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Jobs · ORIGINAL ECONOMIC RELEASE

September 1994 Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index (ECI) increased 1.0 percent before seasonal adjustment in the 3 months ended in September 1994, the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The September 1994 ECI level of 123.3…

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Historical release narrative reproduced from the official public-domain source. Statistical tables, standard technical appendices, administrative material and attendance rosters are omitted; formatting is adapted for reading. Figures retain the release's historical context and may have been revised. Consult the linked source for the complete document.

The Employment Cost Index (ECI) increased 1.0 percent before seasonal adjustment in the 3 months ended in September 1994, the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The September 1994 ECI level of 123.3 (June 1989=100) was 3.2 percent higher than the index in September 1993. The ECI measures changes in compensation costs, including wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee benefits.

Quarterly changes, seasonally adjusted

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the ECI rose 0.7 percent in the June- September 1994 quarter, compared with a 0.9 percent gain in the March-June 1994 quarter. Compensation cost increases have been in the 0.7-1.0 percent range since September 1991. Wage and salary gains, 0.7 percent in June-September 1994, also have varied within a relatively small range over the past 3 years. Benefit costs rose 1.0 percent in June-September 1994, in line with increases in the past year but below those in the preceding 6 years.

Compensation costs... 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.7 3.2

Wages and salaries.. 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 2.9

Private industry workers showed the same pattern as civilian workers. Both compensation costs and wages and salaries rose 0.8 percent in June- September 1994, about the same as the 0.9 percent increase in March-June 1994 and in line with increases over the past 3 years. Benefit cost gains (1.1 percent) were similar to those over the past year.

Compensation cost increases for state and local government workers, in contrast, slowed to 0.6 percent in June-September 1994, down from 0.9 percent in the preceding quarter. This slowdown was due primarily to smaller gains in benefit costs (0.5 percent in June-September 1994, down from 1.3 percent).

Over-the-year changes, unadjusted

Compensation costs (not seasonally adjusted) increased 3.2 percent for the year ended in September 1994, the same as the gains for the years ended in both March and June 1994. These increases are the lowest since the series began in 1981. This pattern of moderate increases held for both private industry workers (3.3 percent in September 1993-94 and 3.4 percent in June 1993-94) and state and local governments (3.0 percent and 2.9 percent, respectively).

Private industry workers' wage and salary gains slowed from 3.1 percent in June 1993-94 to 2.9 percent in September 1993-94. This slowdown was due largely to sales workers; excluding sales workers, the wage and salary increases were about the same in the two periods (2.9 percent and 3.0 percent).

For the year ended September 1994, compensation cost gains in private industry were about the same in goods-producing industries (3.3 percent) and service-producing industries (3.2 percent). Compensation cost increases in goods-producing industries ranged from 2.9 percent in nondurable goods manufacturing to 3.9 percent in construction. Gains in service-producing industries ranged from 2.3 percent in health services to 4.3 percent in transportation.

Over-the-year compensation cost increases in private industry were higher for white-collar workers (3.4 percent) than for blue-collar workers (3.0 percent) or service workers (2.4 percent). Compensation cost increases for white-collar occupations ranged from 3.1 percent for sales workers to 3.8 percent for executive, administrative, and managerial occupations. Within blue-collar occupations, compensation cost gains ranged from 2.4 percent for machine operators, assemblers, and inspectors to 3.8 percent for transportation and material moving occupations.

Compensation cost increases over the year ended September 1994 were about the same for union (3.2 percent) and nonunion workers (3.3 percent). There was, however, a very different pattern in goods-producing than in service- producing industries. In goods-producing industries, union increases averaged 2.8 percent, compared with 3.5 percent for nonunion workers; in service- producing industries, union gains averaged 3.6 percent compared with 3.2 percent for nonunion.

Beginning with the March 1995 news release, ECI estimates will be based on 1990 counts of occupational employment by industry, rather than on 1980 employment counts.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Original release Oct 25, 1994.

