Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Jobs · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

July 2020 Employment Situation

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 1.8 million in July, and the unemployment rate fell to 10.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. These improvements in the labor market reflected the continued resumption…

Historical releaseThe figures below describe the original reporting period. They are not today’s rates or a current economic forecast.Today’s market brief →

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Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 1.8 million in July, and the unemployment rate fell to 10.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. These improvements in the labor market reflected the continued resumption of economic activity that had been curtailed due to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and efforts to contain it. In July, notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, government, retail trade, professional and business services, other services, and health care.

This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics. The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry. For more information about the concepts and statistical methodology used in these two surveys, see the Technical Note.

Household Survey Data

In July, the unemployment rate declined by 0.9 percentage point to 10.2 percent, and the number of unemployed persons fell by 1.4 million to 16.3 million. Despite declines over the past 3 months, these measures are up by 6.7 percentage points and 10.6 million, respectively, since February. (See table A-1. For more information about how the household survey and its measures were affected by the coronavirus pandemic, see the box note at the end of this news release.)

Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates declined in July for adult men (9.4 percent), adult women (10.5 percent), teenagers (19.3 percent), Whites (9.2 percent), Asians (12.0 percent), and Hispanics (12.9 percent). The jobless rate for Blacks (14.6 percent) showed little change over the month. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)

The number of unemployed persons who were on temporary layoff decreased by 1.3 million in July to 9.2 million, about half its April level. In July, the number of permanent job losers and the number of unemployed reentrants to the labor force were virtually unchanged over the month, at 2.9 million and 2.4 million, respectively. (Reentrants are persons who previously worked but were not in the labor force prior to beginning their job search.) (See table A-11.)

Among the unemployed, those who were jobless less than 5 weeks increased by 364,000 to 3.2 million in July, and the number of persons jobless 15 to 26 weeks rose by 4.6 million to 6.5 million. By contrast, the number of unemployed persons who were jobless 5 to 14 weeks fell by 6.3 million to 5.2 million. The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more), at 1.5 million, was little changed over the month. (See table A-12.)

The labor force participation rate, at 61.4 percent, changed little in July, following increases in May and June. Total employment, as measured by the household survey, rose by 1.4 million in July to 143.5 million. The employment-population ratio rose by 0.5 percentage point to 55.1 percent but remains lower than in February (61.1 percent). (See table A-1.)

In July, the number of persons who usually work part time rose by 803,000 to 24.0 million, while the number who usually work full time, at 119.5 million, was little changed. (See table A-9.)

The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) declined by 619,000 to 8.4 million in July, reflecting a decline in the number of people whose hours were cut due to slack work or business conditions (-658,000). The number of involuntary part-time workers is 4.1 million higher than in February. These individuals, who would have preferred full-time employment, were working part time because their hours had been reduced or they were unable to find full- time jobs. This group includes persons who usually work full time and persons who usually work part time. (See table A-8.)

In July, the number of persons not in the labor force who currently want a job declined by 463,000 to 7.7 million; this measure is 2.8 million higher than in February. These individuals were not counted as unemployed because they were not actively looking for work during the last 4 weeks or were unavailable to take a job. (See table A-1.)

Among those not in the labor force who currently want a job, persons marginally attached to the labor force fell by 492,000 to 2.0 million in July. These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months but had not looked for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. Discouraged workers, a subset of the marginally attached who believed that no jobs were available for them, numbered 665,000 in July, essentially unchanged from the previous month. (See Summary table A.)

Establishment Survey Data

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 1.8 million in July, less than the increases of 4.8 million in June and 2.7 million in May. In July, nonfarm employment was lower than its February level by 12.9 million, or 8.4 percent. The largest employment increases in July occurred in leisure and hospitality, government, retail trade, professional and business services, other services, and health care. (See table B-1. For more information about how the establishment survey and its measures were affected by the coronavirus pandemic, see the box note at the end of this news release.)

Employment in leisure and hospitality increased by 592,000, accounting for about one-third of the gain in total nonfarm employment in July. Employment in food services and drinking places rose by 502,000, following gains of 2.9 million in May and June combined. Despite the gains over the last 3 months, employment in food services and drinking places is down by 2.6 million since February. Over the month, employment also rose in amusements, gambling, and recreation (+100,000).

Government employment rose by 301,000 in July but is 1.1 million below its February level. Typically, public-sector education employment declines in July (before seasonal adjustment). However, employment declines occurred earlier than usual this year due to the pandemic, resulting in unusually large July increases in local government education (+215,000) and state government education (+30,000) after seasonal adjustment. A July job gain in federal government (+27,000) reflected the hiring of temporary workers for the 2020 Census.

