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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2008 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index decreased 3.0 percent in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, following a 2.6 percent decline in August. Falling petroleum prices led the overall decrease,…

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

- SEPTEMBER 2008 -

The U.S. Import Price Index decreased 3.0 percent in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, following a 2.6 percent decline in August. Falling petroleum prices led the overall decrease, although nonpetroleum prices also declined. Prices for overall exports decreased 1.0 percent for the month.

Import Goods

Import prices fell 3.0 percent in September, the largest one-month decline since April 2003. Despite the 5.5 percent drop over August and September, the largest two-month decline since the index was first published monthly in December 1988; import prices were still up 14.5 percent over the past year. The September decrease in import prices was led by a 9.0 percent decline in petroleum prices, the largest monthly drop since October 2006. The September decline in petroleum prices followed an 8.2 percent decrease in August; however, the index still rose 47.1 percent over the past 12 months. Nonpetroleum import prices also fell in September, declining 0.9 percent after a 0.5 percent drop in August. Prices for nonpetroleum imports rose 6.5 percent for the year ended in September.

The September decrease in nonpetroleum prices was driven by a 2.9 percent drop in the price index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials. Falling prices for natural gas and metals drove the decline. A 1.7 percent decrease in the foods, feeds, and beverages index largely resulted from lower prices for food oils, meat, and fish.

Prices for each of the major finished goods categories also fell in September. The price indexes for capital goods, automotive vehicles, and consumer goods each decreased 0.1 percent. The decrease in capital goods prices was led by computer prices, which continued to trend down in September. The fall in computer prices more than offset a 0.2 percent advance in capital goods prices excluding computers. The downturn in prices for automotive vehicles was the first decrease since the index fell 0.2 percent in January 2006. Similarly, consumer goods prices decreased for the first time since April 2006.

Export Goods

Export prices decreased 1.0 percent in September following a 1.7 percent decline in August. The September decline was led by a 1.0 percent drop in nonagricultural prices, although agricultural prices also fell, decreasing 0.3 percent. Despite the 2.7 percent downturn over August and September, the largest two-month decline since the index was first published monthly in December 1988; export prices were still up 6.8 percent for the year ended in September. The decline in nonagricultural prices in September followed a 0.7 percent drop in August, and was the largest one-month drop since the index was first published monthly in December 1988. Nonagricultural prices rose 5.6 percent for the September 2007-2008 period.

The September decline in nonagricultural prices was led by a 2.7 percent drop in the price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials. Lower prices for gold, precious metals, and fuel oil led the decline.

Prices for capital goods and consumer goods also decreased in September, falling 0.1 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively. Excluding a 0.8 percent decrease in computer prices, capital goods prices advanced 0.1 percent in September. In contrast, the price index for automotive vehicles ticked up 0.1 percent.

The modest decline in agricultural prices was led by lower prices for soybeans, fruit, and vegetables, which more than offset increasing corn and wheat prices. The September decrease in agricultural prices followed a 9.6 percent decline in August. The index advanced 19.5 percent over the past twelve months.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Lower fuel prices in September drove the declines in import prices from Canada, Mexico, and the European Union for the second consecutive month. Import prices from Canada fell 4.9 percent, the largest one-month drop since the index was first published monthly in September 1992. Prices for imports from Mexico declined 1.7 percent, and import prices from the European Union fell 1.3 percent. Despite the decreases over the past two months, prices for imports from Canada, Mexico, and the European Union rose 19.8 percent, 16.3 percent, and 7.8 percent, respectively, over the past year.

Prices for imports from Japan also declined in September, falling 0.6 percent, which was the first monthly downturn for the index since November 2007 and the largest one-month drop since January 2006. The index rose 1.1 percent over the past year.

In contrast, import prices from China continued to rise in September, ticking up 0.1 percent for the second consecutive month after rising 3.2 percent from February to July. Import prices from China increased 4.8 percent for the year ended in September.

Import and Export Services

Import air passenger fares decreased 6.9 percent in September after falling 3.0 percent in August. The September decline was led by a 10.1 percent seasonal decrease in European fares. The index for import air passenger fares increased 15.0 percent for the September 2007-2008 period. Export air passenger fares fell 8.7 percent in September. The decrease was driven by a 10.9 percent seasonal drop in European fares. Over the past 12 months, the index increased 13.1 percent.

The price index for import air freight decreased 3.4 percent in September, led by an 8.1 percent decline in European air freight prices. The September drop in overall import air freight prices followed a 0.2 percent decrease the previous month. Export air freight prices fell 1.4 percent in September after advancing 3.6 percent in August. Import air freight prices rose 16.8 percent over the past 12 months while export air freight prices advanced 22.0 percent over the same period.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 10, 2008.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 10, 2008Publication referenceOct 10, 200830 days laterNov 9, 2008
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.35%Observed 5.94%Observed −41 bps vs. earlier reference6.20%Observed +26 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 10, 2008 – Jan 10, 2009
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 10, 2008Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.00%6.00%7.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.37% · Jul 10, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.26% · Jul 17, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.63% · Jul 24, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Jul 31, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Aug 7, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.52% · Aug 14, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.47% · Aug 21, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.40% · Aug 28, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.35% · Sep 4, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.93% · Sep 11, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.78% · Sep 18, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.09% · Sep 25, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.10% · Oct 2, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Oct 9, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Oct 16, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.04% · Oct 23, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Oct 30, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.20% · Nov 6, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Nov 13, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.04% · Nov 20, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.97% · Nov 26, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.53% · Dec 4, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.47% · Dec 11, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.19% · Dec 18, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.14% · Dec 24, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.10% · Dec 31, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.01% · Jan 8, 2009Jul 10, 2008Oct 10, 2008Jan 10, 2009
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,787.10/month

5.94% · Oct 9, 2008

At the later reference$1,837.41/month

6.20% · Nov 6, 2008

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $50.31 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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