Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Jobs · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

October 2020 Employment Situation

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 638,000 in October, and the unemployment rate declined to 6.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. These improvements in the labor market reflect the continued resumption…

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Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 638,000 in October, and the unemployment rate declined to 6.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. These improvements in the labor market reflect the continued resumption of economic activity that had been curtailed due to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and efforts to contain it. In October, notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, retail trade, and construction. Employment in government declined.

This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics. The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry. For more information about the concepts and statistical methodology used in these two surveys, see the Technical Note.

Household Survey Data

In October, the unemployment rate declined by 1.0 percentage point to 6.9 percent, and the number of unemployed persons fell by 1.5 million to 11.1 million. Both measures have declined for 6 consecutive months but are nearly twice their February levels (3.5 percent and 5.8 million, respectively). (See table A-1. For more information about how the household survey and its measures were affected by the coronavirus pandemic, see the box note at the end of this news release.)

Unemployment rates declined among all major worker groups in October. The rate was 6.7 percent for adult men, 6.5 percent for adult women, 13.9 percent for teenagers, 6.0 percent for Whites, 10.8 percent for Blacks, 7.6 percent for Asians, and 8.8 percent for Hispanics. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)

Among the unemployed, the number of persons on temporary layoff fell by 1.4 million to 3.2 million. This measure is down considerably from the high of 18.1 million in April but is 2.4 million higher than in February. The number of permanent job losers, at 3.7 million in October, changed little over the month but is 2.4 million higher than in February. (See table A-11.)

In October, the number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) increased by 1.2 million to 3.6 million, accounting for 32.5 percent of the total unemployed. By contrast, the number of unemployed persons jobless 15 to 26 weeks decreased by 2.3 million to 2.6 million, and the number of persons jobless 5 to 14 weeks decreased by 457,000 to 2.3 million. The number of persons who were jobless less than 5 weeks was about unchanged at 2.5 million. (See table A-12.)

The labor force participation rate increased by 0.3 percentage point to 61.7 percent in October; this is 1.7 percentage points below the February level. The employment-population ratio increased by 0.8 percentage point to 57.4 percent in October but is 3.7 percentage points lower than in February. (See table A-1.)

In October, the number of persons who usually work full time rose by 1.2 million to 123.6 million, and the number who usually work part time increased by 1.0 million to 26.2 million. (See table A-9.)

The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons increased by 383,000 to 6.7 million in October, after declines totaling 4.6 million over the prior 5 months. These individuals, who would have preferred full-time employment, were working part time because their hours had been reduced or they were unable to find full-time jobs. This group includes persons who usually work full time and persons who usually work part time. (See table A-8.)

The number of persons not in the labor force who currently want a job decreased by 539,000 to 6.7 million in October; this measure is 1.7 million higher than in February. These individuals were not counted as unemployed because they were not actively looking for work during the last 4 weeks or were unavailable to take a job. (See table A-1.)

Among those not in the labor force who currently want a job, the number of persons marginally attached to the labor force, at 2.0 million, was about unchanged in October. These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months but had not looked for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. The number of discouraged workers, a subset of the marginally attached who believed that no jobs were available for them, was 588,000 in October, essentially unchanged from the previous month. (See Summary table A.)

Household Survey Supplemental Data

In October, 21.2 percent of employed persons teleworked because of the coronavirus pandemic, down from 22.7 percent in September. These data refer to employed persons who teleworked or worked at home for pay at some point in the last 4 weeks specifically because of the pandemic.

In October, 15.1 million persons reported that they had been unable to work because their employer closed or lost business due to the pandemic--that is, they did not work at all or worked fewer hours at some point in the last 4 weeks due to the pandemic. This measure is down from 19.4 million in September. Among those who reported in October that they were unable to work because of pandemic- related closures or lost business, 11.7 percent received at least some pay from their employer for the hours not worked, up from 10.3 percent in September.

About 3.6 million persons not in the labor force in October were prevented from looking for work due to the pandemic. This is down from 4.5 million in September. (To be counted as unemployed, by definition, individuals must either be actively looking for work or on temporary layoff.)

These supplemental data come from questions added to the household survey beginning in May to help gauge the effects of the pandemic on the labor market. The data are not seasonally adjusted. Tables with estimates from the supplemental questions for all months are available online at www.bls.gov/cps/effects-of-the-coronavirus-covid-19-pandemic.htm.

Establishment Survey Data

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 638,000 in October and has increased for 6 consecutive months. In October, nonfarm employment was below its February level by 10.1 million, or 6.6 percent. Notable job gains occurred over the month in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, retail trade, and construction. Employment in government declined. (See table B-1. For more information about how the establishment survey and its measures were affected by the coronavirus pandemic, see the box note at the end of this news release.)

