Wednesday, November 11, 2026Mortgage news · Rates & market context

Jobs · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 2009 Employment Situation

Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in September (-263,000), and the unemployment rate (9.8 percent) continued to trend up, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The largest job losses were in construction,…

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Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in September (-263,000), and the unemployment rate (9.8 percent) continued to trend up, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The largest job losses were in construction, manufacturing, retail trade, and government.

Household Survey Data

Since the start of the recession in December 2007, the number of unemployed persons has increased by 7.6 million to 15.1 million, and the unemployment rate has doubled to 9.8 percent. (See table A-1.)

Unemployment rates for the major worker groups--adult men (10.3 percent), adult women (7.8 percent), teenagers (25.9 percent), whites (9.0 percent), blacks (15.4 percent), and Hispanics (12.7 percent)--showed little change in September. The unemployment rate for Asians was 7.4 percent, not season- ally adjusted. The rates for all major worker groups are much higher than at the start of the recession. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)

Among the unemployed, the number of job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs rose by 603,000 to 10.4 million in September. The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks and over) rose by 450,000 to 5.4 million. In September, 35.6 percent of unemployed persons were job- less for 27 weeks or more. (See tables A-8 and A-9.)

The civilian labor force participation rate declined by 0.3 percentage point in September to 65.2 percent. The employment-population ratio, at 58.8 per- cent, also declined over the month and has decreased by 3.9 percentage points since the recession began in December 2007. (See table A-1.)

In September, the number of persons working part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) was little changed at 9.2 million. The number of such workers rose sharply throughout most of the fall and winter but has been little changed since March. (See table A-5.)

About 2.2 million persons were marginally attached to the labor force in September, an increase of 615,000 from a year earlier. (The data are not sea- sonally adjusted.) These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. (See table A-13.)

Among the marginally attached, there were 706,000 discouraged workers in September, up by 239,000 from a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally adjusted.) Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them. The other 1.5 million persons marginally attached to the labor force in September had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey for reasons such as school attendance or family responsibilities.

Establishment Survey Data

Total nonfarm payroll employment declined by 263,000 in September. From May through September, job losses averaged 307,000 per month, compared with los- ses averaging 645,000 per month from November 2008 to April. Since the start of the recession in December 2007, payroll employment has fallen by 7.2 mil- lion. (See table B-1.)

In September, construction employment declined by 64,000. Monthly job los- ses averaged 66,000 from May through September, compared with an average of 117,000 per month from November to April. September job cuts were concen- trated in the industry's nonresidential components (-39,000) and in heavy construction (-12,000). Since December 2007, employment in construction has fallen by 1.5 million.

Employment in manufacturing fell by 51,000 in September. Over the past 3 months, job losses have averaged 53,000 per month, compared with an average monthly loss of 161,000 from October to June. Employment in manufacturing has contracted by 2.1 million since the onset of the recession.

In the service-providing sector, the number of jobs in retail trade fell by 39,000 in September. From April through September, retail employment has fallen by an average of 29,000 per month, compared with an average monthly loss of 68,000 for the prior 6-month period.

Government employment was down by 53,000 in September, with the largest decline occurring in the non-education component of local government (-24,000).

Employment in health care continued to increase in September (19,000), with the largest gain occurring in ambulatory health care services (15,000). Health care has added 559,000 jobs since the beginning of the recession, although the average monthly job gain thus far in 2009 (22,000) is down from the average monthly gain during 2008 (30,000).

Employment in transportation and warehousing continued to trend down in September. The number of jobs in financial activities, professional and business services, leisure and hospitality, and information showed little or no change over the month.

In September, the average workweek for production and nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls edged down by 0.1 hour to 33.0 hours. Both the manufacturing workweek and factory overtime decreased by 0.1 hour over the month, to 39.8 and 2.8 hours, respectively. (See table B-2.)

In September, average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls edged up by 1 cent, or 0.1 percent, to $18.67. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have risen by 2.5 percent, while average weekly earnings have risen by only 0.7 percent due to declines in the average workweek. (See table B-3.)

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for July was revised from -276,000 to -304,000, and the change for August was revised from -216,000 to -201,000.

Preliminary Estimates of Benchmark Revisions to the Establishment Survey

In accordance with usual practice, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is announcing its preliminary estimates of the upcoming annual benchmark revision to the establishment survey employment series. The final bench- mark revision will be issued on February 5, 2010, with the publication of the January 2010 Employment Situation news release.

Each year, the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey employment estimates are benchmarked to comprehensive counts of employment for the month of March. These counts are derived from state unemployment insur- ance tax records that nearly all employers are required to file. For national CES employment series, the annual benchmark revisions over the last 10 years have averaged plus or minus two-tenths of one percent of total nonfarm employment. The preliminary estimate of the benchmark revision indicates a downward adjustment to March 2009 total nonfarm employment of 824,000 (0.6 percent).

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 2, 2009.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read beyond one jobs number

The Employment Situation combines two surveys: establishment data measure payroll jobs, hours and earnings, while household data measure people’s employment status and the unemployment rate. A payroll-job change and an unemployment-rate change therefore answer different questions. Check the reference period, participation and revisions alongside the headline. Labor-market conditions inform the policy outlook, but a later mortgage-rate change can reflect many developments; this calendar window cannot identify the report as its cause. BLS Employment Situation tables and technical notes.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 2, 2009Publication referenceOct 2, 200930 days laterNov 1, 2009
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.14%Observed 4.94%Observed −20 bps vs. earlier reference5.03%Observed +9 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 2, 2009 – Jan 2, 2010
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 2, 2009Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.50%5.00%5.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 5.32% · Jul 2, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.20% · Jul 9, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.14% · Jul 16, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.20% · Jul 23, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.25% · Jul 30, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.22% · Aug 6, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.29% · Aug 13, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.12% · Aug 20, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.14% · Aug 27, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.08% · Sep 3, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.07% · Sep 10, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.04% · Sep 17, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.04% · Sep 24, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.94% · Oct 1, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.87% · Oct 8, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.92% · Oct 15, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.00% · Oct 22, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.03% · Oct 29, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.98% · Nov 5, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.91% · Nov 12, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.83% · Nov 19, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.78% · Nov 25, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.71% · Dec 3, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.81% · Dec 10, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.94% · Dec 17, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.05% · Dec 24, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.14% · Dec 31, 2009Jul 2, 2009Oct 2, 2009Jan 2, 2010
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,599.48/month

4.94% · Oct 1, 2009

At the later reference$1,615.97/month

5.03% · Oct 29, 2009

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $16.49 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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