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Jobs · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

December 2008 Employment Cost Index

Total compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.5 percent from September to December 2008, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This follows three consecutive…

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Total compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.5 percent from September to December 2008, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This follows three consecutive quarterly increases of 0.7 percent. In the December quarter, wages and salaries rose 0.5 percent and benefits rose 0.4 percent. The Employment Cost Index (ECI), a product of the National Compensation Survey, measures quarterly changes in compensation costs for civilian workers (nonfarm private industry and state and local government workers).

Quarterly changes, seasonally adjusted

Compensation costs for private industry rose 0.5 percent from September to December 2008; the prior quarter increase was 0.6 percent. For the December quarter, state and local government compensation increased 0.5 percent. The prior quarter’s increase was 0.9 percent. Wages and salaries for private industry workers increased 0.6 percent for the September to December 2008 period, the same as for the prior quarter. In state and local government, wages and salaries increase was 0.4 percent--smaller than the 1.0 percent increase in the prior quarter. Benefit costs for private industry rose 0.4 percent, compared to 0.6 percent in the previous quarter. For state and local government, benefit costs increased 0.8 percent, compared to the 0.7 percent increase in the previous quarter. (See tables A, 1, 2, and 3.)

Metropolitan and Nonmetropolitan Area Data Series

Effective with this release, compensation and wage and salary data aggregated across all metropolitan and nonmetropolitan areas--which previously appeared in tables 6 and 10--have been discontinued as a result of classification changes to metropolitan statistical areas.

Over-the-year changes, not seasonally adjusted

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 2.6 percent for the year ended December 2008, less than the 3.3 percent increase for the year ended December 2007. In private industry, compensation costs rose 2.4 percent in the year ended December 2008, less than the increase for the year ended December 2007, which was 3.0 percent. For state and local government, the increase for the 12-month period ended December 2008 was 3.0 percent, less than the December 2007 increase of 4.1 percent. Wages and salaries for civilian workers increased 2.7 percent for the 12-month period; down from the December 2007 increase of 3.4 percent. Private industry wages and salaries increased 2.6 percent in December 2008. In December 2007 the increase was 3.3 percent. State and local government wages and salaries increased 3.1 percent for the year ended December 2008. The increase for the 12-month period ending December 2007 was 3.5 percent. Benefits increased 2.2 percent for civilian workers. In private industry, benefit costs increased 2.0 percent, less than the increase for state and local government, which was 2.9 percent for the 12-month period ended December 2008. (See table B.)

Nonfarm private industry

For the year ended December 2008, private industry compensation costs increased 2.4 percent for goods-producing industries, the same as the increase in December 2007. Compensation costs for manufacturing increased 2.0 percent for the year ended December 2008, also the same as for the year ended December 2007. In the construction industry, compensation costs rose 3.1 percent compared to 3.9 percent for the 12-month period ending December 2007. (See table 5.)

The over-the-year increase for December 2008 in compensation costs for service-providing industries slowed to 2.5 percent. The December 2007 increase was 3.2 percent. Among the major service-providing industries, changes in compensation costs ranged from 1.2 percent in information to 3.8 percent in professional and business services. (See table 5.)

Among private industry occupational groups, over-the-year compensation gains ranged from 1.7 percent for sales and office occupations to 2.9 percent for management, professional, and related occupations. (See table 5.)

Compensation costs for union workers advanced 2.8 percent in the year ended December 2008, while compensation costs for nonunion workers increased 2.4 percent. Wages and salaries for union workers increased 3.2 percent in the 12-month period ended December 2008. Nonunion workers saw a smaller increase of 2.5 percent. Benefit costs rose 1.9 percent in the 12-month period for both union and nonunion workers. (See tables C, 6, 10, and 12.)

