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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2004 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index was up 0.2 percent in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase was attributable to higher prices for both petroleum and nonpetroleum imports and…

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

- SEPTEMBER 2004 -

The U.S. Import Price Index was up 0.2 percent in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase was attributable to higher prices for both petroleum and nonpetroleum imports and followed a 1.4 percent rise in August. September export prices increased 0.4 percent, following a 0.5 percent decline the previous month.

Import Goods

Import prices increased for the third consecutive month, up 0.2 percent in September. Higher petroleum prices again were the primary factor behind the increase, rising a more modest 0.6 percent in September compared with increases of 8.3 percent and 2.2 percent in the previous two months. Prices for petroleum were up 48.7 percent over the past year. Nonpetroleum prices also contributed to the September increase in overall import prices, rising 0.1 percent. For the year ended in September, nonpetroleum prices were up 2.9 percent and overall import prices rose 7.8 percent.

Higher prices for automotive vehicles, for foods, feeds, and beverages, and for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials all contributed to the increase in nonpetroleum prices. The price index for automotive vehicles increased 0.3 percent in September after two months of no movement, and the index was up 2.0 percent over the past year. Foods, feeds, and beverages prices rose 0.8 percent last month, led by higher vegetable prices. For the year ended in September, import food prices were up 6.5 percent. Prices for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials, which have been steadily increasing for the past year, were up a more modest 0.1 percent in September. Nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials prices increased 14.3 percent over the past 12 months.

The price indexes for capital goods and for consumer goods were both unchanged for the third consecutive month. For the year ended in September, prices for capital goods fell 1.4 percent, while consumer goods prices were up 0.6 percent.

Export Goods

Export prices rose 0.4 percent in September as higher prices for agricultural exports and for nonagricultural exports contributed to the overall increase. The price index for agricultural exports was up 1.6 percent in September, following decreases in each of the previous three months. The September increase was led by higher prices for soybeans, vegetables, and seafood. Agricultural export prices were up 2.2 percent over the past year. Prices for nonagricultural exports were up 0.2 percent, continuing the recent trend for this index. Nonagricultural prices have risen in 11 of the past 12 months and were up 4.3 percent over that period. Overall export prices increased 4.0 percent for the year ended in September.

The advance in nonagricultural prices was again attributable to rising prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, up 0.7 percent in September. Higher chemicals prices were the main contributor to the increase. The price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials has trended upward over the past year and was up 14.6 percent for that period.

The export price indexes for capital goods and for consumer goods both were up 0.1 percent in September. The increase in capital goods prices was the first since April, and the index was up a modest 0.4 percent over the past year. In contrast, prices of consumer goods have risen in each of the past three months and were up 1.9 percent for the year ended in September.

Prices for automotive vehicles were unchanged in September and have risen 0.8 percent over the past 12 months.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Prices for imports from Japan fell 0.1 percent in September after increasing in each of the two previous months. The index was up 1.6 percent for the year ended in September.

Import prices from the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries rose 0.1 percent for the third consecutive month. Despite the recent increases, the index was down 0.9 percent over the past year.

Prices for imports from Latin America and from the European Union were up in September, rising 1.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. For the past 12 months, prices for imports from Latin America were up 13.4 percent, and prices for imports from the European Union rose 6.5 percent.

The price index for imports from Canada fell 0.2 percent in September, but was up 10.0 percent for the past 12 months.

Import and Export Services

The indexes for both import and export air passenger fares declined in September, attributable primarily to seasonal factors. September import air passenger fares fell 4.1 percent, following a 0.3 percent decline the previous month. The August drop had been the first since March. The index for export air passenger fares fell 6.8 percent in September, the first decrease since May. For the year ended in September, import air passenger fares were down 3.9 percent, whereas export air passenger fares increased 10.3 percent.

The import price index for air freight increased for the third quarter in a row, rising 2.1 percent between June and September. Export air freight prices rose 1.2 percent for the third quarter of 2004, the fourth consecutive quarterly increase for the index. For the year ended in September, the price indexes for import air freight and for export freight were up 2.7 percent and 5.5 percent, respectively.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 14, 2004.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 14, 2004Publication referenceOct 14, 200430 days laterNov 13, 2004
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.83%Observed 5.74%Observed −9 bps vs. earlier reference5.76%Observed +2 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 14, 2004 – Jan 14, 2005
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 14, 2004Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.50%6.00%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.00% · Jul 15, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Jul 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.08% · Jul 29, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.99% · Aug 5, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.85% · Aug 12, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.81% · Aug 19, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.82% · Aug 26, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.77% · Sep 2, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.83% · Sep 9, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.75% · Sep 16, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.70% · Sep 23, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.72% · Sep 30, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.82% · Oct 7, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.74% · Oct 14, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.69% · Oct 21, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.64% · Oct 28, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.70% · Nov 4, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.76% · Nov 11, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.74% · Nov 18, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.72% · Nov 24, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.81% · Dec 2, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.71% · Dec 9, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.68% · Dec 16, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.75% · Dec 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.81% · Dec 29, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.77% · Jan 6, 200530-year fixed mortgage: 5.74% · Jan 13, 2005Jul 14, 2004Oct 14, 2004Jan 14, 2005
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,748.81/month

5.74% · Oct 14, 2004

At the later reference$1,752.62/month

5.76% · Nov 11, 2004

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $3.81 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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