for the increases in both October and September.

Finished Goods: Prices for each of the major finished goods areas rose in October. Prices for automotive vehicles advanced 0.6 percent, the largest increase since a 0.6 percent rise in December 2007. The October increase was partially attributable to year-end model changeovers. The price index for consumer goods advanced 0.3 percent, the largest gain for the index since a 0.6 percent increase in April 2008. Capital goods prices advanced 0.2 percent, the largest increase since a similar 0.2 percent rise in July 2008. The increase was led by higher prices for electrical generating equipment.

Foods, Feeds, and Beverages: Prices for foods, feeds, and beverages ticked up 0.1 percent in October. The modest advance followed increases of 0.5 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively, in September and August. For October, higher prices for fruit and coffee more than offset falling meat and fish prices.

Imports by Locality of Origin: Higher fuel prices drove import prices from Canada in October, up 1.2 percent. The October increase followed advances of 0.9 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively, in the previous two months. The price indexes of imports from the European Union, Mexico, China, and Japan also rose in October - up 0.6 percent, 0.7 percent, 0.1 percent, and 0.2 percent, respectively.

Transportation Services: Import air passenger fares advanced 6.4 percent in October, the first increase since a 13.0 percent jump in June. The October advance was led by an 8.6 percent rise in European fares. Import air freight prices also increased in October, rising 1.5 percent after advancing 0.7 percent the previous month.

Export Prices

Nonagricultural Industrial Supplies and Materials: The price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials increased 1.0 percent in October after ticking up a modest 0.1 percent in September. The October advance was driven by higher prices for metals, chemicals, iron and steel mill products, and fuel.

Finished Goods: Finished goods prices were mixed in October. Prices for capital goods and for automotive vehicles rose 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. In contrast, consumer goods prices edged down 0.1 percent.

Transportation Services: Export air passenger fares rose 4.9 percent in October following a decline of 9.1 percent in September and an increase of 9.1 percent in August. Rising prices for European fares and Latin American/Caribbean fares contributed to the October advance. In contrast, export air freight prices fell 0.2 percent in October, the first monthly decline for the index since a 1.2 percent drop in June.

Import and Export Price Index data for November 2009 are scheduled for release on Friday, December 11, 2009 at 8:30 a.m. (EST).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Nov 13, 2009.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierOct 14, 2009Publication referenceNov 13, 200930 days laterDec 13, 2009
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®4.87%Observed 4.91%Observed +4 bps vs. earlier reference4.81%Observed −10 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Aug 13, 2009 – Feb 13, 2010
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Nov 13, 2009Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.50%5.00%5.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.29% · Aug 13, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.12% · Aug 20, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.14% · Aug 27, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.08% · Sep 3, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.07% · Sep 10, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.04% · Sep 17, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.04% · Sep 24, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.94% · Oct 1, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.87% · Oct 8, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.92% · Oct 15, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.00% · Oct 22, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.03% · Oct 29, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.98% · Nov 5, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.91% · Nov 12, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.83% · Nov 19, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.78% · Nov 25, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.71% · Dec 3, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.81% · Dec 10, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.94% · Dec 17, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.05% · Dec 24, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.14% · Dec 31, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.09% · Jan 7, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 5.06% · Jan 14, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.99% · Jan 21, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.98% · Jan 28, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 5.01% · Feb 4, 201030-year fixed mortgage: 4.97% · Feb 11, 2010Aug 13, 2009Nov 13, 2009Feb 13, 2010
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,594.00/month

4.91% · Nov 12, 2009

At the later reference$1,575.81/month

4.81% · Dec 10, 2009

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $18.19 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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