Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2003 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index declined 0.5 percent in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Lower petroleum prices led the decline in overall import prices. Export prices were up 0.4…

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- SEPTEMBER 2003 -

The U.S. Import Price Index declined 0.5 percent in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Lower petroleum prices led the decline in overall import prices. Export prices were up 0.4 percent in September, the first increase for this index since May.

Import Goods

Overall import prices fell 0.5 percent in September after increasing in each of the previous three months. Declining petroleum prices more than offset higher prices for nonpetroleum imports. The price index for imported petroleum decreased 5.2 percent in September but was up 1.2 percent over the past year. In contrast, nonpetroleum import prices rose 0.2 percent last month and were up 0.9 percent for the year ended in September. The price index for overall import prices was up 0.8 percent over the past 12 months.

A 1.4 percent increase in the price index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies & materials led the September rise in nonpetroleum prices. Higher lumber and natural gas prices contributed to the increase. For the year ended in September, the price index for nonpetroleum industrial supplies & materials was up 6.8 percent. Prices for foods, feeds, & beverages imports rose 0.6 percent in September, attributable to higher prices for imported meat and coffee. Over the past year, the price index for imported foods, feeds, & beverages increased 2.3 percent.

In contrast, the price indexes for imported capital goods and automotive vehicles both fell in September, declining 0.3 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. The decrease in capital goods prices followed a similar decline of 0.2 percent in August. For the September 2002-2003 period, the index was down 1.3 percent. The price index for automotive vehicles imports was up 0.2 percent over the same period.

Import prices for consumer goods were unchanged in September and down 0.2 percent over the past 12 months.

Export Goods

The September rise in overall export prices was led by a 5.5 percent advance in the price index for agricultural exports--the largest one-month increase for this index since monthly publication began in 1989. Higher prices for exported meat, corn, and soybeans contributed to the increase in agricultural prices. Over the past 12 months, the index was up 5.7 percent. Nonagricultural export prices fell 0.1 percent in September, resuming the recent trend of declining prices after edging up 0.1 percent in August. Despite the recent trend, the index was up 0.6 percent for the year ended in September. Overall export prices were up 1.0 percent over the same period.

The decline in nonagricultural export prices was driven by a 0.2 percent drop in the price index for capital goods exports, which accounts for nearly 47 percent of overall exports. Declining prices for computer peripherals and semiconductors led the September decrease in capital goods prices. Over the past 12 months, the index was down 0.9 percent.

Partially offsetting the decrease in capital goods prices, the price indexes for both nonagricultural industrial supplies & materials and consumer goods rose in September--up 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. For the year ended in September, prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies & materials were up 4.3 percent and prices for consumer goods were up 0.2 percent.

The price index for automotive vehicles was unchanged in September and up 0.7 percent over the past year.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Prices for imported Japanese goods continued to fall last month, declining 0.3 percent following a 0.1 percent drop the previous month. Prices for imports from the Asian Newly Industrialized countries also continued to move lower in September, decreasing 0.1 percent for the second consecutive month. Over the past 12 months, both indexes were down 1.3 percent.

Import prices from the European Union and Latin America both declined in September, falling 0.3 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively. Prices for imports from the European Union--up 1.8 percent over the past 12 months--and for imports from Latin America--up 1.2 percent over the same period--each were down for the first time since May.

Prices for imports from Canada declined 0.2 percent in September, but import prices from Canada were up 4.0 percent for the year ended in September.

Import and Export Services

The price indexes for both import and export air passenger fares declined in September, reversing the recent trend in each index. The decreases were attributable primarily to seasonal factors. Import air passenger fares were down 2.9 percent in September, the first decline since May. The index was up 0.6 percent over the past 12 months. The price index for export air passenger fares decreased 7.6 percent in September, the first monthly drop since February. Notwithstanding the September decline, export air passenger fares were up 9.2 percent for the past year.

The import price index for air freight increased 5.4 percent for the third quarter of 2003. Import air freight prices have increased in each of the past four quarters and were up 16.1 percent over the past year. In contrast, prices for export air freight fell 0.1 percent over the past three months and were down 3.3 percent for the year ended in September.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 9, 2003.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 9, 2003Publication referenceOct 9, 200330 days laterNov 8, 2003
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.44%Observed 5.77%Observed −67 bps vs. earlier reference5.98%Observed +21 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 9, 2003 – Jan 9, 2004
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 9, 2003Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.50%6.00%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.52% · Jul 11, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.67% · Jul 18, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Jul 25, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Aug 1, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.34% · Aug 8, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.24% · Aug 15, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.28% · Aug 22, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.32% · Aug 29, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.44% · Sep 5, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.16% · Sep 12, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Sep 19, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Sep 26, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.77% · Oct 3, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.95% · Oct 10, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.05% · Oct 17, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.05% · Oct 24, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Oct 31, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Nov 7, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.03% · Nov 14, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.83% · Nov 21, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.89% · Nov 28, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 6.02% · Dec 5, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.88% · Dec 12, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.82% · Dec 19, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.81% · Dec 26, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.85% · Dec 31, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.87% · Jan 8, 2004Jul 9, 2003Oct 9, 2003Jan 9, 2004
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,754.53/month

5.77% · Oct 3, 2003

At the later reference$1,794.80/month

5.98% · Nov 7, 2003

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $40.26 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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