State and local government

For the year ended December 2008, wages and salaries for state and local government workers rose 3.1 percent. The increase for the 12-month period ended December 2007 was 3.5 percent. Benefit costs increased 2.9 percent for the current 12-month period, less than the 5.5 percent increase for the previous year. Public administration wages and salaries increased 2.8 percent, also less than its December 2007 12-month percent increase of 3.8 percent. (See tables B, 11, and 12.)

Over-the-year changes in wages and salaries, constant dollars, not seasonally adjusted

After adjusting for the changes in the prices of consumer goods and services, wages and salaries for civilian workers increased 2.6 percent for the 12-month period ended December 2008, compared to a 0.7 percent decrease for the 12-month period ended December 2007. The increase for private industry was 2.5 percent compared to a decrease of 0.7 percent for the year ended December 2007. State and local government registered a 3.0 percent increase, compared to a decrease of 0.6 percent for the previous year. (See table D.)

This quarter’s ECI estimates for 14 individual localities (introduced in the June 2008 reference period) will be released Tuesday, February 24, 2009. For each locality, two private industry estimates are provided: 12-month percent change for total compensation and 12-month percent change for wages and salaries. The data will be available at www.bls.gov/ect as well as in news releases for each area. The regional news releases providing ECI estimates for the four regions and nine census divisions have been discontinued. However, those estimates are still included in tables 6 and 10 of this news release. For additional information, see "BLS Introduces New Employment Cost Indexes for 14 Metropolitan Areas," at www.bls.gov/opub/cwc/cm20080922ar01p1.htm.

The ECI for March 2009 is scheduled for release on Thursday, April 30, 2009, at 8:30 AM EDT.

New seasonal factors for 2009, along with revised seasonally adjusted indexes for the past five years will be available Tuesday, April 28, 2009 at www.bls.gov/ect, by email to NCSinfo@bls.gov, or by calling (202) 691-6199.

ECI data are available on the Compensation Cost Trends page at www.bls.gov/ect. For ECI data requests, send e-mail to NCSinfo@bls.gov or call (202) 691-6199. For technical assistance in using the BLS Internet site, send e-mail to webmaster@bls.gov.

BLS news releases, including the ECI, are available through an e-mail subscription service. See the subscription link at www.bls.gov/ect or www.bls.gov/bls/list.htm.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Jan 30, 2009.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read compensation costs separately from job growth

The Employment Cost Index tracks changes in employers’ hourly compensation costs, including wages, salaries and benefits. Its fixed employment weights limit the effect of shifts between industries and occupations; it does not count newly created jobs. Compare wage and benefit components, and check whether the quoted change is for three months or twelve months and whether it is seasonally adjusted. Compensation trends are one part of the inflation and policy picture, without determining a particular mortgage rate. BLS Employment Cost Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierDec 31, 2008Publication referenceJan 30, 200930 days laterMar 1, 2009
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.10%Observed 5.10%Observed Unchanged vs. earlier reference5.07%Observed −3 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Oct 30, 2008 – Apr 30, 2009
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Jan 30, 2009Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.4.50%5.50%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.46% · Oct 30, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.20% · Nov 6, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.14% · Nov 13, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 6.04% · Nov 20, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.97% · Nov 26, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.53% · Dec 4, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.47% · Dec 11, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.19% · Dec 18, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.14% · Dec 24, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.10% · Dec 31, 200830-year fixed mortgage: 5.01% · Jan 8, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.96% · Jan 15, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.12% · Jan 22, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.10% · Jan 29, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.25% · Feb 5, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.16% · Feb 12, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.04% · Feb 19, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.07% · Feb 26, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.15% · Mar 5, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 5.03% · Mar 12, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.98% · Mar 19, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.85% · Mar 26, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.78% · Apr 2, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.87% · Apr 9, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.82% · Apr 16, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.80% · Apr 23, 200930-year fixed mortgage: 4.78% · Apr 30, 2009Oct 30, 2008Jan 30, 2009Apr 30, 2009
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,628.85/month

5.10% · Jan 29, 2009

At the later reference$1,623.32/month

5.07% · Feb 26, 2009

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $5.53 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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