Employment in leisure and hospitality increased by 271,000 in October, with gains in food services and drinking places (+192,000); arts, entertainment, and recreation (+44,000); and accommodation (+34,000). Leisure and hospitality has added 4.8 million jobs since April, but employment in the industry is down by 3.5 million since February.

Professional and business services added 208,000 jobs in October, with temporary help services (+109,000) accounting for about half of the gain. Employment also increased in services to buildings and dwellings (+19,000), computer systems design and related services (+16,000), and management and technical consulting services (+15,000). Employment in professional and business services is 1.1 million below its February level.

In October, retail trade added 104,000 jobs, with almost one-third of the gain in electronics and appliance stores (+31,000). Employment also rose in motor vehicle and parts dealers (+23,000), furniture and home furnishings stores (+14,000), clothing and clothing accessories stores (+13,000), general merchandise stores (+10,000), and nonstore retailers (+9,000). Employment in retail trade has risen by 1.9 million since April but is 499,000 below its February level.

Construction added 84,000 jobs in October. Specialty trade contractors added jobs, both in the nonresidential (+28,000) and residential (+18,000) components. Employment also rose in heavy and civil engineering construction and in construction of buildings (+19,000 each). Construction has added 789,000 jobs in the last 6 months, but employment is down by 294,000 since February.

Employment in health care and social assistance rose by 79,000 in October but is down by 950,000 since February. In October, health care employment increased by 58,000, with the largest gains occurring in hospitals (+16,000), offices of physicians (+14,000), offices of dentists (+11,000), and outpatient care centers (+10,000). These increases were partially offset by a decline of 9,000 in nursing and residential care facilities. Social assistance added 21,000 jobs over the month.

Employment in transportation and warehousing increased by 63,000 in October, with gains occurring in warehousing and storage (+28,000), transit and ground passenger transportation (+25,000), and truck transportation (+10,000). By contrast, air transportation shed 18,000 jobs. Employment in transportation and warehousing is 271,000 below its February level.

The other services industry added 47,000 jobs in October, with gains occurring in personal and laundry services (+27,000) and in repair and maintenance (+18,000). Employment in other services is 436,000 below its February level.

Manufacturing employment rose by 38,000 in October but is 621,000 lower than in February. Gains occurred in fabricated metal products (+7,000), primary metals (+6,000), and wood products (+4,000). Employment continued to trend up in food manufacturing (+6,000) and in plastics and rubber products (+4,000).

Employment in financial activities rose by 31,000 in October but is 129,000 lower than in February. Over-the-month job gains occurred in finance and insurance (+17,000) and real estate (+10,000).

In October, government employment fell by 268,000. A decrease of 138,000 in federal government was driven by a loss of 147,000 temporary 2020 Census workers. Job losses also occurred in local government education and state government education (-98,000 and -61,000, respectively).

Employment in other major industries, including mining, wholesale trade, and information, changed little in October.

In October, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 4 cents to $29.50. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees rose by 5 cents to $24.82. The large employment fluctuations over the past several months--especially in industries with lower-paid workers--complicate the analysis of recent trends in average hourly earnings. (See tables B-3 and B-8.)

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls was unchanged at 34.8 hours in October. In manufacturing, the workweek increased by 0.3 hour to 40.5 hours, and overtime rose by 0.2 hour to 3.2 hours. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees increased by 0.1 hour to 34.2 hours. (See tables B-2 and B-7.)

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for August was revised up by 4,000 from +1,489,000 to +1,493,000, and the change for September was revised up by 11,000 from +661,000 to +672,000. With these revisions, employment in August and September combined was 15,000 higher than previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.)

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Nov 6, 2020.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read beyond one jobs number

