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September 2002 Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index for total compensation increased 3.7 percent for the year ended September 2002, the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The Employment Cost Index (ECI), a component of the…

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The Employment Cost Index for total compensation increased 3.7 percent for the year ended September 2002, the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The Employment Cost Index (ECI), a component of the National Compensation Survey, measures changes in compensation costs, which include wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee benefits, for nonfarm private and State and local government workers.

Quarterly changes, seasonally adjusted

Seasonally adjusted, the 3-month increase in compensation costs for civilian workers (nonfarm private industry and State and local government) rose 0.8 percent from June to September 2002, following a gain of 1.0 percent in March-June 2002. Wages and salaries increased 0.5 percent during the September quarter, after a 1.0 percent gain in the June quarter. Benefit costs rose 1.4 percent during the June-September period, following a 1.3 percent increase in the March-June quarter.

The increase in compensation costs for private industry workers was 0.6 percent during the June-September 2002 period, a smaller gain than the increase of 1.1 percent during the previous 3-month period. The gain in wages and salaries slowed to 0.4 percent in the quarter ended in September; in June, it was 1.0 percent. Benefit costs showed a rise of 1.0 percent during the September quarter, compared with a 1.4 percent gain during the June quarter. (See tables A and 1.)

Compensation costs for State and local government workers increased 1.5 percent during the June-September period, about twice the 0.8 percent gain during the June quarter. Wages and salaries rose 0.9 percent in the quarter ended in September, following a 0.8 percent increase the previous quarter. Benefit costs rose 3.0 percent during the September quarter, significantly higher than the 0.8 percent gain of the prior quarter. The increase in benefit costs was due largely to increases in employer costs for health insurance.

Over-the-year changes, not seasonally adjusted

Compensation costs for civilian workers (not seasonally adjusted) increased 3.7 percent for the 12 months ended in September 2002 to 161.3 (June 1989=100). This compares with over-the-year increases of 4.1 percent in September 2001 and 4.3 percent in September 2000. Compensation costs in private industry rose 3.7 percent in the year ended September 2002, compared with increases of 4.0 percent in September 2001 and 4.6 percent in September 2000. In State and local government, compensation costs increased 3.8 percent for the year ended September 2002; over-the- year increases were 4.4 percent in September 2001 and 3.3 percent in September 2000. (See tables B, 2, and 3.)

Nonfarm private industry

In private industry, wages and salaries rose 3.2 percent for the year ended September 2002, after increasing 3.6 percent in the year ended September 2001. (See tables B and 6.) Benefit costs for private industry workers increased 4.8 percent for the year ended in September 2002, compared with an increase of 4.9 percent in September 2001. (See tables B and 8.)

In private industry, over-the-year compensation cost increases were 3.7 percent for white-collar occupations, 3.5 percent for blue-collar occupations, and 4.2 percent for service occupations. Among the occupational groups, increases in compensation costs ranged from 2.8 percent for professional specialty and technical employees to 4.3 percent for sales workers. (See table 3.)

For the year ended September 2002, the compensation cost increase was 3.6 percent for goods-producing industries, compared with 3.5 percent for the year ended September 2001. The over-the-year increase in compensation for service-producing industries was 3.7 percent, compared with a 4.2 percent increase for the year ended September 2001. Among service- producing industries, the 12-month increases for the year ending September 2002 ranged from 1.2 percent for business services to 5.8 percent for electric, gas, and sanitary services. (See table 3.)

Compensation costs for union workers rose 4.7 percent over the year, compared with a 3.5 percent increase for nonunion workers. In service- producing industries, compensation increased 5.8 percent for union workers and 3.4 percent for nonunion workers. In goods-producing industries, the increase for union workers was 3.7 percent, compared with a 3.6 percent increase for nonunion workers. Among the four geographic regions, increases in compensation costs ranged from 3.4 percent in the Northeast to 3.9 percent in the Midwest and West. (See table 4.)

State and local government

In State and local government, the September 2002 over-the-year increase in wages and salaries was 3.1 percent, lower than the gain of 3.9 percent for September 2001. The 12-month gain in benefit costs for September 2002 was 5.4 percent; in September 2001, the gain was 5.6 percent. (See tables B, 5, and 8.)

The costs per hour worked of compensation components, based on data from the ECI, were published on September 17 in a news release titled "Employer Costs for Employee Compensation-June 2002." Employer Costs for Employee Compensation was changed from an annual to a quarterly publication beginning with the June 2002 data. Future publications will be issued approximately three months after the month of reference for the survey months of March, June, September, and December.

ECI data are available on the Compensation Cost Trends page at http://www.bls.gov/ncs/ect/home.htm. To access data using Anonymous FTP, use the Internet address ftp://ftp.bls.gov.

For technical assistance in using the BLS Internet site, send e-mail to webmaster@bls.gov. For ECI data requests, send e-mail to ocltinfo@bls.gov.

The ECI news release is available through an e-mail subscription service. See the subscription link on http://www.bls.gov/ncs/ect/home.htm or http://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm.

News releases and other information are available from the BLS fax-on- demand service. To request a document fax, call (202) 691-6325. To request a catalog of available documents, select option 2 at the initial voice prompt. To request data found in this news release, enter the following codes:

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 31, 2002.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read compensation costs separately from job growth

The Employment Cost Index tracks changes in employers’ hourly compensation costs, including wages, salaries and benefits. Its fixed employment weights limit the effect of shifts between industries and occupations; it does not count newly created jobs. Compare wage and benefit components, and check whether the quoted change is for three months or twelve months and whether it is seasonally adjusted. Compensation trends are one part of the inflation and policy picture, without determining a particular mortgage rate. BLS Employment Cost Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierOct 1, 2002Publication referenceOct 31, 200230 days laterNov 30, 2002
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®5.99%Observed 6.31%Observed +32 bps vs. earlier reference6.13%Observed −18 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 31, 2002 – Jan 31, 2003
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 31, 2002Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.5.50%6.00%6.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 6.43% · Aug 2, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Aug 9, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Aug 16, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.27% · Aug 23, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.22% · Aug 30, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · Sep 6, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.18% · Sep 13, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.05% · Sep 20, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.99% · Sep 27, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.01% · Oct 4, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.98% · Oct 11, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.15% · Oct 18, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.31% · Oct 25, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Nov 1, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.11% · Nov 8, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.94% · Nov 15, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.03% · Nov 22, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.13% · Nov 29, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.19% · Dec 6, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.04% · Dec 13, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 6.03% · Dec 20, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.93% · Dec 27, 200230-year fixed mortgage: 5.85% · Jan 3, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.95% · Jan 10, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.97% · Jan 17, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.91% · Jan 24, 200330-year fixed mortgage: 5.90% · Jan 31, 2003Jul 31, 2002Oct 31, 2002Jan 31, 2003
30-year fixed mortgage27 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$1,858.87/month

6.31% · Oct 25, 2002

At the later reference$1,823.80/month

6.13% · Nov 29, 2002

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $35.07 lower per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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