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Inflation · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

December 1993 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

The U.S. Import Price Index declined 0.9 percent in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The decrease followed a 0.6 percent fall in November and was attributable to a continuing…

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-DECEMBER 1993-

The U.S. Import Price Index declined 0.9 percent in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The decrease followed a 0.6 percent fall in November and was attributable to a continuing decline in petroleum prices. In contrast, the U.S. Export Price Index rose 0.3 percent in December, the same as the November increase. The advance was again due to higher prices for agricultural exports.

Overall, import prices were down 0.9 percent for the year, compared with a 0.2 percent increase in 1992. Export prices increased 1.0 percent in 1993, compared with a 0.6 percent rise in the previous year.

Import Goods

In December, prices for imported petroleum, which accounts for one tenth of U.S. imports, plunged 10.6 percent, marking the seventh- -and largest--decline in this index in the past 8 months. In the year just ended, petroleum prices fell 20.9 percent, following declines of 6.0 percent in 1992 and 33.0 percent in 1991.

The index for nonpetroleum imports resumed its recent upward trend in December, rising 0.1 percent after dipping 0.2 percent in the previous month. Prices of nonpetroleum imports were up 1.5 percent, on average, in 1993, slightly more than the two preceding annual increases.

Contributing to the December price increase in nonpetroleum imports was a 0.9 percent rise in prices of nonpetroleum industrial supplies and materials--primarily attributable to a continued advance in prices for imported wood. In addition, prices for motor vehicles were up 0.2 percent in December, while the index for foods, feeds and beverages rose 0.3 percent.

In contrast, the indexes for capital goods, down 0.4 percent, and consumer goods, off 0.1 percent, each fell for the second month in a row. In the year ended in December, prices of capital goods rose 0.7 percent, while imported consumer goods advanced 1.0 percent.

Export Goods

The rise in export prices in December was led by the recent upswing in the index for agricultural commodities, which increased 3.0 percent in December following a 2.3 percent rise in November. Overall, prices for agricultural exports advanced 8.3 percent in 1993 compared with a 0.4 percent decline in the previous year.

In contrast, the index for nonagricultural exports (which accounts for 90 percent of exports) was unchanged in December after edging down 0.1 percent in each of the 3 preceding months. For the year ended in December, prices for nonagricultural exports were up 0.1 percent, compared with a 0.8 percent rise in 1992.

The relative lack of movement in export prices for nonagricultural commodities in December was reflected in the major subgroups. The index for capital goods (which accounts for 40 percent of U.S. exports) edged down 0.1 percent in December, marking the fifth month in a row this group has changed 0.1 percent or less. For the year, prices of capital goods slipped 0.3 percent. The indexes for both motor vehicles and consumer goods posted small increases of 0.1 percent in December and less than 1.0 percent for the year as a whole. The index for nonagricultural industrial supplies and materials was unchanged in December as price increases for wood were offset by declines in fuel prices.

Summary of annual percent changes 12 months ended in December

Imports by Country or Region of Origin

The price index for imports from the European Community continued to move lower in December, falling 0.8 percent after a 0.6 percent decline in the previous month. For the year ended in December, goods from the European Community edged down 1.6 percent, compared with a 1.0 percent drop in 1992. Prices of Japanese imports were unchanged, on average, during December after increasing 6.8 percent during the first 11 months of 1993. In 1992, Japanese goods had posted a 2.7 percent increase. The index for goods from the Asian Newly Industralized Countries, which registered relatively little movement all year, was also unchanged in December. Canadian goods were up 0.2 percent, on average, in December, but were down 1.3 percent for the year.

International Services

Air Transportation

Price trends were mixed for the air freight indexes in the fourth quarter, with the Inbound Air Freight Index showing a slight decrease of 0.5 percent and the Outbound Air Freight Index with a small increase of 0.8 percent. The decline in the Inbound Air Freight Index was attributable to a 0.9 percent drop in the Pacific region, while the increase in the Outbound Air Freight Index was primarily influenced by an increase of 1.2 percent in the Atlantic region. Over the year, the Inbound Air Freight Index posted a moderate gain of 3.9 percent resulting from a 6.3 percent increase during the second quarter, and the Outbound Air Freight index dropped 2.5 percent, reflecting the drop in outbound freight rates for the first 3 quarters of this year.

The U.S. Carrier Air Passenger Fares Index and the Foreign Carrier Air Passenger Fares Index both experienced significant decreases this quarter (6.4 percent and 8.4 percent respectively) influenced by declines in the Atlantic and Pacific regions. These were the first downturns this year for both air passenger fares indexes, leaving annual gains of 3.1 percent for the U.S. Carrier Air Passenger Fares Index and 0.8 percent for the Foreign Carrier Air Passenger Fares Index.

Ocean Transportation

The Inbound Ocean Liner Freight Index continued to fall, posting its fourth consecutive quarterly decline. The 1.2 percent decrease was the result of declines in rates on both coasts. Overall for 1993, the index fell 3.0 percent.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jan 28, 1994.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Distinguish trade prices from trade volumes

Import and export price indexes track prices of goods and selected services traded between the United States and other countries. They do not measure how much is traded or the trade balance. Read imports separately from exports and compare fuel with nonfuel import prices where available; also distinguish a monthly movement from a twelve-month change. These measures describe one part of the pricing environment, rather than the household consumer basket. The rate observations below do not establish how much of a later change came from this release. BLS Import and Export Price Indexes overview.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierDec 29, 1993Publication referenceJan 28, 199430 days laterFeb 27, 1994
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®7.17%Observed 6.97%Observed −20 bps vs. earlier reference7.32%Observed +35 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Oct 28, 1993 – Apr 28, 1994
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jan 28, 1994Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.6.50%7.50%8.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.86% · Oct 29, 199330-year fixed mortgage: 7.11% · Nov 5, 199330-year fixed mortgage: 7.12% · Nov 12, 199330-year fixed mortgage: 7.08% · Nov 19, 199330-year fixed mortgage: 7.31% · Nov 26, 199330-year fixed mortgage: 7.25% · Dec 4, 199330-year fixed mortgage: 7.14% · Dec 10, 199330-year fixed mortgage: 7.17% · Dec 17, 199330-year fixed mortgage: 7.17% · Dec 24, 199330-year fixed mortgage: 7.13% · Dec 31, 199330-year fixed mortgage: 7.23% · Jan 7, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 6.99% · Jan 14, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 7.05% · Jan 21, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 6.97% · Jan 28, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 6.97% · Feb 4, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 7.21% · Feb 11, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 7.11% · Feb 18, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 7.32% · Feb 25, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 7.51% · Mar 4, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 7.63% · Mar 11, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 7.76% · Mar 18, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 7.80% · Mar 25, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.04% · Apr 1, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.47% · Apr 8, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.26% · Apr 15, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.49% · Apr 22, 1994Oct 28, 1993Jan 28, 1994Apr 28, 1994
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,989.87/month

6.97% · Jan 28, 1994

At the later reference$2,060.79/month

7.32% · Feb 25, 1994

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $70.93 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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