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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 1999 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.7 percent in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase followed gains of 1.0 percent and 0.8 percent in the previous two months and was…

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-SEPTEMBER 1999-

The U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.7 percent in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The increase followed gains of 1.0 percent and 0.8 percent in the previous two months and was largely attributable to the continued increase in prices for imported petroleum. U.S. export prices were up 0.2 percent in September, following a 0.3 percent increase in August.

Import Goods

Import prices continued a recent upswing, gaining 0.7 percent in September and 2.5 percent over the past three months. For the year, the index was up 3.4 percent, after declining 6.3 percent over the September 1997-98 period. The September increase was led by a 7.2-percent increase in petroleum prices. Imported petroleum prices were up 62.0 percent over the past 12 months, in contrast to the 29.7 percent decline over the previous 12-month period. The price index of nonpetroleum imports edged up 0.1 percent in September, the same as in the previous month. Despite recent modest gains, nonpetroleum import prices dipped 0.5 percent over the year.

The price indexes for consumer goods and for industrial supplies and materials excluding petroleum both increased 0.3 percent in September. The September increase was the largest for consumer goods since December 1995 and was led by gains for nondurable and nonmanufactured goods. The increase for industrial supplies and materials excluding petroleum marked the fifth consecutive monthly increase in this component. Import prices for capital goods and automotive vehicles, parts, and engines were both unchanged in September. For the year ended in September, capital goods prices fell 3.2 percent and prices for automotive vehicles, parts, and engines gained 1.3 percent.

The index for foods, feeds, and beverages fell for the fourth consecutive month, down 0.1 percent in September. Over the past 12 months, the index fell 3.1 percent.

Export Goods

Overall export prices rose 0.2 percent in September and were unchanged over the past 12 months. Increasing prices for nonagricultural exports pushed overall export prices up in September and more than offset a decline in agricultural prices. The 0.5-percent decline in agricultural prices in September followed a 1.9-percent increase in the previous month. For the year, the index for agricultural exports prices fell 3.1 percent. In contrast, nonagricultural export prices, which had posted little movement during the past year, were up 0.2 percent for the second consecutive month. For the September 1998-99 period, the index also rose 0.2 percent.

The increase in nonagricultural export prices continued to be led by rising prices for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials. This index increased for the sixth consecutive month, up 1.0 percent in September, the same as in August. Over the past 12 months, the index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials gained 2.7 percent.

In contrast, the price indexes for the major finished goods areas were either unchanged or edged up only slightly last month. Prices for exported capital goods and consumer goods were both unchanged in September. Over the past 12 months, capital goods prices were down 1.0 percent, while consumer goods prices were unchanged over the same period. Exported automotive vehicles, parts, and engines edged up 0.1 percent in September, after posting no change in the previous two months. For the year, the index gained 0.9 percent.

Imports by Locality of Origin

The price index for imports from Japan increased 0.6 percent in September, paralleling the recent rise in the value of the yen. The September gain was the largest increase in the index since November 1998. Over the past 12 months, the index was up 1.9 percent.

Prices of imports from the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries were unchanged last month, after posting a 0.2- percent increase in August-which had represented the first monthly increase for the index since March 1997. For the year ended in September, the index was down 2.2 percent.

The price indexes for imports from Latin America and the European Union rose 1.8 percent and 0.8 percent, respectively, in September. Over the September 1998-99 period, the prices of imports from Latin America rose 9.5 percent, while the prices of imports from the European Union were up 1.5 percent.

The price index of imports from Canada increased 0.4 percent in September, as price increases for nonmanufactured goods outweighed price declines for manufactured goods. The overall index for imports from Canada rose 4.3 percent for the year ended in September.

Import and Export Services

The import price index for air freight increased 1.9 percent in the third quarter of 1999, after decreasing 2.7 percent in the second quarter. Over the past 12 months, the index rose 8.3 percent. In contrast, the export air freight index decreased 1.7 percent last quarter and was down 6.6 percent for the year ended in September.

Import air passenger fares increased 0.6 percent in the third quarter, as gains posted in the Atlantic region countered declines in the Pacifc and Latin American/Caribbean regions. For the year ended in September, overall import air passenger fares were up 4.6 percent on average. Export air passenger fares also increased for the third quarter, up 3.9 percent. Over the September 1998-99 period, the index increased 11.0 percent.

The index for import ocean liner freight was up 7.9 percent last quarter, after increasing 22.6 percent in the second quarter. Over the past 12 months, the index increased 31.2 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 14, 1999.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 14, 1999Publication referenceOct 14, 199930 days laterNov 13, 1999
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®7.88%Observed 7.82%Observed −6 bps vs. earlier reference7.67%Observed −15 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 14, 1999 – Jan 14, 2000
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 14, 1999Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.7.50%8.00%8.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 7.58% · Jul 16, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.52% · Jul 23, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.70% · Jul 30, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.89% · Aug 6, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 8.15% · Aug 13, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.93% · Aug 20, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.80% · Aug 27, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.83% · Sep 3, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.88% · Sep 10, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.82% · Sep 17, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.76% · Sep 24, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.70% · Oct 1, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.82% · Oct 8, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.85% · Oct 15, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.93% · Oct 22, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.96% · Oct 29, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.84% · Nov 5, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.67% · Nov 12, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.69% · Nov 19, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.75% · Nov 26, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.84% · Dec 3, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.84% · Dec 10, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.86% · Dec 17, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.96% · Dec 24, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 8.06% · Dec 31, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 8.15% · Jan 7, 200030-year fixed mortgage: 8.18% · Jan 14, 2000Jul 14, 1999Oct 14, 1999Jan 14, 2000
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$2,163.77/month

7.82% · Oct 8, 1999

At the later reference$2,132.68/month

7.67% · Nov 12, 1999

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $31.09 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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