The Employment Situation combines two surveys: establishment data measure payroll jobs, hours and earnings, while household data measure people’s employment status and the unemployment rate. A payroll-job change and an unemployment-rate change therefore answer different questions. Check the reference period, participation and revisions alongside the headline. Labor-market conditions inform the policy outlook, but a later mortgage-rate change can reflect many developments; this calendar window cannot identify the report as its cause. BLS Employment Situation tables and technical notes.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierOct 7, 2020Publication referenceNov 6, 202030 days laterDec 6, 2020
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®2.88%Observed 2.78%Observed −10 bps vs. earlier reference2.71%Observed −7 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury0.81%Observed 0.83%Observed +2 bps vs. earlier reference0.97%Observed +14 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Aug 6, 2020 – Feb 6, 2021
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Nov 6, 2020Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.0.50%1.75%3.00%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Aug 6, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · Aug 13, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Aug 20, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.91% · Aug 27, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.93% · Sep 3, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.86% · Sep 10, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Sep 17, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.90% · Sep 24, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Oct 1, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Oct 8, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.81% · Oct 15, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.80% · Oct 22, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.81% · Oct 29, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.78% · Nov 5, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.84% · Nov 12, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.72% · Nov 19, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.72% · Nov 25, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.71% · Dec 3, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.71% · Dec 10, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.67% · Dec 17, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.66% · Dec 24, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.67% · Dec 31, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.65% · Jan 7, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.79% · Jan 14, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.77% · Jan 21, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Jan 28, 202130-year fixed mortgage: 2.73% · Feb 4, 202110-year Treasury: 0.55% · Aug 6, 202010-year Treasury: 0.57% · Aug 7, 202010-year Treasury: 0.59% · Aug 10, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · Aug 11, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Aug 12, 202010-year Treasury: 0.71% · Aug 13, 202010-year Treasury: 0.71% · Aug 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Aug 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Aug 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Aug 19, 202010-year Treasury: 0.65% · Aug 20, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · Aug 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.65% · Aug 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Aug 25, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Aug 26, 202010-year Treasury: 0.74% · Aug 27, 202010-year Treasury: 0.74% · Aug 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.72% · Aug 31, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 1, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · Sep 2, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · Sep 3, 202010-year Treasury: 0.72% · Sep 4, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Sep 8, 202010-year Treasury: 0.71% · Sep 9, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 10, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Sep 11, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Sep 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Sep 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · Sep 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Sep 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · Sep 25, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Sep 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · Sep 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Sep 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Oct 1, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · Oct 2, 202010-year Treasury: 0.78% · Oct 5, 202010-year Treasury: 0.76% · Oct 6, 202010-year Treasury: 0.81% · Oct 7, 202010-year Treasury: 0.78% · Oct 8, 202010-year Treasury: 0.79% · Oct 9, 202010-year Treasury: 0.74% · Oct 13, 202010-year Treasury: 0.73% · Oct 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.74% · Oct 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.76% · Oct 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.78% · Oct 19, 202010-year Treasury: 0.81% · Oct 20, 202010-year Treasury: 0.83% · Oct 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.87% · Oct 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.85% · Oct 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.81% · Oct 26, 202010-year Treasury: 0.79% · Oct 27, 202010-year Treasury: 0.79% · Oct 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.85% · Oct 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.88% · Oct 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.87% · Nov 2, 202010-year Treasury: 0.90% · Nov 3, 202010-year Treasury: 0.78% · Nov 4, 202010-year Treasury: 0.79% · Nov 5, 202010-year Treasury: 0.83% · Nov 6, 202010-year Treasury: 0.96% · Nov 9, 202010-year Treasury: 0.98% · Nov 10, 202010-year Treasury: 0.88% · Nov 12, 202010-year Treasury: 0.89% · Nov 13, 202010-year Treasury: 0.91% · Nov 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.87% · Nov 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.88% · Nov 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.86% · Nov 19, 202010-year Treasury: 0.83% · Nov 20, 202010-year Treasury: 0.86% · Nov 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.88% · Nov 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.88% · Nov 25, 202010-year Treasury: 0.84% · Nov 27, 202010-year Treasury: 0.84% · Nov 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 1, 202010-year Treasury: 0.95% · Dec 2, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 3, 202010-year Treasury: 0.97% · Dec 4, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 7, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 8, 202010-year Treasury: 0.95% · Dec 9, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 10, 202010-year Treasury: 0.90% · Dec 11, 202010-year Treasury: 0.90% · Dec 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.92% · Dec 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.95% · Dec 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.95% · Dec 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Dec 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.96% · Dec 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.94% · Dec 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Dec 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Dec 31, 202010-year Treasury: 0.93% · Jan 4, 202110-year Treasury: 0.96% · Jan 5, 202110-year Treasury: 1.04% · Jan 6, 202110-year Treasury: 1.08% · Jan 7, 202110-year Treasury: 1.13% · Jan 8, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 11, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 12, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 13, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Jan 14, 202110-year Treasury: 1.11% · Jan 15, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 19, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 20, 202110-year Treasury: 1.12% · Jan 21, 202110-year Treasury: 1.10% · Jan 22, 202110-year Treasury: 1.05% · Jan 25, 202110-year Treasury: 1.05% · Jan 26, 202110-year Treasury: 1.04% · Jan 27, 202110-year Treasury: 1.07% · Jan 28, 202110-year Treasury: 1.11% · Jan 29, 202110-year Treasury: 1.09% · Feb 1, 202110-year Treasury: 1.12% · Feb 2, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 3, 202110-year Treasury: 1.15% · Feb 4, 202110-year Treasury: 1.19% · Feb 5, 2021Aug 6, 2020Nov 6, 2020Feb 6, 2021
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury125 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,229.50/month

2.78% · Nov 5, 2020

At the later reference$1,218.38/month

2.71% · Dec 3, 2020

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $11.12 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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