Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 1994 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

Led by a sharp drop in petroleum prices, U.S. import prices declined 0.8 percent in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. In contrast, export prices rose 0.4 percent in September.

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-SEPTEMBER 1994-

Led by a sharp drop in petroleum prices, U.S. import prices declined 0.8 percent in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. In contrast, export prices rose 0.4 percent in September.

Import Goods

The 0.8 percent drop in import prices was the first monthly decline since December, and, for the year ended in September, the index was up 2.6 percent. The monthly decline was largely due to a 10.2 percent decrease in the price of imported petroleum. The petroleum decrease followed a 1.1 percent decline in August and partially reversed the recent trend of advancing fuel prices, which had risen 26.4 percent between March and July.

Nonpetroleum import prices continued to move upward in September, rising 0.3 percent. The advance, however, was a moderation from the 0.7 and 0.5 percent increases posted in August and July, respectively. Over the past year, the index was up 3.1 percent . Much of the September increase was driven by a 1.2 percent advance in the index of imported nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials. The upward movement in this index followed slightly smaller increases in each of the 3 preceding months. The index for imported foods, feeds, and beverages rose 0.4 percent in September, the smallest monthly advance since March as coffee prices flattened out. The indexes of imported automotive vehicles and consumer goods each rose a slight 0.1 percent in September.

In contrast, the index of imported capital goods fell 0.1 percent in September, the first monthly decline in this index since February.

Export Goods

Export prices were up 0.4 percent in September following 3 months of relatively little change. Over the first 9 months of the year, the index was up 2.0 percent. Both nonagricultural and agricultural exports contributed to the increase in overall export prices, rising 0.3 and 0.5 percent, respectively. The 0.3 percent advance in the index of nonagricultural exports was the same as the average monthly increase in this index in the first 9 months of 1994. In contrast, the advance in agricultural exports reversed the downward movement seen in this index in the 3 months prior to September. The index had fallen 5.5 percent over the 3 previous months and was down 4.0 over the first 9 months of 1994.

The rise in export prices was again largely driven by the index for industrial supplies and materials, up 0.9 percent in September. The increase in industrial supplies and materials was somewhat smaller than the 1.1 - 1.7 percent rises seen in the 3 prior months. The index was up 9.2 percent over the past 12 months. Also contributing to the advance in exports were the indexes for consumer goods and automotive vehicles, up 0.2 and 0.1 percent, respectively.

The index for exported capital goods continued to record little movement and was unchanged in September. For the year ended in September, the index was down 0.8 percent.

Imports by Country or Region of Origin

The price index for imports from Japan fell 0.2 percent in September, the first monthly decline in this index since last December. For the year ended in September, however, prices of goods from Japan were up 3.3 percent.

Prices for goods coming from Canada also declined in September, falling 0.1 percent. In contrast, imports coming from the European Community were up 0.6 percent over the month. For the year ended in September, both indexes had risen 3.1 percent.

Prices of goods imported from the Asian Newly Industrialized Countries again were relatively flat, posting no change for the month of September. This index has gradually declined, falling 0.8 percent over the past 12 months.

International Services

Air Transportation

The U.S. Carrier and Foreign Carrier Air Passenger Fares Indexes both registered increases for the third consecutive quarter this year. The 1.4 percent increase in the U.S. Carrier Index and the 3.1 percent rise in the Foreign Carrier Index were primarily attributable to seasonal increases in the Atlantic region.

The Inbound Air Freight index edged up slightly this quarter, posting a 0.5 percent increase. This increase was influenced by a 3.9 percent rise in the Atlantic region moderated by a 0.9 percent decline in the Pacific region. While the rate of increase on the inbound side eased somewhat compared with last quarter, the Outbound Air Freight Index was unchanged.

Ocean Transportation

The Inbound Ocean Liner Freight Index fell slightly this quarter, down 0.6 percent, after posting increases in the preceding 2 quarters. The U.S East Coast Region and the U.S. West Coast Region contributed to this decline, falling 0.3 and 0.8 percent respectively.

The Inbound Crude Tanker Freight Index continued its downward movement of this year with a 3.9 percent decrease in the third quarter. This drop was due to a 4.2 percent decline in the Gulf region and a 1.3 percent decrease in the Atlantic region.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 28, 1994.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 28, 1994Publication referenceOct 28, 199430 days laterNov 27, 1994
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®8.73%Observed 9.03%Observed +30 bps vs. earlier reference9.25%Observed +22 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 28, 1994 – Jan 28, 1995
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 28, 1994Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.8.00%8.75%9.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 8.57% · Jul 29, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.38% · Aug 5, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.57% · Aug 12, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.54% · Aug 19, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.56% · Aug 26, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.48% · Sep 2, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.51% · Sep 9, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.66% · Sep 16, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.73% · Sep 23, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.82% · Sep 30, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.89% · Oct 7, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.93% · Oct 14, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.85% · Oct 21, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.03% · Oct 28, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.05% · Nov 4, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.19% · Nov 11, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.19% · Nov 18, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.25% · Nov 25, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.23% · Dec 2, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.15% · Dec 9, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.25% · Dec 16, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.18% · Dec 23, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.18% · Dec 30, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.22% · Jan 6, 199530-year fixed mortgage: 9.19% · Jan 13, 199530-year fixed mortgage: 9.05% · Jan 20, 199530-year fixed mortgage: 9.13% · Jan 27, 1995Jul 28, 1994Oct 28, 1994Jan 28, 1995
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$2,420.35/month

9.03% · Oct 28, 1994

At the later reference$2,468.03/month

9.25% · Nov 25, 1994

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $47.68 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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