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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

June 2004 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index declined 0.2 percent in June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The decrease was the first since September 2003 and was led by lower petroleum prices. Export…

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

- JUNE 2004 -

The U.S. Import Price Index declined 0.2 percent in June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The decrease was the first since September 2003 and was led by lower petroleum prices. Export prices also decreased in June, falling 0.6 percent. The decline in export prices was the first since last July and the largest drop since October 2001.

Import Goods

Import prices fell 0.2 percent in June following a 1.4 percent increase the previous month. Prices for petroleum fell 1.0 percent last month after rising 9.4 percent in May, the largest monthly gain for the index since February 2003. Prices for petroleum imports were up 34.3 percent over the past year. Nonpetroleum import prices were unchanged in June 2004, the first month since October 2003 that these prices did not increase. For the year ended in June, prices for nonpetroleum imports were up 2.4 percent and overall import prices rose 5.6 percent.

The price index for import foods, feeds, and beverages fell 0.5 percent in June, led by lower prices for vegetables and fruits. Foods, feeds, and beverages prices rose 5.6 percent over the past 12 months. Prices for capital goods and for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials also decreased in June, each declining 0.1 percent. Lower computer prices and the recent appreciation of the U.S. dollar both contributed to the fall in capital goods prices. The decrease in prices for nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials was led by downturns in the price indexes for both building materials and unfinished metals. For the year ended in June, prices for capital goods fell 1.4 percent, whereas nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials prices were up 11.8 percent.

In contrast, prices for automotive vehicles rose 0.2 percent in June. The price index for automotive vehicles has not posted a decline since September and was up 1.6 percent over the past 12 months.

Consumer goods prices were unchanged in June and were up 0.4 percent for the June 2003-2004 period.

Export Goods

Export prices fell 0.6 percent in June, as both agricultural and nonagricultural prices contributed to the decline. The price index for agricultural exports fell 4.6 percent in June, marking the first monthly decline since August 2003 and the largest decrease since September 1996. A downturn in soybean prices led the fall in agricultural prices, although widespread declines in the prices of other grains and vegetables also contributed to the overall decrease. Nonagricultural prices fell in June by 0.1 percent. The index had not posted a decline since September and was up 2.9 percent for the year ended in June. Overall export prices increased 4.0 percent over the same period.

The drop in nonagricultural prices was led by a 0.6 percent decrease in the index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials. Downturns in metals and fuel prices contributed to the decline. Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials prices had increased in each of the last 10 months and were up 9.7 percent over the past year.

Prices for each of the major finished goods categories were unchanged in June. The price indexes for capital goods and for consumer goods also were unchanged in May but were up 0.5 percent and 0.8 percent, respectively, over the past 12 months. Automotive vehicle prices increased a modest 0.1 percent in May and were up 0.7 percent for the year ended in June.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Prices for imports from Japan fell 0.3 percent in June after rising 0.2 percent in May. The decline paralleled the recent appreciation of the U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen. Import prices from Japan were up 0.8 percent over the past 12 months.

Import prices from the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries were unchanged in June after ticking up 0.1 percent the previous month. For the year ended in June, the index fell 0.7 percent.

Prices for imports from Latin America fell 0.5 percent in June, which was the first monthly decline for the index since September 2003. Despite the June decrease, import prices from Latin America rose 9.3 percent over the year.

Import prices from Canada and from the European Union both were unchanged in June. Prices of imports from Canada were up 8.4 percent for the year ended in June, and import prices from the European Union increased 5.4 percent over the same period.

Import and Export Services

Import air passenger fares rose 9.7 percent in June after a modest 0.9 percent rise in the previous month. The June increase was led by higher seasonal rates for both European and Asian fares. For the year ended in June, overall import fares rose 0.7 percent. Export air passenger fares rose at a more moderate 0.2 percent in June and were up 5.8 percent over the past 12 months.

The price index for import air freight rose 0.3 percent for the March- June quarter and was up 5.3 percent for the year ended in June. Export air freight was up for the third consecutive quarter, rising 2.1 percent for the second quarter of 2004. Over the past 12 months, the index rose 4.1 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jul 14, 2004.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJun 14, 2004Publication referenceJul 14, 200430 days laterAug 13, 2004
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.30%Observed 6.01%Observed −29 bps vs. earlier reference5.85%Observed −16 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Apr 14, 2004 – Oct 14, 2004
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jul 14, 2004Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.50%6.00%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.89% · Apr 15, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Apr 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Apr 29, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.12% · May 6, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · May 13, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · May 20, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · May 27, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Jun 3, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.30% · Jun 10, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Jun 17, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.25% · Jun 24, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.21% · Jul 1, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Jul 8, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.00% · Jul 15, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Jul 22, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 6.08% · Jul 29, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.99% · Aug 5, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.85% · Aug 12, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.81% · Aug 19, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.82% · Aug 26, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.77% · Sep 2, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.83% · Sep 9, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.75% · Sep 16, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.70% · Sep 23, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.72% · Sep 30, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.82% · Oct 7, 200430-year fixed mortgage: 5.74% · Oct 14, 2004Apr 14, 2004Jul 14, 2004Oct 14, 2004
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,800.58/month

6.01% · Jul 8, 2004

At the later reference$1,769.82/month

5.85% · Aug 12, 2004

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $30.76 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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