Archived Nov 11, 2026. Source reuse policy. Formatting has been adapted for reading; the source’s conclusions remain attributed to its publisher.

MortgageRates.news analysis · Historical context

The mortgage market around this release

This original analysis is separate from the source article. It compares observed benchmarks around ; historical averages and yields are not current mortgage offers.

Read compensation costs separately from job growth

The Employment Cost Index tracks changes in employers’ hourly compensation costs, including wages, salaries and benefits. Its fixed employment weights limit the effect of shifts between industries and occupations; it does not count newly created jobs. Compare wage and benefit components, and check whether the quoted change is for three months or twelve months and whether it is seasonally adjusted. Compensation trends are one part of the inflation and policy picture, without determining a particular mortgage rate. BLS Employment Cost Index.

Nearest published observation on or before each target date
Benchmark30 days earlierSep 25, 1994Publication referenceOct 25, 199430 days laterNov 24, 1994
30-year fixed mortgageNational weekly averageFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®8.73%Observed 8.85%Observed +12 bps vs. earlier reference9.19%Observed +34 bps vs. publication reference
10-year TreasuryDaily par yieldU.S. Department of the TreasuryUnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.UnavailableBefore available coverage, which starts Jan 4, 2016.

Calendar references, not an intraday reaction. A same-day market observation may have been published after a morning release. These figures do not show what was known at its exact publication time. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point; changes use the actual dated observations shown.

Six months around publication

Jul 25, 1994 – Jan 25, 1995
Historical mortgage and Treasury observations around Oct 25, 1994Each dot is a published observation. No missing values are estimated. The dashed vertical line marks the article’s publication calendar date. Rates and yields are percentages.8.00%8.75%9.50%Publication date30-year fixed mortgage: 8.57% · Jul 29, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.38% · Aug 5, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.57% · Aug 12, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.54% · Aug 19, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.56% · Aug 26, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.48% · Sep 2, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.51% · Sep 9, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.66% · Sep 16, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.73% · Sep 23, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.82% · Sep 30, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.89% · Oct 7, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.93% · Oct 14, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 8.85% · Oct 21, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.03% · Oct 28, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.05% · Nov 4, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.19% · Nov 11, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.19% · Nov 18, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.25% · Nov 25, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.23% · Dec 2, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.15% · Dec 9, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.25% · Dec 16, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.18% · Dec 23, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.18% · Dec 30, 199430-year fixed mortgage: 9.22% · Jan 6, 199530-year fixed mortgage: 9.19% · Jan 13, 199530-year fixed mortgage: 9.05% · Jan 20, 1995Jul 25, 1994Oct 25, 1994Jan 25, 1995
30-year fixed mortgage26 observations
Dots show published observations only. Missing dates remain blank, with no interpolation. The series have different publication schedules and measure different markets.

What that benchmark difference would mean for a $300,000 loan

At the publication reference$2,381.56/month

8.85% · Oct 21, 1994

At the later reference$2,454.99/month

9.19% · Nov 18, 1994

The illustrative principal-and-interest payment is $73.43 higher per month. This holds the loan amount and term constant to show the arithmetic effect of the benchmark difference.

Assumptions: two separate hypothetical $300,000 loans, each fully amortizing over 30 years with 360 monthly payments and its stated fixed interest rate. Excludes points, lender fees, taxes, insurance, association charges and other costs. PMMS is a national average, not an APR or a personalized rate offer. These are not two payments on one existing loan.

Sources, historical coverage and calculation limits

The 30-day comparisons use calendar days. Each cell selects the last published observation on or before its target; no rates are synthesized for missing dates. Gaps greater than seven days for daily Treasury data or fourteen days for weekly mortgage data are marked unavailable. Forward comparisons require the date to have arrived and source coverage to extend through it.

Historical files may contain revisions and do not reconstruct precisely what every market participant knew at the time. Freddie Mac changed its PMMS collection methodology in November 2022. Cross-period comparisons should account for that change. These windows include other news and cannot establish causation or forecast the next rate move.

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