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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

January 1999 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.2 percent in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. A turnaround in the price index for petroleum led the increase; the price index for imports had…

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-JANUARY 1999-

The U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.2 percent in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. A turnaround in the price index for petroleum led the increase; the price index for imports had declined 0.8 percent and 0.5 percent in December and November, respectively. The U.S. Export Price Index was unchanged in January, after falling 0.1 percent in December.

Import Goods

Prices for all U.S. imports rose 0.2 percent last month, but were down 4.7 percent for the 12 months ended in January. Petroleum prices increased 1.7 percent in January after falling 21.2 percent over the prior two months. Over the January 1998-1999 period, petroleum prices fell 32.6 percent, following a similar decline of 33.3 percent over the January 1997-1998 period. The index for nonpetroleum import prices also increased in January, rising 0.1 percent after declining the same amount in December. Over the past 12 months, this index fell 2.5 percent, compared with a 3.1 percent decline over the January 1997-98 period.

Prices in all the major commodity areas of nonpetroleum imports were unchanged or increased in January. The indexes for industrial supplies and materials, excluding petroleum, and consumer goods, excluding automotives, had the largest impact, both increasing 0.2 percent in January after both decreased in December. The index for foods, feeds, and beverages also rose in January, up 0.6 percent after increasing 1.2 percent in December. In addition, prices for automotive vehicles, parts and engines increased for the fourth consecutive month, edging up 0.1 percent in January.

The index for capital goods, however, was unchanged for the fourth consecutive month. In each of the past 19 months this index has either posted no change or declined.

Export Goods

Prices for U.S. exports were unchanged on average in January as increasing prices for agricultural exports offset declining prices for nonagricultural exports. For the 12 months ended in January, export prices were down 2.8 percent. The price index for agricultural exports, up 0.2 percent in January, rose for the fourth consecutive month. Despite the recent gains, the index was still down 6.6 percent over the past 12 months, following a drop of 5.7 percent over the January 1997-98 period. In contrast, nonagricultural export prices, which have shown little movement in the past few months, fell 0.1 percent last month. This index has not posted a monthly increase since June 1997. For the year ended in January, nonagricultural export prices fell 2.4 percent, compared with a 1.4 percent decline over the January 1997-98 period.

January declines in the price indexes for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials, capital goods, and consumer goods all contributed to the overall decline in nonagricultural export prices. The price index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials posted a second consecutive drop of 0.2 percent; for the year ended in January, the index was down 5.8 percent. Capital goods prices fell 0.1 percent in January after posting a 0.1 percent increase in the prior month. Over the past 12 months, the index was down 1.7 percent. Prices for exported consumer goods decreased 0.1 percent in January and were down 0.7 percent over the January 1998-99 period.

In contrast, the index for exported automotive vehicles rose 0.1 percent in January after declining 0.1 percent in December. For the year ended in January, this index was up 0.6 percent.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Continuing a recent turnaround, the price index for imports from Japan rose for the third consecutive month, edging up 0.1 percent in January after gaining 0.2 percent in December and 1.3 percent in November. Despite the recent gains, the price index for imports from Japan fell 1.8 percent over the past year.

The price index for imports from the European Union also rose in January, up 0.3 percent after falling 0.6 percent in December. For the year ended in January, the index rose 0.2 percent.

In January, the import price indexes for Canada and Latin America were both up 0.2 percent, as gains recorded for nonmanufactured goods outweighed declines for manufactured goods. Both indexes declined in each of the previous two months and were down over the past year 2.5 percent and 6.9 percent, respectively.

In contrast, prices for imports from the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries continued to slide in January, falling 0.5 percent. This index has decreased in each of the past 17 months and was down 7.8 percent for the year ended in January.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Feb 17, 1999.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJan 18, 1999Publication referenceFeb 17, 199930 days laterMar 19, 1999
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.83%Observed 6.77%Observed −6 bps vs. earlier reference7.01%Observed +24 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Nov 17, 1998 – May 17, 1999
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Feb 17, 1999Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.50%7.00%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.86% · Nov 20, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Nov 27, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.71% · Dec 4, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Dec 11, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.69% · Dec 18, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.77% · Dec 25, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.83% · Dec 31, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.79% · Jan 8, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.83% · Jan 15, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.78% · Jan 22, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.74% · Jan 29, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.75% · Feb 5, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.77% · Feb 12, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.82% · Feb 19, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.89% · Feb 26, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.06% · Mar 5, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.11% · Mar 12, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.01% · Mar 19, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.98% · Mar 26, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.98% · Apr 2, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.92% · Apr 9, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.87% · Apr 16, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.88% · Apr 23, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 6.93% · Apr 30, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.02% · May 7, 199930-year fixed mortgage: 7.10% · May 14, 1999Nov 17, 1998Feb 17, 1999May 17, 1999
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,949.78/month

6.77% · Feb 12, 1999

At the later reference$1,997.92/month

7.01% · Mar 19, 1999

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $48.14 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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