In July, retail trade added 258,000 jobs. Employment in the industry is 913,000 lower than in February. In July, nearly half of the job gain in retail trade occurred in clothing and clothing accessories stores (+121,000). By contrast, the component of general merchandise stores that includes warehouse clubs and supercenters lost jobs (-64,000).

Employment in professional and business services increased in July (+170,000) but remains 1.6 million below its February level. The majority of July's gain occurred in temporary help services (+144,000).

In July, the other services industry added 149,000 jobs, with most of the increase occurring in personal and laundry services (+119,000). Since February, employment in other services is down by 627,000.

In July, health care added 126,000 jobs, with employment growth in offices of dentists (+45,000), hospitals (+27,000), offices of physicians (+26,000), and home health care services (+16,000). Job losses continued in nursing and residential care facilities (-28,000). Employment in health care is down by 797,000 since February.

In July, employment in social assistance increased by 66,000, with child day care services accounting for most of the gain (+45,000). Employment in social assistance is 460,000 lower than in February.

Employment in transportation and warehousing rose by 38,000 in July, following an increase of 87,000 in June. Despite job gains over the past 2 months, employment in the industry is down by 470,000 since a recent peak in January. In July, employment rose in transit and ground passenger transportation (+20,000), air transportation (+16,000), and couriers and messengers (+9,000).

Manufacturing employment increased by 26,000 in July. An employment gain in motor vehicles and parts (+39,000) was partially offset by losses in fabricated metal products (-11,000), machinery (-7,000), and computer and electronic products (-6,000). Although manufacturing has added 623,000 jobs over the past 3 months, employment is 740,000 lower than in February.

Financial activities added 21,000 jobs in July, with most of the gain in real estate and rental and leasing (+15,000). Since February, employment in financial activities is down by 216,000.

In July, construction employment changed little (+20,000), following job gains of 619,000 in May and June combined. However, employment in the industry remains 444,000 below its February level.

Mining continued to shed jobs in July (-7,000), reflecting a loss in support activities for mining (-11,000). Mining has lost 127,000 jobs since a recent peak in January 2019, although nearly three-fourths of this decline has occurred since February 2020.

In July, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 7 cents to $29.39, following large changes in recent months. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees decreased by 11 cents to $24.63 in July. The large employment fluctuations--especially in lower-paid industries--over the past several months complicate the analysis of recent trends in average hourly earnings. (See tables B-3 and B-8.)

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls decreased by 0.1 hour to 34.5 hours in July. In manufacturing, the workweek rose by 0.7 hour to 39.7 hours, and overtime increased by 0.3 hour to 2.8 hours. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls was unchanged at 34.0 hours. (See tables B-2 and B-7.)

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for May was revised up by 26,000, from +2,699,000 to +2,725,000, and the change for June was revised down by 9,000, from +4,800,000 to +4,791,000. With these revisions, employment in May and June combined was 17,000 higher than previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.)

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Aug 7, 2020.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read beyond one jobs number

The Employment Situation combines two surveys: establishment data measure payroll jobs, hours and earnings, while household data measure people’s employment status and the unemployment rate. A payroll-job change and an unemployment-rate change therefore answer different questions. Check the reference period, participation and revisions alongside the headline. Labor-market conditions inform the policy outlook, but a later mortgage-rate change can reflect many developments; this calendar window cannot identify the report as its cause. BLS Employment Situation tables and technical notes.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierJul 8, 2020Publication referenceAug 7, 202030 days laterSep 6, 2020
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®3.07%Observed 2.88%Observed −19 bps vs. earlier reference2.93%Observed +5 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the Treasury0.67%Observed 0.57%Observed −10 bps vs. earlier reference0.72%Observed +15 bps vs. publication reference

