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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

January 1998 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index fell 1.3 percent in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The decrease was attributable to continuing declines in both petroleum and nonpetroleum prices and…

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

-JANUARY 1998-

The U.S. Import Price Index fell 1.3 percent in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The decrease was attributable to continuing declines in both petroleum and nonpetroleum prices and followed a 0.9 percent drop in December. The U.S. Export Price Index also fell in January, decreasing 0.6 percent after falling 0.4 percent in December.

Import Goods

The January decline in import prices marked the largest decrease since a similar drop in March 1997. For the 12 months ended in January, the import index decreased 6.1 percent. Petroleum prices fell 9.9 percent last month, the largest decrease since December 1993, and declined 18.2 percent over the past three months. For the year ended in January, the petroleum index was down 32.6 percent. Nonpetroleum import prices fell 0.6 percent in January, the largest monthly decline for the index in five years. For the January 1997-98 period, the nonpetroleum price index decreased 3.1 percent after declining 1.9 percent over the previous 12-month period.

The index for imported capital goods continued to move lower in January, decreasing 0.8 percent. Over the past 12 months, the index was down 6.6 percent compared with a 5.4 percent drop in the previous 12-month period. Import prices for industrial supplies and materials excluding petroleum fell 1.3 percent in January after falling 1.4 percent in December. After increasing in December, the indexes for foods, feeds, and beverages, as well as consumer goods each fell last month dropping 0.7 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively. For the second consecutive month, average prices for imported automotive vehicles, parts, and engines edged down 0.1 percent.

Export Goods

The price index for all export goods declined for the fourth time in the last five months, as both agricultural and nonagricultural export prices declined. The decrease last month was the largest posted since September 1996. For the 12 months ended in January, export prices fell 1.8 percent. Agricultural export prices fell for the second consecutive month, down 2.8 percent in January after falling 0.8 percent in December. The January decline in agricultural prices was the largest since September 1996 and was led by falling prices for grains and oilseeds. The agricultural index has fallen in eight of the past 10 months and was down 5.8 percent for the January 1997-98 period. Nonagricultural export prices fell 0.3 percent in January, following decreases in the four previous months. For the year ended in January, the index dropped 1.3 percent compared with a 0.6 percent drop in the preceding year.

The December drop in nonagricultural export prices was led by the ongoing downward trend in export prices for industrial supplies and materials. Nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials fell 1.2 percent in January and were down 2.4 percent over the past 12 months. The capital goods index, which accounts for more than 40 percent of aggregate exports, edged down 0.1 percent last month after dropping 0.3 percent in December. The index fell in four of the past five months and was down 1.7 percent for the year. Consumer goods also fell in January, down 0.2 percent, after a slight gain of 0.1 percent over the previous three months.

In contrast, the index for automotive vehicles edged up 0.1 percent in January. Over the past 12 months, the index rose 0.7 percent.

Imports by Locality of Origin

Prices for imports from the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries continued to decline in January, down 1.2 percent. (See table 7.) The decline was the largest since the index was first published monthly in 1993. The index declined 3.1 percent in the past three months and was down 5.8 percent for the year ended in January. (Note: The index includes imports from Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan.)

Prices of goods imported from Japan also continued a two-year downward trend, falling 1.0 percent in January. The decrease was the largest posted since monthly publication of the index began in 1993. Over the past 12 months, prices of imported Japanese goods fell 5.4 percent.

The price index for imports from Canada fell 0.5 percent in January, following declines of 1.2 percent and 0.2 percent in the previous two months, respectively. Over the past 12 months, the index was down 4.7 percent.

Prices for imports from the European Union reversed trend last month, dropping 0.5 percent after three consecutive monthly increases. The index decreased 2.1 percent over the January 1997-98 period.

Prices for goods imported from Latin America, published beginning with this release, also fell last month, decreasing 2.7 percent. The decrease was largely attributable to falling prices for crude and refined petroleum products.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Feb 13, 1998.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJan 14, 1998Publication referenceFeb 13, 199830 days laterMar 15, 1998
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®6.94%Observed 7.06%Observed +12 bps vs. earlier reference7.16%Observed +10 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Nov 13, 1997 – May 13, 1998
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Feb 13, 1998Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.50%7.00%7.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 7.23% · Nov 14, 199730-year fixed mortgage: 7.18% · Nov 21, 199730-year fixed mortgage: 7.17% · Nov 28, 199730-year fixed mortgage: 7.15% · Dec 5, 199730-year fixed mortgage: 7.17% · Dec 12, 199730-year fixed mortgage: 7.07% · Dec 19, 199730-year fixed mortgage: 6.99% · Dec 26, 199730-year fixed mortgage: 7.03% · Jan 2, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.94% · Jan 9, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.89% · Jan 16, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.99% · Jan 23, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.12% · Jan 30, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.03% · Feb 6, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.06% · Feb 13, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 6.99% · Feb 20, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.09% · Feb 28, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.19% · Mar 6, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.16% · Mar 13, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.08% · Mar 20, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.08% · Mar 27, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.15% · Apr 3, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.09% · Apr 10, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.17% · Apr 17, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.15% · Apr 24, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.22% · May 1, 199830-year fixed mortgage: 7.14% · May 8, 1998Nov 13, 1997Feb 13, 1998May 13, 1998
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$2,008.01/month

7.06% · Feb 13, 1998

At the later reference$2,028.25/month

7.16% · Mar 13, 1998

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $20.24 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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