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

May 7, 2020 – Nov 7, 2020
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Aug 7, 2020Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.0.50%2.00%3.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 3.26% · May 7, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.28% · May 14, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.24% · May 21, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.15% · May 28, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.18% · Jun 4, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.21% · Jun 11, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.13% · Jun 18, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.13% · Jun 25, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.07% · Jul 2, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.03% · Jul 9, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.98% · Jul 16, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 3.01% · Jul 23, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Jul 30, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Aug 6, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.96% · Aug 13, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.99% · Aug 20, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.91% · Aug 27, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.93% · Sep 3, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.86% · Sep 10, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Sep 17, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.90% · Sep 24, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.88% · Oct 1, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.87% · Oct 8, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.81% · Oct 15, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.80% · Oct 22, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.81% · Oct 29, 202030-year fixed mortgage: 2.78% · Nov 5, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · May 7, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · May 8, 202010-year Treasury: 0.73% · May 11, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · May 12, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · May 13, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · May 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · May 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.73% · May 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · May 19, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · May 20, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · May 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · May 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · May 26, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · May 27, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · May 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.65% · May 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · Jun 1, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Jun 2, 202010-year Treasury: 0.77% · Jun 3, 202010-year Treasury: 0.82% · Jun 4, 202010-year Treasury: 0.91% · Jun 5, 202010-year Treasury: 0.88% · Jun 8, 202010-year Treasury: 0.84% · Jun 9, 202010-year Treasury: 0.75% · Jun 10, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · Jun 11, 202010-year Treasury: 0.71% · Jun 12, 202010-year Treasury: 0.71% · Jun 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.75% · Jun 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.74% · Jun 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.71% · Jun 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · Jun 19, 202010-year Treasury: 0.71% · Jun 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.72% · Jun 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Jun 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Jun 25, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · Jun 26, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · Jun 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · Jun 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Jul 1, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Jul 2, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Jul 6, 202010-year Treasury: 0.65% · Jul 7, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Jul 8, 202010-year Treasury: 0.62% · Jul 9, 202010-year Treasury: 0.65% · Jul 10, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · Jul 13, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · Jul 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · Jul 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.62% · Jul 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · Jul 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.62% · Jul 20, 202010-year Treasury: 0.61% · Jul 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.60% · Jul 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.59% · Jul 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.59% · Jul 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.62% · Jul 27, 202010-year Treasury: 0.59% · Jul 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.58% · Jul 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.55% · Jul 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.55% · Jul 31, 202010-year Treasury: 0.56% · Aug 3, 202010-year Treasury: 0.52% · Aug 4, 202010-year Treasury: 0.55% · Aug 5, 202010-year Treasury: 0.55% · Aug 6, 202010-year Treasury: 0.57% · Aug 7, 202010-year Treasury: 0.59% · Aug 10, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · Aug 11, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Aug 12, 202010-year Treasury: 0.71% · Aug 13, 202010-year Treasury: 0.71% · Aug 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Aug 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Aug 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Aug 19, 202010-year Treasury: 0.65% · Aug 20, 202010-year Treasury: 0.64% · Aug 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.65% · Aug 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Aug 25, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Aug 26, 202010-year Treasury: 0.74% · Aug 27, 202010-year Treasury: 0.74% · Aug 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.72% · Aug 31, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 1, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · Sep 2, 202010-year Treasury: 0.63% · Sep 3, 202010-year Treasury: 0.72% · Sep 4, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Sep 8, 202010-year Treasury: 0.71% · Sep 9, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 10, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Sep 11, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Sep 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Sep 17, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · Sep 18, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Sep 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Sep 24, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · Sep 25, 202010-year Treasury: 0.67% · Sep 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.66% · Sep 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.69% · Sep 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.68% · Oct 1, 202010-year Treasury: 0.70% · Oct 2, 202010-year Treasury: 0.78% · Oct 5, 202010-year Treasury: 0.76% · Oct 6, 202010-year Treasury: 0.81% · Oct 7, 202010-year Treasury: 0.78% · Oct 8, 202010-year Treasury: 0.79% · Oct 9, 202010-year Treasury: 0.74% · Oct 13, 202010-year Treasury: 0.73% · Oct 14, 202010-year Treasury: 0.74% · Oct 15, 202010-year Treasury: 0.76% · Oct 16, 202010-year Treasury: 0.78% · Oct 19, 202010-year Treasury: 0.81% · Oct 20, 202010-year Treasury: 0.83% · Oct 21, 202010-year Treasury: 0.87% · Oct 22, 202010-year Treasury: 0.85% · Oct 23, 202010-year Treasury: 0.81% · Oct 26, 202010-year Treasury: 0.79% · Oct 27, 202010-year Treasury: 0.79% · Oct 28, 202010-year Treasury: 0.85% · Oct 29, 202010-year Treasury: 0.88% · Oct 30, 202010-year Treasury: 0.87% · Nov 2, 202010-year Treasury: 0.90% · Nov 3, 202010-year Treasury: 0.78% · Nov 4, 202010-year Treasury: 0.79% · Nov 5, 202010-year Treasury: 0.83% · Nov 6, 2020May 7, 2020Aug 7, 2020Nov 7, 2020
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations10-year Treasury128 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,245.48/month

2.88% · Aug 6, 2020

At the later reference$1,253.51/month

2.93% · Sep 3, 2020

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $8.04 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

Understand the policy connection →See current advertised mortgage options →